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United States House election in Alaska, 2024 (August 20 top-four primary)
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Alaska's At-large Congressional District |
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Top-four primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 1, 2024 |
Primary: August 20, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 Pre-election incumbent: Mary Peltola (Democratic) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Alaska |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Toss-up Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
At-large Alaska elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
Incumbent Mary Peltola (D) and 11 other candidates ran in the top-four primary on August 20, 2024, in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District to determine which four candidates would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024. Noteworthy candidates included Peltola, 2022 candidate Nicholas Begich (R), and Donald Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (R).[1]
Voters approved the top-four primary system via a 2020 ballot measure. The 2022 election was the first to use that system. Peltola and three Republicans—Sarah Palin, Begich, and Tara Sweeney—advanced to the general election. Peltola received 36.8% of the primary vote, followed by Palin (30.2%), Begich (26.2%), and Sweeney (3.8%). Sweeney dropped out after the primary, so Chris Bye (L) advanced to the general election instead with 0.6% of the primary vote. In the general election, Peltola received 48.7% of the vote in the initial round, followed by Palin with 25.8%, Begich with 23.6%, and Bye with 1.9%. After the third and final round of vote calculations, Peltola won re-election 55.0%-45.0% over Palin.
In April 2024, Begich announced he would drop out of the race if he did not finish as the top Republican candidate in the primary election. He told Alaska Public Media: "For those who are not a fan of ranked choice voting — and I consider myself one of those people — we can self-impose a primary among the Republicans, if we make that commitment."[2] In July 2024, Dahlstrom responded to an Alaska Family Council survey that she would not commit to dropping out of the race if she finished below Begich.[3] Roll Call's Allison Mollenkamp wrote that "[t]heir finishing order, however, could determine the GOP’s ability to consolidate support." She said Begich's pledge was "part of a larger push to 'circumvent' the ranked-choice system and consolidate support around Republican candidates."[1]
This page focuses on Alaska's At-large Congressional District top-four primary. For more in-depth information on the district's general election, see the following page:
Candidates and election results
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Alaska At-large District
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mary Peltola (D) | 50.9 | 55,166 | |
✔ | Nicholas Begich (R) | 26.6 | 28,803 | |
✔ | ![]() | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | 19.9 | 21,574 |
✔ | ![]() | Matthew Salisbury (R) ![]() | 0.6 | 652 |
John Howe (Alaskan Independence Party) | 0.6 | 621 | ||
![]() | Eric Hafner (D) | 0.4 | 467 | |
Gerald Heikes (R) | 0.4 | 424 | ||
![]() | Lady Donna Dutchess (Nonpartisan) | 0.2 | 195 | |
![]() | David Ambrose (Nonpartisan) ![]() | 0.1 | 154 | |
Richard Grayson (No Labels Party) ![]() | 0.1 | 143 | ||
Richard Mayers (Undeclared) | 0.1 | 119 | ||
Samuel Claesson (Nonpartisan) ![]() | 0.1 | 89 |
Total votes: 108,407 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. House Alaska (Assumed office: 2022)
- Bethel, Alaska, City Council (2011–2013)
- Alaska House of Representatives (1999–2009)
Biography: Before entering elected politics, Peltola worked as a commercial fisherwoman. She also served as the community development manager for the Donlin gold mine project and as executive director of the Kuskokwim River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission.
Show sources
Sources: Mary Peltola 2024 campaign website, "My Story," accessed September 9, 2024; Mary Peltola 2024 campaign website, "My Solutions," accessed September 9, 2024; Facebook, "Mary Peltola on January 22, 2024," accessed September 9, 2024; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "PELTOLA, Mary Sattler," accessed September 9, 2024; Mary Peltola official website, "Biography," accessed September 9, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alaska At-large District in 2024.
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I'm David R Ambrose II born and raised in Beverly MA, I moved to Alaska to attend UAF at first for engineering then psychology. I believe I am the only candidate eligible for office for having been the only one to have acted in accordance with the law and the constitution during covid. The constitution, specifically the 14 amendment section 3, forbids those who give aid, comfort, or participates in rebellion or insurrection from holding office. Alaska statutes 11.56.767, 11.56.765 are mandatory reporting requirements for those who witnessed covid coercion against children or vulnerable adults like those with long covid. Candidates should have known better and the failure to have done so should be considered giving comfort to violations of Nuremberg code and the prohibition with respect to bioweapon, or misprision. The mandatory reporting obligation for those who work near children is 47.17.020 a lack of reporting could also be considered giving comfort to terroristic threatening by foreign forces against children. For college students the same logic applies to mandatory reporting in accordance with their contractually obligated anti bullying/anti coercive requirements in accordance with their student handbook, failure to have reported it for a degree could also be considered fraud in accordance with furthering crimes against the country. Numerous reports should have been made by multiple parties, fortunately the statute of limitations in Alaska for fraud is 10 years."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alaska At-large District in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Begich obtained a bachelor's degree in business administration from Baylor University and a master's in business administration from Indiana University. Begich worked for Ford Motor Company before returning to Alaska in 2004. Begich founded FarShore Partners, a software development firm, in 2006. Begich co-founded Dashfire, a firm investing in technology startups, in 2009.
Show sources
Sources: Facebook, "Nick Begich on July 13, 2023," accessed September 9, 2024; Nicholas Begich 2024 campaign website, "Solutions," accessed September 9, 2024; Facebook, "Nick Begich on February 26, 2024," accessed September 9, 2024; Nicholas Begich 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed September 9, 2024; LinkedIn, "Nicholas Begich III," accessed September 9, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alaska At-large District in 2024.
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Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am an author and academic who has authored two books and writes for several magazines. It is clear that Alaska needs new leadership that represents the values and courage that Sarah Palin had when she was Governor of this wonderful state."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alaska At-large District in 2024.
Party: No Labels Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am the only person in the U.S. running as a candidate of the No Labels Party"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alaska At-large District in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Alaska
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5]
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Peltola | Democratic Party | $13,443,537 | $14,050,828 | $83,969 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Eric Hafner | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Nicholas Begich | Republican Party | $2,810,468 | $2,747,372 | $104,330 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Nancy Dahlstrom | Republican Party | $996,164 | $790,352 | $205,812 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Gerald Heikes | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Matthew Salisbury | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
John Howe | Alaskan Independence Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Richard Grayson | No Labels Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Richard Mayers | Undeclared | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
David Ambrose | Nonpartisan | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Samuel Claesson | Nonpartisan | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Lady Donna Dutchess | Nonpartisan | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District analysis
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Alaska.
Alaska U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | Contested top-four primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | |||
2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 1 | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | |||
2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 1 | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | |||
2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | N/A | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | |||
2018 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | N/A | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | |||
2016 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | N/A | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | |||
2014 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | N/A | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Alaska in 2024. Information below was calculated on July 10, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twelve candidates ran for Alaska's At-Large Congressional District, including two Democrats, four Republicans, two non-major party candidates, three nonpartisan candidates, and one undeclared candidate. Twenty-two candidates ran in 2022, six candidates ran in 2020, and seven ran in 2018.
The number of candidates who ran in 2024 is also the second-most in the last 10 years.
Alaska's At-Large Congressional District was not open in 2024 because incumbent Rep. Mary Peltola (D-AL) ran for re-election. The only election year that the district was open in the last 10 years was 2022.
Democratic and Republican candidates filed to run in the primary, meaning the district was not guaranteed to either party.
Alaska utilizes a top-four primary system. In a top-four primary system, primary candidates run in a single primary election, regardless of the candidate's party affiliation. The four candidates that receive the most votes advance to the general election. In the general election, voters use ranked-choice voting to select the winner.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Alaska's At-Large the 167th most Republican district nationally.[6]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Alaska's At-Large based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
43.0% | 53.1% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
37.8 | 50.2 | R+12.3 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Alaska, 2020
Alaska presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 1 Democratic win
- 15 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
- See also: Party control of Alaska state government
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Alaska's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Alaska | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 1 | 3 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Alaska's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Alaska, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Alaska State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 9 | |
Republican Party | 11 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 20 |
Alaska House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 13 | |
Republican Party | 22 | |
Independent | 4 | |
Nonpartisan | 1 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 40 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Alaska Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | I | I | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | S | S | S | S | S | S |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Alaska in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Alaska, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Alaska | U.S. House | All candidates | N/A | $100.00 | 6/1/2024 | Source |
See also
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Roll Call, "GOP effort to oust Peltola may hinge on who finishes second," August 15, 2024
- ↑ Alaska Public Radio, "Begich makes a pledge: He’ll drop out of Alaska’s U.S. House race if Dahlstrom bests him in primary." April 23, 2024
- ↑ Must Read Alaska, "Dahlstrom won’t commit to dropping out if she comes in as second Republican, refuses to say if she supports ranked-choice voting," August 16, 2024
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023