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Texas' 5th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 22 - Nov. 2
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 7
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
State Rep. Lance Gooden defeated political consultant Bunni Pounds in the runoff for Jeb Hensarling's (R) congressional seat.
Gooden and Pounds were the top two finishers in the March 6 primary. Gooden received 30 percent of the vote to Pounds' 22 percent. Since no candidate received more than 50 percent of the vote, a runoff election was held on May 22, 2018. For more information about the primary runoff election, click here.
Hensarling announced in October 2017 that he would not be seeking a ninth term after first being elected in 2002, leaving the seat open to a newcomer.
In the days before the primary, Pounds, a Republican activist and Hensarling's former campaign manager, led the field in high-profile endorsements and fundraising. She received the support of Hensarling, House Freedom Caucus Chairman Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), Congresswoman Mia Love (R-Utah), and organizations like Texas Right to Life and Maggie's List. She raised about $330,000, the most of any candidate, and had about $72,000 in cash on hand entering the final weeks of the campaign.
The only candidate who could match her endorsements was former Ted Cruz staffer Jason Wright, who was backed by Cruz and State Rep. Matt Schaefer (R), the chairman of the Texas Freedom Caucus. Despite his endorsements, Wright finished fourth in fundraising, bringing in $126,000 and having about $77,000 in cash on hand.
Sheets and Gooden were veterans of the Texas state House who both outraised Jason Wright. Sheets, who was backed by U.S. Rep. Pete Sessions (R-Texas), finished second in fundraising with nearly $185,000 in contributions and led the field in cash on hand in the weeks before the primary with about $85,000. He also received the support of the veteran-focused super PAC With Honor. Gooden, whose campaign was backed by local officials in the district, raised about $160,000 and had about $45,000 in cash on hand. They were both targeted by the Club for Growth--which has previously allied with Hensarling and Cruz-- in a February 2018 ad that drew attention to votes they had cast on tax legislation while serving in the state House.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here. This seat was rated Safe Republican by three outlets as of January 22, 2018.[1]
Texas voter? Dates you need to know. | |
---|---|
Primary election | March 6, 2018 |
Candidate filing deadline | December 11, 2017 |
Registration deadline | February 5, 2018 |
Absentee application deadline | February 23, 2018 |
General election | November 6, 2018 |
Voting information | |
Primary type | Open |
Early voting deadline | March 2, 2018 |
Polling locations: Go to this page to find early voting locations and your assigned precinct for election day. |
For more on related elections, please see:
- Texas' 5th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 5th Congressional District election, 2018
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2018
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2018
- Democratic Party primaries in Texas, 2018
- Republican Party primaries in Texas, 2018
Candidates and election results
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 5 on March 6, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 5
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lance Gooden | 30.0 | 17,551 |
✔ | Bunni Pounds | 21.9 | 12,851 | |
![]() | Sam Deen | 17.2 | 10,051 | |
![]() | Kenneth Sheets | 12.0 | 7,024 | |
![]() | Jason Wright | 11.4 | 6,690 | |
Danny Campbell | 3.0 | 1,770 | ||
![]() | David Williams | 2.7 | 1,601 | |
![]() | Charles Lingerfelt | 1.7 | 1,022 |
Total votes: 58,560 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Election updates
Campaign finance
- February 22, 2018: The deadline for candidates to report campaign finance figures for the first 45 days of 2018 was February 22. Bunni Pounds reported raising almost $116,000, spending over $240,000, and having about $72,000 in cash on hand. Kenneth Sheets raised over $76,000, spent about $74,000, and had about $85,000 in cash on hand. Lance Gooden raised over $47,000, spent over $85,000, and had about $45,000 in cash on hand. Jason Wright raised almost $30,000, spent about $47,000, and had about $77,000 in cash on hand.
- January 31, 2018: The campaign finance deadline for the fourth quarter of 2017 passed. Bunni Pounds led the field in cash on hand with nearly $200,000. Wright had about $94,000 while Gooden had about $86,000 and Sheets had around $82,000.
Satellite spending
- March 1, 2018: The super PAC Our Conservative Texas Future released a campaign ad claiming that Bunni Pounds is a political insider who recently moved to the 5th Congressional District and opposed Donald Trump during the 2016 presidential campaign. Our Conservative Texas Future was formed to support Lance Gooden according to Patrick Svitek of the Texas Tribune.[2]
On the campaign trail
- February 22, 2018: Bunni Pounds described a private meeting she had with Vice President Mike Pence (R) in an email to supporters.[3]
- February 3, 2018: Ted Cruz campaigned for Jason Wright in Dallas and Forney.[4]
- January 25, 2018: The Texas Tribune reported on the campaigning plans of Ted Cruz and Jeb Hensarling. Cruz was set to appear at a Tea Party rally on January 27 and a meet-and-greet on January 29 to promote Jason Wright. Hensarling appeared at a fundraiser for Bunni Pounds on January 24 and was set to appear at another on February 8.[5]
Endorsements
- March 5, 2018: U.S. Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), the chairman of the House Freedom Caucus, endorsed Bunni Pounds.[6]
Top candidates
The candidates included below have either been mentioned as leading candidates by local media or received support from elected officials in the state. They are listed in alphabetical order.
Lance Gooden (R)
The Texas state representative from District 4, Gooden was first elected in 2010 and served until 2014, when he was defeated in the Republican primary by Stuart Spitzer. In 2016, he ran again and defeated then-incumbent Spitzer in the Republican primary. State House District 4 intersects with the 5th Congressional District and, according to Gooden's website, "Nearly 40% of GOP Voters in CD5 are [his] Current Constituents." Aside from his service in the state House, his professional experience includes working as an insurance and risk-management consultant.
Gooden was endorsed in the race by local officials in the district, including 12 mayors, two sheriffs, and a district attorney. In the press release announcing his run, Gooden said, "We need a new Congressman of East Texas, by East Texas and for East Texas who understands the traditional values that we share, and who knows that our churches and our schools and our shops on Main Street are the lifeblood of our communities. Our way of life is sacred, and it is worth fighting to protect and defend for our children and our children’s children."[7]
Bunni Pounds (R)
A Republican activist, Pounds was previously involved in Jeb Hensarling's political network. Her professional experience includes founding and operating a Republican consulting and fundraising firm called Bunni Pounds & Associates and working as Hensarling's campaign manager. Hensarling endorsed Pounds to replace him in the U.S. House. She also received endorsements from House Freedom Caucus Chairman Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), Texas Right to Life, Congresswoman Mia Love (R-Utah), and former Texas Senator Phil Gramm (R).[8]
According to her website, "Bunni is running a grassroots campaign focused on faith, freedom, and fiscal responsibility. She has a decades-long record of service to the conservative movement which started with her position as a Garland precinct chair. By background she is a small business owner and conservative Republican known as a woman of integrity strongly anchored in her Christian faith, deeply devoted to her family, and firmly committed to the founding principles of our nation."[9]
Kenneth Sheets (R)
A former Texas state representative, Sheets was first elected in 2010 to represent District 107. He was re-elected by close margins in 2012 and 2014 before being defeated by Democrat Victoria Neave Criado in 2016. Sheets previously served in the U.S. Marine Corps and received his law degree from Southern Methodist University.
On his campaign website, he mentioned his military service as well as his positions on border security, firearms policy, government regulations, and tax policy.[10] U.S. Rep. Pete Sessions (R-Texas) endorsed Sheets in the race.[11] He also received the support of the With Honor PAC, which aimed to elect veterans to Congress.
Jason Wright (R)
A former staffer for U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Wright's professional experience includes working in business and serving on the Tyler City Council. He was a founding member and board member of Grassroots America-We the People. He attended Stephen F. Austin State University and received an M.B.A. from Southern Methodist University.[12]
On his website, Wright said, "I’m running for Congress because I want to be able to look my children and grandchildren in the eyes and honestly say I used every bit of my God-given talent and ability to do all I could to protect and preserve their liberty. I will do everything I can to keep the the destiny of America in their hands and not in the hands of those in Washington D.C."[13]
Wright's candidacy was endorsed by Sen. Ted Cruz in December 2017. In January 2018, Wright was endorsed by Republican activist Kaye T. Goolsby, who worked on Cruz's 2016 presidential campaign. Goolsby was announced as a grassroots co-chair of his campaign.[14]
List of all Republican candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Danny Campbell
- Sam Deen
- Lance Gooden ✔
- Charles Lingerfelt
- Bunni Pounds ✔
- Kenneth Sheets
- David Williams
- Jason Wright
Republican Party factional conflict
Disputes between potential members of the House Freedom Caucus and other members of the Republican Party occurred in U.S. House primaries in 2018.
In 2015, conservative Republicans formed the Freedom Caucus and began opposing House Republican leaders on fiscal policy, chamber procedures, and caucus leadership, among other things.[15] Members of the Freedom Caucus broke away from the Republican Study Committee, which, along with the Republican Main Street Partnership, was more closely aligned with House Republican leaders.[16]
In this primary, Bunni Pounds affiliated with the Freedom Caucus.[17][18]
The chart below shows a scorecard for how the Freedom Caucus performed in competitive Republican primaries that featured at least one Freedom Caucus candidate and one Republican opponent not affiliated with the group.
U.S. House Republican factions | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Faction | Primary victories in 2018 | Seats held prior to primaries | Performance | |||||||||
Affiliated with the House Freedom Caucus | 8 | 6 | +2 | |||||||||
Not affiliated with the House Freedom Caucus[19] | 10 | 12 | -2 |
Political analysis
In the aftermath of the March 6 primary, political observers focused on whether Lance Gooden or Bunni Pounds would win the runoff election:
- The Daily Kos: "[After the primary,] Pounds immediately picked up an endorsement from the anti-tax Club for Growth, which hadn't supported anyone in the primary but had run ads against Gooden and Sheets. However, it's possible that geography will give Gooden a lift in May. While this seat is often described as a suburban Dallas district, Dallas County only made up 21 percent of the GOP primary vote on Tuesday, with the rest coming from rural East Texas. Gooden represents a rural seat, while Pounds is from the Dallas area. Gooden notably took a majority of the vote in both the counties that make up his state House district, even though he actually narrowly lost renomination in 2014 and only barely won the primary in 2016."[20]
Endorsements
Republican candidate endorsements | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endorsement | Date | Gooden | Pounds | Sheets | Wright |
Federal officials | |||||
U.S. Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.)[21] | March 5, 2018 | ✔ | |||
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas)[22] | December 13, 2017 | ✔ | |||
U.S. Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas)[8] | November 29, 2017 | ✔ | |||
U.S. Rep. Pete Sessions (R-Texas)[11] | November 29, 2017 | ✔ | |||
U.S. Rep. Mia Love (R-Utah)[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Former federal officials | |||||
Sen. Phil Gramm (R-Texas)[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Congressman Allen West (R-Fla.)[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
State officials | |||||
Texas Railroad Commissioner Wayne Christian (R)[23] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
State Rep. and Texas Freedom Caucus Chairman Matt Schaefer (R)[23] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
State Rep. Matt Rinaldi (R)[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Former state officials | |||||
State Rep. Scott Turner (R)[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Local officials[24] | |||||
Athens Mayor Monte Montgomery[7] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Chandler Mayor Libby Fulgham[7] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Coffee City Mayor Pam Drost[7] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Crandall Mayor Mike Parker[7] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Kaufman County Sheriff Bryan Beavers[7] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Henderson County Sheriff Botie Hillhouse[7] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Kaufman County District Attorney Erleigh Wiley[7] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Organizations | |||||
Club for Growth[2] | March 7, 2018 | ✔ | |||
The With Honor Fund[25] | January 25, 2018 | ✔ | |||
Texas Right to Life[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Maggie's List[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Susan B. Anthony List[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Texas Home School Coalition Association[8] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Texas Values[26] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Party activists | |||||
Kaye T. Goolsby[14] | January 22, 2018 | ✔ | |||
JoAnn Fleming, executive director of Grassroots America-We The People[23] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Ray Myers, Kaufman County Tea Party chairman[23] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
Dwayne Collins, Edom County Tea Party founder[23] | Unknown | ✔ | |||
News organizations | |||||
Dallas Morning News[27] | February 8, 2018 | ✔ |
Satellite spending
As of March 8, 2018, four satellite groups had weighed in on this race.
- Our Conservative Texas Future: This super PAC released a campaign ad claiming that Bunni Pounds is a political insider who recently moved to the 5th Congressional District and opposed Donald Trump during the 2016 presidential campaign. Our Conservative Texas Future was formed to support Lance Gooden according to Patrick Svitek of the Texas Tribune.[2]
- With Honor: On February 22, the super PAC With Honor, which founded to support veterans for Congress, launched a five-figure digital ad buy in favor of Kenneth Sheets.[28]
- Club for Growth: On February 8, the Club for Growth came out with a campaign ad called "Bad Bet" that criticized Gooden and Sheets for their positions on tax legislation while serving in the Texas Legislature. The ad highlighted bills that the Club for Growth said would have made it easier for municipalities to raise property taxes (Gooden) and tax internet purchases (Gooden and Sheets). The Texas Tribune noted that the organization was close to both Jeb Hensarling and Ted Cruz, who backed Pounds and Wright, respectively.[29] The group spent $251,000 on the ad buy.[30]
- Jobs, Freedom, and Security PAC: On February 5, Ted Cruz's Jobs, Freedom, and Security PAC revealed over $67,000 in spending on Wright's candidacy.[31]
Campaign finance
This table contains data from FEC February 2018 reports. It shows candidates' total contributions, total spending, and cash on hand, as well as their contributions and disbursements in the first 45 days of 2018 (Jan. 1 through Feb. 14).[32]
Timeline
Below are listed the most noteworthy events in this election. As more events occur, Ballotpedia will update this section.
Campaign tactics and strategies
Campaign advertisements
Our Conservative Texas Future
The super PAC Our Texas Texas Future, formed in support of Lance Gooden, released this campaign ad in opposition to Bunni Pounds on March 1, 2018.
With Honor
The super PAC With Honor, which was founded to support veterans running for Congress, released the following ad in favor of Kenneth Sheets on February 22, 2018.
|
Club for Growth
The Club for Growth released the following ad that opposed Lance Gooden and Kenneth Sheets on February 8, 2018.
|
Relationships
U.S. Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas)
After endorsing her candidacy, U.S. Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas) campaigned for Bunni Pounds and appeared at fundraisers for her. Pounds previously served as Hensarling's campaign manager. [25]
In his statement endorsing her, Hensarling said, “For over a decade, Bunni Pounds has served as one of my most able and trusted confidantes in serving the people of the 5th Congressional District so I know her well. She is committed to the conservative cause like few others I have ever met and her integrity is unmatched. I trust her not only with my liberty but the liberty of our great nation as well. I am excited she has chosen to run for the Congressional seat I hold and I proudly endorse her candidacy.”[33]
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas)
After endorsing his candidacy, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) campaigned for Jason Wright, attending Tea Party events and fundraisers with him. Wright previously worked as a staffer and regional director for Cruz.[4][25]
In his statement endorsing Wright, Cruz said, I’m proud to endorse Jason Wright for Congress. Jason is a friend–and a strong, principled conservative–who, since I was first elected, has served on my team as a tremendously effective regional director in both Dallas and East Texas. We desperately need principled reinforcements in Congress, and I know that Texans can trust Jason to keep his word and fight tirelessly to defend our conservative values. His business experience, common sense, and passionate love of liberty will make him a terrific Member of Congress. I urge Texans to send Jason to Washington to help us defend the Lone Star State.”[34]
Vice President Mike Pence (R)
In an email to supporters on February 21, Bunni Pounds described a meeting she had with Vice President Mike Pence (R). She said she had known Pence since he was a congressman from Indiana and that they had discussed "the future of our country and the momentum of my campaign."[3]
Online presence
Tweets by Lance Gooden Tweets by Bunni Pounds Tweets by Kenneth Sheets Tweets by Jason Wright
Campaign themes and policy stances
These are the policy positions listed on the candidates' websites, if available.
Lance Gooden
“ |
Border Security and immigration Healthcare 2nd Amendment Pro-life Our Veterans Education The best thing the federal government can do to make public education a top priority is get out of the way and stop trying to use one-size-fits-all policies to educate our children. Taxes and Spending In 2017, Lance Gooden and Governor Abbott worked together to ensure our state continued to budget responsibly, and despite a substantial revenue shortfall, produced another balanced budget that keeps state spending increases under population growth plus inflation, while staying well below all constitutional spending limits. In Congress, Rep. Gooden will work to reduce the size of the IRS, create a more streamlined and simplified tax code, and free small business owners across the nation from excessive government interference. National Debt The national debt in our country is out of control. At present, our federal government spends approximately $7 million a minute, and we face a debt of nearly $19 trillion. This is one of the defining issues of our time. [35] |
” |
—Lance Gooden’s campaign website (2018)[36] |
Bunni Pounds
“ |
MY CORE CONVICTIONS From our simple foundations, we, the people of the United States, have spearheaded freedom in the form of inspiration all over the world. “We the People” have a responsibly to “keep” our republic free and it is the responsibility of every citizen to participate in the process. It is the honor of my life to do my part to maintain liberty and freedom for my future grandchildren.
NATIONAL DEFENSE As the daughter of a military veteran, I understand the importance of our military and our national heroes, our veterans. These men and women – and their families – deserve our highest level of admiration and support. We have enemies around the world that would love America to be weaker and less effective, but thankfully we have a strong Commander in Chief who is defending America to the world. I will work in Congress to strengthen our military power to keep our country safe. Our young men and women who serve in the military must be properly equipped for success. We must properly fund a missile defense system as well as pay more attention to cyber security and protecting our nation’s critical infrastructure systems like our water supplies and the electrical grid. Finally, it is imperative to have strong border security to ensure we keep out terrorists who wish to harm America.
ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION We are a nation of immigrants, but our current system not only undermines the rule of law in our country, it presents a national security threat. To protect American citizens, I support President Trump’s call for increased manpower, surveillance, and a structural border wall. We must crack down on sanctuary cities and states that undermine our nation’s immigration laws. I oppose amnesty and putting a stop to chain migration. We must strengthen enforcement in the U.S. with programs like E-Verify. I believe in legal immigration and want high quality immigrants who can enter the country the proper, legal way, and who can contribute to our society in a positive way. The United States should not have an open policy that brings in low-skill and in many cases dangerous people who place a large strain on our country’s resources. When our nation functions as a lawless society – it hinders us as a nation and a people.
LOWER TAXES I applaud President Trump and Republicans in Congress for passing tax reform which will lower the federal tax burden on individuals and small businesses while spurring economic growth. Ultimately, I would like to see reform in the form of the flat tax or the Fair tax. At a minimum, I believe we need to continue this process by making the individual tax cuts permanent and totally eliminating the death tax.
HEALTH CARE
JOBS AND THE ECONOMY
FEDERAL DEFICITS & OUR NATIONAL DEBT
EDUCATION
PRO-ISRAEL Israel serves as the number one ally of the United States in the Middle East. From sharing vital intelligence and technology, to sharing the high values of freedom and democracy, the U.S.-Israel partnership is a mutually beneficial relationship that works to strengthen both countries. Iran’s quest for nuclear weapons is the number one threat to Israel’s security, and serves as a major national security threat to the United States and its allies. In addition to its nuclear ambition, Iran continues to be the number one state sponsor of terror and an aggressor in the region. U.S. policy going forward should work to correct the flaws of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, namely its sunset clause, which lifts all nuclear restrictions on Iran by 2031. On college campuses across the United States, as well as on the international stage, the liberal boycott, divestment, and sanctions movement continue to grow, seeking to delegitimize and isolate Israel. These efforts are, at their foundation, disingenuous and based on faulty information. I fully support efforts in Congress that seek to combat BDS both domestically and abroad. I fully support President Trump’s decision to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and to begin preparation for moving the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem in concordance with the bipartisan Jerusalem Embassy Act of 1995.
I have seen the hardship other Christians face around the world, and I believe strongly that America needs to stand up against religious persecution around the world. At home, I believe that Americans have the right to live and work according to their religious beliefs, and conscience protections should be upheld.
|
” |
—Bunni Pounds' campaign website (2018)[37] |
Kenneth Sheets
“ |
As a State Legislator I fought to secure the border. The Federal Government has failed, but here in Texas we know how vital it is to stop criminals from entering our country. As a proud gun owner and NRA A+ rated legislator, you can count on me to ALWAYS fight for your right to keep and bear arms. I will stand up to liberals and prevent them from attacking our 2nd Amendment rights. As a limited government Conservative I will fight to roll back the burdensome and unnecessary regulations from the Obama Administration. I believe we must fight for lower taxes. The federal government wastes our hard earned money and you deserve to keep more of your money. [35] |
” |
—Kenneth Sheet’s campaign website (2018)[38] |
Jason Wright
“ |
The Sanctity of Life “I am unapologetically pro-life from conception to natural death. The practice of abortion is abhorrent and I will fight to end it. Until we achieve that victory, not a penny of your tax dollars should be spent funding abortion providers such as Planned Parenthood.” Taxes “I pledge to work to cut taxes and simplify the tax code at every opportunity I get. Our nation is at its best when you can keep more of what you earn to care for yourself and your family and give less to the oversized bureaucracy in Washington, DC. ” Government Spending “Our nation must move to a zero-based budgeting system. Responsible Americans set and live by budgets every day and our government should do the same. Every penny spent by government should be itemized so that together, we can decide which costs are justified and which are not.” National Defense “The primary purpose and goal of our military must always be to keep Americans safe. A strong America is also a blessing to our allies and to those around the world who find hope in our example. While our military secures our defense abroad we must strengthen our defense at home, especially along our borders, the power grid, and other key components of infrastructure.” Immigration “Legal immigration can be a benefit to all of us, but for the sake of our nation’s safety, everyone we accept into our country must be vetted thoroughly. Illegal immigration shows a disrespect for the rule of law in the United States and we should show zero tolerance for those who enter our nation illegally. Sanctuary cities encourage law breaking and I will fight to prevent them from disregarding our current law.” The Second Amendment “Our Founding Fathers were clear about the right to keep and bear arms. I will actively work against government infringement on our most sacred right to self defense. “ Healthcare “Over time, government has crept further and further into our healthcare system, driving up prices, and limiting availability to healthcare. Obamacare is the last straw and must be repealed immediately. A free market system, including the ability to buy and sell health insurance across state lines, is our best path towards better, cheaper, and more accessible healthcare.” Lower Regulations “Your creativity and hard work and your ability to earn a living from those things should not be limited by government regulation. High regulations are especially harmful to small businesses, which are the foundation of our economy. ” [35] |
” |
—Jason Wright’s campaign website (2018)[39] |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Texas' 5th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Early voting in Texas primaries, 2018
Click here to learn about historic early voting turnout for both parties in Texas in 2014 and 2018.
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jeb Hensarling (R) defeated Ken Ashby (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hensarling also faced no challenger in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016.[40][41]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
80.6% | 155,469 | |
Libertarian | Ken Ashby | 19.4% | 37,406 | |
Total Votes | 192,875 | |||
Source: Texas Secretary of State |
2014
The 5th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Jeb Hensarling (R) defeated Ken Ashby (L) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
85.4% | 88,998 | |
Libertarian | Ken Ashby | 14.6% | 15,264 | |
Total Votes | 104,262 | |||
Source: Texas Secretary of State |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 5th Congressional District the 72nd most Republican nationally.[42]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.91. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.91 points toward that party.[43]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Texas heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Texas.
- Republicans held 25 of 36 U.S. House seats in Texas, and Democrats held 11.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Republicans held six of 11 state executive positions and five positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Texas was Republican Greg Abbott.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Texas State Legislature. They had a 93-55 majority in the state House and a 21-10 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Texas was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party held the governorship, a majority in the state Senate, and a majority in the state House.
2018 elections
- See also: Texas elections, 2018
Texas held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- The Class 1 U.S. Senate seat held by Ted Cruz (R)
- All 36 U.S. House seats
- Governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 15 of 31 state Senate seats
- All 150 state House seats
- Local judicial offices
- Local school boards
- Municipal elections in Arlington, Austin, Bexar County, Collin County, Corpus Christi, Dallas County, Denton County, El Paso County, Fort Bend County, Garland, Harris County, Irving, Laredo, Lubbock, Lubbock County, Nueces County, Tarrant County, Travis County, Webb County, and Williamson County
Demographics
Demographic data for Texas | ||
---|---|---|
Texas | U.S. | |
Total population: | 27,429,639 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 261,232 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 74.9% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 11.9% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 4.2% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.5% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.5% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 38.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 81.9% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 27.6% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $53,207 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 19.9% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Texas. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Texas had a population of approximately 27,862,596 people, and its three largest cities were Houston (pop. est. 2.3 million), San Antonio (pop. est. 1.5 million), and Dallas (pop. est. 1.3 million).[44][45]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Texas from 2000 to 2016.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Texas every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Texas 2000-2016[46][47] | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
52.23% | ![]() |
43.24% | 8.99% |
2012 | ![]() |
57.17% | ![]() |
41.38% | 15.79% |
2008 | ![]() |
55.45% | ![]() |
43.68% | 11.77% |
2004 | ![]() |
61.09% | ![]() |
38.22% | 22.87% |
2000 | ![]() |
59.30% | ![]() |
37.98% | 21.32% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Texas from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Texas 2000-2016[48] | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014[49] | ![]() |
61.56% | ![]() |
34.36% | 27.20% |
2012[50] | ![]() |
56.46% | ![]() |
40.62% | 15.84% |
2008[51] | ![]() |
54.82% | ![]() |
42.84% | 11.98% |
2006[52] | ![]() |
61.69% | ![]() |
36.04% | 25.65% |
2002[53] | ![]() |
55.30% | ![]() |
43.33% | 11.97% |
2000[54] | ![]() |
65.04% | ![]() |
32.35% | 32.69% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2014
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2014. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Texas.
Election results (Governor), Texas 2000-2016[55] | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
59.27% | ![]() |
38.90% | 20.37% |
2010 | ![]() |
54.97% | ![]() |
42.30% | 12.67% |
2006 | ![]() |
39.03% | ![]() |
29.79% | 9.24% |
2002 | ![]() |
57.81% | ![]() |
39.96% | 17.85% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Texas in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Texas Party Control: 1992-2025
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Texas, 2018
- United States House elections in Texas (March 6, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Texas' 5th Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
External links
Lance Gooden
Bunni Pounds
Kenneth Sheets
Jason Wright
Footnotes
- ↑ Ratings are based on projections found in Governing, Larry Sabato, The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and The Cook Political Report. These ratings are updated periodically throughout the election season.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 Twitter, "Patrick Svitek on March 7, 2018," March 7, 2018
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Texas Tribune, "The Blast," February 21, 2018
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Texas Tribune, "The Blast," February 1, 2018
- ↑ Texas Tribune, "The Blast," January 25, 2018
- ↑ Texas Tribune, "The Blast," March 5, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.7 Lance Gooden for Congress, "Announcement: Republican Lance Gooden Running for Congress," December 25, 2017
- ↑ 8.00 8.01 8.02 8.03 8.04 8.05 8.06 8.07 8.08 8.09 8.10 Bunni Pounds for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed January 22, 2018
- ↑ Bunni Pounds for Congress, "About," accessed January 25, 2018
- ↑ Kenneth Sheets for Congress, Home," accessed January 25, 2018
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Dallas News, "Jeb Hensarling backs former campaign manager Bunni Pounds to replace him in Congress," November 29, 2017
- ↑ Jason Wright for Congress, "Meet Jason," accessed January 23, 2018
- ↑ Jason Wright for Congress, "Home," accessed January 23, 2018
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Texas Tribune, "The Blast," January 22, 2018
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "What is the House Freedom Caucus, and who’s in it?" October 20, 2015
- ↑ Politico, "Conservatives split off from Republican Study Committee," January 13, 2015
- ↑ House Freedom Fund, "Endorsements," accessed May 15, 2018
- ↑ Some candidates were not formally endorsed by the caucus but said they would join if elected. See a list of all Freedom Caucus-affiliated candidates here.
- ↑ This includes all seats not held by members of the Freedom Caucus prior to the 2018 elections, including those held by Democrats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 3/8," March 8, 2018
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ 23.0 23.1 23.2 23.3 23.4 Jason Wright for Congress, "Endorsments," accessed January 23, 2018
- ↑ This is a selected list of local endorsements for Lance Gooden. To see a full list, click here.
- ↑ 25.0 25.1 25.2 Texas Tribune, "The Blast," January 25, 2018
- ↑ Texas Tribune, "The Blast," January 25, 2018
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- ↑ Texas Tribune, "The Blast," February 8, 2018
- ↑ Texas Tribune, "The Blast," February 12, 2018
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- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission", accessed February 13, 2018
- ↑ Bunni Pounds for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed February 9, 2018
- ↑ Jason Wright for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed February 9, 2018
- ↑ 35.0 35.1 35.2 35.3 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Lance Gooden’s campaign website, “Home,” accessed January 22, 2018
- ↑ Bunni Pounds for Congress, “Issues,” accessed January 22, 2018
- ↑ Kenneth Sheet for Congress, “Home,” accessed January 22, 2018
- ↑ Jason Wright’s campaign website, “Issues,” accessed January 23, 2018
- ↑ Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
- ↑ The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts Texas," accessed December 12, 2017
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts Houston; San Antonio; Dallas," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2012 Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results," January 30, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Federal Elections 2014: Election Results for the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2014 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2012 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2008 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2006 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2002 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2000 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
- ↑ Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, "Texas Election Results," accessed December 13, 2017
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