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Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary)
- Primary date: March 1
- Mail-in registration deadline: Jan. 31
- Online reg. deadline: N/A
- In-person reg. deadline: Jan. 31
- Early voting starts: Feb. 14
- Early voting ends: Feb. 25
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: March 1
Wesley Hunt defeated Mark Ramsey and eight other candidates in the Republican primary for Texas' 38th Congressional District on March 1, 2022. Texas’ 38th was a newly created district following redistricting.
Three independent race forecasters projected the general election in this district as Solid Republican. The Houston Chronicle's Jeremy Wallace wrote: “More than 766,000 Harris County residents west of downtown are getting a completely new member of Congress. [District 38] will include most of the Energy Corridor, along with Cypress and Tomball. It will also bring in neighborhoods around Memorial Park.”[1]
As of February 2022, Hunt and Ramsey led the field in fundraising, media coverage, and endorsements.[2][3][4][5] Hunt was a U.S. Army Veteran and he had worked in construction with Perry Homes and as a mortgage loan originator with OneTrust Home Loans.[6] Hunt received endorsements from Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas).[3] In his campaign announcement, Hunt said: “In Congress, I will support the America First Agenda, and work to protect our southern border, to get our economy prospering again, and to defend our rights and values from the constant attacks of the left.”[7]
Ramsey was a former executive committeeman with the Texas Republican Party and had worked as an engineer in the oil and gas drilling industry.[8] Ramsey received endorsements from Texas Commissioner of Agriculture Sid Miller (R) and Texas Freedom Caucus chairman state Rep. Mayes Middleton (R).[4] On his campaign website, Ramsey said: “I am a Christian and champion of conservative social and economic values, all viewed through a Constitutional lens. I trust you also know that I keep my word, value integrity, and promote full transparency!”[9]
The Texas Tribune’s Patrick Svitek wrote: “Neither of the races for the state’s two new seats may end up being all that competitive, but they carry worthwhile implications for each party and candidate. [...] To the extent either [Hunt or Texas’ 37 candidate Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D)] is facing competition in their primaries, it is not necessarily over issues but the assets that are fueling their heavy-favorite statuses.”[2]
Hunt won Texas’ 7th Congressional District primary in 2020, defeating Cindy Siegel (R) 61% to 27%. Hunt lost the general election to incumbent Rep. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher (D) 51% to 48%. According to data from Daily Kos, 29.8% of the 38th District’s population was previously in the 7th District.[10] This is the first time Ramsey has run for Congress, though he previously represented parts of the 38th District while serving on the Texas Republican Executive Committee.[2]
Philip Covarrubias, Alex Cross, Jerry Ford Sr., Brett Guillory, David Hogan, Roland Lopez, Damien Mockus, and Richard Welch also ran in the primary election.
Philip Covarrubias (R), Jerry Ford Sr. (R), Brett Guillory (R), David Hogan (R), Roland Lopez (R), and Damien Mockus (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.
This district was one of seven new U.S. House districts created as a result of apportionment after the 2020 census. Click here to read more.
This page focuses on Texas' 38th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 38
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 38 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Wesley Hunt | 55.3 | 35,291 |
 | Mark Ramsey | 30.3 | 19,352 | |
 | David Hogan  | 4.9 | 3,125 | |
 | Roland Lopez | 3.2 | 2,048 | |
 | Brett Guillory | 2.2 | 1,416 | |
 | Jerry Ford Sr. | 1.6 | 997 | |
 | Richard Welch | 1.0 | 633 | |
| Alex Cross | 0.7 | 460 | ||
 | Damien Mockus | 0.4 | 249 | |
 | Philip Covarrubias | 0.4 | 228 | |
| Total votes: 63,799 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[11]
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Phil is a Marine, an oil & gas worker, a former business owner, father and husband. Phil threw his hat into the ring in 2014 to run in 2016 for Colorado State House District 56. In the 2016 primary, he faced a well-known local county commissioner. Phil was able to achieve name recognition to win the primary through grassroots efforts and his passionate public speeches. He went on to win the general election and served as the Colorado State Representative for House District 56 from 2016 to 2018. As a State Representative, Mr. Covarrubias gained a reputation as a commonsense conservative who understands the issues working people face because he is one of them. He was known by his fellow legislators, legislative staff, and even the lobbyists, as a “true citizen legislator” because of his working-class roots and his drive to find solutions to his constituent’s everyday problems. While Phil was well-liked by his colleagues across the aisle, he also stood strong against pressure from activist smear campaigns while continuing to be a passionate voice against government overreach and regulation. With his mother and sister living in Texas for the past four decades, Phil has had the opportunity to travel the state and has learned its rich history. Phil moved his family from Colorado to Texas in 2020 to flee the tyranny of government overreach during the Covid-19 pandemic."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I'm Jerry Ford and I'm running for Congress because I care about our country. And a free Democracy requires active participation from its citizen in our electoral process. Biden and Democrats will fundamentally transform our country into a socialist government, and we must stop it."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Brett is a proud son of Louisiana and alum of Southwood High School in Shreveport. He has been grateful and blessed to call Texas home for fourteen years. Since 2007, Brett has been serving Texas families and building up strong, young adults as a high school and private baseball coach and hitting instructor, as well as, a middle school and high school teacher, specializing in Woodshop and Welding. He has a Bachelors of Education (B.Ed.) in Physical Education and Teaching from the University of Arkansas at Monticello and a Masters of Education (M.Ed.) in Educational/Instructional Technology from Northwestern State University along with Educational Leadership coursework form Lamar University. He played outfield for the Boll Weevils at University of Arkansas at Monticello and coached for the Demons at Northwestern State University. He has led multiple high school teams to regional and division championships. If you ask Brett about himself, one of the first things he will tell you is that he is a “baseball guy.” Years on the field - both as a player and as a coach - have instilled in Brett values of hard work, leadership, teamwork, a competitor’s spirit, and a resilience to never give up. As a mentor to young students, these are all qualities that he imparts to those that look up to him. Whether on the field, in the batting cage, or in shop class, Brett has strived to teach younger generations, the importance of personal responsibility, to achieve goals and to give back."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "David is running so that he can be a voice FOR THE PEOPLE. No longer will your voice be silenced by ineffective leadership. David will stand against this evil, and is not afraid to confront those willing to compromise freedom in the name of safety. We are at war with a new kind of enemy from within, and Liberty and Freedom are at stake. David is an Ordained Minister and has dedicated his life to helping and serving others. He and his wife Amy have 2 daughters, Macy and Aubrey. He currently serves as the Executive Pastor at Spring First Church in Spring, Texas. Most recently is leading a group of over 2500 United Airlines employees to stand up against religious ad medical discrimination related to Vaccine Mandates. Their class action law suit filed in the northern district of Ft. Worth is currently being heard by the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals as they seek to save employees from indefinite unpaid leave."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Hunt received a bachelor’s degree from the United States Military Academy at West Point and received master’s degrees in business, public administration, and human resources management from Cornell University. He was a U.S. Army Veteran and his professional experience included working in construction and as a mortgage loan originator.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Roland Lopez is a proud pro-family, pro-small business, pro-2nd Amendment, America First, Constitutional conservative, and Patriot. Our freedoms are sacred and common sense should drive one’s decisions, not a law. Born and raised in Texas – 3rd generation on one side and 4th generation on the other – Roland has deep roots in the Great State of Texas. The son of two migrant workers from the Rio Grande Valley, he knows well what it means to work your way up and fight to earn everything you achieve in life. Obstacles are not an excuse for failure or to accept mediocrity but a way to challenge one in order to overcome. “Where there is a will there is a way.”"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a small business owner Gym Cypress. I’m running for office on behalf of the working class people. Especially trade workers, those effected by government shut downs and small business owners. I’m a hard worker and have been since a young teenager. I’ve taken each job ever had with serious work ethic and staying devoted during each jobs tender. I’m looking forward to gaining your confidence and your Vote in District 38 during the 2022 election."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Ramsey received a bachelor’s degree in engineering from Texas Tech University. He was a former executive committeeman with the Texas Republican Party and his professional experience included working as an engineer in the oil and gas drilling industry.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 38 in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
I am the only candidate in the race with legislative experience and that has a proven records of standing up to Democrats, RINOs, and lobbyists.
Having politicians with principles and integrity is a must in today’s political landscape. I will tell you the truth, even when it is unpleasant news.
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
I have been on the front line for 30 years during natural disasters, such as hurricanes, floods, and fires. For over 25 years, I've owned several businesses in Houston and surrounding cities, creating countless jobs for hard-working Texans.
I know how lousy legislation and bad policies can affect job creators and ruin our economy. Small business is the backbone of America, and I have the experience needed in Washington to get our small businesses back on track.
Brett Guillory (R)
Education
Media Bias/Big Tech Censorship
David Hogan (R)
A man’s word should be his bond. David is committed to living a life that is honest before God and man. In a world where misinformation is everywhere, we should speak and celebrate the truth in every form. This is David’s promise.
David has given his life as a sell-out seed to God. Proverbs 26:23 says “My son, Give me your heart”. This is the principle on which David lives. He has given his heart to his God first, his family second, and to the people whom he serves. There is no question of where his loyalty lies.
Roland Lopez (R)
Return to Energy Independence
Voter integrity
Damien Mockus (R)
Against those in Government seeking additional power! against federal taxes, levy’s, liens on the working class and any Texans
Stronger Border protecting and better Covid and high risk disease education and treatment programs/government protocols
• on American energy independence, • taxpayer money follows student/school Choice, and • strengthening individual Constitutional rights and freedoms.
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Economic Defense Commerce Civil Liberties Interior Environment
David Hogan (R)
God is the creator of life and it begins at conception. In the United States over 40 million unborn babies have been killed in the 40 years since abortion was legalized and more than 1.2 million are killed each year. Every child has a right to life, and we must end abortion immediately.
PRO-GUN Taxes are out of control and are crushing the middle class. David proposes we cut taxes for everyone — rich and poor. He wants to shrink the Federal government and expand the private sector. Our Founders never intended for the tax code to be used as a weapon against US citizens. Burdensome tax regulations hurt small businesses and slow down our economy.
LOWER TAXES Taxes are out of control and are crushing the middle class. I propose we cut taxes for everyone — rich and poor. I want to shrink the Federal government and expand the private sector. Our Founders never intended for the tax code to be used as a weapon against US citizens. Burdensome tax regulations hurt small businesses and slow down our economy.
HEALTH FREEDOM Vaccine mandates are evil! David will fight to pass legislation that protects the privacy of every American as it relates to vaccine status and penalizes any public or private business that does not grant Religious and Medical exemptions in accordance with the ADA and Title VII. Indefinite or temporary unpaid leave is unreasonable as an accommodation and discrimination in this regard should never be tolerated.
Roland Lopez (R)
Economy/Jobs Child/Human Trafficking
Veterans
Damien Mockus (R)
Education overall especially newer at home or distant learning issues that have arises during 2020 and ongoing.
Health & Wellness, prevention medicine and better reform for disease outbreak, control, preventions and protocol. This is one the federal level and with Texas Medical Schools and Hospitals. Especially working with Sam Houston's State New Medical School in Conroe.
Lookin into Police, Fire, EMS Military and 1st responders training and education, with the options of expanding training within our district (Texas 38th) for these who work in these fields.
Most importantly passing a bill/law that is effective in finding jobs and support systems for those effected by the federal or local government.
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Ben Franklin-childhood hero; due over all life time achievements he had, I've hoped to follow!
George Washington-childhood hero. I wanted to be a Marine as a boy because of Washington and other war heroes .
Mark Kline-my sensei. My late father taught me Karate as a child, Mark helped me perfect it and find meaning within my Martial Art.
Damien Mockus (R)
The US Constitution as Well as the Bill of Rights
for record its written "WE THE PEOPLE" not we the strong and powerful Government. Many in Washington either ignore this and it is the fundamental fact and reason our finding Fathers did what did to escapee the tyrants of England and unfair laws, Taxes that were and unfortunately still are enforced by our Federal Government.
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
I love seeing good, hard working people succeed and get the recognition they deserve. Many times in our society the wrong things are promoted, the wrong people are promoted. It conditions us to lookout for just ourselves. We should be looking out for one another. (In the Media).
We need leaders that will stand up and fight the bully when they are picking on someone, protect the ones that need protecting. Then teach victims how to protect themselves.
Damien Mockus (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
David Hogan (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Paperboy 10yrs old , few months Was a garner helper 11-13 yes few summers Phone rep for Veterans 15 yes few months Kmart 16-18 yrs Pinkerton Security 18-20yrs UPS 20 yrs
Independent Trainer since 1995
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
David Hogan (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Gun Rights Government and Democrat's that seek to strengthen government that must be stopped Medical and Medicine access, and policies that harm American People for right to choice medical insurance and care. Coal, Natural vs Renewed Energy bills and or laws that cost jobs that are effecting Texans and Texas. Police Fire EMS Military Training and education, reform on education during disaster, disease outbake, or civil unrest.
Space flight and rights for spacecraft and stations development and the building as well as implementation of these huge vessels into outer space.
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Damien Mockus (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
David Hogan (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Jerry Ford Sr. (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
David Hogan (R)
Brett Guillory (R)
Endorsements
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[12]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[13][14][15]
| Race ratings: Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[16] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[17] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Covarrubias | Republican Party | $3,125 | $3,125 | $0 | As of December 31, 2021 |
| Alex Cross | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Jerry Ford Sr. | Republican Party | $115,591 | $115,591 | $0 | As of September 30, 2022 |
| Brett Guillory | Republican Party | $25,909 | $25,909 | $0 | As of September 30, 2022 |
| David Hogan | Republican Party | $22,051 | $20,059 | $1,993 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Wesley Hunt | Republican Party | $5,831,957 | $4,281,065 | $1,774,834 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Roland Lopez | Republican Party | $29,787 | $29,411 | $376 | As of March 31, 2022 |
| Damien Mockus | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Mark Ramsey | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Richard Welch | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[18][19][20]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 2% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | $3,125.00 | 12/13/2021 | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | N/A | 6/23/2022 | Source |
Redistricting following the 2020 census
Texas renewed its state legislative district boundaries in June 2023 for use in 2024 and until the 2030 census. These districts were the same as those enacted by the state in October 2021. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) signed HB 1000 — establishing state House district boundaries — on June 12, 2023, and he allowed SB 375 — establishing state Senate district boundaries — to become law without his signature on June 18, 2023.[21][22]
The Texas Tribune's James Barragan wrote in January 2023 that Senate Legislative Redistricting Committee Chairwoman Joan Huffman (R) said the state was re-doing the redistricting process "to ensure that Legislature had met its constitutional requirement to apportion districts in the first regular session after the publishing of the results of the federal census, which is done every 10 years. Because of the pandemic, census numbers were not released until after the end of the last regularly scheduled legislative session on May 31, 2021. Redistricted maps were passed in a subsequent special session that year."[23] Texas had originally enacted new state legislative districts on October 25, 2021.
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Texas District 38
before 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Texas District 38
after 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[24] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[25]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Texas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
|
Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |
| Texas' 1st | 26.5% | 72.4% | 27.2% | 71.6% |
| Texas' 2nd | 37.9% | 60.7% | 48.6% | 49.9% |
| Texas' 3rd | 42.0% | 56.4% | 48.7% | 49.8% |
| Texas' 4th | 36.4% | 62.4% | 24.4% | 74.4% |
| Texas' 5th | 38.2% | 60.6% | 37.9% | 60.9% |
| Texas' 6th | 37.4% | 61.3% | 47.8% | 50.8% |
| Texas' 7th | 64.2% | 34.5% | 53.6% | 45.1% |
| Texas' 8th | 35.8% | 63.0% | 28.1% | 70.6% |
| Texas' 9th | 76.2% | 22.8% | 75.7% | 23.3% |
| Texas' 10th | 39.8% | 58.6% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| Texas' 11th | 29.1% | 69.5% | 19.7% | 79.1% |
| Texas' 12th | 40.1% | 58.3% | 37.9% | 60.5% |
| Texas' 13th | 26.5% | 72.0% | 19.4% | 79.2% |
| Texas' 14th | 35.0% | 63.6% | 39.6% | 59.0% |
| Texas' 15th | 48.1% | 51.0% | TX-15: 50.4% TX-34: 51.5% |
TX-15: 48.5% TX-34: 47.5% |
| Texas' 16th | 67.0% | 31.5% | 66.4% | 32.0% |
| Texas' 17th | 38.0% | 60.5% | 43.6% | 54.6% |
| Texas' 18th | 73.6% | 25.1% | 75.7% | 23.0% |
| Texas' 19th | 26.2% | 72.4% | 26.3% | 72.2% |
| Texas' 20th | 65.8% | 32.7% | 63.7% | 34.7% |
| Texas' 21st | 39.4% | 59.1% | 47.9% | 50.6% |
| Texas' 22nd | 41.3% | 57.4% | 48.9% | 49.8% |
| Texas' 23rd | 45.8% | 52.9% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| Texas' 24th | 43.0% | 55.4% | 51.9% | 46.5% |
| Texas' 25th | 33.8% | 64.9% | 44.4% | 54.0% |
| Texas' 26th | 40.0% | 58.6% | 42.1% | 56.3% |
| Texas' 27th | 38.1% | 60.6% | 37.5% | 61.2% |
| Texas' 28th | 52.9% | 45.9% | 51.6% | 47.2% |
| Texas' 29th | 67.8% | 31.0% | 65.9% | 32.9% |
| Texas' 30th | 77.8% | 21.0% | 79.8% | 18.9% |
| Texas' 31st | 39.0% | 59.2% | 47.6% | 50.4% |
| Texas' 32nd | 65.7% | 32.7% | 54.4% | 44.0% |
| Texas' 33rd | 74.2% | 24.4% | 73.0% | 25.6% |
| Texas' 34th | 57.3% | 41.8% | TX-15: 50.4% TX-34: 51.5% |
TX-15: 48.5% TX-34: 47.5% |
| Texas' 35th | 71.7% | 26.5% | --- | --- |
| Texas' 36th | 33.6% | 65.2% | 26.9% | 71.9% |
| Texas' 37th | 75.5% | 22.7% | 67.7% | 30.5% |
| Texas' 38th | 40.2% | 58.4% | --- | --- |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2022. Information below was calculated on Jan. 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 223 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 143 Republicans, 79 Democrats, and one independent candidate. That’s 5.9 candidates per district, less than the 6.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 5.9 in 2018.
Texas gained two U.S. House districts following the 2020 census. Two members of the U.S. House filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one represented before redistricting: Lloyd Doggett (D) filed in the new 37th District, while Vicente Gonzalez (D) filed in the 34th District seat held by retiring Rep. Filemon Vela (D).
Six districts were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to Gonzalez’s and Doggett’s districts, these included the newly-created 38th District and the 1st, 8th, and 30th districts. 1st District incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) filed to run for state attorney general, while incumbents Kevin Brady (R) and Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) did not file for re-election.
This was the same number as 2012, the previous post-redistricting cycle, and 2020. There were seven open seats in 2018.
There were 13 incumbents who filed to run in districts without any primary challengers.
Three districts were likely to be won by Republicans because no Democrats filed. There were no districts where the same is true of Democratic candidates.
Fifteen candidates each filed to run in the 15th and 30th Districts, more than any other. Six Democrats and nine Republicans filed in the 15th. Nine Democrats and six Republicans filed in the 30th. Both districts were open.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+12. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 12 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 38th the 119th most Republican district nationally.[26]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Texas' 38th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |||
| 40.2% | 58.4% | |||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020
Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Texas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Texas | ||
|---|---|---|
| Texas | United States | |
| Population | 25,145,561 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 261,266 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 74% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 39.3% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 83.7% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $61,874 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 14.7% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 12 | 12 |
| Republican | 2 | 24 | 26 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 36 | 38 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Texas, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Greg Abbott
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Dan Patrick
|
| Secretary of State | John Scott
|
| Attorney General | Ken Paxton
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Texas State Legislature as of November 2022.
Texas State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 13 | |
| Republican Party | 18 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 31 | |
Texas House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 65 | |
| Republican Party | 83 | |
| Vacancies | 2 | |
| Total | 150 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Texas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Texas Party Control: 1992-2022
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Idaho Secretary of State election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
- Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary)
- Kansas Treasurer election, 2022
- United States Senate election in Georgia, 2022
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022
See also
- Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House elections in Texas, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Texas, 2022 (March 1 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2022
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2022
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2022
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2022
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Houston Chronicle, "What Texas congressional redistricting means for Houston voters," October 19, 2021
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 The Texas Tribune, "Frontrunners for Texas’ new congressional seats look to send message with decisive primary wins," January 26, 2022
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Wesley Hunt's campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed February 7, 2022
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Mark Ramsey's campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed February 7, 2022
- ↑ FEC, "Texas - House District 38," accessed February 7, 2022
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Wesley Hunt," accessed February 7, 2021
- ↑ Wesley Hunt's campaign website, "Veteran Wesley Hunt Announces 2022 Run for Congress," accessed February 7, 2022
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Mark S. Ramsey, P.E.," accessed February 7, 2022
- ↑ Mark Ramsey's campaign website, "Meet Mark Ramsey," accessed February 7, 2022
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Our new data shows exactly how new House districts are made up of old ones for every state," accessed February 7, 2022
- ↑ In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Texas Legislature Online, "Bill: HB 1000," accessed June 21, 2023
- ↑ Texas Legislature Online, "Bill: SB 375," accessed June 21, 2023
- ↑ The Texas Tribune, "Texas Senate votes to take up redistricting again," January 11, 2023
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
