United States Senate election in New Jersey (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)

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U.S. Senate, New Jersey
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 2, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Bob Menendez (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in New Jersey
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Likely Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
U.S. Senate, New Jersey
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
New Jersey elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Democratic Party primary election took place on June 5, 2018 in New Jersey to determine which Democrat would run in the state's November 6, 2018, general election.

This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

Although incumbent Sen. Bob Menendez won re-election in 2012 by 20 percentage points, his 2015 indictment on corruption charges could draw a primary challenger into the race.[1] Menendez was on trial for allegedly using his office to benefit a campaign donor, in exchange for gifts and campaign contributions.[2] It ended in a mistrial on November 16, 2017, after the jurors could not reach a unanimous verdict following four days of deliberations. "To those who were digging my political grave so they could jump into my seat, I know who you are and I won’t forget you," Menendez said outside of the courthouse.[3]

Menendez raised $5.6 million through the third quarter of 2017 for his re-election bid, nearly half of what he had at this point in his last election cycle.[4]


See also: United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2018

Candidates and election results

See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018

Incumbent Bob Menendez defeated Lisa McCormick in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate New Jersey on June 5, 2018.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate New Jersey

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bob Menendez
Bob Menendez
 
62.3
 
262,477
Image of Lisa McCormick
Lisa McCormick
 
37.7
 
158,998

Total votes: 421,475
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Campaign finance

The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[5]

Democratic Party Democrats



Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Two of 21 New Jersey counties—9.5 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Gloucester County, New Jersey 0.48% 10.77% 12.16%
Salem County, New Jersey 15.00% 1.31% 3.92%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Jersey with 55.5 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 41.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic 46.67 percent of the time and Republican 53.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic all five times.

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Jersey heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

  • As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 14 state executive positions. The other nine positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
  • The governor of New Jersey was Democrat Phil Murphy.

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of the New Jersey State Legislature. They had a 54-26 majority in the state Assembly and a 25-15 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • New Jersey was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democratic Party held the governorship, a majority in the state Senate, and a majority in the state Assembly.

2018 elections

See also: New Jersey elections, 2018

New Jersey held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for New Jersey
 New JerseyU.S.
Total population:8,935,421316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):7,3543,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:68.3%73.6%
Black/African American:13.5%12.6%
Asian:9%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:19%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:88.6%86.7%
College graduation rate:36.8%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$72,093$53,889
Persons below poverty level:12.7%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Jersey.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, New Jersey had a population of approximately 9 million people, and its three largest cities were New Jersey (pop. est. 283,000), Jersey City (pop. est. 265,000), and Paterson (pop. est. 147,000).[6][7]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Jersey every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), New Jersey 2000-2016[8]
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 55.5% Republican Party Donald Trump 41.4% 14.1%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 58.4% Republican Party Mitt Romney 40.6% 17.8%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 57.2% Republican Party John McCain 41.7% 15.5%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 52.9% Republican Party George W. Bush 46.2% 6.7%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 56.1% Republican Party George W. Bush 40.3% 15.8%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), New Jersey 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014[9] Democratic Party Cory Booker 55.8% Republican Party Jeff Bell 42.3% 13.5%
2012[10] Democratic Party Bob Menendez 58.9% Republican Party Joseph Kyrillos 39.4% 19.5%
2008[11] Democratic Party Frank Lautenberg 56.0% Republican Party Dick Zimmer 42.0% 14.0%
2006[12] Democratic Party Bob Menendez 53.3% Republican Party Thomas Kean Jr. 44.3% 9.0%
2002[13] Democratic Party Frank Lautenberg 53.9% Republican Party Doug Forrester 44.0% 9.9%
2000[14] Democratic Party Jon Corzine 50.1% Republican Party Bob Franks 47.1% 3.0%

Gubernatorial elections, 2001-2017

This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2001 and 2017. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New Jersey, and, unlike most states, they take place in odd years.

Election results (Governor), New Jersey 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2017[15] Democratic Party Phil Murphy 56.0% Republican Party Kim Guadagno 41.9% 14.1%
2013[16] Republican Party Chris Christie 60.3% Democratic Party Barbara Buono 38.2% 22.1%
2009[17] Republican Party Chris Christie 48.5% Democratic Party Jon Corzine 44.9% 3.6%
2005[18] Democratic Party Jon Corzine 53.5% Republican Party Doug Forrester 43.0% 10.5%
2001[19] Democratic Party Jim McGreevey 56.4% Republican Party Bret Schundler 41.7% 14.7%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Jersey in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, New Jersey 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016[20] Republican Party 5 41.7% Democratic Party 7 58.3% D+2
2014[9] Republican Party 6 50.0% Democratic Party 6 50.0% Even
2012[10] Republican Party 6 50.0% Democratic Party 6 50.0% Even
2010[21] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2008[11] Republican Party 5 38.5% Democratic Party 8 61.5% D+3
2006[12] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2004[22] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2002[13] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2000[14] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1

Trifectas, 1992-2018

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2025
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R S S D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Assembly R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D


,

See also

Footnotes

  1. NJ.com, "The 7 Democrats who could take over Menendez's Senate seat," September 10, 2017
  2. Politico, "Menendez formally seeks mistrial in bribery case," October 29, 2017
  3. RealClearPolitics, "Menendez: 'To Those Who Were Digging My Political Grave... I Know Who You Are,'" November 16, 2017
  4. U.S. News & World Report, "Menendez Reports Lower Fundraising Amid Corruption Trial," October 19, 2017
  5. FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
  6. United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts New Jersey," March 27, 2018
  7. World Population Review, "Population of Cities in New Jersey (2018)," accessed March 27, 2018
  8. US Election Atlas, "United States Presidential Election Results," accessed March 27, 2018
  9. 9.0 9.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2014 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  10. 10.0 10.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2012 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  11. 11.0 11.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2008 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  12. 12.0 12.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2006 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  13. 13.0 13.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2002 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  14. 14.0 14.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2000 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  15. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2017 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  16. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2013 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  17. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2009 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  18. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2005 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  19. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2001 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  20. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2016 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  21. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2010 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  22. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2004 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018


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Representatives
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Democratic Party (11)
Republican Party (3)