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United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 10 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
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May 8, 2018 |
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The 2018 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Ohio took place on November 6, 2018. Voters elected 16 candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's 16 congressional districts.
Partisan breakdown
Heading into the November 6 election, the Republican Party held 11 of the 16 congressional seats from Ohio.
| Members of the U.S. House from Ohio -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2018 | After the 2018 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 4 | 4 | |
| Republican Party | 11 | 12 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | 0 | |
| Total | 16 | 16 | |
Incumbents
Heading into the 2018 election, the incumbents for the 16 congressional districts were:
| Name | Party | District |
|---|---|---|
| Steve Chabot |  Republican |
1 |
| Brad Wenstrup | Republican |
2 |
| Joyce Beatty |  Democratic |
3 |
| Jim Jordan | Republican |
4 |
| Bob Latta | Republican |
5 |
| Bill Johnson | Republican |
6 |
| Bob Gibbs | Republican |
7 |
| Warren Davidson | Republican |
8 |
| Marcy Kaptur | Democratic |
9 |
| Michael Turner | Republican |
10 |
| Marcia Fudge | Democratic |
11 |
| Troy Balderson | Republican |
12 |
| Tim Ryan | Democratic |
13 |
| David Joyce | Republican |
14 |
| Steve Stivers | Republican |
15 |
| Jim Renacci | Republican |
16 |
2016 Pivot Counties
Ohio features eight congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[1]
Candidates
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District 1
General election
General election candidates
- Steve Chabot (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Aftab Pureval (Democratic Party)
- Dirk Kubala (Libertarian Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Mike Goldschmidt (Independent)
Write-in candidates
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Steve Chabot (Incumbent) ✔
- Samuel Ronan
Independents
Not on ballot
District 2
General election
General election candidates
- Brad Wenstrup (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Jill Schiller (Democratic Party)
- James Condit Jr. (Green Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Steve Myers (Independent)
Write-in candidates
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Brad Wenstrup (Incumbent) ✔
Independent
Not on ballot
District 3
General election
General election candidates
- Joyce Beatty (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Jim Burgess (Republican Party)
Write-in candidates
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Joyce Beatty (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
District 4
General election
General election candidates
- Jim Jordan (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Janet Garrett (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Jim Jordan (Incumbent) ✔
- Joseph Miller
District 5
General election
General election candidates
- Bob Latta (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- John Michael Galbraith (Democratic Party)
- Don Kissick (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Bob Latta (Incumbent) ✔
- Bob Kreienkamp
- Todd Wolfrum
District 6
General election
General election candidates
- Bill Johnson (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Shawna Roberts (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
- Bill Johnson (Incumbent) ✔
- Robert Blazek
District 7
General election
General election candidates
- Bob Gibbs (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Ken Harbaugh (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Bob Gibbs (Incumbent) ✔
- Patrick Quinn
- Terry Robertson
District 8
General election
General election candidates
- Warren Davidson (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Vanessa Enoch (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Warren Davidson (Incumbent) ✔
District 9
General election
General election candidates
- Marcy Kaptur (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Steven Kraus (Republican Party)
Write-in candidates
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Marcy Kaptur (Incumbent) ✔
- Joshua Garcia
Republican primary candidates
District 10
General election
General election candidates
- Michael Turner (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Theresa Gasper (Democratic Party)
- David Harlow (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Michael Turner (Incumbent) ✔
- John Anderson
- John Mitchel
District 11
General election
General election candidates
- Marcia Fudge (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Beverly Goldstein (Republican Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Write-in candidates
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Marcia Fudge (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Independents
- James Jerome Bell - Write-in[4][5]
District 12
General election
General election candidates
- Troy Balderson (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Danny O'Connor (Democratic Party)
- Joe Manchik (Green Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Matthew Brendan O'Connor (Libertarian Party)
- Jonathan Veley (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Write-in candidates
Primary candidates
- See also: Ohio's 12th Congressional District special election (May 8, 2018 Democratic primary)
- See also: Ohio's 12th Congressional District special election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary)
- See also: Ohio's 12th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Democratic primary)
- See also: Ohio's 12th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary)
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Troy Balderson (Incumbent) ✔
- John Adams
- Kevin Bacon
- Lawrence Cohen
- Jon Halverstadt
- Tim Kane
- Melanie Leneghan
- Pat Manley
- Carol O'Brien
- Mick Shoemaker Jr.
Did not make the ballot:
Minor Party general election candidates
Did not make the ballot:
- Jonathan Veley Independent
- Matthew Brendan O'Connor Libertarian Party
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 13
General election
General election candidates
- Tim Ryan (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Christopher DePizzo (Republican Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Tim Ryan (Incumbent) ✔
- Robert Crow
- John Luchansky
Republican primary candidates
District 14
General election
General election candidates
- David Joyce (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Betsy Rader (Democratic Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- David Macko (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- David Joyce (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
Green Party
Withdrew
Libertarians
Disqualified
District 15
General election
General election candidates
- Steve Stivers (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Rick Neal (Democratic Party)
- Johnathan Miller Jr. (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Steve Stivers (Incumbent) ✔
Libertarians
District 16
General election
General election candidates
- Susan Moran Palmer (Democratic Party)
- Anthony Gonzalez (Republican Party) ✔
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to U.S. House elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 48 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
| U.S. House wave elections | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | President | Party | Election type | House seats change | House majority[10] | |
| 1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -97 | D | |
| 1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -76 | R | |
| 1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -70 | D | |
| 2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -63 | R (flipped) | |
| 1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -59 | R | |
| 1946 | Truman | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -53 | D (flipped) | |
| 1942 | Roosevelt | D | Third midterm | -50 | D | |
| 1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[11] | -48 | D | |
| 1974 | Ford | R | Second midterm[12] | -48 | D | |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2018
- U.S. House primaries, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- ↑ Mike Goldschmidt for Congress, "Home," accessed October 24, 2017
- ↑ Steve Myers for Congress, "Home," accessed July 25, 2017
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "BELL, JAMES JEROME MR," accessed October 2, 2017
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, "About my Election," accessed September 12, 2018
- ↑ Facebook, "Adam Hickey for U.S. House Ohio Congressional District 14," accessed June 30, 2017
- ↑ Lake County, Ohio, "2018 Certified Candidates," accessed February 20, 2018
- ↑ Information submitted to Ballotpedia via email on August 16, 2018
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "MILLER, JOHNATHAN WAYNE MR. JR," accessed October 2, 2017
- ↑ Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
