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United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2024
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August 10, 2024 |
November 5, 2024 |
2024 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were on November 5, 2024. Voters elected two candidates to serve in the U.S. House from each of the state's two U.S. House districts. The primary was August 10, 2024. The filing deadline was June 4, 2024.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Hawaii -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2024 | After the 2024 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 2 | 2 | |
| Republican Party | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 2 | 2 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Ed Case (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Patrick Largey (Republican Party)
Democratic primary candidates
- Ed Case (Incumbent) ✔
- Cecil Hale
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Minor Party primary candidates
Nonpartisan
Did not make the ballot:
District 2
General election candidates
- Jill Tokuda (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Steven Bond (Republican Party)
- Aaron Toman (Libertarian Party)
- Randall Meyer (Nonpartisan)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
- Jill Tokuda (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Minor Party primary candidates
Libertarian Party
Nonpartisan
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Hawaii
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Hawaii in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Hawaii, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Hawaii | U.S. House | All candidates | 25 | $75.00 | 6/4/2024 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about competitiveness, presidential election history, and party control in the state.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state's U.S. House districts.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Hawaii.
| Hawaii U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25.0% | 1 | 50.0% | ||||
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 75.0% | 1 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2016 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 75.0% | 1 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 75.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Hawaii in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 27, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Five candidates ran for Hawaii’s two U.S. House districts, including three Democrats and two Republicans. That’s an average of 2.5 candidates per district. There was an average of 6.5 candidates per district in 2022, 9.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 6.5 in 2018.
The number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House in Hawaii in 2024 was also fewer than any other year in the last 10 years. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 13.8 candidates ran per election cycle.
Both incumbents—Reps. Ed Case (D-01) and Jill Tokuda (D-02)—ran for re-election in 2024. This was the only election cycle in the last 10 years in which a district was not open.
Three candidates—two Democrats and one Republican—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024.
The Democratic primary in the 1st Congressional District was the only contested primary in 2024. That’s the fewest number of contested primaries in Hawaii in the last 10 years.
Case was the only incumbent who ran in a contested primary in 2024.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in both districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Hawaii, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Hawaii's 1st | Ed Case |  Democratic |
D+14 |
| Hawaii's 2nd | Jill Tokuda | Democratic |
D+14 |
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Hawaii[5] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| ||
| Hawaii's 1st | 63.9% | 34.5% | ||
| Hawaii's 2nd | 63.6% | 34.1% | ||
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Hawaii's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Hawaii | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Republican | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Hawaii's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Hawaii, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Joshua Green
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Sylvia Luke
|
| Attorney General |  Anne Lopez
|
State legislature
Hawaii State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 23 | |
| Republican Party | 2 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 25 | |
Hawaii House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 45 | |
| Republican Party | 6 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 51 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Hawaii Party Control: 1992-2024
Twenty-five years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
