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United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2024
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July 30, 2024 |
November 5, 2024 |
2024 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Arizona were on November 5, 2024. Voters elected nine candidates to serve in the U.S. House from each of the state's nine U.S. House districts. The primary was July 30, 2024. The filing deadline was April 1, 2024.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Arizona-- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2024 | After the 2024 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 3 | 3 | |
| Republican Party | 6 | 6 | |
| Total | 9 | 9 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- David Schweikert (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Amish Shah (Democratic Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Bryce Beckstrom (Independent)
- Sarah Wharton (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
- David Schweikert (Incumbent) ✔
- Robert Backie
- Kimberly George
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
District 2
General election candidates
- Eli Crane (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Jonathan Nez (Democratic Party)
- David Alexander (Democratic Party) (Write-in)
- Charles Holt Jr. (No party preference) (Write-in)
- Richard Ester (Independent) (Write-in)
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Eli Crane (Incumbent) ✔
- Jack Smith
Did not make the ballot:
Minor Party primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 3
General election candidates
- Yassamin Ansari (Democratic Party) ✔
- Jeffrey Zink (Republican Party)
- Alan Aversa (Green Party)
- Candace Cunningham (Green Party) (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
- Jesus Mendoza
- Jeffrey Zink ✔
- Nicholas Glenn (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Green Party
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 4
General election candidates
- Greg Stanton (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Kelly Cooper (Republican Party)
- Vincent Beck-Jones (Green Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
- Greg Stanton (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Green Party
- Vincent Beck-Jones (Write-in) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
- Tre Rook (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 5
General election candidates
- Andy Biggs (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Katrina Schaffner (Democratic Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Evan Olson (Independent)
- Clint Smith (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
- Andy Biggs (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 6
General election candidates
- Juan Ciscomani (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Kirsten Engel (Democratic Party)
- Athena Eastwood (Green Party)
- Luis Pozzolo (Independent) (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Juan Ciscomani (Incumbent) ✔
- Kathleen Winn
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
Green Party
- Athena Eastwood (Write-in) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 7
General election candidates
- Raúl Grijalva (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Daniel Butierez (Republican Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
- Raúl Grijalva (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 8
General election candidates
- Gregory Whitten (Democratic Party)
- Abraham Hamadeh (Republican Party) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
- Jeremy Spreitzer (Democratic Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
- Patrick Briody
- Trent Franks
- Abraham Hamadeh ✔
- Anthony Kern
- Blake Masters
- Ben Toma
- Isiah Gallegos (Write-in)
Did not make the ballot:
- Debbie Lesko (Incumbent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Minor Party primary candidates
District 9
General election candidates
- Paul Gosar (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Quacy Smith (Democratic Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
- Paul Gosar (Incumbent) ✔
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arizona
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- Arizona's 1st Congressional District
- Arizona's 2nd Congressional District
- Arizona's 3rd Congressional District
- Arizona's 4th Congressional District
- Arizona's 5th Congressional District
- Arizona's 6th Congressional District
- Arizona's 7th Congressional District
- Arizona's 8th Congressional District
- Arizona's 9th Congressional District
Noteworthy ballot measures
- See also: Arizona 2024 ballot measures
Arizona had 12 ballot measures on the November 5, 2024, ballot. Two notable ones were Proposition 139, which would have provided for a state constitutional right to an abortion, and Proposition 314, which would have allowed law enforcement to arrest any noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully.
Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would affect voter turnout statewide.
- Consultant Marcus Dell'Artino said the abortion amendment could increase turnout among young voters: “A measure like this in a presidential year number one, and two an issue as personal as abortion, certainly moves those younger voters 18 and older to get out and vote.”[5]
- Democratic strategist Tony Cani said between the two amendments, abortion would be a bigger driver of turnout: "The types of voters who are motivated by the abortion initiative tend to be younger, tend to be women, tend to be voters that in the past have needed more of a reason to show up to the polls. And so I think that on balance, if you’re looking at the two, that the abortion initiative is probably going to drive turnout more."[6]
- Republican consultant Barrett Marson said that the economy would be a more salient issue for voters: “The economy is going to play a much greater role in how people vote — try to get a mortgage around here, try to get a car loan at a reasonable rate. People are unhappy with those metrics right now.”[7]
- On the effect of the immigration measure, U.S. Senate candidate Mark Lamb (R) said, “This would certainly help draw Republican voters out.”[8]
- NPR's Ben Giles said the immigration measure "might drive Republican turnout, but it also might drive turnout among groups who are against this immigration law and then might also vote for Democratic candidates when they head to the polls in November."[9]
- Republican political analyst Sean Noble said: “I think that the people who care about immigration are gonna be motivated to come out for, to vote for Donald Trump just as much as they would for immigration... So I don’t think that the immigration issue on the ballot is gonna actually impact turnout.”[10]
Arizona Right to Abortion Initiative
A "yes" vote supported amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to abortion, among other provisions. |
A "no" vote opposed amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to an abortion. |
To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
Arizona Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure
A "yes" vote supported:
|
A "no" vote opposed making the above changes to state law regarding immigration, border law enforcement, and sale of fentanyl. |
To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Democratic | 1,458[13] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Republican | 1,572[13] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Libertarian | 802[13] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 4,701[13] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about competitiveness, presidential election history, and party control in the state.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state's U.S. House districts.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.
| Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 44.4% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
| 2022 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 50.0% | 3 | 37.5% | ||||
| 2020 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55.6% | 3 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2018 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 | 28.6% | ||||
| 2016 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 61.1% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
| 2014 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 27.8% | 1 | 12.5% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.
The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.
Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.
Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.
Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Arizona's 1st | David Schweikert |  Republican |
R+2 |
| Arizona's 2nd | Eli Crane | Republican |
R+6 |
| Arizona's 3rd | Ruben Gallego |  Democratic |
D+24 |
| Arizona's 4th | Greg Stanton | Democratic |
D+2 |
| Arizona's 5th | Andy Biggs | Republican |
R+11 |
| Arizona's 6th | Juan Ciscomani | Republican |
R+3 |
| Arizona's 7th | Raul Grijalva | Democratic |
D+15 |
| Arizona's 8th | Debbie Lesko | Republican |
R+10 |
| Arizona's 9th | Paul Gosar | Republican |
R+16 |
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Arizona[14] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| ||
| Arizona's 1st | 50.1% | 48.6% | ||
| Arizona's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.2% | ||
| Arizona's 3rd | 74.5% | 23.9% | ||
| Arizona's 4th | 54.2% | 43.9% | ||
| Arizona's 5th | 41.0% | 57.4% | ||
| Arizona's 6th | 49.3% | 49.2% | ||
| Arizona's 7th | 65.6% | 32.9% | ||
| Arizona's 8th | 42.5% | 56.1% | ||
| Arizona's 9th | 36.4% | 62.2% | ||
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Republican | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Katie Hobbs
|
| Secretary of State | Adrian Fontes
|
| Attorney General | Kris Mayes
|
State legislature
Arizona State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 14 | |
| Republican Party | 16 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 30 | |
Arizona House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 28 | |
| Republican Party | 31 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 60 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
| Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ AZ Family, "Arizona’s abortion measure, presidential race likely to boost young voter turnout," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ KJZZ, "KJZZ's Friday NewsCap: Big win, small setback for AZ abortion rights initiative," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ Washington Examiner, "Harris banks on abortion ballot measures for Southwest path to victory," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ The New York Times, "Immigration Measure Added to the Ballot in Arizona," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ North County Public Radio, "In Arizona, will abortion access and immigration ballot measures drive turnout?," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ KOLD, "HCR 2060 could have huge impact on voter turnout in November," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ Arizona for Abortion Access, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
- ↑ It Goes Too Far, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.3 This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
