United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2022
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| U.S. Senate, New Hampshire |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: June 10, 2022 |
| Primary: September 13, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: Varies by municipality Voting in New Hampshire |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd New Hampshire elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
Incumbent Maggie Hassan (D) defeated Don Bolduc (R) and Jeremy Kauffman (L) in the general election for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire on November 8, 2022.
Hassan took office in 2017. Hassan said she worked with Republicans to end surprise medical billing and expand broadband access. She emphasized her support for a gas tax holiday through 2022 and said she worked to lower costs for residents. Hassan said Bolduc "[was] running on an extreme, anti-choice agenda and would be a clear yes vote to ban abortion in all fifty states."[1][2]
Bolduc, a retired Army brigadier general, said the election "[was] about the economy, fiscal responsibility and the safety and security of this nation." He attributed inflation and high gas prices to Hassan and other Democrats. Bolduc's campaign ads emphasized his military background and called Hassan a career politician. Bolduc said he'd support allowing states to set abortion policy.[3]
For more on candidates' backgrounds and key messages, see below.
As of October 19, 2022, Hassan spent $36.7 million. Bolduc spent $1.9 million.[4] In 2020, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) spent $19 million on her re-election bid, and challenger Bryant Messner (R) spent $7 million.[5] In Hassan's first Senate bid in 2016, she spent $19 million to incumbent Sen. Kelly Ayotte's (R) $16 million.[6]
In the state's 2020 Senate election, Shaheen defeated Messner by a margin of 15.6 percentage points. In 2016, Hassan defeated Ayotte by 0.1 percentage points.
President Joe Biden (D) won New Hampshire by 7.3 percentage points in 2020. Hillary Clinton (D) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 0.3 percentage points.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in 2022. Democrats retained their majority and gained one net seat, with the Senate's post-election partisan balance at 51 Democrats and 49 Republicans.
Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election.[7] At the time of the election, Democrats had an effective majority, with the chamber split 50-50 and Vice President Kamala Harris (D) having the tie-breaking vote.[8] Of the seats up for election in 2022, Democrats held 14 and Republicans held 21.
Jeremy Kauffman (L) and Tejasinha Sivalingam (Independent) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2022 (September 13 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2022 (September 13 Republican primary)
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate New Hampshire
Incumbent Maggie Hassan defeated Don Bolduc, Jeremy Kauffman, and Tejasinha Sivalingam in the general election for U.S. Senate New Hampshire on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Maggie Hassan (D) | 53.5 | 332,193 | |
| Don Bolduc (R) | 44.4 | 275,928 | ||
Jeremy Kauffman (L) ![]() | 2.0 | 12,390 | ||
Tejasinha Sivalingam (Independent) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 0 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 464 | ||
| Total votes: 620,975 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Thomas Sharpe V (Independent)
- Kevin Kahn (L)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire
Incumbent Maggie Hassan defeated Paul Krautmann and John Riggieri in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire on September 13, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Maggie Hassan | 93.8 | 88,146 | |
| Paul Krautmann | 3.9 | 3,629 | ||
| John Riggieri | 1.8 | 1,680 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.6 | 546 | ||
| Total votes: 94,001 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire on September 13, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Don Bolduc | 36.9 | 52,629 | |
| Chuck Morse | 35.7 | 50,929 | ||
| Kevin Smith | 11.7 | 16,621 | ||
| Vikram Mansharamani | 7.5 | 10,690 | ||
| Bruce Fenton | 4.5 | 6,381 | ||
| John Berman | 0.7 | 961 | ||
| Andy Martin | 0.6 | 920 | ||
Tejasinha Sivalingam ![]() | 0.6 | 832 | ||
| Dennis Lamare | 0.5 | 773 | ||
Edmond Laplante ![]() | 0.5 | 723 | ||
| Gerard Beloin | 0.4 | 521 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 623 | ||
| Total votes: 142,603 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Devon Fuchs (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in New Hampshire
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. Senate (Assumed office: 2017)
- Governor of New Hampshire (2013-2017)
- New Hampshire State Senate District 23 (2004-2010)
Biography: Hassan received a B.A. from Brown University. She then received a J.D. from the Northeastern School of Law and practiced business law. Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) appointed Hassan to the advisory committee to the Adequacy in Education and Finance Commission in 1999.
Show sources
Sources: Maggie Hassan's 2022 campaign website, "About Maggie," accessed September 19, 2022; Maggie Hassan's 2022 campaign website, "Priorities," accessed September 19, 2022; New Hampshire Public Radio, "Hassan presses Bolduc on abortion, as national ban is proposed by GOP senator," September 16, 2022; Maggie Hassan's 2022 campaign website, "REPUBLICANS JUST NOMINATED THE MOST EXTREME, OUT OF TOUCH SENATE CANDIDATE IN MODERN NH HISTORY," September 14, 2022; YouTube, "Ban," September 14, 2022; YouTube, "Relief," June 27, 2022; Senate.gov, "Maggie Hassan," accessed September 19, 2022; National Governors Association, "Gov. Maggie Hassan," accessed September 19, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate New Hampshire in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Biography: Bolduc graduated from Salem State University as a distinguished military graduate and later received an M.S. in security technologies from the United States Army War College. Bolduc served in the Army as a sergeant, second lieutenant, and brigadier general. He also served on the Office of the Secretary of Defense's joint staff. Before joining the Army and pursuing higher education, Bolduc was a police officer in Laconia, New Hampshire.
Show sources
Sources: Don Bolduc's 2022 campaign website, "Home," accessed September 19, 2022; Don Bolduc's 2022 campaign website, "ICYMI: THE DEMOCRAT PARTY HAS STUBBORNLY CLUNG TO A GOVERNMENT-KNOWS-BEST PHILOSOPHY THAT HAS FAILED," September 2, 2022; YouTube, "Political Outsider," September 5, 2022; YouTube, "Now is the Time," September 11, 2022; WMUR, "Republican U.S. Senate candidate Don Bolduc on Sen. Maggie Hassan’s abortion focus: ‘Get over it,’" September 19, 2022; Don Bolduc's 2022 campaign website, "About," accessed September 16, 2022; GovExec, "Bolduc," accessed September 19, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate New Hampshire in 2022.
Party: Libertarian Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "I'm a tech entrepreneur and happy father to a family of four. I've fought for the principles of liberty and freedom my entire adult life, in both my work and personal life."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate New Hampshire in 2022.
Party: Independent
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "I am a religious man (i.e. Saivite Hindu) who is married with children and a dog, with patriot ancestry going back to the American Revolution. I have travelled a fair amount domestically, and some internationally; and I have a diverse educational background including performing arts, health arts and sciences, Ayurveda, psychology, chiropractic, naturopathy, and information privacy. For work I primarily manage our family's investment properties (i.e. I am a landlord). Secondarily, I am working on my start-up privacy business as I am a recently credentialed information privacy professional. Lastly, I have started a lay Hindu religious ministry based on the Rg Veda Samhita. My hobbies include but are not limited to being a certified firearms instructor, a ham radio technician, and a student of Krav Maga. I believe the truths laid out in the United States Declaration of Independence are the true north of our country. "
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate New Hampshire in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
Jeremy Kauffman (L)
End Inflation, End the Fed
New Hampshire independence
Tejasinha Sivalingam (Independent)
State Sovereignty
United States Independence
Jeremy Kauffman (L)
Tejasinha Sivalingam (Independent)
2) Government receives its just powers, to secure our rights, from the consent of the governed (e.g. election integrity), 3) New Hampshire, and her sister States, are free, sovereign, and independent (e.g. State's rights and powers), 4) The States should remain united in their freedom, sovereignty, and independence against foreign, domestic, and corporate adversaries (e.g. U.S. Independence)
5) Free and competitive market economy (e.g. stop monopolies, etc)Tejasinha Sivalingam (Independent)
Tejasinha Sivalingam (Independent)
Tejasinha Sivalingam (Independent)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Maggie Hassan
| October 25, 2022 |
| October 9, 2022 |
| September 26, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Don Bolduc
| October 28, 2022 |
| September 21, 2022 |
| September 11, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Satellite ads
This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.
National Republican Senatorial Committee
The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) spent $2.9 million opposing Hassan as of October 3.[39] An NRSC ad is shown below.
| September 27, 2022 |
Restoration PAC
Restoration PAC launched an ad opposing Hassan on October 25. That ad is embedded below.
| October 25, 2022 |
Senate Majority PAC
Fox News reported that Senate Majority PAC spent $3.7 million on a TV ad opposing Bolduc.[33]
| September 28, 2022 |
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
October 27 debate
Hassan and Bolduc participated in a debate co-hosted by New Hampshire Public Radio and the New Hampshire Bulletin.[15] A video of the debate is embedded below.
| October 27, 2022 |
October 18 debate
Hassan and Bolduc participated in a debate hosted by the Mount Washington Valley Economic Council.[22]
Click here to view a video of the debate.
Election competitiveness
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[40]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[41][42][43]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[44] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[45] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
| New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, 2022: General election polls | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[46] | Sponsor[47] | ||||
| Trafalgar Group | Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2022 | 46% | 47% | 4% | 3% | ± 2.9 | 1,241 LV | The Daily Wire | |
| Emerson College | Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2022 | 50% | 46% | — | — | ± 3.3 | 850 LV | N/A | |
| Saint Anselm College | Oct. 28-29, 2022 | 47% | 48% | 2% | 3% | ± 2.5 | 1,541 LV | N/A | |
| co/efficient | Oct. 25-26, 2022 | 45% | 45% | 3% | 7% | ± 3.2 | 1,098 LV | New Hampshire Journal | |
| YouGov | Oct. 14-25, 2022 | 51% | 41% | 3% | 5% | ± 5.1 | 697 RV | N/A | |
| Click [show] to see older poll results | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[48] | Sponsor[49] | |||
| Insider Advantage | Oct. 23, 2022 | 48% | 47% | — | 6%[50] | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | American Greatness |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Oct. 17-19, 2022 | 49% | 47% | — | 4% | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | Don Bolduc (R) |
| Trafalgar Group | Sept. 26-30, 2022 | 48% | 45% | 4% | 3%[51] | ± 2.9 | 1,081 LV | N/A |
| Data for Progress | Sept. 23-30, 2022 | 50% | 43% | 3% | 4%[52] | ± 3.0 | 1,147 LV LV | N/A |
| Saint Anselm College | Sept. 27-28, 2022 | 49% | 43% | N/A[53] | 8%[54] | ± 3.3 | 901 RV | N/A |
| Suffolk University | Sept. 15-19, 2022 | 50% | 41% | 3% | 7%[55] | ± 4.4 | 500 LV | The Boston Globe |
| University of New Hampshire | Sept. 15-19, 2022 | 49% | 41% | 5% | 5%[56] | ± 3.3 | 870 LV | N/A |
| American Research Group | Sept. 15-19, 2022 | 53% | 40% | N/A[57] | 7%[58] | ± 4.2 | 555 RV | N/A |
| Emerson College Polling | Sept. 14-15, 2022 | 51% | 40% | N/A[59] | 10%[60] | ± 3.4 | 800 LV | WHDH-TV |
Noteworthy endorsements
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
| Noteworthy endorsements | ||
|---|---|---|
| Endorser | ||
| Individuals | ||
| Frmr. President Barack Obama source | ✔ | |
| Frmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence source | ✔ | |
| Frmr. U.S. Sen. Bob Smith source | ✔ | |
| Frmr. President Donald Trump source | ✔ | |
| Organizations | ||
| American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) source | ✔ | |
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[61] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[62] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Hassan | Democratic Party | $42,232,951 | $42,242,303 | $124,100 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Paul Krautmann | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| John Riggieri | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Gerard Beloin | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| John Berman | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Don Bolduc | Republican Party | $4,181,564 | $4,160,046 | $53,699 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Bruce Fenton | Republican Party | $1,850,591 | $1,756,167 | $94,423 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Dennis Lamare | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Edmond Laplante | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Vikram Mansharamani | Republican Party | $956,889 | $946,363 | $10,526 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Andy Martin | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Chuck Morse | Republican Party | $1,796,735 | $1,687,159 | $109,576 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Kevin Smith | Republican Party | $873,569 | $858,818 | $14,752 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Jeremy Kauffman | Libertarian Party | $25,551 | $17,282 | $8,269 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Tejasinha Sivalingam | Independent, Republican Party | $885 | $795 | $90 | As of December 31, 2022 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[63][64]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[65]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Spending news
- Citizens for Sanity reserved $3.2 million in ads supporting Bolduc on November 2.[11]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spent $1.8 million opposing Bolduc as of October 18.[66]
- LCV Victory Fund spent $1.2 million supporting Hassan and $420,000 opposing Bolduc as of October 18.[67]
- Our American Century spent $618,000 opposing Hassan as of October 18.[68]
- Restoration PAC purchased $340,000]] in ads supporting Bolduc on October 24. The group is affiliated with Richard Uihlein.[18]
- Senate Leadership Fund spent $6.7 million opposing Hassan and $5.7 supporting Bolduc as of October 18.[69] SLF announced it was canceling $5.6 million in reserved ads on October 21.[20]
- Senate Majority PAC:
- The group reserved $1.2 million in ads supporting Hassan on November 2.[12]
- The group spent $4.4 million opposing Bolduc as of October 18.[70]
- The group spent $3.2 million opposing Chuck Morse ahead of the September 13, 2022, Republican primary.[71] See more on this below.
- Sentinel Action Fund spent $1 million supporting Bolduc on Octoeber 28.[14]
- Women Vote! spent $2.6 million opposing Bolduc as of October 3.[72]
Noteworthy events
Democratic PAC opposes Morse during Republican primary
Senate Majority PAC, a Democratic group, spent at least $3.2 million on ads opposing Chuck Morse in the Republican primary. The Washington Post's Annie Linskey said the ads "effectively enhance[d] the candidacy in the GOP primary of retired Gen. Don Bolduc, by portraying his more moderate rival, state Senate President Chuck Morse, who...trailed in GOP primary polls to Bolduc, as beholden to the party establishment."[73]
Democratic satellite groups spent in other Republican primaries in 2022. According to Linskey's analysis, the spending in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate primary was the fourth highest amount from Democrats in a Republican primary, with primaries for Nevada governor, Colorado U.S. Senate, and Illinois governor receiving higher amounts.[73]
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for New Hampshire, 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| New Hampshire's 1st | Chris Pappas | Even | |
| New Hampshire's 2nd | Annie Kuster | D+2 | |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, New Hampshire[74] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | ||
| New Hampshire's 1st | 52.2% | 46.2% | ||
| New Hampshire's 2nd | 53.6% | 44.7% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 33.8% of New Hampshirites lived in either Hillsborough or Sullivan County, the state's two Battleground Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2012 and 2020 and the Republican in 2016, and 32.8% lived in one of four Solid Democratic counties. Overall, New Hampshire was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in New Hampshire following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| New Hampshire county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battleground Democratic | 2 | 33.8% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 4 | 32.8% | |||||
| New Democratic | 2 | 26.4% | |||||
| Solid Republican | 1 | 4.6% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 1 | 2.3% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 8 | 93.1% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 2 | 6.9% | |||||
Historical voting trends
New Hampshire presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 13 Democratic wins
- 18 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in New Hampshire.
| U.S. Senate election results in New Hampshire | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 56.7% |
41.0% |
| 2016 | 48.0% |
47.9% |
| 2014 | 51.5% |
48.2% |
| 2010 | 60.2% |
36.7% |
| 2008 | 51.6% |
45.3% |
| Average | 53.6 | 43.8 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of New Hampshire
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in New Hampshire.
| Gubernatorial election results in New Hampshire | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 65.1% |
33.4% |
| 2018 | 52.8% |
45.7% |
| 2016 | 48.8% |
46.6% |
| 2014 | 52.4% |
47.4% |
| 2012 | 54.6% |
43.2% |
| Average | 54.7 | 43.3 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of New Hampshire's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New Hampshire, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Republican | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in New Hampshire's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in New Hampshire, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the New Hampshire General Court as of November 2022.
New Hampshire State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 10 | |
| Republican Party | 13 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 24 | |
New Hampshire House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 177 | |
| Republican Party | 202 | |
| Independent | 1 | |
| Vacancies | 20 | |
| Total | 400 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, New Hampshire was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
New Hampshire Party Control: 1992-2022
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Eleven years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in New Hampshire and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for New Hampshire | ||
|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | United States | |
| Population | 1,316,470 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 8,953 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 92.9% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 1.6% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 2.7% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 0.6% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 2.1% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 3.7% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 93.1% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 37% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $76,768 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 7.6% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in New Hampshire in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Hampshire, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| New Hampshire | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $100.00 | 6/10/2022 | Source |
| New Hampshire | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 3,000, including 1,500 from each of the state's two congressional districts | $100.00 | 6/10/2022 | Source |
New Hampshire U.S. Senate election history
2020
See also: United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2020
United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2020 (September 8 Democratic primary)
United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2020 (September 8 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. Senate New Hampshire
Incumbent Jeanne Shaheen defeated Bryant Messner and Justin O'Donnell in the general election for U.S. Senate New Hampshire on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Jeanne Shaheen (D) | 56.6 | 450,778 | |
| Bryant Messner (R) | 41.0 | 326,229 | ||
| Justin O'Donnell (L) | 2.3 | 18,421 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 486 | ||
| Total votes: 795,914 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire
Incumbent Jeanne Shaheen defeated Paul Krautmann and Tom Alciere in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire on September 8, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Jeanne Shaheen | 94.0 | 142,012 | |
Paul Krautmann ![]() | 3.9 | 5,914 | ||
| Tom Alciere | 2.0 | 2,992 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 137 | ||
| Total votes: 151,055 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire
Bryant Messner defeated Don Bolduc, Andy Martin, and Gerard Beloin in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate New Hampshire on September 8, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Bryant Messner | 50.5 | 69,801 | |
| Don Bolduc | 42.5 | 58,749 | ||
| Andy Martin | 4.7 | 6,443 | ||
| Gerard Beloin | 2.2 | 3,098 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 241 | ||
| Total votes: 138,332 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- William O'Brien (R)
2016
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 48% | 354,649 | ||
| Republican | Kelly Ayotte Incumbent | 47.9% | 353,632 | |
| Independent | Aaron Day | 2.4% | 17,742 | |
| Libertarian | Brian Chabot | 1.7% | 12,597 | |
| Total Votes | 738,620 | |||
| Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
78.9% | 86,558 | ||
| Jim Rubens | 17.4% | 19,139 | ||
| Tom Alciere | 1.4% | 1,586 | ||
| Gerard Beloin | 1.1% | 1,252 | ||
| Stanley Emanuel | 1.1% | 1,187 | ||
| Total Votes | 109,722 | |||
| Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State |
||||
2014
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 51.5% | 251,184 | ||
| Republican | Scott Brown | 48.2% | 235,347 | |
| N/A | Scatter | 0.3% | 1,628 | |
| Total Votes | 488,159 | |||
| Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
50% | 58,775 | ||
| Jim Rubens | 23.1% | 27,089 | ||
| Bob Smith | 22.6% | 26,593 | ||
| Walter Kelly | 1.2% | 1,376 | ||
| Bob Heghmann | 0.7% | 784 | ||
| Andy Martin | 0.6% | 734 | ||
| Mark Farnham | 0.6% | 733 | ||
| Miroslaw Dziedzic | 0.4% | 508 | ||
| Gerard Beloin | 0.4% | 492 | ||
| Robert D'Arcy | 0.3% | 397 | ||
| Total Votes | 117,481 | |||
| Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State - Official Election Results |
||||
2010
On November 2, 2010, Ayotte was elected to the United States Senate. She defeated Paul W. Hodes (D), Chris Booth (Independent) and Ken Blevens (Libertarian).[75]
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Iowa Auditor election, 2022
- North Carolina Supreme Court elections, 2022
- Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff)
- West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ STATEMENT: SENATOR HASSAN ON DON BOLDUC TELLING NEW HAMPSHIRE WOMEN TO “GET OVER” THE OVERTURNING OF ROE, PUSH FOR A NATIONWIDE ABORTION BAN," September 18, 2022
- ↑ New Hampshire Public Radio, "Hassan presses Bolduc on abortion, as national ban is proposed by GOP senator," September 16, 2022
- ↑ WMUR, "Republican U.S. Senate candidate Don Bolduc on Sen. Maggie Hassan’s abortion focus: ‘Get over it,’" September 19, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "New Hampshire - Senate, 2022," accessed October 17, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "New Hampshire - Senate, 2020," accessed September 27, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "New Hampshire - Senate, 2016," accessed September 27, 2022
- ↑ The special Senate election in California was for the same seat up for regular election. There were, then, 36 total Senate elections for 35 total seats.
- ↑ Two independents who caucus with Democrats are included with Democrats in the 50-50 split count.
- ↑ Emerson College Polling, "New Hampshire: Hassan Maintains Narrow Lead Over Bolduc," November 4, 2022
- ↑ The Daily Wire, "New Hampshire Could See ‘General’ Election, As Bolduc Takes Lead In Trafalgar/Daily Wire Poll," November 3, 2022
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Twitter, "Natalie Allison on November 2, 2022
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 Twitter, "Natalie Allison on November 2, 2022
- ↑ Saint Anselm College, "A Survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters," accessed November 1, 2022
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Politico, "GOP PAC floats NH Senate candidate with last-minute funding," October 28, 2022
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 New Hampshire Bulletin, "In Senate debate, both Hassan and Bolduc put spotlight on Hassan’s record," October 28, 2022
- ↑ New Hampshire Journal, "Kuster Trailing in New NHJournal Poll, With Hassan Tied and Leavitt Close," October 27, 2022
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Axios, "Scoop: National Republicans jump back into New Hampshire Senate race," October 25, 2022
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 Twitter, "David Wright on October 24, 2022," accessed October 25, 2022
- ↑ American Greatness, "Republican Don Bolduc in Dead Heat With Democrat Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire U.S. Senate Race," October 24, 2022
- ↑ 20.0 20.1 The New York Times, "Super PAC Aligned With Senate G.O.P. Cuts Off New Hampshire TV Ads," October 21, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "WMUR on October 21, 2022," accessed October 24, 2022
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 Facebook, "Valley Vision on October 18, 2022," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Eventbrite, "Grassroots Rally with Ambassador Nikki Haley," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Don Bolduc on October 15, 2022," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Tulsi Gabbard on October 11, 2022," accessed October 11, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Maggie Hassan on October 17, 2022," accessed October 20, 2022
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "New Hampshire - Senate, 2022," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Maggie Hassan on October 15, 2022," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ 29.0 29.1 Twitter, "Adimpact on October 7, 2022," accessed October 11, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Former Army general-turned-GOP Senate nominee in key battleground spotlights ‘new mission’ in first TV ad," October 4, 2022
- ↑ Trafalgar Group, "New Hampshire General Election Survey," accessed October 5, 2022
- ↑ Data for Progress, "DFP NH Midterm Toplines," accessed October 5, 2022
- ↑ 33.0 33.1 Fox News, "Top pro-Senate Democrat super PAC spending big bucks to blast GOP challenger in key swing state over abortion," September 29, 2022
- ↑ Suffolk University, "September 29, 2022: NH Midterms with The Boston Globe," September 29, 2022
- ↑ Saint Anselm College, "A Survey of Registered New Hampshire Voters," accessed October 6, 2022
- ↑ University of New Hampshire, "Post Primary: Hassan Leads Bolduc For U.S. Senate; CD1 & CD2 Close 9/22/2022," September 22, 2022
- ↑ American Research Group, "2022 NH US Senate Ballot," September 21, 2022
- ↑ Emerson College Polling, "New Hampshire 2022: Senator Hassan Leads Freshly Nominated Bolduc By 11," September 16, 2022
- ↑ 39.0 39.1 Open Secrets, "Senate Leadership Fund Independent Expenditures," accessed October 3, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Reported as "Undecided/No opinion" (3%) and "Someone else" (3%).
- ↑ Undecided
- ↑ Not sure
- ↑ Kaufmann was not included in this poll.
- ↑ 4% Someone else
4% Unsure - ↑ Undecided
- ↑ Don't know/undecided
- ↑ Kaufmann was not included in this poll.
- ↑ Undecided
- ↑ Kaufmann was not included in this poll.
- ↑ Undecided: 6%
Someone else: 4% - ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
- ↑ Open Secrets, "Democratic Senatorial Campaign Cmte," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Open Secrets, "LCV Victory Fund Independent Expenditures," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Open Secrets, "Our American Century Independent Expenditures," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Open Secrets, "Senate Leadership Fund Independent Expenditures," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Open Secrets, "Senate Majority PAC Independent Expenditures," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Open Secrets, "Senate Majority PAC Independent Expenditures," accessed September 19, 2022
- ↑ Open Secrets, "Women Vote! Independent Expenditures," accessed October 3, 2022
- ↑ 73.0 73.1 The Washington Post, "Democrats spend tens of millions amplifying far-right candidates in nine states," September 12, 2022
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
