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United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)

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2026
2020
U.S. Senate, Kentucky
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 25, 2022
Primary: May 17, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent:
Rand Paul (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Voting in Kentucky
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
U.S. Senate, Kentucky
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th
Kentucky elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Republican Party primary took place on May 17, 2022, in Kentucky to determine which Republican candidate would run in the state's general election on November 8, 2022.

Incumbent Rand Paul advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
January 25, 2022
May 17, 2022
November 8, 2022


Heading into the election, the incumbent was Rand Paul (Republican), who was first elected in 2010.

A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Kentucky utilizes a closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[1][2][3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Kentucky's United States Senate Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Kentucky on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rand Paul
Rand Paul
 
86.4
 
333,051
Image of Val Fredrick
Val Fredrick Candidate Connection
 
3.6
 
14,018
Image of Paul Hamilton
Paul Hamilton
 
3.5
 
13,473
Arnold Blankenship
 
2.6
 
10,092
Image of Tami Stainfield
Tami Stainfield
 
2.5
 
9,526
Image of John Schiess
John Schiess
 
1.4
 
5,538

Total votes: 385,698
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Rand Paul Republican Party $28,286,112 $23,149,602 $5,365,435 As of December 31, 2022
Arnold Blankenship Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Val Fredrick Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Paul Hamilton Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
John Schiess Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Tami Stainfield Republican Party $27,130 $42,941 $-15,812 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Kentucky in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Kentucky, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Kentucky U.S. Senate Democratic or Republican 2 $500.00 1/25/2022 Source
Kentucky U.S. Senate Unaffiliated 5,000 $500.00 6/7/2022 Source

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Kentucky and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Kentucky, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Kentucky's 1st James Comer Ends.png Republican R+24
Kentucky's 2nd Brett Guthrie Ends.png Republican R+21
Kentucky's 3rd Open Electiondot.png Democratic D+9
Kentucky's 4th Thomas Massie Ends.png Republican R+19
Kentucky's 5th Hal Rogers Ends.png Republican R+32
Kentucky's 6th Andy Barr Ends.png Republican R+9


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Kentucky[6]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Kentucky's 1st 27.9% 70.6%
Kentucky's 2nd 30.8% 67.5%
Kentucky's 3rd 60.2% 37.9%
Kentucky's 4th 32.8% 65.4%
Kentucky's 5th 19.7% 79.1%
Kentucky's 6th 43.5% 54.5%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 74.2% of Kentuckians lived in one of the state's 116 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 24.5% lived in one of two Solid Democratic counties: Fayette and Jefferson. Overall, Kentucky was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Kentucky following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Kentucky presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D R R D D D D D D R R D R R D R R R D D R R R R R R

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Kentucky

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Kentucky.

U.S. Senate election results in Kentucky
Race Winner Runner up
2020 57.8%Republican Party 38.2%Democratic Party
2016 57.3%Republican Party 42.7%Democratic Party
2014 56.1%Republican Party 40.7%Democratic Party
2010 55.8%Republican Party 44.2%Democratic Party
2008 53.0%Republican Party 47.0%Democratic Party
Average 56.0 42.6

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Kentucky

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Kentucky.

Gubernatorial election results in Kentucky
Race Winner Runner up
2019 49.2%Democratic Party 48.8%Republican Party
2015 52.5%Republican Party 43.8%Democratic Party
2011 55.7%Democratic Party 35.3%Republican Party
2007 58.7%Democratic Party 41.3%Republican Party
2003 55.0%Republican Party 45.0%Democratic Party
Average 54.2 42.8

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Kentucky's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Kentucky, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 1 1
Republican 2 5 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 6 8

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Kentucky's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Kentucky, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Andy Beshear
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Jacqueline Coleman
Secretary of State Republican Party Michael Adams
Attorney General Republican Party Daniel Cameron

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Kentucky General Assembly as of November 2022.

Kentucky State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 8
     Republican Party 29
     Vacancies 1
Total 38

Kentucky House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 25
     Republican Party 75
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Kentucky was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Kentucky and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Kentucky
Kentucky United States
Population 4,339,367 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 39,491 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 87% 72.5%
Black/African American 8.1% 12.7%
Asian 1.5% 5.5%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1% 4.9%
Multiple 2.3% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 3.7% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 86.3% 88%
College graduation rate 24.2% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $50,589 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 17.3% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," February 06, 2024
  2. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  3. Kentucky State Board of Elections,"Key Information," accessed July 26, 2024
  4. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)