United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2026
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| U.S. Senate, Kentucky |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: January 9, 2026 |
| Primary: May 19, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times:
6 a.m. to 6 p.m. |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th Kentucky elections, 2026 U.S. Congress elections, 2026 U.S. Senate elections, 2026 U.S. House elections, 2026 |
Voters in Kentucky will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the general election on November 3, 2026. The primary is May 19, 2026. The filing deadline was January 9, 2026. On February 20, 2025, incumbent Mitch McConnell (R), who first took office in 1985, announced that he would not seek re-election in 2026.[1]
According to NBC News' Ben Kamisar, "McConnell's departure opens up a plum political office in a state that's been good to Republicans at the federal level — no Democrat has won a Senate race there in the 21st century. But there's been less room for Republicans to move up the ladder in the state than one might think: Kentucky has only had four senators since McConnell first won his seat in 1984. Though Beshear’s recent success could encourage some Democrats to run for the seat, it would still be considered an uphill battle, even if the political environment becomes more favorable for the party."[2]
Five of the six U.S. Representatives from Kentucky are Republicans and one is a Democrat. McConnell and U.S. Sen. Rand Paul are both Republicans.
Paul defeated Charles Booker (D) 61.8%-38.2% in the 2022 general election. McConnell defeated Amy McGrath (D) 57.8%-38.2% in the 2020 general election. The last time a Democrat won a U.S. Senate election in Kentucky was Wendell Ford in 1992.[3]
In the seven presidential elections from 2000 to 2024, Republican presidential candidates won the state's electoral votes. The last time a Democratic presidential candidate won the state's electoral votes was Bill Clinton (D) in 1992.
Kentucky has had a divided government since 2020. Republicans control both chambers of the state legislature, and Gov. Andy Beshear is a Democrat.
The outcome of this race will affect the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in the 120th Congress. Thirty-three of the 100 U.S. Senate seats are up for election, and another two seats are up for special election. Democrats hold 13 of the seats up for election, and Republicans hold 22.
Currently, Republicans have a 53-45 majority in the chamber.[4] To read more about the U.S. Senate elections taking place this year, click here.
This is one of 10 open U.S. Senate races this year in which an incumbent is not running for re-election. Across the country, four Democrats and six Republicans are not running for re-election — more than any year since 2012. In 2024, eight incumbents — four Democrats, two Republicans, and two independents — did not seek re-election.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2026 (May 19 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2026 (May 19 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
The candidate list in this election may not be complete.
The primary will occur on May 19, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.
General election for U.S. Senate Kentucky
Christopher Campbell is running in the general election for U.S. Senate Kentucky on November 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Christopher Campbell (Independent) | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky
The following candidates are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky on May 19, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Joshua Blanton Sr. | ||
| Charles Booker | ||
| Logan Forsythe | ||
| Amy McGrath | ||
| Dale Romans | ||
| Pamela Stevenson | ||
| Vincent Thompson | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joel Willett (D)
- Jared Randall (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky
The following candidates are running in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky on May 19, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Andy Barr | ||
| Daniel Cameron | ||
| Anissa Catlett | ||
| James Duncan | ||
Mike Faris ![]() | ||
| Val Fredrick | ||
| Jonathan Holliday | ||
| Jimmy Leon | ||
| Nate Morris | ||
Andrew Shelley ![]() | ||
| George Washington | ||
| Donald Wenzel | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Wende Kennedy (R)
- Jacob Trimble (R)
- Mitch McConnell (R)
May 19, 2026, Republican primary
Ballotpedia identified the May 19, 2026, Republican primary as a battleground election. For more on the Republican primary, click here. For more on the Democratic primary, click here.
Andy Barr, Daniel Cameron, Nate Morris, and nine others are running in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Kentucky on May 19, 2026. Incumbent Mitch McConnell (R) is not running, opening the seat for the first time since McConnell's election in 1984.[5] As of February 16, 2026, Barr, Cameron, and Morris led in polling, fundraising, endorsements, and media attention.
The election takes place against the backdrop of a divide between establishment Republicanism, associated with McConnell, and an America First Republicanism, associated with President Donald Trump (R). Barr, Cameron, and Morris have distanced themselves from McConnell and are campaigning as America First Republicans and allies of Trump. Morris, however, has positioned himself as a political outsider and alleges Barr and Cameron would align with McConnell rather than Trump in the Senate. Barr and Cameron question Morris' alignment with America First Republicanism by citing Morris' past involvement and support of liberal figures and issues.[6][7][8]
The Lexington Herald-Leader's Austin Horn wrote on the potential advantages for each candidate. Citing support from Vice President J.D. Vance (R), Turning Point USA, Donald Trump Jr., and Elon Musk, Horn says of Morris: "These are the kind of connections that lead some to believe Morris is best positioned to get an endorsement from Trump. ... Trump could decide the fate of the primary if he endorses a candidate."[9] According to Horn, Barr and Cameron have greater name recognition at the state level. "It’s not just name ID, the Cameron camp would argue. It’s organic name ID. Kentuckians know him because of the things he’s done, not the ads he’s run."[9] And for Barr, "he has what Cameron and Morris have: a base and money. ... Unlike Cameron, he has plenty of resources to pay for television ads, consultants to fashion them and a team of organizers to crisscross the state. And unlike Morris, he started with some amount of name ID and support."[9]
Barr represents Kentucky's 6th Congressional District. He says, "I'm running for Senate to help our president save this great country. Together, we'll cut taxes, slash waste, and fire the deep state bureaucrats who steal our freedoms. We'll deport illegal aliens instead of putting them up in luxury hotels. And my plan for these insane DEI initiatives is pretty simple. DIE."[10]
Cameron is the CEO of 1792 Exchange and served as Kentucky's attorney general from 2019 to 2024.[11] He says, "The core pillars of my campaign are simple: advance President Trump’s America First agenda, a faith-centered approach to public service, restore law and order, and a promise to root out DEI."[12]
Morris is the founder, chairman, and CEO of Morris Industries.[13] He says, "I'm running for Senate because Kentucky deserves a US Senator who supports President Trump and his America First agenda and isn't a controlled puppet of Mitch McConnell."[14]
Thirty-three of the 100 U.S. Senate seats are up for election, and another two seats are up for special election. Democrats hold 13 of the seats up for election, and Republicans hold 22. As of January 2026, 11 members of the U.S. Senate announced they are not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. Senate elections taking place this year, click here.
This is one of 10 open U.S. Senate races this year in which an incumbent is not running for re-election. Across the country, four Democrats and six Republicans are not running for re-election — more than any year since 2012. In 2024, eight incumbents — four Democrats, two Republicans, and two independents — did not seek re-election.
Mike Faris (R) and Andrew Shelley (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.
Also running in the primary are Anissa Catlett, James Duncan, Val Fredrick, Jonathan Holliday, Jimmy Leon, George Washington, and Donald Wenzel.
Recent updates
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election, such as debates, polls, and noteworthy endorsements. Know of something we missed? Let us know.
- March 18, 2026
- March 16, 2026
Barr, Cameron, and Morris participated in a debate hosted by the Jefferson County Republican Party.[22]
- Feb. 5, 2026
Quantus Insights published results from a poll they had conducted of 870 likely Republican voters, showing Barr winning 28% of the vote, Cameron 27%, and Morris 17%. The margin of error was ± 3.3.[20]
Emerson College published results from a poll they had conducted of 523 likely Republican voters, showing Barr winning 24% of the vote, Cameron 21%, and Morris 14%. The margin of error was ± 4.2.[21]
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- United States House of Representatives, Kentucky District 6 (Assumed office: 2013)
Biography: Barr received a B.A. in government and philosophy from the University of Virginia in 1996 and a J.D. from the University of Kentucky in 2001.
Show sources
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Attorney General of Kentucky (2019-2024)
Biography: Cameron received a B.S. in political science and a J.D. from the University of Louisville in 2008 and 2011, respectively. As of the election, he was the CEO of 1792 Exchange.
Show sources
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "A native of Elizabethtown, Kentucky with a 20 year career in aviation maintenance. A veteran of the U.S. Air Force and small business owner of PRIMEHAWX, LLC."
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Morris received a B.A. in political science from the George Washington University and an M.B.A. from the University of Oxford. As of the election, he was the founder, chairman, and CEO of Morris Industries.
Show sources
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Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "I am Andrew Nicholas "Nick" Shelley. I am seeking the office of US Senate for Kentucky to give this voice back to the people of Kentucky. I am a Christian, Husband, Dad of 4 young children, and the oldest son of parents that worked hard to grant me a chance to succeed in life. My grandfathers both fought in World War 2. My maternal grandfather was a humble man. My paternal grandfather was a business man and farmer. I grew up instilled with working values and taught to respect everyone from every walk of life. As a Christian I take the word of Jesus to love thy neighbor to heart. I want everyone to have a chance to achieve their personal best in life. I work within a 3rd generation family business and farms. I am a volunteer firefighter. I have been a Correctional Officer, Kentucky State Police Dispatcher, and worked for 2 other highly respected family businesses. I have traveled various places across our magnificent Earth and gotten to know many people of various cultures. Yet; I have also overcome addiction too. I know what it means to do well in life, then hit rock bottom, and then fight my way back again. I will fight that hard for my fellow Kentuckians and Americans too. America isn't working unless it is working for EVERY American!"
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Kentucky
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Blanton Sr. | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Charles Booker | Democratic Party | $77,155 | $3,056 | $74,099 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Logan Forsythe | Democratic Party | $46,938 | $43,805 | $3,133 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Amy McGrath | Democratic Party | $1,362,349 | $1,024,866 | $337,483 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Dale Romans | Democratic Party | $762,958 | $185,441 | $577,517 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Pamela Stevenson | Democratic Party | $266,963 | $242,099 | $24,864 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Vincent Thompson | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Andy Barr | Republican Party | $6,489,657 | $3,711,685 | $6,471,050 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Daniel Cameron | Republican Party | $1,604,449 | $974,433 | $630,016 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Anissa Catlett | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| James Duncan | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Mike Faris | Republican Party | $41,721 | $67,531 | $-25,810 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Val Fredrick | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Jonathan Holliday | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Jimmy Leon | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Nate Morris | Republican Party | $6,005,803 | $4,581,141 | $1,424,662 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Andrew Shelley | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| George Washington | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Donald Wenzel | Republican Party | $2,431 | $2,431 | $0 | As of March 15, 2026 |
| Christopher Campbell | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," . This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[24]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[25][26][27]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Kentucky, 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| 3/17/2026 | 3/10/2026 | 3/3/2026 | 2/24/2026 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Kentucky in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Kentucky, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2026 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Kentucky | U.S. Senate | Democratic or Republican | 2 | $500.00 | 1/9/2026 | Source |
| Kentucky | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 5,000 | $500.00 | 6/2/2026 | Source |
Election history
The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2016.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Kentucky
Incumbent Rand Paul defeated Charles Booker, Charles Lee Thomason, and Billy Ray Wilson in the general election for U.S. Senate Kentucky on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Rand Paul (R) | 61.8 | 913,326 | |
Charles Booker (D) ![]() | 38.2 | 564,311 | ||
| Charles Lee Thomason (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 145 | ||
| Billy Ray Wilson (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 48 | ||
| Total votes: 1,477,830 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David Biery (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky
Charles Booker defeated Joshua Blanton Sr., John Merrill, and Ruth Gao in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Charles Booker ![]() | 73.3 | 214,245 | |
| Joshua Blanton Sr. | 10.6 | 30,980 | ||
John Merrill ![]() | 9.9 | 28,931 | ||
Ruth Gao ![]() | 6.2 | 18,154 | ||
| Total votes: 292,310 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Rand Paul | 86.4 | 333,051 | |
Val Fredrick ![]() | 3.6 | 14,018 | ||
| Paul Hamilton | 3.5 | 13,473 | ||
| Arnold Blankenship | 2.6 | 10,092 | ||
| Tami Stainfield | 2.5 | 9,526 | ||
| John Schiess | 1.4 | 5,538 | ||
| Total votes: 385,698 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2020
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Kentucky
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Kentucky on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Mitch McConnell (R) | 57.8 | 1,233,315 | |
| Amy McGrath (D) | 38.2 | 816,257 | ||
| Brad Barron (L) | 4.0 | 85,386 | ||
Paul John Frangedakis (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 70 | ||
| Daniel Cobble (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 18 | ||
| Randall Lee Teegarden (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 9 | ||
| Total votes: 2,135,055 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Derek Leonard Petteys (Reform Party)
- Alyssa Dara McDowell (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Amy McGrath | 45.4 | 247,037 | |
| Charles Booker | 42.6 | 231,888 | ||
Mike Broihier ![]() | 5.0 | 27,175 | ||
| Mary Ann Tobin | 2.0 | 11,108 | ||
| Maggie Jo Hilliard | 1.1 | 6,224 | ||
| Andrew Maynard | 1.1 | 5,974 | ||
Bennie Smith ![]() | 0.9 | 5,040 | ||
Jimmy Ausbrooks ![]() | 0.7 | 3,629 | ||
Eric Rothmuller ![]() | 0.6 | 2,995 | ||
| John Sharpensteen | 0.5 | 2,992 | ||
| Total votes: 544,062 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kevin Elliott (D)
- Loretta Babalmoradi Noble (D)
- Matt Jones (D)
- Joshua Paul Edwards (D)
- Steven Cox (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Mitch McConnell | 82.8 | 342,660 | |
| C. Wesley Morgan | 6.2 | 25,588 | ||
| Louis Grider | 3.3 | 13,771 | ||
Paul John Frangedakis ![]() | 2.9 | 11,957 | ||
| Naren James | 2.6 | 10,693 | ||
| Kenneth Lowndes | 1.3 | 5,548 | ||
| Nicholas Alsager | 0.9 | 3,603 | ||
| Total votes: 413,820 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Karl Das (R)
- Wendell Crow (R)
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Kentucky
Brad Barron advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Kentucky on March 7, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | Brad Barron (L) | |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 57.3% | 1,090,177 | ||
| Democratic | Jim Gray | 42.7% | 813,246 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 42 | |
| Total Votes | 1,903,465 | |||
| Source: Kentucky Secretary of State | ||||
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
| District | Incumbent | PVI |
|---|---|---|
| Kentucky's 1st | James Comer | R+23 |
| Kentucky's 2nd | Brett Guthrie | R+20 |
| Kentucky's 3rd | Morgan McGarvey | D+10 |
| Kentucky's 4th | Thomas Massie | R+18 |
| Kentucky's 5th | Hal Rogers | R+32 |
| Kentucky's 6th | Andy Barr | R+7 |
2024 presidential results by 2026 congressional district lines
| District | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump |
|---|---|---|
| Kentucky's 1st | 26.0% | 73.0% |
| Kentucky's 2nd | 29.0% | 70.0% |
| Kentucky's 3rd | 59.0% | 40.0% |
| Kentucky's 4th | 31.0% | 67.0% |
| Kentucky's 5th | 17.0% | 81.0% |
| Kentucky's 6th | 42.0% | 57.0% |
| Source: The Downballot | ||
2016-2024
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2024 presidential election, 75.9% of Kentuckians lived in one of the state's 118 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2016 to 2024, and 24.1% lived in one of 2 Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Kentucky was Solid Republican, having voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016, Donald Trump (R) in 2020, and Donald Trump (R) in 2024. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Kentucky following the 2024 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Kentucky county-level statistics, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Republican | 118 | 75.9% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 2 | 24.1% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 2 | 24.1% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 118 | 75.9% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Kentucky presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 16 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Kentucky.
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Kentucky
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Kentucky.
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Kentucky's congressional delegation as of October 2025.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Kentucky | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Republican | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 6 | 8 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Kentucky's top four state executive offices as of October 2025.
| Office | Officeholder |
|---|---|
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General |
State legislature
Kentucky State Senate
| Party | As of January 2026 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 6 | |
| Republican Party | 32 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 38 | |
Kentucky House of Representatives
| Party | As of January 2026 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 20 | |
| Republican Party | 80 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 100 | |
Trifecta control
Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
The table below details demographic data in Kentucky and compares it to the broader United States as of 2023.
| Demographic Data for Kentucky | ||
|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | United States | |
| Population | 4,505,836 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 39,485 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 83.7% | 63.4% |
| Black/African American | 7.9% | 12.4% |
| Asian | 1.5% | 5.8% |
| Native American | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Other (single race) | 1.5% | 6.6% |
| Multiple | 5.2% | 10.7% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 4.7% | 19% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 88.5% | 89.4% |
| College graduation rate | 27% | 35% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $62,417 | $78,538 |
| Persons below poverty level | 16.1% | 12.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2018-2023). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Mitch McConnell Official Website, "McConnell Remarks on Final Senate Term," February 20, 2025
- ↑ NBC News, "Potential Mitch McConnell successors begin lining up for Kentucky's Senate race," February 20, 2025
- ↑ WYMT, "Kentucky political landscape shifts ahead of Senate race," May 27, 2025
- ↑ Both independent U.S. senators — Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) — caucus with the Democrats.
- ↑ Kentucky Lantern, "Endorsement war brews among Kentucky Republicans ahead of primary election," February 6, 2026
- ↑ The Hill, "Super PAC backing Andy Barr launches $2.5M ad buy in Kentucky Senate race," February 9, 2026
- ↑ Courier Journal, "Ad wars over McConnell's Senate seat are heating up. What candidates are saying," July 14, 2025
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Mitch McConnell is taking a beating in the race to replace him," February 16, 2026
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 Lexington Herald-Leader, "State of the KY Senate race: Barr, Cameron & Morris’ paths to the GOP nomination," January 20, 2026
- ↑ Andy Barr for Senate, "I'm running for U.S. Senate!" April 22, 2025
- ↑ Daniel Cameron 2026 campaign website, "Home," accessed February 17, 2026
- ↑ Facebook, "Daniel Cameron," January 8, 2026
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Nate Morris," accessed February 23, 2026
- ↑ X, "Nate Morris," June 26, 2025
- ↑ McLaughlin & Associates, "Survey Summary," April 21, 2025
- ↑ co/efficient, "Ballot," October 10, 2025
- ↑ Fox 56 News, "Kentucky Senate candidates discuss trade, labor in early forum," October 29, 2025
- ↑ SCRIBD, "Kentucky First Action Survey Findings Memo 1-26," January 13, 2026
- ↑ New York Post, "Charlie Kirk-backed Senate candidate Nate Morris surging in race to replace Mitch McConnell," February 4, 2026
- ↑ Quantus Insights, "Kentucky US Senate Primary," accessed February 17, 2026
- ↑ Emerson College, "Kentucky 2026 Poll: GOP Voters Split in Three-Way Primary to Succeed McConnell," February 5, 2026
- ↑ Louisville Courier Journal, "Barbs, zingers but no major policy breaks in GOP's KY Senate debate," March 17, 2026
- ↑ X, "Nathanael Hirt," March 18, 2026
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
= candidate completed the