United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2024
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June 4, 2024 |
November 5, 2024 |
2024 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were on November 5, 2024. Voters elected three candidates to serve in the U.S. House from each of the state's three U.S. House districts. The primary was June 4, 2024. The filing deadline for candidates seeking pre-primary designation was February 6, 2024.[1] All other candidates had to file by March 12, 2024.[2]
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from New Mexico -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2024 | After the 2024 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 3 | 3 | |
| Republican Party | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 3 | 3 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Melanie Ann Stansbury (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Steve Jones (Republican Party)
Democratic primary candidates
- Melanie Ann Stansbury (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
District 2
General election candidates
- Gabriel Vasquez (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Yvette Herrell (Republican Party)
Democratic primary candidates
- Gabriel Vasquez (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
District 3
General election candidates
- Teresa Leger Fernandez (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Sharon E. Clahchischilliage (Republican Party)
Democratic primary candidates
- Teresa Leger Fernandez (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
Voting information
- See also: Voting in New Mexico
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- New Mexico's 1st Congressional District
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District
- New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in New Mexico in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Mexico, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| New Mexico | U.S. House | Democratic | 835[7] | N/A | 2/6/2024 if seeking pre-primary designation; 3/12/2024 if not | Source |
| New Mexico | U.S. House | Libertarian | 88[7] | N/A | 2/6/2024 if seeking pre-primary designation; 3/12/2024 if not | Source |
| New Mexico | U.S. House | Republican | 783[7] | N/A | 2/6/2024 if seeking pre-primary designation; 3/12/2024 if not | Source |
| New Mexico | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 4,715[7] | N/A | 6/27/2024 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about competitiveness, presidential election history, and party control in the state.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state's U.S. House districts.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in New Mexico.
| New Mexico U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2022 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2016 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in New Mexico in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 18, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Seven candidates filed to run for New Mexico’s three U.S. House districts, including three Democrats and four Republicans. That's 2.3 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 2.67 candidates per district in 2022, 6.3 candidates per district in 2020, and five in 2018.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. There was one House seat open in 2020 and two in 2018, the only two election cycles this decade in which House seats were open.
Three candidates filed to run for New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024. The candidates included Democratic incumbent Melanie Ann Stansbury and two Republicans.
The Republican primary in the 1st Congressional District was the only contested primary, tying with 2016 as the fewest this decade. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 2.4 primaries were contested.
No incumbents faced primary challengers in 2024. The last year an incumbent was in a contested primary was 2014, when then-incumbent Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D) and Robert Blanch ran in the 3rd Congressional District.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all three districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for New Mexico, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| New Mexico's 1st | Melanie Ann Stansbury |  Democratic |
D+5 |
| New Mexico's 2nd | Gabriel Vasquez | Democratic |
D+1 |
| New Mexico's 3rd | Teresa Leger Fernandez | Democratic |
D+4 |
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, New Mexico[8] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| ||
| New Mexico's 1st | 55.9% | 41.5% | ||
| New Mexico's 2nd | 51.9% | 46.1% | ||
| New Mexico's 3rd | 54.4% | 43.6% | ||
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of New Mexico's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New Mexico | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Republican | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in New Mexico's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in New Mexico, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Michelle Lujan Grisham
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Howie Morales
|
| Secretary of State | Maggie Toulouse Oliver
|
| Attorney General | Raul Torrez
|
State legislature
New Mexico State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 27 | |
| Republican Party | 15 | |
| Independent | 0 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 42 | |
New Mexico House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 45 | |
| Republican Party | 25 | |
| Independent | 0 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 70 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
New Mexico Party Control: 1992-2024
Seventeen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Major party candidates in New Mexico may choose to file to participate in their party's nominating convention. Candidates receiving at least 20% of the vote at the convention will be certified to the ballot as convention-designated. Candidates who do not receive a minimum of 20% of the convention vote or who do not file for pre-primary designation may file for office by the primary filing deadline.
- ↑ New Mexico Secretary of State, "2024 Candidate Information Guide," accessed February 7, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 Average of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
