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United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2022
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June 14, 2022 |
November 8, 2022 |
2022 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Maine were on November 8, 2022. Voters elected two candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's two U.S. House districts. The primary was scheduled for June 14, 2022. The filing deadline was March 15, 2022.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Maine -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2022 | After the 2022 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 2 | 2 | |
| Republican Party | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 2 | 2 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Chellie Pingree (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Ed Thelander (Republican Party)
- Alan MacDonald (LOV (Love Over Violent Empire)) (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
- Chellie Pingree (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 2
General election candidates
- Jared Golden (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Bruce Poliquin (Republican Party)
- Tiffany Bond (Independent)
Democratic primary candidates
- Jared Golden (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Ranked-choice voting
Ranked-choice voting in Maine
Maine uses ranked-choice voting for all federal and state-level (e.g., governor, state senator, and state representative) primary elections. Ranked-choice voting is used in general elections for federal offices only (i.e., U.S. Congress and the presidency).[1]
Click here for information on the history of ranked-choice voting in Maine.
How ranked-choice voting works
Broadly speaking, the ranked-choice voting process unfolds as follows for single-winner elections:
- Voters rank the candidates for a given office by preference on their ballots.
- If a candidate wins an outright majority of first-preference votes (i.e., 50 percent plus one), he or she will be declared the winner.
- If, on the other hand, no candidates win an outright majority of first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest first-preference votes is eliminated.
- All first-preference votes for the failed candidate are eliminated, lifting the second-preference choices indicated on those ballots.
- A new tally is conducted to determine whether any candidate has won an outright majority of the adjusted voters.
- The process is repeated until a candidate wins a majority of votes cast.
Example
Assume that there are four candidates for mayor in a hypothetical city. The table below presents the raw first-preference vote totals for each candidate.
| Raw first-preference vote tallies in a hypothetical mayoral race | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | First-preference votes | Percentage |
| Candidate A | 475 | 46.34% |
| Candidate B | 300 | 29.27% |
| Candidate C | 175 | 17.07% |
| Candidate D | 75 | 7.32% |
In the above scenario, no candidate won an outright majority of first-preference votes. As a result, the candidate (Candidate D) with the smallest number of first-preference votes is eliminated. The ballots that listed candidate D as the first preference are adjusted, raising their second-preference candidates. Assume that, of the 75 first-preference votes for Candidate D, 50 listed Candidate A as their second preference and 25 listed Candidate B. The adjusted vote totals would be as follows:
| Adjusted vote tallies in a hypothetical mayoral race | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Adjusted first-preference votes | Percentage |
| Candidate A | 525 | 51.22% |
| Candidate B | 325 | 31.71% |
| Candidate C | 175 | 17.07% |
On the second tally, Candidate A secured 51.22 percent of the vote, thereby winning the election.
Note: The above is a simplified example used for illustrative purposes. Specific procedures vary by jurisdiction and according to the nature of the election (i.e., whether it is a single-winner or multi-winner contest).
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[2]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[3][4][5]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
Ballot access
For information on candidate ballot access requirements in Maine, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District maps - A map of the state's districts before and after redistricting.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below were the district maps in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election.
Maine Congressional Districts
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Maine Congressional Districts
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Maine.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Maine in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 29, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, five candidates filed to run for Maine's two U.S. House districts, including three Republicans and two Democrats. That's 2.5 candidates per seat, down from 3.0 candidates per seat in 2020 and 5.0 per seat in 2018.
This was the first candidate filing deadline to take place under new district lines adopted during Maine's decennial redistricting process. Maine was apportioned two seats, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.
Both incumbents—Reps. Chellie Pingree (D) and Jared Golden (D)—filed for re-election. The last time a U.S. House district in Maine was left open was in 2014 when Rep. Mike Michaud (D) ran for governor rather than for re-election in the 2nd District. Neither Pingree nor Golden drew any primary challengers; the three other candidates who filed for U.S. House were all Republicans.
Presidential elections
As a result of redistricting following the 2020 census, many district boundaries changed. As a result, analysis of the presidential vote in each of these new districts is not yet available. Once that analysis is available, it will be published here.
Maine presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 11 Democratic wins
- 20 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Maine's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Maine, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Republican | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Independent | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Maine's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Maine, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Janet T. Mills
|
| Secretary of State | Shenna Bellows
|
| Attorney General | Aaron Frey
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Maine State Legislature as of November 2022.
Maine State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 22 | |
| Republican Party | 13 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 35 | |
Maine House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 77 | |
| Republican Party | 63 | |
| Independent | 2 | |
| Independent for Maine Party | 1 | |
| Libertarian Party | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 8 | |
| Total | 151 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Maine was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Maine Party Control: 1992-2022
Twelve years of Democratic trifectas • Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | I | I | I | I | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Redistricting following the 2020 census
On September 29, 2021, Gov. Janet Mills (D) signed legislation enacting redrawn state legislative district boundaries. The Maine Apportionment Commission approved final maps and submitted them to the legislature on September 27, 2021. The Maine Senate unanimously approved both maps by a vote of 31-0. The Maine House of Representatives approved new district boundaries for the state Senate by a vote of 129-0 and new state House district boundaries by a vote of 119-10.[6] These maps took effect for Maine’s 2022 legislative elections.
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Maine.gov, "Ranked-choice Voting (RCV)," accessed February 24, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Bangor Daily News, "Thousands of Mainers to shift to new congressional districts," September 29, 2021
