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United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)
- Primary date: Aug. 2
- Mail-in registration deadline: July 6
- Online reg. deadline: July 6
- In-person reg. deadline: July 6
- Early voting starts: N/A
- Early voting ends: N/A
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: Aug. 2
2024 →
← 2018
|
| U.S. Senate, Missouri |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 29, 2022 |
| Primary: August 2, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent: Roy Blunt (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Missouri |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Missouri elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
Eric Schmitt won the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Missouri on August 2, 2022. Schmitt received 46% of the vote. Vicky Hartzler was second with 22% and Eric Greitens was third with 19%.[1]
Twenty-one candidates ran. Greitens, Hartzler, and Schmitt led in media attention, endorsements, polling, and fundraising.[2][3][4] For a full list of other candidates running in the Republican primary, click here.
Incumbent Roy Blunt (R), who was first elected in 2010, announced on March 8, 2021, that he would not seek election to a third term in 2022.[5]
At the time of the primary, Schmitt had served as attorney general of Missouri since 2019. Schmitt also previously served as treasurer of Missouri and was a member of the Missouri State Senate representing District 15. Schmitt worked as a private-practice attorney and taught a course on American civics at Saint Louis University, his alma mater.[6] Schmitt said he "defended President Trump at every turn and fought for justice for Missourians against the radical left, Big Tech, and even the Communist Party of China," and that "with Joe Biden in the White House and a liberal takeover in the House and Senate, we need a proven Conservative to take the fight to the Senate and save our values, our culture, and our country."[7]
Greitens was the governor of Missouri from 2017 until June 1, 2018, when he resigned following investigations into allegations of sexual misconduct and misuse of campaign information. Greitens also served as a U.S. Navy SEAL officer and founded The Mission Continues, a nonprofit group that connects veterans with volunteer work to help them in their post-military transitions.[8] “We need fighters who are willing to do what it takes to take our country back, to take our country back from the left. And also we need fighters who are willing to take on the establishment — take on the mainstream media," Greitens said.[9]
At the time of the primary, Hartzler had represented Missouri's 4th Congressional District since 2011. Hartzler also worked as a high school teacher and served as spokeswoman for the Coalition to Protect Marriage, an organization that supported an amendment to the Missouri Constitution barring gay marriage, in 2004.[10][11] Gov. Matt Blunt (R) appointed Hartzler to the Missouri Women's Council, an agency within the Missouri Department of Economic Development, where she served from 2005 to 2007.[10] According to her campaign website, Hartzler ran for U.S. Senate "to protect our freedoms and preserve America’s greatness with a vision that puts our country first," adding, "I listen. I care. I fight. I get things done."[12][13]
Both Hartzler and Schmitt referenced the allegations against Greitens in their campaigns. "Real men never abuse women and children. Period, end of story. It's time for Eric to get out of the Senate race and to get professional help," Hartzler said.[14] “This race comes down to me and Eric Greitens, who quit and was a former governor, lots of scandals, would lose the seat to the Democrats. It’s just a mess. And he’s a quitter,” Schmitt said.[15]
Greitens said the accusations were "completely fabricated, baseless allegations."[14] Greitens' campaign manager, Dylan Johnson, said, “The only reason these RINOs are willing to fund their lies is because Gov. Greitens is leading the entire field by a mile in recent public polling.”[16]
According to Politico's Alex Isenstadt, "Top party officials, in Missouri and nationally, worry that should [Greitens] win the Republican nomination, he would jeopardize the party’s ability to retain the seat in the general election." Show Me Values PAC, a political committee, that, according to Isenstadt, was funded by "Missouri-based Republican Party donors," sponsored ads criticizing Greitens. In response to the ads, Johnson said, “These swamp creatures and grifters know their time at the trough is finished. That’s why they’re scared of America First champion Governor Greitens.”[17]
As of August 1, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter and Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales both rated the general election as Solid Republican, while Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Likely Republican. In the 2016 general election, Blunt defeated Jason Kander (D) 49%-46%. In the 2020 general election, former President Donald Trump won the state by 15 percentage points.[18]
At the time of the primary, Missouri primary elections were open, meaning that a voter can participate in the partisan primary of his or her choice. The winner of a primary election is the candidate who wins the greatest number of votes cast for that office, even if he or she does not receive an outright majority of votes.[19][20][21][22]
C.W. Gardner (R) and Curtis D. Vaughn (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.
This page focuses on Missouri's United States Senate Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022
Election news
Click below to view a timeline leading up to the election, including polling, debates, and other noteworthy events.
- August 2, 2022: Schmitt won the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Missouri on August 2 with 46% of the vote. Hartzler was second with 22% and Greitens third with 19%.[23]
- August 1, 2022: Former President Donald Trump (R) released a statement endorsing "Eric" in the race, but did not say whether he was endorsing Greitens or Schmitt. Greitens and Schmitt both claimed the endorsement.[24]
- July 28, 2022: The Missouri Scout released a poll showing Schmitt leading with 34% of the vote.[25]
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Eric Schmitt | 45.6 | 299,282 |
 | Vicky Hartzler | 22.1 | 144,903 | |
 | Eric Greitens | 18.9 | 124,155 | |
 | Billy Long | 5.0 | 32,603 | |
 | Mark McCloskey | 3.0 | 19,540 | |
 | Dave Schatz | 1.1 | 7,509 | |
| Patrick Lewis | 0.9 | 6,085 | ||
 | Curtis D. Vaughn  | 0.5 | 3,451 | |
| Eric McElroy | 0.4 | 2,805 | ||
| Robert Allen | 0.3 | 2,111 | ||
 | C.W. Gardner | 0.3 | 2,044 | |
| Dave Sims | 0.3 | 1,949 | ||
 | Bernie Mowinski | 0.2 | 1,602 | |
| Deshon Porter | 0.2 | 1,574 | ||
 | Darrell Leon McClanahan III | 0.2 | 1,139 | |
| Rickey Joiner | 0.2 | 1,084 | ||
| Robert Olson | 0.2 | 1,081 | ||
| Dennis Lee Chilton | 0.1 | 755 | ||
 | Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr | 0.1 | 685 | |
| Kevin Schepers | 0.1 | 681 | ||
| Hartford Tunnell | 0.1 | 637 | ||
| Total votes: 655,675 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Brinkmann (R)
- Dan McQueen (R)
- Ronald Deets (R)
- Rik Combs (R)
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "C.W. Gardner was born in St. Louis, Missouri. C.W. attended Lindenwood University in the early 2000s and recently earned verified certificates of course completion from HarvardX and MITx. Gardner's career experience includes employment as a working-class doorman, notary, treasure hunter, and radio producer. He once placed sixth in a high school junior varsity cross country meet."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
Governor of Missouri (2017-2018)
Biography: Greitens graduated from Duke University and was a Rhodes Scholar and a White House fellow. He served as a U.S. Navy SEAL and fought in Afghanistan and in Iraq. Greitens is also the founder of a nonprofit group, The Mission Continues, which connects veterans with volunteer work to help them in their post-military transitions.
Show sources
Sources: St. Louis Public Radio, "For Missouri Republicans, angst over Eric Greitens is about more than winning in the fall," April 27, 2022; Eric Greitens, "Our Team," accessed July 10, 2022; Politico, "Trump’s McConnell obsession leads him toward Eric Greitens, March 4, 2022; Navy Times, "Former Navy SEAL Greitens running for Missouri governor," September 28, 2015
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- United States House of Representatives (Assumed office: 2011)
- Missouri House of Representatives (1995-2001)
Biography: Hartzler received a B.S. in education from the University of Missouri and a M.S. in education from Central Missouri State University. She worked as a high school teacher and was involved in the Coalition to Protect Marriage and the Missouri Women's Council.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Attorney General of Missouri (Assumed office: 2019)
- Treasurer of Missouri (2017-2019)
- Missouri State Senate District 15 (2008-2017)
Biography: Schmitt received a B.A. from Truman State University and a J.D. from Saint Louis University. His professional experience included working as an attorney and serving as a Glendale city alderman.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Fellow Ozarkians, Missourians, Americans- My name is Curtis. Thirty-Four years ago, I was born in Springfield, Mo. I spent most of life growing up in my hometown of Lebanon, Mo. I have lived on both coasts, but returned and found Springfield and The Ozarks as home. The hills and hollars, the creeks, the lakes, the rivers, the caves of this plateau- these are all home. My goals in life are to leave the Ozarks a better place, take care of the community, and build up democracy. In my professional life, I am a valet attendant, informal ambassador, a forever student, and a volunteer wherever I am needed. In March of this year, I saw the need to be there for all of us. I said I am this person. I volunteered and signed up as a moderate, standing against the violence, bigotry, injustice, espoused by radical right Republican U.S. Senate candidates. I said, we are going another way- to an America, a robust democracy, for all Americans; to become the best generation. I have always tried to be here for us. No, this was not easy, nor convenient. Yes, I need to grow and learn. No, I don't have resources. But, I said. Yes, I am enough. And so are you; all of you. I chose to serve, to be the candidate that works across the aisle, stands up for right, for full citizenship for all Americans, to bring us back from the extremes, to build up democracy, keep out the most corrupt, and show how to take care of one another. August 2nd. Look to the last candidate on the ballot- CDV"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
C.W. Gardner (R)
C.W. will make sure the U.S. government finally employs a carbon tax on emitters. Ideally, the money collected from the tax would be returned equally to the American public through a carbon dividend.
C.W. will work to abolish the illogical and undemocratic Electoral College system.
Curtis D. Vaughn (R)
Full Citizenship- We should listen to the mothers, daughters, women, of this nation.
This experiment, of a nation for the people, by the people, America, is up to you and I my friends. You too are qualified.
C.W. Gardner (R)
- Legalizing marijuana at the federal level - Eradicating potholes - Banning single-ply toilet paper - Building high-speed rail across Missouri - Abolishing the undemocratic Electoral College/Voting rights - Universal healthcare - Renewable energy (wind, water, and solar) - Carbon tax/Carbon dividends - Teaching Critical Race Theory (traditional and Dale Earnhardt Sr. versions) - Legalizing sports betting across the U.S. - Unions and working-class folks - $20 federal minimum wage - Pro-housing policies (YIMBY) - Full governmental disclosure of UFO existence and extraterrestrial presence - Expanding access to legal immigration - Vitalizing the River des Peres
Curtis D. Vaughn (R)
-Candidates shall no longer roll funding from the current campaign to the next election cycle- these funds shall be divided and dispersed blindly, at random, amongst many non profits or to pay down the national debt.
Debate Reforms: -Rules for a minimum number of town halls and debates, inviting all candidates, shall be implemented. -All candidates shall be allowed fair and equal standing to forums of exchange. -All candidates must attend within reason a number of debates invited to. -Any candidate shall be disqualified from the race when found to be intentionally skipping debates. -Resources shall exist for all candidates to become coached and skilled, with public speaking and debating.
Term Limits: -Personally I will pledge to two terms in U.S. Senate.
I support a maximum of -two 6 year terms for all U.S Senators. -three 2 year terms for U.S. Representatives. -20 year total service time limit for all federal public office holders. -retirement of all federal public officeholders by seventy years of age.
Voting Reforms: -American Freedom Voting- Rank Choice Voting
-The right to vote and the right to serve in office, for all Americans, of age and within time or term limits, excluding only those proven attempted, completed, or inciting the overthrow of any jurisdiction, or democracy itself, shall not be abridged, nor infringed.
-Within reason candidate town halls shall be required to be in all communities.
Campaign advertisements
Robert Allen
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Robert Allen while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
C.W. Gardner
| July 27, 2022 |
| July 23, 2022 |
| July 2, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Eric Greitens
| July 30, 2022 |
| July 21, 2022 |
| July 20, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Vicky Hartzler
| July 27, 2022 |
| July 11, 2022 |
| June 30, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Rickey Joiner
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Rickey Joiner while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Dennis Lee Chilton
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Rickey Joiner while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Patrick Lewis
Have a link to Patrick Lewis' campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Billy Long
| March 2, 2022 |
| August 10, 2021 |
View more ads here:
Darrell Leon McClanahan III
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Darrell Leon McClanahan III while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Mark McCloskey
| June 11, 2021 |
View more ads here:
Eric McElroy
Have a link to Eric McElroy's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Bernie Mowinski
Have a link to Bernie Mowinski's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Robert Olsen
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Robert Olsen while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Deshon Porter
Have a link to Deshon Porter's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Dave Schatz
Have a link to Dave Shatz's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Kevin Schepers
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Kevin Schepers while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Eric Schmitt
| July 20, 2022 |
| July 12, 2022 |
| July 5, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Dave Sims
Have a link to Dave Sim's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Hartford Tunnell
Have a link to Hartford Tunnell's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Curtis D. Vaughn
Have a link to Curtis D. Vaughn's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Satellite ads
This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.
Show Me Values PAC
On July 5, 2022, Show Me Values PAC released an ad opposing Greitens.[27]
| July 5, 2022 |
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
May 31 debate
On May 31, 2022, Billy Long, Dave Schatz, and Mark McCloskey participated in a debate hosted by the Greene County Republican Party.[28]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
News and conflicts in this primary
This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican Senate primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 33 (August 4, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 31 (July 14, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 28 (June 23, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 10 (February 17, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 1 (November 18, 2021)
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
| Republican primary endorsements | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Endorser | Eric Greitens | Vicky Hartzler | Mark McCloskey | Eric Schmitt
|
| Government officials | ||||
| Sen. Ted Cruz (R) source | ✔ | |||
| Sen. Deb Fischer (R) source | ✔ | |||
| Sen. Josh Hawley (R) source | ✔ | |||
| Sen. Mike Lee (R) source | ✔ | |||
| Sen. Roger Marshall (R) source | ✔ | |||
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) source | ✔ | |||
| Individuals | ||||
| Michele Bachmann source | ✔ | |||
| Steve Cortes source | ✔ | |||
| Michael Flynn source | ✔ | |||
| Rudy Giuliani source | ✔ | |||
| Matthew Whitaker source | ✔ | |||
| Ryan K. Zinke source | ✔ | |||
| Organizations | ||||
| Americans for Prosperity-Missouri source | ✔ | |||
| Gun Owners of America source | ✔ | |||
| Maggie's List source | ✔ | |||
| Missouri Right to Life PAC source | ✔ | |||
| Senate Conservatives Fund source | ✔ | |||
| Susan B. Anthony List source | ✔ | |||
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[29] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[30] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
| United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary) election polls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Greitens
|
Hartzler
|
Long
|
McCloskey
|
Schmitt
|
Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[31] | Sponsor[32] |
| Missouri Scout | July 27-28, 2022 | 18% | 22% | 6% | 5% | 34% | 8% | ± 3.4% | 818 | - |
| SurveyUSA | July 24-27, 2022 | 20% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 28% | 21% | ± 4.2% | 787 | KMOV-TV |
| Emerson Polling | June 2-5, 2022 | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 20% | 27% | ± 3% | 1,000 | The Hill |
| Survey USA | May 11-15, 2022 | 26% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 17% | 28% | ± 5% | 1,412 | KCTV-TV Kansas City |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[33]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[34][35][36]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Missouri, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[37] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[38] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Allen | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| C.W. Gardner | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Eric Greitens | Republican Party | $2,310,820 | $2,298,041 | $12,779 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Vicky Hartzler | Republican Party | $3,813,033 | $4,456,982 | $1,483 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Rickey Joiner | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Dennis Lee Chilton | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Patrick Lewis | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Billy Long | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Darrell Leon McClanahan III | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Mark McCloskey | Republican Party | $1,105,914 | $1,105,914 | $0 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Eric McElroy | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Bernie Mowinski | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Robert Olson | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Deshon Porter | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Dave Schatz | Republican Party | $2,311,160 | $2,311,160 | $0 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Kevin Schepers | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Eric Schmitt | Republican Party | $6,536,881 | $6,436,644 | $103,127 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Dave Sims | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $250 | As of January 31, 2022 |
| Hartford Tunnell | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Curtis D. Vaughn | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," . This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[39][40][41]
If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
| Satellite spending in United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary) | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Organization | Amount | Date | Purpose | |||||||||||
| Show Me Values | $1,000,000 | June 24, 2022 | Ads opposing Greitens | |||||||||||
Noteworthy events
Trump endorsement
On August 1, former President Donald Trump (R) released a statement endorsing "Eric" in the race. "I trust the Great People of Missouri, on this one, to make up their own minds, much as they did when they gave me landslide victories in the 2016 and 2020 Elections, and I am therefore proud to announce that ERIC has my Complete and Total Endorsement," Trump said. Trump did not say whether he was endorsing Greitens or Schmitt.[24]
On August 2, the day of the primary, both Greitens and Schmitt claimed the endorsement. Greitens said, "I'm proud to be endorsed by President Donald J. Trump for the US Senate in Missouri," and Schmitt said he had been “endorsed by President Trump” at a pre-election rally.[42][43] According to NBC News' Marc Caputo, a Trump advisor called the endorsement "an epic troll" and said, “Instead of talking about Missouri, the Erics are debating what Trump’s endorsement means.”[24]
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Missouri, 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Missouri's 1st | Cori Bush |  Democratic |
D+27 |
| Missouri's 2nd | Ann Wagner |  Republican |
R+7 |
| Missouri's 3rd | Blaine Luetkemeyer | Republican |
R+16 |
| Missouri's 4th | Open | Republican |
R+23 |
| Missouri's 5th | Emanuel Cleaver | Democratic |
D+11 |
| Missouri's 6th | Sam Graves | Republican |
R+21 |
| Missouri's 7th | Open | Republican |
R+24 |
| Missouri's 8th | Jason Smith | Republican |
R+28 |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Missouri[44] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump
| ||
| Missouri's 1st | 78.4% | 20.0% | ||
| Missouri's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.0% | ||
| Missouri's 3rd | 35.9% | 62.2% | ||
| Missouri's 4th | 29.3% | 68.7% | ||
| Missouri's 5th | 62.2% | 35.9% | ||
| Missouri's 6th | 30.6% | 67.7% | ||
| Missouri's 7th | 28.4% | 69.8% | ||
| Missouri's 8th | 23.6% | 75.0% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 64.2% of Missourians lived in one of the state's 111 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 35.8% lived in one of four Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Missouri was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Missouri following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.[45]
| Missouri county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Republican | 111 | 64.2% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 111 | 64.2% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Missouri presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 17 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Missouri.
| U.S. Senate election results in Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2018 | 51.4% |
45.6%
|
| 2016 | 49.3% |
46.2%
|
| 2012 | 54.8% |
39.0%
|
| 2010 | 54.3% |
40.6%
|
| 2006 | 49.6% |
47.3%
|
| Average | 51.9 | 43.7 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Missouri
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Missouri.
| Gubernatorial election results in Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 57.1% |
40.7%
|
| 2016 | 51.1% |
45.6%
|
| 2012 | 54.8% |
42.5%
|
| 2008 | 58.4% |
39.5%
|
| 2004 | 50.8% |
47.8%
|
| Average | 54.4 | 43.2 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Missouri's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Missouri, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Missouri's top four state executive offices as November 2022.
| State executive officials in Missouri, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Mike Parson
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Mike Kehoe
|
| Secretary of State | Jay Ashcroft
|
| Attorney General | Eric Schmitt
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Missouri General Assembly as of November 2022.
Missouri State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 10 | |
| Republican Party | 24 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 34 | |
Missouri House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 48 | |
| Republican Party | 107 | |
| Vacancies | 8 | |
| Total | 163 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Missouri was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Missouri Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Missouri and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | United States | |
| Population | 5,988,927 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 68,746 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 82.2% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 2% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 1.2% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 2.6% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 4.2% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 89.9% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 29.2% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $55,461 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 13.7% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Missouri in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Missouri | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $500.00 | 3/29/2022 | Source |
| Missouri | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 10,000 | N/A | 8/1/2022 | Source |
District history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Missouri
Josh Hawley defeated incumbent Claire McCaskill, Craig O'Dear, Japheth Campbell, and Jo Crain in the general election for U.S. Senate Missouri on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Josh Hawley (R) | 51.4 | 1,254,927 |
 | Claire McCaskill (D) | 45.6 | 1,112,935 | |
 | Craig O'Dear (Independent) | 1.4 | 34,398 | |
 | Japheth Campbell (L) | 1.1 | 27,316 | |
 | Jo Crain (G) | 0.5 | 12,706 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 7 | ||
| Total votes: 2,442,289 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Claire McCaskill | 82.6 | 500,162 |
 | Carla Wright | 6.8 | 40,971 | |
| John Hogan | 2.6 | 15,928 | ||
| David Faust | 2.6 | 15,902 | ||
 | Angelica Earl | 2.6 | 15,453 | |
 | Travis Gonzalez | 1.6 | 9,453 | |
 | Leonard Steinman II | 1.3 | 7,634 | |
| Total votes: 605,503 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Josh Hawley | 58.6 | 389,006 |
 | Tony Monetti | 9.8 | 64,718 | |
 | Austin Petersen | 8.3 | 54,810 | |
 | Kristi Nichols | 7.5 | 49,554 | |
 | Christina Smith | 5.3 | 34,948 | |
| Ken Patterson | 2.9 | 19,537 | ||
 | Peter Pfeifer | 2.5 | 16,557 | |
 | Courtland Sykes | 2.1 | 13,862 | |
 | Fred Ryman | 1.3 | 8,763 | |
| Brian Hagg | 1.0 | 6,913 | ||
| Bradley Krembs | 0.7 | 4,885 | ||
| Total votes: 663,553 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Green primary election
Green primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
Jo Crain defeated Jerome H. Bauer in the Green primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Jo Crain | 57.5 | 902 |
 | Jerome H. Bauer | 42.5 | 666 | |
| Total votes: 1,568 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
Japheth Campbell advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Japheth Campbell | 100.0 | 5,357 |
| Total votes: 5,357 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Roy Blunt Incumbent |
49.2% | 1,378,458 | |
| Democratic | Jason Kander | 46.4% | 1,300,200 | |
| Libertarian | Jonathan Dine | 2.4% | 67,738 | |
| Green | Johnathan McFarland | 1.1% | 30,743 | |
| Constitution | Fred Ryman | 0.9% | 25,407 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 95 | |
| Total Votes | 2,802,641 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jason Kander |
69.9% | 223,492 | ||
| Cori Bush | 13.3% | 42,453 | ||
| Chief Wana Dubie | 9.5% | 30,432 | ||
| Robert Mack | 7.3% | 23,509 | ||
| Total Votes | 319,886 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Roy Blunt |
72.6% | 481,444 | ||
| Kristi Nichols | 20.2% | 134,025 | ||
| Ryan Luethy | 4.4% | 29,328 | ||
| Bernie Mowinski | 2.8% | 18,789 | ||
| Total Votes | 663,586 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
||||
2012
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Claire McCaskill Incumbent |
54.8% | 1,494,125 | |
| Republican | Todd Akin | 39.1% | 1,066,159 | |
| Libertarian | Jonathan Dine | 6.1% | 165,468 | |
| Write-in | Ted Kimzey | 0% | 15 | |
| Write-in | Bernard J. "Spark" Duraski, Jr. | 0% | 9 | |
| Write-in | William Dean | 0% | 6 | |
| Write-in | Bernie Mowinksi | 0% | 5 | |
| Write-in | Charlie L. Bailey | 0% | 4 | |
| Write-in | Arnie C. "AC" Dienoff | 0% | 2 | |
| Total Votes | 2,725,793 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Todd Akin |
36% | 217,468 |
| John G. Brunner | 30% | 180,821 |
| Sarah Steelman | 29.2% | 176,189 |
| Jerry Beck | 1.6% | 9,791 |
| Hector Maldonado | 1.2% | 7,412 |
| Robert (Bob) Poole | 1% | 6,097 |
| Mark Memoly | 0.5% | 3,200 |
| Mark Patrick Lodes | 0.4% | 2,282 |
| Total Votes | 603,260 | |
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Minnesota gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2022
- Ohio Secretary of State election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary)
- Ohio's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives special election in Alaska, 2022
- United States Senate election in Nevada, 2022
See also
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022
- United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2022
- United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2022
- United States Senate elections, 2022
- U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2022
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Missouri Secretary of State, "State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 02, 2022," accessed September 20, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Missouri Senate race: Trump rules out Vicky Hartzler endorsement, tells voters to 'forget' about her," July 11, 2022
- ↑ The Missouri Times, "New U.S. Senate poll places Schmitt on top, Greitens a distant third," July 8, 2022
- ↑ KCUR, "Missouri's U.S. Senate race has already seen $10 million in TV ad spending," July 7, 2022
- ↑ Politico, "GOP Sen. Roy Blunt will not run for reelection," March 8, 2021
- ↑ Schmitt for Senate, "About Eric," accessed July 10, 2022
- ↑ Schmitt for Senate, "Issues," accessed July 10, 2022
- ↑ Eric Greitens, "About," accessed July 10, 2022
- ↑ St. Louis Public Radio, "For Missouri Republicans, angst over Eric Greitens is about more than winning in the fall," April 27, 2022
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 U.S. House of Representatives, "Vicky Hartzler official bio," accessed July 10, 2022
- ↑ New York Times, "Missourians Back Amendment Barring Gay Marriage," August 4, 2004
- ↑ Vicky Hartzler, "Accomplishments," accessed July 10, 2022
- ↑ Vicky Hartzler, "Meet Vicky," accessed July 10, 2022
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 News Week, "GOP Senate Candidate Eric Greitens Rips McConnell: 'We Are Coming for You'," March 26, 2022
- ↑ KCUR, "Republican Eric Schmitt hopes Trump-style politics will win him Missouri Senate nomination," July 18, 2022
- ↑ Missouri Independent, "Attack ads from a super PAC are intended to block Greitens from the nomination. But the former governor’s critics have yet to rally around another candidate," June 27, 2022
- ↑ Politico, "Republicans launch super PAC to stop Greitens in Missouri," June 23, 2022
- ↑ New York Times, "Eric Greitens to Face New G.O.P. Attacks in Missouri Senate Race," June 23, 2022
- ↑ FairVote, "Who Can Vote in Congressional Primaries," accessed August 17, 2017
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," July 21, 2016
- ↑ Missouri Revised Statutes, "Section 115.397," accessed August 30, 2017
- ↑ Missouri Revised Statutes, "Section 115.343," accessed August 30, 2017
- ↑ Missouri Secretary of State, "State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 02, 2022," accessed August 3, 2022
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 24.2 NBC News, "Trump baffles GOP by endorsing ‘Eric’ in the Missouri Senate primary — a race with three Erics," August 1, 2022
- ↑ 25.0 25.1 RCP, "Missouri Senate - Republican Primary," accessed July 31, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Missouri GOP Senate showdown: Sarah Sanders endorses Eric Schmitt with week until primary," July 25, 2022
- ↑ 27.0 27.1 Daily Kos "Morning Digest: Scott Walker is back to rescue his old lieutenant governor from defeat," July 11, 2022
- ↑ 28.0 28.1 Missouri Independent, "Leading Republican candidates in Missouri U.S. Senate race skip Springfield debate," May 31, 2022
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Trump endorses ‘ERIC’ in Missouri primary, a name shared by rivals," August 1, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Eric Greitens," accessed August 2, 2022
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
- ↑ This analysis includes Missouri's 114 counties and the independent city of St. Louis.
