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United States House election in Vermont, 2022 (August 9 Republican primary)

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2024
2020
Vermont's At-large Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 26, 2022
Primary: August 9, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent:
Peter Welch (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: Open between 5 a.m. to 10 a.m.; close at 7 p.m.
Voting in Vermont
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+16
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Vermont's At-large Congressional District
U.S. SenateAt-large
Vermont elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

The U.S. House of Representatives election in Vermont was on November 8, 2022. Voters elected one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's one at-large U.S. House district. The primary was scheduled for August 9, 2022. The filing deadline was May 26, 2022.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
May 26, 2022
August 9, 2022
November 8, 2022


Heading into the election, the incumbent was Peter Welch (Democratic), who was first elected in 2006.

A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Vermont utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Vermont's Republican primary for the U.S. House. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Vermont At-large District

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Liam Madden
Liam Madden Candidate Connection
 
40.0
 
10,701
Image of Ericka Redic
Ericka Redic Candidate Connection
 
30.8
 
8,255
Image of Anya Tynio
Anya Tynio Candidate Connection
 
25.8
 
6,908
 Other/Write-in votes
 
3.4
 
914

Total votes: 26,778
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Vermont in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Vermont, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Vermont U.S. House Major party 500 N/A 5/26/2022 Source
Vermont U.S. House Unaffiliated 500 N/A 8/4/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - An interactive map of the district including cities and towns.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Because Vermont only has one district, it did not change as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle.

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Vermont.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Vermont in 2022. Information below was calculated on August 1, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Seven candidates filed to run for Vermont's At-Large U.S. House district, a decade-high. That’s one more than the six candidates who ran in 2020 and two more than the five who ran in 2018.

Because it had only one U.S. House seat, Vermont did not need to redistrict after the 2020 census.

Vermont’s only U.S. House seat was open for the first time since 2006, when incumbent Rep. Peter Welch (D) was elected. Welch retired to run for the U.S. Senate. Four Democrats and three Republicans ran to replace Welch, meaning both primaries were contested. Both primaries were contested in 2020 and 2018 as well.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Vermont's At-Large the 88th most Democratic district nationally.[3]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Vermont's At-Large based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
66.4% 30.8%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Vermont, 2020

Vermont presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 22 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R R D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Vermont and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Vermont
Vermont United States
Population 625,741 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 9,217 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 94.2% 72.5%
Black/African American 1.4% 12.7%
Asian 1.7% 5.5%
Native American 0.3% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 0.4% 4.9%
Multiple 2% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 1.9% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 92.7% 88%
College graduation rate 38% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $61,973 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 10.9% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Vermont's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Vermont, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 1 2
Republican 0 0 0
Independent 1 0 1
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 1 3

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Vermont's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Vermont, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Phil Scott
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Molly Gray
Secretary of State Democratic Party Jim Condos
Attorney General Republican Party Susanne Young

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Vermont State Legislature as of November 2022.

Vermont State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 21
     Republican Party 7
     Vermont Progressive Party 2
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Vermont House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 93
     Republican Party 46
     Vermont Progressive Party 5
     Independent 5
     Vacancies 1
Total 150

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Vermont was a divided government, with Republicans controlling the governorship and Democratic majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Vermont Party Control: 1992-2022
Ten years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R
Senate D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

See also


Footnotes



Senators
Representatives
Democratic Party (2)
Independent (1)