Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary)
- Primary date: March 1
- Mail-in registration deadline: Jan. 31
- Online reg. deadline: N/A
- In-person reg. deadline: Jan. 31
- Early voting starts: Feb. 14
- Early voting ends: Feb. 25
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: March 1
U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez Jr. advanced from the Democratic Party primary in Texas' 34th Congressional District on March 1, 2022. Gonzalez, who represented Texas' 15th Congressional District, elected to run in the 34th District after redistricting. Gonzalez received 65% of the vote and Laura Cisneros was second with 23%.
Former incumbent Filemon Vela (D) announced in March 2021 that he would not for re-election and endorsed Gonzalez on October 27, 2021.[1] Gonzalez was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2016.
Gonzalez's campaign website said that he supported increasing funding for Medicare, expanding Social Security to adjust for cost-of-living adjustments and inflation, and increasing funding for mental health and healthcare services for veterans. He said a goal of his was to create a full-service VA hospital in the Rio Grande Valley.
Beatriz Reynoso (D) and William Thompson (D) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.
This page focuses on Texas' 34th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary)
- Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Vicente Gonzalez Jr. | 64.8 | 23,531 | |
| Laura Cisneros | 23.3 | 8,456 | ||
Beatriz Reynoso ![]() | 3.5 | 1,287 | ||
William Thompson ![]() | 3.0 | 1,085 | ||
| Filemon Meza | 2.5 | 920 | ||
| Diego Zavala | 2.0 | 718 | ||
| Osbert Rodriguez Haro III | 0.9 | 331 | ||
| Total votes: 36,328 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Rochelle Garza (D)
- Jaime Rodriguez (D)
- Ryan Trevino (D)
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
Biography: Gonzalez received his B.A. from Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University and his J.D. from Texas Wesleyan School of Law. Gonzalez worked as an attorney in private practice.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 34 in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "I am a small business owner and Afghanistan veteran. I served in the Air Force for 8 years. I am the first in my family to earn a college degree. I have a BA in Political Science with a minor in legal studies from the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, an AAS in Criminal Justice and AAS in Public Health Technology from the Community College of the Air Force. Growing up I experienced how bad policies affect children--poverty, hunger, and lack of infrastructure are policy choices. Our elected officials chose to let children suffer. I saw the wealth disparities in school and I knew I had to do something to prevent future generations from being victims of bad policy. Joining the military was the best way for me to escape poverty while gaining the experience to become a leader in my community. Because of the military, I was able to go to college, have healthcare, and buy a home but, we shouldn't have to go to war to have a decent quality of life. Everyone deserves healthcare and a good paying job without having to go in to thousands of dollars of debt. These are policy choices we can change and I plan to do that."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 34 in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "William Thompson was born and raised in south Texas. He is a Marine Corps veteran, serving in Afghanistan in 2009 and 2010. After his time in the military, he worked as a Cyber Operations Planner supporting the Department of Defense. He also worked as a Satellite Operations Planner supporting the Intelligence community. He became a teacher and taught high school students in south Texas. William met his wife, Martha, in Brownsville, TX. They currently have two children and one more on the way."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 34 in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Healthcare is a human right and the profits of the Healthcare industry are not more important than the health of Americans no matter who much money they make or what illnesses they may have. When healthcare is tied to employment, employers will use it to exploit workers who go on strike for better working conditions.
Government reform is a vital part of making the political process fair for everyone. Lobbyists spend millions of dollars influencing votes on important legislation like clean energy and expanding healthcare. Meanwhile, citizens only have our vote at the ballot box. Running for office is also difficult for citizens who don't have money to start a campaign. It shuts out candidates and reserves the political process for those who have money and corporate support.
William Thompson (D)
He served his county in the United States Marine Corps.
He has the most National Security experience of any candidate running.
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Housing - William Thompson has worked for almost a decade providing housing solutions for south Texans. He understands that not all Texans qualify for traditional banking mortgages, and has worked to find hard working Texans a means to own their own homes.
Veterans affairs - As a veteran, William understands the sacrifices that America's veterans have made. PTSD, high suicide rates, and an underwhelming VA system are some of the burdens veterans still face after they leave active service.
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
William Thompson (D)
Beatriz Reynoso (D)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Vicente Gonzalez Jr.
Have a link to Gonzalez's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Laura Cisneros
Have a link to Cisneros' campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Osbert Rodriguez Haro III
Have a link to Rodriguez Haro's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Filemon Meza
Have a link to Meza's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Beatriz Reynoso
|
View more ads here:
William Thompson
Have a link to Thompson's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Diego Zavala
Have a link to Zavala's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Endorsements
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
As of January 2022, no candidate had published an endorsement list on a campaign website.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[2] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[3] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
| Race ratings: Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[8] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[9] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Gonzalez Jr. | Democratic Party | $3,197,037 | $4,263,576 | $303,954 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Laura Cisneros | Democratic Party | $204,861 | $161,360 | $43,501 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Filemon Meza | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Beatriz Reynoso | Democratic Party | $4,996 | $5,007 | $-196 | As of April 21, 2022 |
| Osbert Rodriguez Haro III | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| William Thompson | Democratic Party | $16,846 | $16,846 | $-1,959 | As of March 28, 2022 |
| Diego Zavala | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[10][11][12]
If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
Election context
District history
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 34
Incumbent Filemon Vela defeated Rey Gonzalez Jr., Anthony Cristo, and Chris Royal in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 34 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Filemon Vela (D) | 55.4 | 111,439 | |
Rey Gonzalez Jr. (R) ![]() | 41.8 | 84,119 | ||
| Anthony Cristo (L) | 1.6 | 3,222 | ||
| Chris Royal (Independent) | 1.1 | 2,247 | ||
| Total votes: 201,027 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34
Incumbent Filemon Vela defeated Diego Zavala and Osbert Rodriguez Haro III in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Filemon Vela | 75.1 | 39,484 | |
Diego Zavala ![]() | 18.5 | 9,707 | ||
Osbert Rodriguez Haro III ![]() | 6.5 | 3,413 | ||
| Total votes: 52,604 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34
Rey Gonzalez Jr. defeated Rod Lingsch in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Rey Gonzalez Jr. ![]() | 56.3 | 10,665 | |
| Rod Lingsch | 43.7 | 8,271 | ||
| Total votes: 18,936 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 34
Anthony Cristo advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 21, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | Anthony Cristo (L) | |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 34
Incumbent Filemon Vela defeated Rey Gonzalez Jr. in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 34 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Filemon Vela (D) | 60.0 | 85,825 | |
| Rey Gonzalez Jr. (R) | 40.0 | 57,243 | ||
| Total votes: 143,068 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34
Incumbent Filemon Vela advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Filemon Vela | 100.0 | 25,344 | |
| Total votes: 25,344 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34
Rey Gonzalez Jr. advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Rey Gonzalez Jr. | 100.0 | 10,227 | |
| Total votes: 10,227 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Filemon Vela (D) defeated Rey Gonzalez Jr. (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Vela faced no opposition in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Gonzalez defeated William "Willie" Vaden to win the Republican nomination.[13][14]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 62.7% | 104,638 | ||
| Republican | Rey Gonzalez Jr. | 37.3% | 62,323 | |
| Total Votes | 166,961 | |||
| Source: Texas Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
50.6% | 12,532 | ||
| William Vaden | 49.4% | 12,253 | ||
| Total Votes | 24,785 | |||
| Source: Texas Secretary of State |
||||
2014
The 34th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Filemon Vela (D) defeated Larry Smith (R) and Ryan Rowley (L) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 59.5% | 47,503 | ||
| Republican | Larry Smith | 38.6% | 30,811 | |
| Libertarian | Ryan Rowley | 2% | 1,563 | |
| Total Votes | 79,877 | |||
| Source: Texas Secretary of State | ||||
2012
The 34th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which Filemon Vela (D) won election. He defeated Jessica Puente Bradshaw (R) and Steven Shanklin (L) in the general election.[15]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 61.9% | 89,606 | ||
| Republican | Jessica Puente Bradshaw | 36.2% | 52,448 | |
| Libertarian | Steven Shanklin | 1.9% | 2,724 | |
| Total Votes | 144,778 | |||
| Source: Texas Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 2% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | $3,125.00 | 12/13/2021 | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | N/A | 6/23/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Texas District 34
before 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Texas District 34
after 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[16] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[17]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Texas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump |
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |
| Texas' 1st | 26.5% | 72.4% | 27.2% | 71.6% |
| Texas' 2nd | 37.9% | 60.7% | 48.6% | 49.9% |
| Texas' 3rd | 42.0% | 56.4% | 48.7% | 49.8% |
| Texas' 4th | 36.4% | 62.4% | 24.4% | 74.4% |
| Texas' 5th | 38.2% | 60.6% | 37.9% | 60.9% |
| Texas' 6th | 37.4% | 61.3% | 47.8% | 50.8% |
| Texas' 7th | 64.2% | 34.5% | 53.6% | 45.1% |
| Texas' 8th | 35.8% | 63.0% | 28.1% | 70.6% |
| Texas' 9th | 76.2% | 22.8% | 75.7% | 23.3% |
| Texas' 10th | 39.8% | 58.6% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| Texas' 11th | 29.1% | 69.5% | 19.7% | 79.1% |
| Texas' 12th | 40.1% | 58.3% | 37.9% | 60.5% |
| Texas' 13th | 26.5% | 72.0% | 19.4% | 79.2% |
| Texas' 14th | 35.0% | 63.6% | 39.6% | 59.0% |
| Texas' 15th | 48.1% | 51.0% | TX-15: 50.4% TX-34: 51.5% |
TX-15: 48.5% TX-34: 47.5% |
| Texas' 16th | 67.0% | 31.5% | 66.4% | 32.0% |
| Texas' 17th | 38.0% | 60.5% | 43.6% | 54.6% |
| Texas' 18th | 73.6% | 25.1% | 75.7% | 23.0% |
| Texas' 19th | 26.2% | 72.4% | 26.3% | 72.2% |
| Texas' 20th | 65.8% | 32.7% | 63.7% | 34.7% |
| Texas' 21st | 39.4% | 59.1% | 47.9% | 50.6% |
| Texas' 22nd | 41.3% | 57.4% | 48.9% | 49.8% |
| Texas' 23rd | 45.8% | 52.9% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| Texas' 24th | 43.0% | 55.4% | 51.9% | 46.5% |
| Texas' 25th | 33.8% | 64.9% | 44.4% | 54.0% |
| Texas' 26th | 40.0% | 58.6% | 42.1% | 56.3% |
| Texas' 27th | 38.1% | 60.6% | 37.5% | 61.2% |
| Texas' 28th | 52.9% | 45.9% | 51.6% | 47.2% |
| Texas' 29th | 67.8% | 31.0% | 65.9% | 32.9% |
| Texas' 30th | 77.8% | 21.0% | 79.8% | 18.9% |
| Texas' 31st | 39.0% | 59.2% | 47.6% | 50.4% |
| Texas' 32nd | 65.7% | 32.7% | 54.4% | 44.0% |
| Texas' 33rd | 74.2% | 24.4% | 73.0% | 25.6% |
| Texas' 34th | 57.3% | 41.8% | TX-15: 50.4% TX-34: 51.5% |
TX-15: 48.5% TX-34: 47.5% |
| Texas' 35th | 71.7% | 26.5% | --- | --- |
| Texas' 36th | 33.6% | 65.2% | 26.9% | 71.9% |
| Texas' 37th | 75.5% | 22.7% | 67.7% | 30.5% |
| Texas' 38th | 40.2% | 58.4% | --- | --- |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2022. Information below was calculated on Jan. 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 223 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 143 Republicans, 79 Democrats, and one independent candidate. That’s 5.9 candidates per district, less than the 6.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 5.9 in 2018.
Texas gained two U.S. House districts following the 2020 census. Two members of the U.S. House filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one represented before redistricting: Lloyd Doggett (D) filed in the new 37th District, while Vicente Gonzalez (D) filed in the 34th District seat held by retiring Rep. Filemon Vela (D).
Six districts were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to Gonzalez’s and Doggett’s districts, these included the newly-created 38th District and the 1st, 8th, and 30th districts. 1st District incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) filed to run for state attorney general, while incumbents Kevin Brady (R) and Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) did not file for re-election.
This was the same number as 2012, the previous post-redistricting cycle, and 2020. There were seven open seats in 2018.
There were 13 incumbents who filed to run in districts without any primary challengers.
Three districts were likely to be won by Republicans because no Democrats filed. There were no districts where the same is true of Democratic candidates.
Fifteen candidates each filed to run in the 15th and 30th Districts, more than any other. Six Democrats and nine Republicans filed in the 15th. Nine Democrats and six Republicans filed in the 30th. Both districts were open.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Texas' 34th the 137th most Democratic district nationally.[18]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Texas' 34th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |||
| 57.3% | 41.8% | |||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020
Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Texas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Texas | ||
|---|---|---|
| Texas | United States | |
| Population | 25,145,561 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 261,266 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 74% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 39.3% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 83.7% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $61,874 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 14.7% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 12 | 12 |
| Republican | 2 | 24 | 26 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 36 | 38 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Texas, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Texas State Legislature as of November 2022.
Texas State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 13 | |
| Republican Party | 18 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 31 | |
Texas House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 65 | |
| Republican Party | 83 | |
| Vacancies | 2 | |
| Total | 150 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Texas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Texas Party Control: 1992-2022
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)
- District Attorney election in Nashville, Tennessee (May 3, 2022, Democratic primary)
- Indiana's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary)
- Nevada gubernatorial election, 2022
- United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
See also
- Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary)
- Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House elections in Texas, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Texas, 2022 (March 1 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2022
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2022
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2022
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2022
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Rio Grande Guardian, "Vela endorses Gonzalez as his successor in CD 34," October 27, 2021
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
- ↑ The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Texas," November 6, 2012
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
