Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2026
All U.S. House districts, including the 15th Congressional District of Texas, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is March 3, 2026, and a primary runoff is May 26, 2026. The filing deadline was December 8, 2025. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
The primary will occur on March 3, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
Ada Cuellar and Bobby Pulido are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Ada Cuellar | ||
Bobby Pulido ![]() | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
Incumbent Monica De La Cruz is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Monica De La Cruz | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ponciano Garcia (R)
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Texas
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica De La Cruz | Republican Party | $3,269,992 | $1,871,440 | $2,012,521 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Ada Cuellar | Democratic Party | $619,812 | $302,006 | $317,806 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Bobby Pulido | Democratic Party | $722,257 | $434,170 | $288,087 | As of December 31, 2025 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| 2/17/2026 | 2/10/2026 | 2/3/2026 | 1/27/2026 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | $3,125 | 12/8/2025 | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | N/A | 12/8/2025 | Source |
Republican-held U.S. House district that Harris won
This is one of nine U.S. House districts Republicans are defending that Kamala Harris (D) won in 2024. The map below highlights those districts. Hover over or click a district to see information such as the incumbent and the presidential vote counts.
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 15
Incumbent Monica De La Cruz (R) defeated Michelle Vallejo (D) in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 15 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Monica De La Cruz (R) | 57.1 | 127,804 |
| | Michelle Vallejo (D) | 42.9 | 95,965 | |
| Total votes: 223,769 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Arthur DiBianca (L)
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
Michelle Vallejo (D) defeated John Villarreal Rigney (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michelle Vallejo | 74.7 | 21,456 |
| | John Villarreal Rigney | 25.3 | 7,268 | |
| Total votes: 28,724 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
Incumbent Monica De La Cruz (R) defeated Vangela Churchill (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Monica De La Cruz | 88.2 | 30,972 |
| | Vangela Churchill | 11.8 | 4,140 | |
| Total votes: 35,112 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian Party convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15
Arthur DiBianca (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party convention for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 23, 2024.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Arthur DiBianca |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 15
Monica De La Cruz (R) defeated Michelle Vallejo (D) and Ross Lynn Leone (L) in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 15 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Monica De La Cruz (R) | 53.3 | 80,978 |
| | Michelle Vallejo (D) ![]() | 44.8 | 68,097 | |
| | Ross Lynn Leone (L) | 1.9 | 2,814 | |
| Total votes: 151,889 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary runoff
Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15
Michelle Vallejo (D) defeated Ruben Ramirez (D) in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15 on May 24, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michelle Vallejo ![]() | 50.1 | 6,079 |
| | Ruben Ramirez | 49.9 | 6,049 | |
| Total votes: 12,128 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ruben Ramirez | 28.3 | 9,221 |
| ✔ | | Michelle Vallejo ![]() | 20.1 | 6,570 |
| | John Villarreal Rigney ![]() | 19.2 | 6,268 | |
| | Eliza Alvarado | 16.5 | 5,398 | |
| | Vanessa Tijerina | 10.6 | 3,470 | |
| | Julio Garza ![]() | 5.2 | 1,693 | |
| Total votes: 32,620 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Roberto Haddad (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Monica De La Cruz | 56.5 | 16,835 |
| | Mauro Garza | 15.3 | 4,544 | |
| | Sara Canady ![]() | 9.2 | 2,741 | |
| | Ryan Krause | 9.2 | 2,728 | |
| Steve Schmuker Jr. | 3.6 | 1,064 | ||
| John Lerma | 2.2 | 658 | ||
| Jose Aizar Cavazos | 1.7 | 504 | ||
| Angela Juarez | 1.4 | 416 | ||
| | Vangela Churchill ![]() | 1.0 | 298 | |
| Total votes: 29,788 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian Party convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15
Ross Lynn Leone (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party convention for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 19, 2022.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Ross Lynn Leone |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 15
Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D) defeated Monica De La Cruz (R) and Ross Lynn Leone (L) in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 15 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D) | 50.5 | 115,605 |
| | Monica De La Cruz (R) ![]() | 47.6 | 109,017 | |
| | Ross Lynn Leone (L) | 1.9 | 4,295 | |
| Total votes: 228,917 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Carlos Fabara (G)
Republican primary runoff
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15
Monica De La Cruz (R) defeated Ryan Krause (R) in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15 on July 14, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Monica De La Cruz ![]() | 76.0 | 7,423 |
| | Ryan Krause ![]() | 24.0 | 2,350 | |
| Total votes: 9,773 (100% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Vicente Gonzalez Jr. | 100.0 | 43,689 |
| Total votes: 43,689 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15
Monica De La Cruz (R) and Ryan Krause (R) advanced to a runoff. They defeated Tim Westley (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Monica De La Cruz ![]() | 43.0 | 11,330 |
| ✔ | | Ryan Krause ![]() | 39.7 | 10,441 |
| | Tim Westley | 17.3 | 4,550 | |
| Total votes: 26,321 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Carl Spandau (R)
Libertarian Party convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15
Ross Lynn Leone (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party convention for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 21, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Ross Lynn Leone |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2026 election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map used in the 2024 election next to the map in place for the 2026 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.
2024

2026

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2026. Information below was calculated on Dec. 8, 2025, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Two hundred fifty-two candidates — 98 Democrats and 154 Republicans — ran for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts. That’s 6.6 candidates per district. There were 4.2 candidates per district in 2024, 5.8 in 2022, 6.4 in 2020, 5.9 in 2018, 3.5 in 2016, and 2.8 in 2014.
These were the first elections to take place since the Texas Legislature passed a new congressional map. The Texas House of Representatives passed it on Aug. 20, 2025, and the Texas Senate passed it on Aug. 23, 2025. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) signed the new congressional map into law on Aug. 29, 2025.
This was the highest total number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House since 2014.
Ten districts were open in 2026. There were three districts open in 2024, six in 2022, six in 2020, eight in 2018, two in 2016, and one in 2014.
Reps. Morgan Luttrell (R-8th), Michael McCaul (R-10th), Jodey Arrington (R-19th), Troy Nehls (R-22nd), Marc Veasey (D-33rd), and Lloyd Doggett (D-37th) retired from public office. Reps. Jasmine Crockett (D-30th) and Wesley Hunt (R-38th) ran for the U.S. Senate. Rep. Chip Roy (R-21st) ran for attorney general of Texas.
Two incumbents — Reps. Christian Menefee (D) and Al Green (D) — ran against each other in the redrawn 18th district. Menefee was the incumbent in the 18th district, and Green was the incumbent in the 9th district.
Fifty-nine primaries — 32 Democratic and 28 Republican — were contested in 2026. In total, there were 39 contested primaries in 2024, 44 in 2022, 50 in 2020, 46 in 2018, 33 in 2016, and 19 in 2014.
Fifteen candidates ran for the open 9th district, 21st district, and 35th district, tying for the most candidates running for a district in 2026.
Nineteen incumbents — eight Democrats and 11 Republicans — faced primary challengers in 2026. There were 19 incumbents in a contested primary in 2024, 19 in 2022, 18 in 2020, 15 in 2018, 19 in 2016, and 12 in 2014.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 38 districts, meaning no districts were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 15th the 166th most Republican district nationally.[5]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.
| Kamala Harris | Donald Trump |
|---|---|
| 51.4% | 46.8% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2024
Texas presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
- See also: Party control of Texas state government
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of February 2026.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 13 | 13 |
| Republican | 2 | 25 | 27 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 38 | 40 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of October 2025.
| Office | Officeholder |
|---|---|
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General |
State legislature
Texas State Senate
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 11 | |
| Republican Party | 18 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 2 | |
| Total | 31 | |
Texas House of Representatives
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 62 | |
| Republican Party | 88 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 150 | |
Trifecta control
Texas Party Control: 1992-2025
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
