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United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary)
- Primary date: May 3
- Mail-in registration deadline: April 4
- Online reg. deadline: April 4
- In-person reg. deadline: April 4
- Early voting starts: April 5
- Early voting ends: May 2
- Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: May 2
2024 →
← 2018
|
| U.S. Senate, Ohio |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: February 2, 2022 |
| Primary: May 3, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent: Rob Portman (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Ohio |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Lean Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th Ohio elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
Tim Ryan defeated Morgan Harper and Traci Johnson in the Democratic primary for Ohio's U.S. Senate seat on May 3, 2022. Harper and Ryan received the most media attention. U.S. Sen. Rob Portman (R), first elected in 2010, did not run for re-election.[1]
At the time of the primary election, Harper was an attorney and former advisor for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Harper ran on a plan she said would create 600,000 clean energy jobs, and would also include federal $15 minimum wage, the PRO Act, Medicare for All, and full student loan debt forgiveness.[2] Harper told The New York Times that her campaign aimed to mobilize Black, women, and young voters.[3] In 2020, Harper ran unsuccessfully for U.S. House in District 3 against U.S. Rep. Joyce Beatty (D).
Ryan was elected to the U.S. House in 2002. Ryan campaigned on a range of economic issues, including revitalizing the state's manufacturing industry, a federal $15 minimum wage, the PRO Act, renegotiating existing foreign trade deals, and expanding affordable healthcare.[4] According to the Dayton Daily News, Ryan's campaign focused primarily on blue-collar workers and issues.[5] Ryan was re-elected to represent District 13 in 2020 following an unsuccessful presidential campaign.
Donald Trump won Ohio by eight percentage points in 2016 and 2020. Portman won re-election in 2016 by 19 percentage points. Sherrod Brown (D), Ohio's other U.S. Senator, last won re-election in 2018 by seven percentage points.
Morgan Harper (D) and Traci Johnson (D) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.
This page focuses on Ohio's United States Senate Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary)
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Ohio
Tim Ryan defeated Morgan Harper and Traci Johnson in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Ohio on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Tim Ryan | 69.6 | 359,941 | |
Morgan Harper ![]() | 17.8 | 92,347 | ||
Traci Johnson ![]() | 12.6 | 65,209 | ||
| Total votes: 517,497 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Tamie Wilson (D)
- LaShondra Tinsley (D)
- Rick Taylor (D)
- Demar Sheffey (D)
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My name is Morgan Harper and I am a consumer protection attorney, community organizer, and candidate to represent all of Ohio in the United States Senate in 2022. My story is Ohio’s story. I was born at The Ohio State University Hospital. For the first nine months of my life, I lived in a foster home before being adopted and raised on the east side of Columbus by a Public Schools teacher. My mother, an immigrant from Trinidad, supported me and my brother while facing constant financial stress throughout our childhood having gone through a bitter divorce. I received financial aid with help from the Ron Brown Scholar Program to graduate from Tufts (BA), Princeton (MA) and Stanford (JD). I went on to clerk at the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Ohio, worked as a paralegal at the Federal Trade Commission and served as a Senior Advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) under the Obama Administration protecting consumers against predatory corporations. I am also the co-founder of Columbus Stand Up! a grassroots community organization that mobilized volunteers across Central Ohio in response to the pandemic going door to door delivering 30,000 masks, driving voters to polls during the 2020 election and transporting hundreds of people to their Covid-19 vaccine appointments. I’m running to represent Ohio in the U.S. Senate to get political and economic power back on the side of working people."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I was raised in Toledo, Ohio, to Ellen a single mother, I am the oldest daughter of four children and the first in my family to graduate from college. My Mother was passionate teacher, after 30 years of service she retired and lived with me for the past 15 years and she passed away recently at the age of 91. During my journey as her caregiver, I continued my community activism(voting right, women’s right to choose criminal justice reform), For the past 20 years I’ve been an Elected Ward Committee Women, started a successful information technology company and invested the fruits to help my niece and nephew graduate from college I watched my mother struggle like most Ohioans to feed her family, pay, rent and buy gas. That why we must get people back to work a livable wage – I will invest in Upskilling people through apprenticeship, training and development program so they can reenter the job market at a higher salaries and get Ohioans back to work in Technology, Clean Energy and Manufacturing jobs . As a business owner, money is our oxygen, and I will focus on new lending and investment capital for small businesses, expanding access to low cost loans to expand and grow and sustain our businesses. I will make education a priority, cancel student loan debt and guarantee affordable high speed internet across our State. "
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
U.S. House Ohio District 13 (Assumed office: 2003)
Ohio State Senate (2000-2002)
Biography: Ryan received a bachelor's degree in political science from Bowling Green State University and his J.D. from the University of New Hampshire School of Law. Ryan worked as the chairman of Earning by Learning and aide to U.S. Rep. Jim Traficant.
Show sources
Sources: Twitter, "Tim Ryan on April 26, 2021," accessed February 14, 2022 ; Tim Ryan's 2022 campaign website, "Investing in Affordable Health Care for All Ohioans," accessed February 14, 2022 ; NPR, "In Ohio's Senate race, Democrat Ryan hopes to beat the odds with a pitch to workers," February 4, 2022; United States House of Representatives, "About Congressman Tim Ryan," accessed February 14, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
Morgan Harper (D)
I'm not a politician.
I don't take money from special interests.
Traci Johnson (D)
I watched my mother struggle like most Ohioans to feed her family, pay, rent and buy gas. That why we must get people back to work in industries Renewable energy industry that includes solar, wind, geothermal, Biomass, hydropower. Advanced transportation hybrid cars and electric vehicles. Technology, Intel helped build $20 billion chip plant with 10,000 jobs, Manufacturing job in robotics, welding and automation.
Our prison population behind bars are dispro¬por¬tion¬ately Black and Hispanic people, we must reform our criminal justice system that works for the wealthy and penalizes the poor, work to Pass George Floyd Justice in Police Reform Act, invest in a system that operates fairly and ensures the dignity and humanity; eliminate racial profiling; focus police brutality, reduce recidivism and have rehabilitation that works so people can have a second chance.
Morgan Harper (D)
Big Pharma and Big Insurance pay billions lobbying Congress to keep healthcare costs high and healthcare outcomes low. To ensure coverage and control costs, we must implement universal healthcare through Medicare for All – including mental healthcare, addiction treatment, and universal reproductive care.
Financial Freedom for Working Families It’s long past time for a federal $15/hr minimum wage. And at this point, that really is the minimum. With rising costs of living around the country, we need to make sure that we are paying workers a real living wage.
Made Clean in Ohio
We can create as many as 600,000 jobs in 10 years in Ohio in the clean energy economy, by bringing together responsible companies, unions, and innovation labs with massive R&D and manufacturing scale-up funding.Traci Johnson (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Don't take money from corporations or lobbyists.
Self-impose term limits.Morgan Harper (D)
I grew up in a broken home but Ohio came through for me.
Taking care of the place that took care of me is the only thing I care about.Traci Johnson (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Traci Johnson (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Traci Johnson (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Morgan Harper (D)
Traci Johnson (D)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Morgan Harper
| August 20, 2021 |
View more ads here:
Traci Johnson
Have a link to Johnson's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Tim Ryan
Have a link to Ryan's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
News and conflicts in this primary
This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Democratic Senate primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Democrats-Issue 21 (May 5, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Democrats-Issue 17 (April 7, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Democrats-Issue 16 (March 31, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Democrats-Issue 11 (February 24, 2022)
Endorsements
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[6] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[7] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Ohio, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[12] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[13] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Harper | Democratic Party | $1,318,601 | $1,312,714 | $5,888 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Traci Johnson | Democratic Party | $3,909 | $8,934 | $-5,024 | As of November 8, 2022 |
| Tim Ryan | Democratic Party | $57,770,820 | $57,714,280 | $56,540 | As of December 31, 2022 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[14][15][16]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Election context
Election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Ohio
Incumbent Sherrod Brown defeated Jim Renacci in the general election for U.S. Senate Ohio on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Sherrod Brown (D) | 53.4 | 2,355,923 | |
| Jim Renacci (R) | 46.6 | 2,053,963 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 1,012 | ||
| Total votes: 4,410,898 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bruce Jaynes (L)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Ohio
Incumbent Sherrod Brown advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Ohio on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Sherrod Brown | 100.0 | 613,373 | |
| Total votes: 613,373 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio
Jim Renacci defeated Mike Gibbons, Melissa Ackison, Dan Kiley, and Don Eckhart in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Jim Renacci | 47.3 | 363,622 | |
| Mike Gibbons | 31.7 | 243,426 | ||
| Melissa Ackison | 13.1 | 100,543 | ||
| Dan Kiley | 4.0 | 30,684 | ||
| Don Eckhart | 3.9 | 29,796 | ||
| Total votes: 768,071 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Josh Mandel (R)
2016
In one of Ballotpedia’s races to watch, incumbent Sen. Rob Portman (R) won re-election, defeating former Ohio Governor Ted Strickland (D), Joseph DeMare (G), Thomas William Connors (I), and Scott Rupert (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016.
In his victory speech, Portman said, “Americans don’t want to just rewind the tape and live through four more years of the same tired and self-defeating routine. They expect better...we are capable of better. There will never be a better moment than now to stop the dysfunction in Washington and find that common ground.”[17]
In its analysis of the election results, Cleveland.com said Portman "ran one of the best campaigns in the country this year, both in strategy and execution." The analysis said Portman was especially effective in his interactions with the Donald Trump presidential campaign. The article also said Strickland had faced challenges raising funds, saying, "he wasn't used to having to raise so much cash."[18]
The Wall Street Journal predicted that Portman’s get out the vote effort in Ohio would provide “reverse political coattails, with big stakes for Mr. Trump. Ohio has backed the presidential winners in the past 13 elections, and no Republican in modern history has won the White House without capturing Ohio.” Portman did indeed help Trump secure victory in Ohio. Portman won 58.3 percent of the vote, while Trump won 52.1 percent, a 6.2 percent difference.[19]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 58% | 3,118,567 | ||
| Democratic | Ted Strickland | 37.2% | 1,996,908 | |
| Independent | Thomas William Connors | 1.7% | 93,041 | |
| Green | Joseph DeMare | 1.6% | 88,246 | |
| Independent | Scott Rupert | 1.4% | 77,291 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 111 | |
| Total Votes | 5,374,164 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
82.2% | 1,336,686 | ||
| Don Elijah Eckhart | 17.8% | 290,268 | ||
| Total Votes | 1,626,954 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State |
||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
65% | 742,676 | ||
| P.G. Sittenfeld | 22.3% | 254,232 | ||
| Kelli Prather | 12.7% | 144,945 | ||
| Total Votes | 1,141,853 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State |
||||
2012
On November 6, 2012, incumbent Sherrod Brown (D) won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Josh Mandel (R) and Scott Rupert (I) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 50.7% | 2,762,690 | ||
| Republican | Josh Mandel | 44.7% | 2,435,712 | |
| Independent | Scott Rupert | 4.6% | 250,616 | |
| Total Votes | 5,449,018 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 100% | 522,827 | ||
| Total Votes | 522,827 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 63% | 586,556 | ||
| Republican | Michael Pryce | 14.2% | 132,205 | |
| Republican | Donna Glisman | 12.4% | 115,621 | |
| Republican | David Dodt | 5.2% | 47,933 | |
| Republican | Eric Gregory | 5.1% | 47,740 | |
| Republican | Russell Bliss | 0.1% | 644 | |
| Total Votes | 930,699 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State | ||||
2010
On November 2, 2010, Rob Portman (R) won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Lee Fisher (D), Michael L. Pryce (I), Eric W. Deaton (Constitution), Daniel H. LaBotz (Socialist), and Arthur T. Sullivan (I) in the general election.[20]
To view the electoral history dating back to 1998 for the office of U.S. Senator from Ohio, click [show] to expand the section. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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2006
2004 2000 1998
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Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Ohio in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Ohio, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Ohio | U.S. Senate | Major parties | 1,000 | $150.00 | 2/2/2022 | Source |
| Ohio | U.S. Senate | Minor parties | 500 | $150.00 | 2/2/2022 | Source |
| Ohio | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 5,000 | $150.00 | 5/2/2022 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Ohio, 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Ohio's 1st | Steve Chabot | D+2 | |
| Ohio's 2nd | Brad Wenstrup | R+25 | |
| Ohio's 3rd | Joyce Beatty | D+20 | |
| Ohio's 4th | Jim Jordan | R+20 | |
| Ohio's 5th | Bob Latta | R+15 | |
| Ohio's 6th | Bill Johnson | R+16 | |
| Ohio's 7th | Open | R+7 | |
| Ohio's 8th | Warren Davidson | R+14 | |
| Ohio's 9th | Marcy Kaptur | R+3 | |
| Ohio's 10th | Mike Turner | R+4 | |
| Ohio's 11th | Shontel Brown | D+28 | |
| Ohio's 12th | Troy Balderson | R+18 | |
| Ohio's 13th | Open | R+1 | |
| Ohio's 14th | David Joyce | R+9 | |
| Ohio's 15th | Mike Carey | R+6 | |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Ohio[25] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | ||
| Ohio's 1st | 53.5% | 45.0% | ||
| Ohio's 2nd | 26.7% | 72.0% | ||
| Ohio's 3rd | 71.1% | 27.4% | ||
| Ohio's 4th | 31.4% | 67.1% | ||
| Ohio's 5th | 35.8% | 62.6% | ||
| Ohio's 6th | 35.0% | 63.7% | ||
| Ohio's 7th | 44.8% | 54.0% | ||
| Ohio's 8th | 38.3% | 60.3% | ||
| Ohio's 9th | 47.7% | 50.6% | ||
| Ohio's 10th | 47.4% | 50.9% | ||
| Ohio's 11th | 78.3% | 20.7% | ||
| Ohio's 12th | 33.8% | 64.7% | ||
| Ohio's 13th | 50.7% | 47.9% | ||
| Ohio's 14th | 41.9% | 56.8% | ||
| Ohio's 15th | 45.8% | 52.6% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 43.4% of Ohioans lived in one of the state's 71 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 37.7% lived in one of six Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Ohio was Trending Republican, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Ohio following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Ohio county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Republican | 71 | 43.4% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 6 | 37.7% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 8 | 9.7% | |||||
| New Republican | 2 | 4.6% | |||||
| Battleground Democratic | 1 | 4.6% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 7 | 42.3% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 81 | 57.7% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Ohio presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 12 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
- See also: List of United States Senators from Ohio
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Ohio.
| U.S. Senate election results in Ohio | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2018 | 53.5% |
46.6% |
| 2016 | 58.0% |
37.1% |
| 2012 | 50.7% |
44.7% |
| 2010 | 57.3% |
39.0% |
| 2006 | 56.2% |
43.8% |
| Average | 55.1 | 42.2 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Ohio
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Ohio.
| Gubernatorial election results in Ohio | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2018 | 50.4% |
46.7% |
| 2014 | 63.6% |
33.0% |
| 2010 | 49.0% |
47.0% |
| 2006 | 60.5% |
36.7% |
| 2002 | 57.8% |
38,3% |
| Average | 56.3 | 40.9 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Ohio's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Ohio, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Republican | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 16 | 18 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Ohio's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Ohio, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Ohio General Assembly as of November 2022.
Ohio State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 8 | |
| Republican Party | 25 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 33 | |
Ohio House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 35 | |
| Republican Party | 64 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 99 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Ohio was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Ohio Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Ohio and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Ohio | ||
|---|---|---|
| Ohio | United States | |
| Population | 11,536,504 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 40,858 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 81.3% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 2.2% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 1% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 2.9% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 3.8% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 90.4% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 28.3% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $56,602 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 14% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
See also
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary)
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022
- United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2022
- United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2022
- United States Senate elections, 2022
- U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2022
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Rob Portman: United States Senator for Ohio, "Portman Statement on Political Future," January 25, 2021
- ↑ Morgan Harper's 2022 campaign website, "Jobs plan," accessed February 15, 2022
- ↑ The New York Times, "Progressive Democrat Enters Ohio’s Senate Race, Challenging Tim Ryan," August 18, 2021
- ↑ Tim Ryan's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed February 15, 2022
- ↑ Dayton Daily News, "Democrat Tim Ryan campaigns in Butler Co., seeks to fill Portman’s Senate post," February 24, 2021
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ The Columbus Dispatch, "Portman win in Ohio helps GOP keep control of U.S. Senate," accessed November 15, 2016
- ↑ Cleveland.com, "Four reasons Rob Portman beat Ted Strickland in Ohio's U.S. Senate race," November 8, 2016
- ↑ The Wall Street Journal, "Rob Portman May Provide Reverse Coattails for Donald Trump in Ohio," accessed October 17, 2016
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed June 5, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
