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United States House election in Wyoming, 2020 (August 18 Republican primary)
- Primary date: Aug. 18
- Primary type: Open
- Registration deadline(s): Aug. 3
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Early voting starts: July 9
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Aug. 18 (received)
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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| Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: May 29, 2020 |
| Primary: August 18, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Liz Cheney (R) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Wyoming |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • At-large Wyoming elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
The 2020 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Wyoming took place on November 3, 2020. Voters elected one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's at-large congressional district. This page focuses on the Republican primary that took place in Wyoming on August 18, 2020.
Click here for more information about the Democratic primary.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Liz Cheney, who was first elected in 2016.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Wyoming utilizes a closed primary process.[1][2]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Political party events in Wyoming were modified as follows:
- Political party events: The Democratic Party of Wyoming canceled its in-person presidential caucus, originally scheduled for April 4.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
At-large district
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Liz Cheney | 73.5 | 78,870 |
| Blake Stanley | 26.1 | 28,039 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 454 | ||
| Total votes: 107,363 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Wyoming. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Wyoming with 68.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 21.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Wyoming cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Wyoming supported Republican candidates more often than Democratic candidates, 76.7 to 23.3 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Wyoming. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won five out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 13.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won three out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 24.1 points. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 55 out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 45 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 57 out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 51 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 11.24% | 85.71% | R+74.5 | 7.27% | 88.99% | R+81.7 | R |
| 2 | 17.60% | 79.70% | R+62.1 | 10.91% | 83.36% | R+72.4 | R |
| 3 | 11.12% | 87.05% | R+75.9 | 6.49% | 89.45% | R+83 | R |
| 4 | 26.05% | 70.84% | R+44.8 | 15.61% | 77.84% | R+62.2 | R |
| 5 | 26.26% | 71.59% | R+45.3 | 16.74% | 76.88% | R+60.1 | R |
| 6 | 16.26% | 81.21% | R+65 | 9.43% | 85.01% | R+75.6 | R |
| 7 | 28.36% | 70.01% | R+41.7 | 24.27% | 68.70% | R+44.4 | R |
| 8 | 40.42% | 57.13% | R+16.7 | 37.19% | 54.48% | R+17.3 | R |
| 9 | 38.23% | 59.50% | R+21.3 | 31.57% | 58.11% | R+26.5 | R |
| 10 | 21.27% | 76.44% | R+55.2 | 14.79% | 78.21% | R+63.4 | R |
| 11 | 43.72% | 52.36% | R+8.6 | 34.85% | 55.04% | R+20.2 | R |
| 12 | 41.35% | 55.47% | R+14.1 | 27.83% | 62.31% | R+34.5 | R |
| 13 | 52.91% | 41.43% | D+11.5 | 49.03% | 37.02% | D+12 | D |
| 14 | 41.85% | 53.44% | R+11.6 | 40.33% | 48.15% | R+7.8 | R |
| 15 | 41.25% | 56.03% | R+14.8 | 25.40% | 64.63% | R+39.2 | R |
| 16 | 62.92% | 34.31% | D+28.6 | 66.35% | 25.25% | D+41.1 | D |
| 17 | 33.59% | 62.81% | R+29.2 | 21.53% | 70.03% | R+48.5 | D |
| 18 | 19.74% | 77.99% | R+58.3 | 13.08% | 80.74% | R+67.7 | R |
| 19 | 16.63% | 80.47% | R+63.8 | 11.41% | 80.74% | R+69.3 | R |
| 20 | 17.23% | 80.53% | R+63.3 | 14.51% | 79.68% | R+65.2 | R |
| 21 | 6.92% | 92.19% | R+85.3 | 7.49% | 86.40% | R+78.9 | R |
| 22 | 35.46% | 62.06% | R+26.6 | 35.90% | 57.66% | R+21.8 | R |
| 23 | 48.80% | 48.93% | R+0.1 | 55.89% | 36.72% | D+19.2 | D |
| 24 | 22.73% | 75.27% | R+52.5 | 19.89% | 73.40% | R+53.5 | R |
| 25 | 22.09% | 75.00% | R+52.9 | 18.81% | 73.50% | R+54.7 | R |
| 26 | 16.97% | 80.82% | R+63.9 | 12.21% | 79.51% | R+67.3 | R |
| 27 | 19.91% | 77.45% | R+57.5 | 14.13% | 78.83% | R+64.7 | R |
| 28 | 18.23% | 78.86% | R+60.6 | 13.32% | 79.44% | R+66.1 | R |
| 29 | 28.95% | 68.57% | R+39.6 | 22.80% | 67.97% | R+45.2 | R |
| 30 | 24.51% | 72.88% | R+48.4 | 19.19% | 74.01% | R+54.8 | R |
| 31 | 12.18% | 85.70% | R+73.5 | 6.28% | 88.41% | R+82.1 | R |
| 32 | 14.58% | 83.77% | R+69.2 | 9.87% | 85.48% | R+75.6 | R |
| 33 | 56.07% | 42.24% | D+13.8 | 43.88% | 48.71% | R+4.8 | R |
| 34 | 16.37% | 81.33% | R+65 | 11.82% | 83.41% | R+71.6 | R |
| 35 | 22.53% | 75.07% | R+52.5 | 17.84% | 76.07% | R+58.2 | R |
| 36 | 31.86% | 64.88% | R+33 | 22.04% | 70.04% | R+48 | D |
| 37 | 25.70% | 72.32% | R+46.6 | 20.84% | 72.35% | R+51.5 | R |
| 38 | 22.15% | 75.32% | R+53.2 | 15.08% | 78.87% | R+63.8 | R |
| 39 | 28.42% | 67.88% | R+39.5 | 19.31% | 72.59% | R+53.3 | D |
| 40 | 17.50% | 79.96% | R+62.5 | 14.40% | 80.28% | R+65.9 | R |
| 41 | 41.35% | 55.66% | R+14.3 | 32.58% | 57.38% | R+24.8 | R |
| 42 | 30.25% | 67.49% | R+37.2 | 26.26% | 65.94% | R+39.7 | R |
| 43 | 38.57% | 58.11% | R+19.5 | 28.50% | 61.55% | R+33.1 | R |
| 44 | 51.90% | 44.70% | D+7.2 | 41.02% | 48.67% | R+7.7 | D |
| 45 | 51.24% | 43.62% | D+7.6 | 43.54% | 43.68% | R+0.1 | D |
| 46 | 41.79% | 54.50% | R+12.7 | 37.67% | 52.51% | R+14.8 | R |
| 47 | 21.31% | 75.47% | R+54.2 | 13.82% | 80.13% | R+66.3 | R |
| 48 | 30.34% | 66.16% | R+35.8 | 21.53% | 71.35% | R+49.8 | R |
| 49 | 22.81% | 74.97% | R+52.2 | 18.99% | 71.40% | R+52.4 | R |
| 50 | 16.74% | 81.25% | R+64.5 | 14.54% | 79.22% | R+64.7 | R |
| 51 | 24.13% | 73.76% | R+49.6 | 20.67% | 73.60% | R+52.9 | R |
| 52 | 10.61% | 87.04% | R+76.4 | 5.97% | 89.88% | R+83.9 | R |
| 53 | 16.85% | 80.53% | R+63.7 | 10.18% | 84.03% | R+73.8 | R |
| 54 | 36.87% | 60.26% | R+23.4 | 33.60% | 57.34% | R+23.7 | R |
| 55 | 24.77% | 72.52% | R+47.8 | 18.63% | 74.01% | R+55.4 | R |
| 56 | 34.31% | 61.96% | R+27.6 | 26.93% | 64.03% | R+37.1 | R |
| 57 | 32.45% | 63.83% | R+31.4 | 24.54% | 66.50% | R+42 | R |
| 58 | 23.70% | 73.45% | R+49.8 | 13.62% | 79.63% | R+66 | R |
| 59 | 33.92% | 61.68% | R+27.8 | 21.68% | 69.96% | R+48.3 | R |
| 60 | 30.10% | 66.75% | R+36.6 | 21.45% | 69.85% | R+48.4 | D |
| Total | 28.05% | 69.21% | R+41.2 | 22.48% | 70.06% | R+47.6 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+25, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 25 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District the 17th most Republican nationally.[5]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.08. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.08 points toward that party.[6]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Cheney | Republican Party | $3,010,251 | $3,066,535 | $153,567 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Blake Stanley | Republican Party | $5,064 | $5,623 | $800 | As of June 30, 2020 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]
| Race ratings: Wyoming's At-large Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
See also
- United States House election in Wyoming, 2020 (August 18 Democratic primary)
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020
- United States House election in Wyoming (August 21, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House election in Wyoming (August 21, 2018 Democratic primary)
Footnotes
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 7, 2024
- ↑ Wyoming Secretary of State, "Welcome to the FAQs," accessed June 2, 2025
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
