United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022
2024 →
← 2018
|
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 15, 2022 |
Primary: May 17, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Pennsylvania |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th Pennsylvania elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
John Fetterman (D) defeated Mehmet Oz (R) and six other candidates in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate election on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey (R) did not seek re-election.
Fetterman served as Pennsylvania’s lieutenant governor. In 2018, he was elected 58% to 41% on a joint ticket with incumbent Governor Tom Wolf (D). In a campaign ad, Fetterman said, "Our economy is a mess because of Washington, [and] the rich, powerful, the insiders, and the lobbyists. [...] We must make more stuff in America, cut taxes for working families, [and] Congress shouldn't play in the stock market."[1] To read more about Fetterman's key messages, click here.
This race was Oz’s first run for political office. Oz was a retired surgeon and hosted The Dr. Oz Show on daytime television from 2009 to 2022.[2] In a campaign ad, Oz said, "We're facing rising crime, crushing inflation, lives unraveling. [...] I'll heal us, and bring change to our divided nation. Doctors fix big things. I fixed hearts and fought for every last one of them."[3] To read more about Oz's key messages, click here.
CBS News' Sarah Ewall-Wice wrote, "The Senate race in Pennsylvania is a crucial battleground for both parties fighting over who will control the Senate after the November elections. Democrats see it as a possible pickup, with GOP Senator Pat Toomey retiring."[4] Roll Call's Niels Lesniewski wrote, "Keeping the seat in Republican hands is an important part of the party's effort to flip control of the 50-50 Senate."[5]
The Philadelphia Inquirer's Julia Terruso wrote about the candidates' campaigns, saying, "Fetterman’s campaign holds large, energetic rallies, [while] Oz stages smaller community-based events." Terruso also wrote, "Both candidates have slammed the other’s events as evidence of the other’s weaknesses. Fetterman’s campaign tweets out crowd photos, claiming Oz can’t fill big rooms. Oz’s campaign points to Fetterman’s 10-minute speeches and refusal to take reporter or audience questions afterward in an attempt to cast doubt on Fetterman’s health."[6] Fetterman had a stroke on May 15, 2022.
In Pennsylvania's 2018 senate race, incumbent Bob Casey Jr. (D) defeated Lou Barletta (R) 56% to 43%. In 2016, Toomey won re-election against Katie McGinty (D) 49% to 47%. The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in Pennsylvania were decided by less than 2 percentage points. Pennsylvania was one of two states in 2022, along with Wisconsin, where Republicans defended a seat in a state that Joe Biden (D) won in 2020.
Minor party, independent, and write-in candidates included Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party), Richard Weiss (G), Daniel Wassmer (Keystone Party of Pennsylvania), Erik Gerhardt (L), and Quincy Magee (Independent). Everett Stern (Independent) withdrew from the race on October 25 and endorsed Fetterman.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in 2022. Democrats retained their majority and gained one net seat, with the Senate's post-election partisan balance at 51 Democrats and 49 Republicans.
Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election.[7] At the time of the election, Democrats had an effective majority, with the chamber split 50-50 and Vice President Kamala Harris (D) having the tie-breaking vote.[8] Of the seats up for election in 2022, Democrats held 14 and Republicans held 21.
Richard Weiss (G) and Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.
John Fetterman (D) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey in 2018. Click here to read his responses.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John Fetterman (D) | 51.2 | 2,751,012 | |
![]() | Mehmet Oz (R) | 46.3 | 2,487,260 | |
![]() | Erik Chase Gerhardt (L) | 1.4 | 72,887 | |
![]() | Richard Weiss (G) ![]() | 0.6 | 30,434 | |
![]() | Daniel Wassmer (Keystone Party of Pennsylvania) | 0.5 | 26,428 | |
![]() | Quincy Magee (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 | |
![]() | Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 0 |
Total votes: 5,368,021 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Everett Stern (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania
John Fetterman defeated Conor Lamb, Malcolm Kenyatta, and Alexandria Khalil in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John Fetterman | 58.6 | 753,557 | |
![]() | Conor Lamb | 26.3 | 337,498 | |
![]() | Malcolm Kenyatta | 10.8 | 139,393 | |
![]() | Alexandria Khalil | 4.2 | 54,460 |
Total votes: 1,284,908 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Walter Sluzynsky (D)
- John McGuigan (D)
- Kyle Norton (D)
- Alan Shank (D)
- Larry Johnson (D)
- Kevin Baumlin (D)
- Sharif Street (D)
- Valerie Arkoosh (D)
- Lew Tapera (D)
- Eric Orts (D)
- Kael Dougherty (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mehmet Oz | 31.2 | 420,168 |
![]() | David McCormick | 31.1 | 419,218 | |
![]() | Kathy Barnette | 24.7 | 331,903 | |
![]() | Carla Sands | 5.4 | 73,360 | |
![]() | Jeff Bartos | 5.0 | 66,684 | |
![]() | Sean Gale | 1.5 | 20,266 | |
![]() | George Bochetto | 1.1 | 14,492 |
Total votes: 1,346,091 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Debellis (R)
- Max Richardson (R)
- John Eichenberg (R)
- Vince Fusca (R)
- Martin Rosenfeld (R)
- Bobby Jeffries (R)
- Richard Mulholland (R)
- Sean Parnell (R)
- Ronald Johnson (R)
- Craig Snyder (R)
- David Xu (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Pennsylvania
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (Assumed office: 2019)
- Mayor of Braddock, PA (2005-2019)
Biography: Fetterman received a bachelor’s degree from Albright College and a master's degree in public policy from Harvard University. He worked for AmeriCorps in Pittsburgh and Braddock.
Show sources
Sources: CNN, "The filibuster fight is over in the Senate. But not on the Democratic campaign trail," February 20, 2022; John Fetterman campaign website, "Issues," accessed April 15, 2022; Politico, "D.C. Dems get out of frontrunner Fetterman's way in Pennsylvania," April 6, 2022; Twitter, "John Fetterman on August 4, 2022," accessed August 4, 2022; YouTube, "Braddock to Washington, D.C.," June 7, 2022; Twitter, "John Fetterman on August 17, 2022," accessed August 22, 2022; Twitter, "John Fetterman on June 8, 2022," accessed August 22, 2022; John Fetterman campaign website, "Meet the Fettermans - John's Story," accessed April 15, 2022;
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Oz received a bachelor's degree from Harvard University and a joint M.D. and M.B.A. from the University of Pennsylvania. He had worked as a physician, host of The Dr. Oz Show, and author.
Show sources
Sources: YouTube, "Fight the Establishment," accessed March 11, 2022; Mehmet Oz's 2022 campaign website, "Grow our economy," accessed April 7, 2022; YouTube, "Dr. Oz Welcomes John Fetterman to Campaign Trail," July 14, 2022; Twitter, "Mehmet Oz on August 2, 2022," accessed August 4, 2022; Twitter, "Mehmet Oz on August 15, 2022," accessed August 22, 2022; Twitter, "Mehmet Oz on August 16, 2022," accessed August 22, 2022; Mehmet Oz's 2022 campaign website, "Meet Dr. Oz," accessed April 7, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania in 2022.
Party: Green Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am born and raised in Pennsylvania. My parents owned Weiss Bakery in the Brentwood boro of Pittsburgh. My first law job was as an attorney for the federal government in the General Counsel's Office of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) in Washington, D.C. Since then my career has been divided between Jakarta, Indonesia, where I worked on foreign investment and project finance, and Pittsburgh where I work on litigation support on a project basis."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania in 2022.
Party: Constitution Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My name is Ron Johnson I’m a family man that has 6 daughters 4 sons. I’m running for senator because I’m tired of the political garbage that is going on in Washington. My philosophy is this. take care of our own first uphold the constitution and everything that it stands for and nothing less."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|
Ronald Johnson (Constitution)
I’m going to fight for term limits
I’m not a politician I’m a down to earth American that cares about what happens to you

Richard Weiss (G)
The Covid-19 pandemic underlines the need for universal healthcare. Many who lose their job cannot afford the payments to maintain their health insurance. In the modern gig economy, many do not receive health insurance through their employer. They may face the choice of paying for rent or healthcare, but not have enough resources for both. The health insurance that is available has too many deductibles, copays and limitations on coverage. Employers who provide healthcare will benefit from Medicare for All by having their costs reduced. Employers who do not provide healthcare will benefit from Medicare for All by having healthier workers. Medicare for All costs less for better care. Everyone benefits from Medicare for All.
The US has a higher incarceration rate than any other developed country in the world. Conditions in prisons are human rights violations, with overcrowding and inadequate food and healthcare. Prisoners are preyed upon with unreasonable charges to buy their own food and communicate with their family. Many inmates of local jails are held without being convicted of any crime solely because they do not have enough money to pay cash bail. Decriminalizing cannabis would have an immediate effect on reducing prison and jail populations, and save money. All current prisoners and inmates serving time solely for cannabis charges should be released and all past criminal records from cannabis convictions expunged.

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Richard Weiss (G)
As U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania, my first act would be to call for a vote on Medicare for All. I oppose fracking and support a rapid transition to renewable energy as well as reproductive rights and sensible gun regulation. The U.S. should negotiate peace, close the overseas military bases opened since 9/11, bring the troops home and spend that money at home.
Get money out of politics and publicly finance all campaigns. The Green Party accepts no donations from corporations, but instead relies on ordinary working people. Make a monthly donation for as little as $3 per month or as much as generosity inspires at gpofpa.org/join_us .
Ranked choice voting (RCV), also known as the instant runoff, eliminates any perceived or real spoiler effect. https://ballotpedia.org/Ranked-choice_voting_(RCV)
Make election day a public holiday. in order to reduce or elimate doubts, require hand marked ballots, counted by hand on camera. Register everyone to vote at birth, or at the polling place, with the option of giving a fingerprint if not photo ID. Fingerprint readers could confirm the person has not voted elsewhere.
Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Richard Weiss (G)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Richard Weiss (G)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Richard Weiss (G)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Richard Weiss (G)
Those casting 50 votes plus tiebreaker cast by the Vice President can already pass anything they want anytime they want.
The filibuster is possible due to a Senate rule requiring 60 votes to end debate. The decision whether procedure was valid is by majority vote. Thus the majority party can take a vote and override any objection by majority vote (50+ VP tiebreaker). This is the “nuclear option.”
The filibuster is regularly circumvented and has been cirumvented over 100 times to pass legislation already. It would be just as simple to eliminate the filibuster entirely. However, the filibuster is not an obstacle to passing legislation.
Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Richard Weiss (G)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)

Richard Weiss (G)

Ronald Johnson (Constitution)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
John Fetterman
October 14, 2022 |
September 15, 2022 |
February 8, 2021 |
View more ads here:
Mehmet Oz
September 5, 2022 |
August 5, 2022 |
November 30, 2021 |
View more ads here:
Debates and forums
October 25, 2022 debate
On October 25, 2022, Fetterman and Oz participated in a debate hosted by WHTM - ABC27 News.[28]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[67] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[68] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022: General election polls | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Date | ![]() |
![]() |
Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[69] | Sponsor[70] |
Research Co. | November 4-6 | 49% | 48% | 7%[71] | ± 4.6 | 450 LV | - |
InsiderAdvantage | November 3 | 46% | 48% | 7%[72] | ± 3.6 | 750 LV | WTXF-TV (Philadelphia) |
Trafalgar Group | November 1-3 | 46% | 48% | 5%[73] | ± 2.9 | 1,097 LV | - |
Remington Research Group | November 1-2 | 44% | 47% | 9%[74] | ± 2.8 | 1,180 LV | - |
Marist College | October 31-November 2 | 50% | 44% | 6%[75] | ± 3.8 | 1,152 LV | - |
Click [show] to see older poll results | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Date | ![]() |
![]() |
Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[76] | Sponsor[77] |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 28-November 1 | 47% | 48% | 6%[78] | ± 3.7 | 700 LV | - |
Emerson College | October 28-31 | 47% | 48% | 7%[79] | ± 3.0 | 1,000 LV | WHTM-TV (Harrisburg, Pa.), The Hill |
Suffolk University | October 27-30 | 47% | 45% | 8%[80] | ± 4.4 | 500 LV | USA Today |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | October 26-30 | 45% | 42% | 12%[81] | ± 3.0 | 1,005 RV | Fox News |
co/efficient | October 26-28 | 45% | 48% | 7%[82] | ± 3.4 | 1,716 LV | - |
Muhlenberg College | October 24-28 | 47% | 47% | 5%[83] | ± 6.0 | 460 LV | The Morning Call |
Wick Insights | October 26-27 | 46% | 48% | 7%[84] | ± 3.2 | 1,000 LV | - |
InsiderAdvantage | October 26 | 45% | 48% | 7%[85] | ± 3.6 | 750 LV | - |
The New York Times/Siena College | October 24-26 | 49% | 44% | 6%[86] | ± 4.4 | 620 LV | - |
YouGov | October 21-24 | 51% | 49% | - | ± 4.4 | 1,084 RV | CBS News |
Franklin & Marshall College | October 14-23 | 45% | 40% | 15%[87] | ± 5.3 | 620 RV | - |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 19-20 | 45% | 43% | 12%[88] | ± 3.0 | 972 LV | - |
InsiderAdvantage | October 19 | 46% | 46% | 8%[89] | ± 4.2 | 550 LV | WTXF-TV |
Wick Insights | October 8-13 | 45% | 49% | 6%[90] | ± 3.1 | 1,013 LV | - |
Trafalgar Group | October 8-11 | 47% | 45% | 8%[91] | ± 2.9 | 1,078 LV | The Daily Wire |
Suffolk University | September 27-30 | 46% | 40% | 10%[92] | ± 4.4 | 500 LV | USA Today |
Emerson College | September 23-26 | 45% | 43% | 13%[93] | ± 3.0 | 1,000 LV | - |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | September 22-26 | 45% | 41% | 14%[94] | ± 3.0 | 1,008 RV | Fox News |
Franklin & Marshall | September 19-25, 2022 | 45% | 42% | 13%[95] | ± 5.6 | 517 RV | - |
InsiderAdvantage | September 23-24 | 45% | 42% | 12%[96] | ± 4.2 | 550 LV | WTXF-TV |
Marist College | September 19-22 | 51% | 41% | 7%[97] | ± 3.5 | 1,242 RV | - |
Phillips Academy | September 16-19 | 47% | 45% | 9%[98] | ± 3.6 | 759 RV | Abbot Academy Fund |
Muhlenberg College | September 13-16 | 49% | 44% | 7%[99] | ± 6.0 | 420 LV | The Morning Call |
Trafalgar Group | September 13-15 | 48% | 46% | 6%[100] | ± 2.9 | 1,078 LV | - |
YouGov | September 6-12 | 52% | 47% | 1%[101] | ± 3.8 | 1,194 RV | CBS News |
Echelon Insights | August 31-September 7 | 57% | 36% | 7%[102] | ± 3.5 | 828 RV | NetChoice |
RABA Research | August 31-September 3 | 49% | 40% | 11%[103] | ± 3.8 | 679 LV | - |
Susquehanna Polling and Research | August 22-29 | 49% | 44% | 7%[104] | ± 3.7 | 718 LV | - |
Emerson College | August 22-23 | 48% | 44% | 8%[105] | ± 3.0 | 1,034 LV | - |
Franklin & Marshall College | August 15-21 | 43% | 30% | 28%[106] | ± 5.3 | 522 RV | - |
Trafalgar Group | August 15-18 | 48% | 44% | 9%[107] | ± 2.9 | 1,096 LV | - |
Public Opinion Strategies | August 7-10 | 51% | 33% | 15%[108] | ± 4.0 | 600 RV | Pittsburgh Works |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research/Fox News | July 22-26 | 47% | 36% | 16%[109] | ± 3.0 | 901 RV | - |
PEM Management Research | July 22-24 | 44% | 38% | 19%[110] | ± 2.8 | 300 LV | John Bolton Super PAC |
Beacon Research | July 5-20 | 50% | 39% | 18%[111] | ± 4.0 | 609 LV | Environmental Voter Project |
Cygnal | June 16-17 | 48% | 44% | 8%[112] | ± 4.2 | 535 LV | - |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | June 12-19 | 50% | 44% | 6%[113] | ± 4.4 | 500 LV | AARP |
Suffolk University/USA Today | June 10-13 | 46% | 37% | 17%[114] | ± 4.4 | 500 LV | - |
The chart below shows RealClearPolitics polling averages in this race over time.
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[115]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[116][117][118]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Noteworthy endorsements
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Noteworthy endorsements | ||
---|---|---|
Endorser | ![]() | ![]() |
Government officials | ||
President Joe Biden (D) source | ✔ | |
Vice President Kamala D. Harris (D) source | ✔ | |
U.S. Senator Bob Casey Jr. (D) source | ✔ | |
U.S. Senator Pat Toomey (R) source | ✔ | |
Individuals | ||
Frmr. Pres. Barack Obama source | ✔ | |
Former candidate Everett Stern source | ✔ | |
Frmr. U.S. President Donald Trump source | ✔ | |
Newspapers and editorials | ||
PennLive source | ✔ | |
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette source | ✔ | |
The Philadelphia Inquirer source | ✔ | |
The Philadelphia Tribune Editorial Board source | ✔ |
Click here to see a list of endorsements in the May 17, 2022, Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[119] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[120] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
---|---|---|
Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Fetterman | Democratic Party | $76,336,561 | $75,709,211 | $626,015 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Mehmet Oz | Republican Party | $51,080,109 | $49,392,955 | $1,687,154 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Ronald Johnson | Constitution Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Richard Weiss | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Daniel Wassmer | Keystone Party of Pennsylvania | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Erik Chase Gerhardt | Libertarian Party | $35,197 | $5,555 | $29,737 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Quincy Magee | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[121][122]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[123]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
By candidate | By election |
---|---|
- October 12, 2022: NBC News reported that American Crossroads PAC was spending $4.1 million on ads supporting Oz.[37]
- October 11, 2022: CNN reported that Senate Majority PAC planned to spend $33 million in the race. The PAC spent a portion of that on ads opposing Oz.[38]
- October 6, 2022: Bloomberg reported that Make America Great Again Inc., a political action committee led by former President Donald Trump (R), would spend $770,000 on ads supporting Oz.[39]
- October 4, 2022: The Philadelphia Inquirer reported that Everytown for Gun Safety planned to spend $2.1 million on ads opposing Oz.[42]
- August 9, 2022:
- The Senate Leadership Fund spent $9.5 million in support of Oz, bringing its total spending in the state to $34 million.[125]
- The Democratic Senate Majority PAC launched a $32 million ad campaign in support of Fetterman.[125]
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Pennsylvania, 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Pennsylvania's 1st | Brian Fitzpatrick | ![]() |
Even |
Pennsylvania's 2nd | Brendan Boyle | ![]() |
D+20 |
Pennsylvania's 3rd | Dwight Evans | ![]() |
D+39 |
Pennsylvania's 4th | Madeleine Dean | ![]() |
D+7 |
Pennsylvania's 5th | Mary Gay Scanlon | ![]() |
D+14 |
Pennsylvania's 6th | Chrissy Houlahan | ![]() |
D+5 |
Pennsylvania's 7th | Susan Wild | ![]() |
R+2 |
Pennsylvania's 8th | Matt Cartwright | ![]() |
R+4 |
Pennsylvania's 9th | Dan Meuser | ![]() |
R+21 |
Pennsylvania's 10th | Scott Perry | ![]() |
R+5 |
Pennsylvania's 11th | Lloyd Smucker | ![]() |
R+13 |
Pennsylvania's 12th | Open | ![]() |
D+8 |
Pennsylvania's 13th | John Joyce | ![]() |
R+25 |
Pennsylvania's 14th | Guy Reschenthaler | ![]() |
R+18 |
Pennsylvania's 15th | Glenn Thompson | ![]() |
R+21 |
Pennsylvania's 16th | Mike Kelly | ![]() |
R+13 |
Pennsylvania's 17th | Open | ![]() |
Even |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Pennsylvania[126] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | ||
Pennsylvania's 1st | 51.8% | 47.2% | ||
Pennsylvania's 2nd | 71.0% | 28.3% | ||
Pennsylvania's 3rd | 90.2% | 9.3% | ||
Pennsylvania's 4th | 58.9% | 40.0% | ||
Pennsylvania's 5th | 65.7% | 33.4% | ||
Pennsylvania's 6th | 56.8% | 42.0% | ||
Pennsylvania's 7th | 49.7% | 49.1% | ||
Pennsylvania's 8th | 48.0% | 50.9% | ||
Pennsylvania's 9th | 31.0% | 67.5% | ||
Pennsylvania's 10th | 47.2% | 51.3% | ||
Pennsylvania's 11th | 38.6% | 59.9% | ||
Pennsylvania's 12th | 59.4% | 39.5% | ||
Pennsylvania's 13th | 26.8% | 72.0% | ||
Pennsylvania's 14th | 33.7% | 65.2% | ||
Pennsylvania's 15th | 30.8% | 67.8% | ||
Pennsylvania's 16th | 39.0% | 59.7% | ||
Pennsylvania's 17th | 52.3% | 46.5% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 47.2% of Pennsylvanians lived in one of the state's 10 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 41.7% lived in one of 53 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Pennsylvania was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Pennsylvania following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Pennsylvania county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solid Democratic | 10 | 47.2% | |||||
Solid Republican | 53 | 41.7% | |||||
Battleground Democratic | 2 | 4.5% | |||||
Trending Democratic | 1 | 4.1% | |||||
Trending Republican | 1 | 2.5% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 13 | 55.8% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 54 | 44.2% |
Historical voting trends
Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 16 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | P[127] | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania.
U.S. Senate election results in Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2018 | 55.7%![]() |
42.6%![]() |
2016 | 48.9%![]() |
47.2%![]() |
2012 | 53.7%![]() |
44.6%![]() |
2010 | 51.0%![]() |
49.0%![]() |
2006 | 58.7%![]() |
41.3%![]() |
Average | 53.6 | 44.9 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Pennsylvania
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania.
Gubernatorial election results in Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2018 | 57.8%![]() |
40.7%![]() |
2014 | 54.9%![]() |
45.1%![]() |
2010 | 54.5%![]() |
45.5%![]() |
2006 | 60.3%![]() |
39.6%![]() |
2002 | 53.4%![]() |
44.4%![]() |
Average | 56.2 | 43.1 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Republican | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 18 | 20 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Pennsylvania, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Pennsylvania General Assembly as of November 2022.
Pennsylvania State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 21 | |
Republican Party | 28 | |
Independent | 1 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Pennsylvania House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 88 | |
Republican Party | 113 | |
Vacancies | 2 | |
Total | 203 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Pennsylvania was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2022
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Pennsylvania | United States | |
Population | 12,702,379 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 44,742 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 80.5% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 11.2% | 12.7% |
Asian | 3.4% | 5.5% |
Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 2.2% | 4.9% |
Multiple | 2.5% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 7.3% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 90.5% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 31.4% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $61,744 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 12.4% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
Election context
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Pennsylvania | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | 2,000 | $200.00 | 3/15/2022 | Source |
Pennsylvania | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 2% of the largest entire vote cast for any elected statewide candidate in the last election | $200.00 | 8/1/2022 | Source |
Election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania
Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. defeated Lou Barletta, Dale Kerns, and Neal Gale in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bob Casey Jr. (D) | 55.7 | 2,792,437 |
Lou Barletta (R) ![]() | 42.6 | 2,134,848 | ||
![]() | Dale Kerns (L) ![]() | 1.0 | 50,907 | |
![]() | Neal Gale (G) ![]() | 0.6 | 31,208 |
Total votes: 5,009,400 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania
Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bob Casey Jr. | 100.0 | 752,008 |
Total votes: 752,008 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brian Kelly (D)
- Ray Uhric (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania
Lou Barletta defeated Jim Christiana in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Lou Barletta ![]() | 63.0 | 433,312 | |
![]() | Jim Christiana | 37.0 | 254,118 |
Total votes: 687,430 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joseph Vodvarka (R)
- Cynthia Ayers (R)
- Paul DeLong (R)
- Bobby Lawrence (R)
2016
The race for Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate seat was one of nine competitive battleground races in 2016 that helped Republicans keep control of the upper chamber after the November 8 general election. Incumbent Pat Toomey (R), who began serving in the Senate in 2011, defeated Katie McGinty (D), Edward Clifford III (L), and write-in candidate Everett Stern (I) in the general election.
Toomey ran his campaign separately from Donald Trump, and he did not tell people who he would vote for on Election Day. Toomey said, “You know, I’m not campaigning with Donald Trump. He’s running his campaign. I’m running mine.”[128][129][130]
Hillary Clinton, who campaigned with McGinty in October, criticized Toomey for not rejecting Trump as his party’s nominee. She said, “How much does he have to hear or to see? If he doesn’t have the courage to stand up against Donald Trump after all of this, then how will he stand up to special interests and powerful forces that are going to be trying to have their way in Washington?”[130]
Speaking about his campaign strategy, Toomey said, “I am convinced that Pennsylvania voters are going to make a complete separation in their minds. … There’s a presidential race going on, quite obviously, lots of attention, lots of focus, everybody’s got their opinion about it, and then there’s a totally separate thing happening in the Senate race — an incumbent senator most people know and an opponent. Totally separate campaign and totally separate judgment.”[130] Toomey stated on Election Day that he voted for Trump.[131]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
48.8% | 2,951,702 | |
Democratic | Katie McGinty | 47.3% | 2,865,012 | |
Libertarian | Edward Clifford | 3.9% | 235,142 | |
Total Votes | 6,051,856 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
42.5% | 669,774 | ||
Joe Sestak | 32.6% | 513,221 | ||
John Fetterman | 19.5% | 307,090 | ||
Joseph Vodvarka | 5.4% | 85,837 | ||
Total Votes | 1,575,922 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
2012
Bob Casey Jr. won re-election to the United States Senate in 2012.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
53.7% | 3,021,364 | |
Republican | Tom Smith | 44.6% | 2,509,132 | |
Libertarian | Rayburn Douglas Smith | 1.7% | 96,926 | |
Total Votes | 5,627,422 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
---|---|---|
![]() |
39.5% | 299,726 |
Sam Rohrer | 22.3% | 169,118 |
John Marc Scaringi | 6.8% | 51,908 |
David Christian | 10.5% | 79,581 |
Steve Welch | 20.9% | 158,181 |
Total Votes | 758,514 |
Republican-held Senate seat in state Biden won
- See also: States won by Joe Biden in 2020 with Republican-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2022
This was one of two Senate seats Republicans were defending in states Joe Biden (D) won in the 2020 presidential election:
- Pennsylvania: Biden defeated Donald Trump (R) 50.0%-48.8%. Incumbent Pat Toomey did not seek re-election.
- Wisconsin: Biden defeated Trump 49.5%-48.8%. Incumbent Ron Johnson sought re-election.
Democrats were not defending any Senate seats in states Trump won in 2020.
The following table shows the 2020 presidential election margin of victory in percentage points for each state with a Senate election in 2022. Click [show] on the right to expand the table.
2022 Senate elections | ||
---|---|---|
State | Pre-election incumbent | 2020 presidential margin of victory |
Alabama | ![]() |
Trump + 24.5 |
Alaska | ![]() |
Trump + 10.0 |
Arizona | ![]() |
Biden + 0.3 |
Arkansas | ![]() |
Trump + 27.6 |
California | ![]() |
Biden + 29.2 |
Colorado | ![]() |
Biden + 13.5 |
Connecticut | ![]() |
Biden + 20.1 |
Florida | ![]() |
Trump + 3.3 |
Georgia | ![]() |
Biden + 0.2 |
Hawaii | ![]() |
Biden + 29.4 |
Idaho | ![]() |
Trump + 30.7 |
Illinois | ![]() |
Biden + 16.9 |
Indiana | ![]() |
Trump + 16.0 |
Iowa | ![]() |
Trump + 8.2 |
Kansas | ![]() |
Trump + 14.6 |
Kentucky | ![]() |
Trump + 25.9 |
Louisiana | ![]() |
Trump + 18.6 |
Maryland | ![]() |
Biden + 33.2 |
Missouri | ![]() |
Trump + 14.4 |
Nevada | ![]() |
Biden + 2.4 |
New Hampshire | ![]() |
Biden + 7.3 |
New York | ![]() |
Biden + 23.2 |
North Carolina | ![]() |
Trump + 1.3 |
North Dakota | ![]() |
Trump + 33.3 |
Ohio | ![]() |
Trump + 8.1 |
Oklahoma | ![]() |
Trump + 33.1 |
Oregon | ![]() |
Biden + 16.1 |
Pennsylvania | ![]() |
Biden + 1.2 |
South Carolina | ![]() |
Trump + 11.7 |
South Dakota | ![]() |
Trump + 26.2 |
Utah | ![]() |
Trump + 20.5 |
Vermont | ![]() |
Biden +35.4 |
Washington | ![]() |
Biden + 19.2 |
Wisconsin | ![]() |
Biden + 0.6 |
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Georgia Attorney General election, 2022
- New York's 19th Congressional District election, 2022
- Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022
- Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary)
- Wisconsin Secretary of State election, 2022
See also
Pennsylvania | 2022 primaries | 2022 U.S. Congress elections |
---|---|---|
Voting in Pennsylvania Pennsylvania elections: 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018 |
Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries |
U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ YouTube, "Blame Washington," August 17, 2022
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Mehmet Oz," accessed August 3, 2022
- ↑ YouTube, "Doctors Fix Things," August 24, 2022
- ↑ CBS News, "Pennsylvania Senate candidate John Fetterman to return to in-person campaigning after stroke in May," August 5, 2022
- ↑ Roll Call, "Oz seeks to rally GOP against very online Fetterman campaign," August 22, 2022
- ↑ The Philadelphia Inquirer, "A tale of two campaigns: Fetterman rallies with his base while Oz tries to win over voters in smaller circles.," October 12, 2022
- ↑ The special Senate election in California was for the same seat up for regular election. There were, then, 36 total Senate elections for 35 total seats.
- ↑ Two independents who caucus with Democrats are included with Democrats in the 50-50 split count.
- ↑ Research Co., "Florida and Ohio Are Red States in U.S. Midterm Election," November 7, 2022
- ↑ Marist College, "The 2022 Elections in Pennsylvania," November 4, 2022
- ↑ Fox 29 Philadelphia, "InsiderAdvantage/FOX 29 poll: Oz rallies ahead of Fetterman as Shapiro maintains lead over Mastriano," November 4, 2022
- ↑ Emerson College, "Pennsylvania 2022: Oz and Fetterman in Two-Point Race; Half of Voters Say Senate Debate Worsened Their Opinion of Fetterman," November 3, 2022
- ↑ Trafalgar Group, "Pennsylvania General Statewide Survey," November 3, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Half of Pennsylvanians say Senate debate a factor in their vote," November 2, 2022
- ↑ Suffolk University, "Pennsylvania Midterms with USA TODAY Network marginals," November 2, 2022
- ↑ Susquehanna Polling and Research, "Pennsylvania Statewide [US SENATE Poll Highlights," November 2, 2022]
- ↑ Remington Research Group, "Pennsylvania," November 2, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "John Fetterman on November 1, 2022," accessed November 2, 2022
- ↑ The Morning Call, "Pennsylvania poll: Fetterman, Oz in a dead heat, while Shapiro maintains lead on Mastriano," November 1, 2022
- ↑ The New York Times, "Topline Results from Oct. 2022 Times/Siena Polls in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania," October 31, 2022
- ↑ Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, "Editorial: Better bet: Despite turbulent Senate race, Oz better prepared to lead," October 30, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "John Fetterman on November 6, 2022," accessed November 7, 2022
- ↑ Wick Insights, "PA BATTLEGROUND SURVEY, OCT 2022," October 28, 2022
- ↑ co/efficient, "Pennsylvania Statewide 2022 General Election," October 28, 2022
- ↑ White House, "Remarks by Vice President Harris At a Pennsylvania Democratic Party Reception," October 28, 2022
- ↑ InsiderAdvantage, "Oz ahead of Fetterman, Shapiro leads Mastriano in new PA poll," October 27, 2022
- ↑ Franklin & Marshall, "Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: October 2022," October 27, 2022
- ↑ 28.0 28.1 YouTube, "Pennsylvania U.S. Senate Debate," October 25, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Everett Stern on OCtober 25, 2022," accessed October 26, 2022
- ↑ CBS News, "CBS News Battleground Tracker poll: Pennsylvania Senate contest narrows," October 25, 2022
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, "Democrats Lead in Pennsylvania Governor, Senate Races," October 24, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "John Fetterman on OCtober 21, 2022," accessed October 25, 2022
- ↑ Fox 29 Philadelphia, "InsiderAdvantage/FOX 29 poll: Fetterman, Oz neck and neck as Shapiro’s lead over Mastriano narrows," October 20, 2022
- ↑ Wick Insights, "PA BATTLEGROUND SURVEY, OCT 2022," October 19, 2022
- ↑ The Philadelphia Inquirer, "John Fetterman is the best choice to represent Pennsylvania’s priorities in the U.S. Senate | Endorsement," October 16, 2022
- ↑ Trafalgar Group, "Pennsylvania General Statewide Survey," October 13, 2022
- ↑ 37.0 37.1 NBC News, "GOP super PAC ups investment in Pennsylvania Senate race," October 12, 2022
- ↑ 38.0 38.1 CNN, "Top Democratic super PAC to air ads on animal cruelty accusations against Oz," October 11, 2022
- ↑ 39.0 39.1 Bloomberg, "Trump’s New Super PAC Enters Pennsylvania and Ohio Senate Races," October 6, 2022
- ↑ GoErie, "Fetterman's lead on Oz slips as Shapiro's widens over Mastriano in USA TODAY/Suffolk poll," October 4, 2022
- ↑ The Cook Political Report, "Pennsylvania Senate Moves Back to Toss Up," October 4, 2022
- ↑ 42.0 42.1 The Philadelphia Inquirer, "Gun-safety group launches $2.1 million ad campaign criticizing Oz, Mastriano over gun laws," October 4, 2022
- ↑ Franklin & Marshall, "Key Findings," September 29, 2022
- ↑ Emerson College, "Pennsylvania 2022: Fetterman’s Lead Shrinks in US Senate Race; Shapiro’s Lead Expands For Governor’s Seat," September 29, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Pennsylvania Senate race narrows," September 28, 2022
- ↑ Marist, "The 2022 Elections in Pennsylvania," September 27, 2022
- ↑ The Phillips Academy Poll, "Pennsylvania Democrats Fetterman and Shapiro hang on to slim lead; Oz down 2%," September 26, 2022
- ↑ Fox 29, "InsiderAdvantage/FOX 29 poll shows Fetterman leading Oz, Shapiro in double-digit lead over Mastriano," September 26, 2022
- ↑ Muhlenberg College, "Muhlenberg College/Morning Call 2022 Pennsylvania Midterm Election Survey - September Wave," accessed September 23, 2022
- ↑ The Trafalgar Group, "Pennsylvania General Statewide Survey," September 16, 2022
- ↑ CBS News, "Economy, abortion shape Pennsylvania midterm races — CBS News Battleground Tracker," September 14, 2022
- ↑ NetChoice, "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech," September 13, 2022
- ↑ RABA Research, "Pennsylvania Survey," September 7, 2022
- ↑ NBC, "Oz backers launch ads attacking Fetterman for pulling gun on Black jogger in 2013," September 6, 2022
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Crystal Ball 2022 Senate ratings," August 31, 2022
- ↑ Susquehanna Polling and Research, "Pennsylvania US Senate Race: Fetterman Holds Tenuous Lead," August 30, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Jessica Taylor on August 18, 2022," accessed August 18, 2022
- ↑ Franklin & Marshall College, "Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: August 2022," August 25, 2022
- ↑ Emerson College, "Pennsylvania 2022: Fetterman Holds Four-Point Lead Over Oz for US Senate; Shapiro Leads Mastriano by Three," August 25, 2022
- ↑ Trafalgar Group, "Pennsylvania General Statewide Survey - August 2022," accessed August 22, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Jessica Taylor on August 18, 2022," accessed August 18, 2022
- ↑ Pittsburgh Works, "Shapiro, Fetterman Hold Double Digit Leads in New Poll," August 17, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Fox News Poll: Oz supporters lack enthusiasm in Pennsylvania Senate race," July 28, 2022
- ↑ Bolton Super PAC, "New Poll Finds Trump Hurts Republican Chances in Key Senate Races," July 28, 2022
- ↑ The Dispatch, "Toomey Will Support Dr. Oz But Stays Mum on Mastriano," July 27, 2022
- ↑ Blueprint Polling, "Democratic Nominees for PA Governor and Senate Enjoy Early Lead While Biden Fades," July 28, 2022
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Some other candidate: 2%
Undecided/Would not vote: 5% - ↑ Gerhardt: 2%
Someone else: 2%
Undecided/No Opinion: 3% - ↑ Other: 2%
Undecided: 3% - ↑ Weiss: 1%
Gerhardt: 2%
Someone else: 1%
Undecided: 5% - ↑ Another party's candidate: 1%
Undecided: 5% - ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Other: 1%
Not sure/Undecided: 5% - ↑ Gerhardt: 2%
Weiss: 1%
Undecided: 4% - ↑ Gerhardt: 1%
Undecided: 7% - ↑ Stern: 4%
Other/Undecided/Not Vote: 8% - ↑ Someone else: 5%
Undecided: 2% - ↑ Neither/Other: 3%
Not sure: 2% - ↑ Someone else: 4%
Undecided: 3% - ↑ Gerhardt: 3%
Someone else/Undecided/No Opinion: 4% - ↑ Don't know/refused: 6%
- ↑ Gerhardt: 1%
Some other candidate: 2%
Aren't sure how you would vote: 11%
None, not going to vote: 1% - ↑ Other: 6%
Undecided: 6% - ↑ Gerhardt: 2%
Someone else: 1%
Undecided/No Opinion: 5% - ↑ Someone else: 3%
Undecided: 3% - ↑ Gerhardt: 3%
Other: 1%
Undecided: 4% - ↑ Undecided: 10%
- ↑ Someone else: 5%
Undecided: 8% - ↑ Stern: 3%
Other: 1%
Wouldn't vote: 3%
Don't know: 7% - ↑ Some other candidate: 8%
Do not know: 5% - ↑ Gerhardt: 2%
Someone else: 4%
Undecided/No Opinion: 8% - ↑ Undecided: 7%
- ↑ Unsure: 9%
- ↑ Neither/Other: 5%
Not sure: 2% - ↑ Gerhardt: 4%
Other: 1%
Undecided: 2% - ↑ Not sure: 1%
- ↑ Unsure: 7%
- ↑ I plan to vote for someone else: 3%
Not sure: 8% - ↑ Other: 2%
Not sure: 5% - ↑ Someone else: 3%
Undecided: 5% - ↑ Erik Gerhardt: 3%
Dan Wassmer: 1%
Richard Weiss: 1%
Some other candidate: 2%
Aren't sure: 20%
None: 1% - ↑ Erik Gerhardt: 2%
Other: 2%
Undecided: 5% - ↑ Undecided: 15%
- ↑ Stern: 3%
Other/undecided: 13% - ↑ Another candidate: 4%
Undecided: 15% - ↑ Someone else: 2%
Not sure: 9% - ↑ Unsure: 8%
- ↑ Undecided: 6%
- ↑ Gerhardt: 1%
Weiss: 1%
Magee: 1%
Stern: 1%
Johnson: 0%
Undecided: 13% - ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
- ↑ NBC, "Oz backers launch ads attacking Fetterman for pulling gun on Black jogger in 2013," September 6, 2022
- ↑ 125.0 125.1 The Philadelphia Inquirer, "Two super PACs are pouring tens of millions into Pennsylvania for Oz and Fetterman ads," August 9, 2022
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
- ↑ Progressive Party
- ↑ Real Clear Politics, "Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein," accessed October 24, 2016
- ↑ Real Clear Politics, "Pennsylvania Senate - Toomey vs. McGinty," accessed October 24, 2016
- ↑ 130.0 130.1 130.2 The Los Angeles Times, "A Republican Senator's strategy to save his seat in one of the country's tightest races: Avoid Trump," accessed October 24, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Patrick Toomey Wins Re-election in Pennsylvania Senate Race," accessed November 11, 2016
- ↑ Padilla was appointed to the seat in January 2021 to succeed Kamala Harris (D).
|