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United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024
← 2022
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U.S. Senate, Missouri |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 26, 2024 |
Primary: August 6, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Missouri |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Missouri elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
Voters in Missouri elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the general election on November 5, 2024. The primary was August 6, 2024. The filing deadline was March 26, 2024.
The election filled the Class I Senate seat held by Josh Hawley (R), who first took office in 2019.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in the 119th Congress. Thirty-four of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election. Of the seats up for election in 2024, Democrats held 19, Republicans held 11, and independents held four.
At the time of the election, Democrats had a 50-49 majority.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans gained a 53-47 majority in the U.S. Senate.Cite error: Closing </ref>
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tag To read more about the 2024 U.S. Senate elections, click here.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Missouri
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Missouri on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Josh Hawley (R) | 55.6 | 1,651,907 |
![]() | Lucas Kunce (D) | 41.8 | 1,243,728 | |
W. C. Young (L) | 1.2 | 35,671 | ||
![]() | Jared Young (Better Party) ![]() | 0.7 | 21,111 | |
Nathan Kline (G) ![]() | 0.7 | 20,123 | ||
![]() | Gina Bufe (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 19 |
Total votes: 2,972,559 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Zack Exley (Independent)
- Doris Canaday (Socialist Equality Party)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
Lucas Kunce defeated Karla May, December Harmon, and Mita Biswas in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lucas Kunce | 67.6 | 255,775 |
![]() | Karla May | 23.2 | 87,908 | |
![]() | December Harmon ![]() | 7.1 | 26,804 | |
![]() | Mita Biswas | 2.0 | 7,647 |
Total votes: 378,134 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Wesley Bell (D)
- Samuel Rutherford (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
Incumbent Josh Hawley advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Josh Hawley | 100.0 | 607,602 |
Total votes: 607,602 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
W. C. Young advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | W. C. Young | 100.0 | 2,437 |
Total votes: 2,437 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Green Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am running as the Green Party candidate to be the next Senator from Missouri. I am a lifelong resident of Kansas City, MO and a long-time homeowner in the Plaza-Westport neighborhood. A graduate of Kansas City Art Institute, I am a dedicated public servant and creative problem solver who has a strong and varied background in both the public and private sector, management and administration. With twenty-five years of hospitality management experience, I brought my skill set to the public sector in 2013 to work for the City Planning and Development Department of the City of Kansas City, MO where I am currently honored to help serve my city and its citizens. I have been a supporter of the Green Party since the 1996 Ralph Nader campaign for president after finally coming to the realization that the two corporate parties are irredeemably corrupt. Having run as a Green Party candidate previously for Jackson County, MO Executive in 2018 and for MO Senate District 7 in 2020, I currently serve as Outreach Officer for the Green Party of Kansas City, MO. As an avid student of history, political science, economics, philosophy and the arts, I continually seek to bridge the gap between theory and practice to achieve a sustainable, just and peaceful society. I believe that the Green Party, is the only political party in the US that is not wholly captured by corporations & billionaires that has the ballot status necessary to achieve these goals."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2024.
Party: Better Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Jared Young has courageously stepped forward to lead a transformation of our national government away from politics-as-usual to a better form of representation – people first, parties and self-interest never. Jared is running as an independent U.S. Senate candidate so he will be able to make decisions free of partisan influence; in other words—do what is right simply because it is right. He is a Harvard-educated lawyer, a proven CEO, and a family-first father and husband who has worked with Missourians up close and personal, both in business and community service. Jared will represent normal, everyday Missourians, rather than those loudly yelling at the extremes of the political spectrum."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Missouri
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Nathan Kline (G)
Sustainability: We must stop burning fossil fuels. Renewable energy is gaining a market foothold, but they will never replace the energy produced by fossil fuels. As renewable energy has grown, so has the burning of fossil fuels due to our insatiable growth-based economy. We must transition to a degrowth economy in which we use much less energy so as to live in balance with the natural world. It is a myth that Democrats are better than Republicans on this most important issue. Both Biden and Obama issued more new drilling permits per year than Trump. We must replace both of these fossil fuel funded parties with good ancestors who will put the welfare of future generations ahead of the short-term profits of billionaire sociopaths.
Foreign Policy: Democrats & Republicans have one answer to every foreign policy challenge. Whatever makes their weapons manufacturing donors the most money. They divide any conflict into good guys & evil doers (it’s never that simple), give LOTS of high tech weapons to the “good guys” who wreak havoc until we get sick of it. We then act like it never happened. Usually the “evil doers” take control of their destroyed country, after we’ve wasted billions of dollars, leaving us not enough to invest in our real priorities. We have 800+ foreign military bases. No other country has five. Empires rot from the inside as they spend their energy on unnecessary war while the homeland withers. The Green Party is the only party of peace & negotiation.

Jared Young (Better)
The inability of the two major parties to work together constructively has led to political gridlock, leaving urgent issues unaddressed, wasting precious taxpayer money, and leaving people frustrated with lack of productive progress by our political leaders.
Change by well-intentioned politicians from inside the two major parties has mostly failed. As an independent, Jared will be able to focus on leading efforts to find moderate solutions to key issues such as immigration, economic progress, public safety, and election reform.
Nathan Kline (G)
Health Care: We pay twice the cost per person than any county for health care but often have worse outcomes. Education: Many countries guarantee higher education. We import 140,000 professionals per year from abroad due to failing to invest in education. Housing: We have largely stopped providing affordable housing. Speculators are allowed to set housing prices & availability, pricing out working families.
Democrats & Republicans maintain the failed status quo as their wealthy donors profit from it. The Green Party will redistribute wealth & make health care, higher education & housing human rights for all.
Jared Young (Better)
Election Reform: Partisan fearmongering has caused most people to lose faith in our electoral system. We must adopt policies that ensure the integrity of our elections while also allowing every eligible voter to easily cast a ballot. We must also reign in the partisan gerrymandering that worsens our country’s polarization. Public Safety: We must stop villainizing our brave police forces and instead provide them with the resources and training they need to do their jobs better. To address growing threats from abroad, we must shore up our military strength and refocus the military on its core values, while at the same time holding the Defense Department and their defense contractors accountable for wasteful spending.
Immigration: Business leaders throughout Missouri and across the country are clamoring for more skilled and able-bodied workers to meet their companies’ needs. The problem will only get worse as more and more baby boomers retire. We need immigration policy that secures our borders while also making it easier for more hard-working immigrants to come to our country legally.Nathan Kline (G)
We now find ourselves in a very similar conundrum. Neither the Democratic Party nor the Republican party have done, or are prepared to do, what must be done to confront the great moral challenge of our day, That moral challenge is the Climate Crisis. Climate scientists have been warning us for at least 40 years that our growth based, fossil fuel powered human economy was unsustainable and that if we did not profoundly change our way of life to come back into balance with the natural world, that there would be no more future for our descendants in the very near future.
Due to the Democrats and Republicans taking billions of dollars in campaign donations (read: bribes) from the fossil fuel industry neither has done anything significant to transition from fossil fuels despite the existential threat this inaction poses to all future generations. Just as Lincoln and his allies found that only a new political party could break out of immoral inaction in his day, we in the Green Party have the courage to do what is necessary in ours.Nathan Kline (G)
My father had served as a medical corpsman in theater earlier in the war. He was a conscientious objector that daily witnessed the horrors of the war in the mutilated bodies of US soldiers. He had, like thousands of Vietnam War veterans once returned stateside, joined the antiwar movement. He was thoughtful and careful in the lessons that he taught me and my siblings about war, but always honest and forthright. I learned that war is always a mistake and that pouring more firepower on a bad situation very rarely or never makes it better.
It is a lesson that that our country has been slow to realize despite unfortunately having many later opportunities to learn it. At a time when our country has over 800 foreign military bases, as no other country has 5; it is way passed time that we try a different way to resolve conflicts other than to bomb them unrelentingly.Nathan Kline (G)
Nathan Kline (G)
Nathan Kline (G)
Nathan Kline (G)
To respond to this crisis almost every nation of the world agreed to reduce their carbon emissions to meet agreed upon goals in the Paris Climate Accord of 2015. This is a non-binding agreement with no enforcement mechanism, that no country is currently meeting their commitments to. The US in fact has rapidly continued to increase it's emissions every year except during the Covid-19 induced recession.
US emission reductions caused by the pandemic shutdowns were around 5%. These reductions were considerably below our 2020 Paris climate accord goal of 7.5% in reductions per year. The Accord then commits the US to the same 7.5% reductions each year for the rest of the 2020s. Thousands of PhD's in dozens of fields studying the climate agree that that these reductions are necessary for human civilization to have a chance to survive. Our challenge therefore is that we must voluntarily far exceed the reduction in economic activity that we saw during the pandemic worldwide for each year or face eminent catastrophe.
Our current growth-based capitalist economy is completely inappropriate to address these challenges and indeed has ignored the warnings of scientists for over 40 years. It is time for bold, visionary leadership that can imagine our path toward a peaceful, just, and sustainable future. Only the eco-socialist program of the Green Party is up to task. We can no longer ignore this reality. This is the most important decade in human history. Everything that we hold dear is a stake.Nathan Kline (G)
Nathan Kline (G)
As a Green Party Senator, I would be a wildcard that would change the dynamic of any committee I served on very positively. Currently the two groups of corporate party representatives fight like dogs in public, but engage in almost identical immoral behavior behind the scenes. They both spend most of their time meeting with lobbyists, calling donors, and turning in bills written by their donors' legislation factories. They have colluded to make all of this immoral behavior legal and they do not call each other out on these and other behaviors that misserve the communities they should be serving. Their actual constituents are their wealthy campaign contributors.
Having a Green Party Senator in the room will make the process more uncomfortable for these politicians, as the dirty method of making legislation will be highlighted in an ongoing way, and a better, democratic alternative continually offered. At first the power of embarrassment should make the whole process work better for the public. Eventually, as the public gets behind the Clean Green Party option and more Green Party legislators are elected, these immoral behaviors will be made illegal again, taking money out of politics so that it works for communities and voters.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Hawley | Republican Party | $27,468,286 | $27,645,539 | $298,263 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Mita Biswas | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
December Harmon | Democratic Party | $18,463 | $16,759 | $1,703 | As of August 19, 2024 |
Lucas Kunce | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Karla May | Democratic Party | $62,033 | $61,772 | $261 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Jared Young | Better Party | $1,004,183 | $1,004,183 | $0 | As of November 25, 2024 |
Nathan Kline | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
W. C. Young | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Gina Bufe | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[2]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[3][4][5]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Missouri, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Missouri in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Missouri | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $500.00 | 3/26/2024 | Source |
Missouri | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 10,000 | N/A | 7/29/2024 | Source |
Election history
The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2016.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Missouri
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Missouri on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Eric Schmitt (R) | 55.4 | 1,146,966 | |
![]() | Trudy Busch Valentine (D) | 42.2 | 872,694 | |
Jonathan Dine (L) | 1.7 | 34,821 | ||
Paul Venable (Constitution Party) | 0.7 | 14,608 | ||
Nathan Mooney (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 14 | ||
Steve Price (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 9 | ||
![]() | Rik Combs (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 6 | |
![]() | Gina Bufe (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 5 | |
![]() | Theodis Brown Sr. (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 4 | |
David Kirk (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 3 | ||
Martin Lindstedt (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 |
Total votes: 2,069,130 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Nicholas Strauss (Independent)
- Ronald Deets (Independent)
- John Wood (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Trudy Busch Valentine | 43.2 | 158,957 |
![]() | Lucas Kunce ![]() | 38.3 | 141,203 | |
![]() | Spencer Toder ![]() | 4.7 | 17,465 | |
![]() | Carla Wright ![]() | 3.9 | 14,438 | |
![]() | Gena Ross ![]() | 2.4 | 8,749 | |
![]() | Jewel Kelly, Jr. ![]() | 1.8 | 6,464 | |
![]() | Lewis Rolen ![]() | 1.4 | 5,247 | |
![]() | Pat Kelly ![]() | 1.4 | 5,002 | |
![]() | Ronald William Harris ![]() | 1.1 | 4,074 | |
![]() | Joshua Shipp ![]() | 0.9 | 3,334 | |
![]() | Clarence Taylor ![]() | 0.9 | 3,322 |
Total votes: 368,255 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Timothy Shepard (D)
- Scott Sifton (D)
- Ronald Deets (D)
- MD Rabbi Alam (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Eric Schmitt | 45.6 | 299,282 | |
Vicky Hartzler | 22.1 | 144,903 | ||
![]() | Eric Greitens | 18.9 | 124,155 | |
![]() | Billy Long | 5.0 | 32,603 | |
![]() | Mark McCloskey | 3.0 | 19,540 | |
![]() | Dave Schatz | 1.1 | 7,509 | |
Patrick Lewis | 0.9 | 6,085 | ||
![]() | Curtis D. Vaughn ![]() | 0.5 | 3,451 | |
Eric McElroy | 0.4 | 2,805 | ||
Robert Allen | 0.3 | 2,111 | ||
![]() | C.W. Gardner ![]() | 0.3 | 2,044 | |
Dave Sims | 0.3 | 1,949 | ||
![]() | Bernie Mowinski | 0.2 | 1,602 | |
Deshon Porter | 0.2 | 1,574 | ||
![]() | Darrell Leon McClanahan III | 0.2 | 1,139 | |
Rickey Joiner | 0.2 | 1,084 | ||
Robert Olson | 0.2 | 1,081 | ||
Dennis Lee Chilton | 0.1 | 755 | ||
![]() | Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr | 0.1 | 685 | |
Kevin Schepers | 0.1 | 681 | ||
Hartford Tunnell | 0.1 | 637 |
Total votes: 655,675 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Brinkmann (R)
- Dan McQueen (R)
- Ronald Deets (R)
- Rik Combs (R)
Constitution primary election
Constitution primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
Paul Venable advanced from the Constitution primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Paul Venable | 100.0 | 792 |
Total votes: 792 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
Jonathan Dine advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jonathan Dine | 100.0 | 2,973 |
Total votes: 2,973 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Missouri
Josh Hawley defeated incumbent Claire McCaskill, Craig O'Dear, Japheth Campbell, and Jo Crain in the general election for U.S. Senate Missouri on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Josh Hawley (R) | 51.4 | 1,254,927 |
![]() | Claire McCaskill (D) | 45.6 | 1,112,935 | |
Craig O'Dear (Independent) | 1.4 | 34,398 | ||
![]() | Japheth Campbell (L) ![]() | 1.1 | 27,316 | |
![]() | Jo Crain (G) | 0.5 | 12,706 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 7 |
Total votes: 2,442,289 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Ballotpedia rated the race for Missouri's U.S. Senate seat as a battleground, in part, because of the Democratic Party's effort to turn a state that leaned Republican into Democratic territory. However, incumbent Roy Blunt (R) won re-election, defeating Jason Kander (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Blunt also defeated Jonathan Dine (L), Fred Ryman (Constitution Party), Johnathan McFarland (G), and write-in candidates Gina Bufe and Patrick Lee.
Kander's strategy was to run as a political outsider and try to paint Blunt as a Washington insider. According to The Kansas City Star, “Kander labels Blunt the 'consummate Washington insider' and insists Blunt has lost touch with voters who sent him to the Capitol. Kander further contends that Blunt is far too cozy with lobbyists and is in fact married to one while three of his children are lobbyists.” In response, Blunt tried to tie Kander to "Hillary Clinton and President Barack Obama, both of whom are unpopular in the state.”[6]
Satellite groups also sought to influence the race by spending $44,961,510. In the last weeks of the race, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee planned to spend $3.5 million to support Kander's bid to unseat Blunt. Republicans also spent money on the race to protect Blunt's seat and their majority in the Senate. The Senate Leadership Fund invested $2.5 million in Missouri in September.[7][8][9]
In his concession speech, Kander encouraged his supporters, especially his young supporters, to stay involved in politics despite the results. He said, "They need to know that I'm not OK with them stepping away, that this country is a place you've got to stay invested in. This generation is not going anywhere."[10]
In his victory speech, Blunt said, "What a great moment for our state." Blunt, who distanced himself from Trump during the campaign, was optimistic about Republican control of the presidency and Congress. He said, "A Republican president and a Republican Senate and a Republican House can do things to change this country and focus again on opportunity."[10]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
49.2% | 1,378,458 | |
Democratic | Jason Kander | 46.4% | 1,300,200 | |
Libertarian | Jonathan Dine | 2.4% | 67,738 | |
Green | Johnathan McFarland | 1.1% | 30,743 | |
Constitution | Fred Ryman | 0.9% | 25,407 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 95 | |
Total Votes | 2,802,641 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
69.9% | 223,492 | ||
Cori Bush | 13.3% | 42,453 | ||
Chief Wana Dubie | 9.5% | 30,432 | ||
Robert Mack | 7.3% | 23,509 | ||
Total Votes | 319,886 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
72.6% | 481,444 | ||
Kristi Nichols | 20.2% | 134,025 | ||
Ryan Luethy | 4.4% | 29,328 | ||
Bernie Mowinski | 2.8% | 18,789 | ||
Total Votes | 663,586 | |||
Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Missouri, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Missouri's 1st | Cori Bush | ![]() |
D+27 |
Missouri's 2nd | Ann Wagner | ![]() |
R+7 |
Missouri's 3rd | Blaine Luetkemeyer | ![]() |
R+16 |
Missouri's 4th | Mark Alford | ![]() |
R+23 |
Missouri's 5th | Emanuel Cleaver | ![]() |
D+11 |
Missouri's 6th | Sam Graves | ![]() |
R+21 |
Missouri's 7th | Eric Burlison | ![]() |
R+24 |
Missouri's 8th | Jason Smith | ![]() |
R+28 |
2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Missouri[11] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | ||
Missouri's 1st | 78.4% | 20.0% | ||
Missouri's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.0% | ||
Missouri's 3rd | 35.9% | 62.2% | ||
Missouri's 4th | 29.3% | 68.7% | ||
Missouri's 5th | 62.2% | 35.9% | ||
Missouri's 6th | 30.6% | 67.7% | ||
Missouri's 7th | 28.4% | 69.8% | ||
Missouri's 8th | 23.6% | 75.0% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 64.2% of Missourians lived in one of the state's 111 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 35.8% lived in one of four Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Missouri was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Missouri following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.[12]
Missouri county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solid Republican | 111 | 64.2% | |||||
Solid Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 111 | 64.2% |
Historical voting trends
Missouri presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 17 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Missouri.
U.S. Senate election results in Missouri | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2022 | 55.4%![]() |
42.2%![]() |
2018 | 51.4%![]() |
45.6%![]() |
2016 | 49.3%![]() |
46.2%![]() |
2012 | 54.8%![]() |
39.0%![]() |
2010 | 54.3%![]() |
40.6%![]() |
Average | 51.9 | 43.7 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Missouri
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Missouri.
Gubernatorial election results in Missouri | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2020 | 57.1%![]() |
40.7%![]() |
2016 | 51.1%![]() |
45.6%![]() |
2012 | 54.8%![]() |
42.5%![]() |
2008 | 58.4%![]() |
39.5%![]() |
2004 | 50.8%![]() |
47.8%![]() |
Average | 54.4 | 43.2 |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Missouri's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Missouri | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Missouri's top four state executive offices as May 2024.
State executive officials in Missouri, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Missouri State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 10 | |
Republican Party | 24 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 34 |
Missouri House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 51 | |
Republican Party | 111 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 163 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Missouri Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
The table below details demographic data in Missouri and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
Demographic Data for Missouri | ||
---|---|---|
Missouri | United States | |
Population | 6,154,913 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 68,745 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 79.4% | 65.9% |
Black/African American | 11.3% | 12.5% |
Asian | 2.1% | 5.8% |
Native American | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 1.5% | 6% |
Multiple | 5.4% | 8.8% |
Hispanic/Latino | 4.6% | 18.7% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 91.3% | 89.1% |
College graduation rate | 31.2% | 34.3% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $65,920 | $75,149 |
Persons below poverty level | 8.5% | 8.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ The number of Democratic senators includes four independents.
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Kansas City Star, "Roy Blunt the insider vs. Jason Kander the outsider sums up U.S. Senate contest in Missouri," accessed September 27, 2016
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed November 12, 2016
- ↑ St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Missouri Senate race unique in complex national cross-currents of 2016," accessed September 30, 2016
- ↑ National Review, "Missouri’s Senate Race Wasn’t Supposed to Be This Close," accessed September 30, 2016
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 The Military Times, "Incumbent Blunt defeats Kander in Missouri Senate race," accessed November 12, 2016
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
- ↑ This analysis includes Missouri's 114 counties and the independent city of St. Louis.