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United States Senate election in Texas, 2026 (March 3 Democratic primary)

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2020
U.S. Senate, Texas
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 8, 2025
Primary: March 3, 2026
General: November 3, 2026
How to vote
Poll times:

7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending
Inside Elections: Likely Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026
See also
U.S. Senate, Texas
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Texas elections, 2026
U.S. Congress elections, 2026
U.S. Senate elections, 2026
U.S. House elections, 2026

Jasmine Crockett (D), James Talarico (D), and three others are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Texas on March 3, 2026. As of December 2025, Crockett and Talarico led the candidate field in polling, fundraising, and media attention.[1][2][3] The filing deadline is December 8, 2025.

The New York Times' J. David Goodman described the primary as a contrast of styles, saying Crockett "appeared to be betting that her brand of combative, progressive politics could win over Texas voters in large part by driving Democratic enthusiasm and turnout in the state’s major urban centers," while Talarico "[was] seeking to energize Democrats while also courting some disaffected Trump voters."[4]

Crockett was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2022. She earlier served two years in the state House and worked as an attorney in private practice.[5] NBC News' Bridget Bowman said Crockett "likely enters the race with relatively high name recognition, given her national profile as a vocal critic of Trump’s administration and Republicans."[6]

Talarico was elected to the state House in 2018. Talarico worked as a middle school teacher before entering elected politics.[7] Writing in Politico, Adam Wren said Talarico's candidacy "sets up among the sharpest nationwide tests of whether a red-state candidate can run against the national party’s brand."[8]

Also running in the primary are Emily Morgul (D), Michael Swanson (D), and Paula Williams (D).

As of December 2025, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales, and Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball each rated the general election Likely Republican.

In the 2024 election, incumbent Ted Cruz (R) defeated Colin Allred (D) 53%–45%. In 2020, incumbent John Cornyn (R) defeated M.J. Hegar (D) 54%–44%.

This page focuses on Texas' United States Senate Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Recent updates

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election, such as debates, polls, and noteworthy endorsements. Know of something we missed? Let us know.

  • August 15, 2025

    Emerson College published results from a poll it had conducted of 370 registered voters between August 11 and August 12, 2025. The poll was conducted before Talarico entered the race.[14]

  • August 19, 2025

    Texas Southern University published results from a poll it had conducted of 1,500 likely voters between August 6 and August 12, 2025. The poll asked voters who they would support in hypothetical matchups between Allred and Talarico, Allred and Beto O'Rourke (D), and Allred and Joaquin Castro (D). The poll was conducted before Talarico entered the race.[12][13]

  • October 9, 2025

    The University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs published results from a poll it had conducted of 478 registered voters between September 19 and October 1, 2025. The poll asked voters who they would support in a hypothetical matchup between Allred, Talarico, Jasmine Crockett (D), and Beto O'Rourke (D).[10][11]

View all


Candidates and election results

Note: The following list of candidates is unofficial. The filing deadline for this election has passed, and Ballotpedia is working to update this page with the official candidate list. This note will be removed once the official candidate list has been added.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas

The following candidates are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 3, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Texas

Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Jasmine Crockett

WebsiteFacebookXYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Crockett obtained a bachelor's degree from Rhodes College and a law degree from the University of Houston. Crockett's work as a lawyer includes operating a private practice focused on criminal defense, civil rights, and injury claims. She served as a public defender in Bowie County between 2007 and 2010.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Crockett said she was a "battle-tested fighter for the people, [who] has gone toe-to-toe with Trump, Abbott, and Paxton...a trusted voice for Texans who feel our state and nation are headed in the wrong direction."


Crockett said she was running "to get Texas back on track, to be a fighter for the middle-class, hard working Texans, ranchers, farmers, young families, oil workers, small businesses and the everyday people who make our State a vibrant, economic powerhouse."


Crockett said she had a record of being "a consistent champion for the middle-class, young families, senior citizens, labor groups, marginalized and vulnerable communities," saying she had directed millions of dollars in funds towards her congressional district under the Biden Administration.


Show sources

Image of James Talarico

WebsiteFacebookXYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Talarico obtained a bachelor's degree in government from the University of Texas at Austin and a master's degree in education from Harvard University. Before entering elected politics, Talarico taught middle school language arts at a public school in San Antonio.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Talarico said that "the biggest divide in this country is not left vs. right. It’s top vs. bottom. Billionaires want us looking left and right at each other instead of looking up at them. The people at the top work so hard to keep us angry and divided because our unity is a threat to their wealth and power...It’s the oldest strategy in the world: divide and conquer."


Talarico said he had "passed major legislation to fund our neighborhood schools, expand job opportunities for young adults, and lower the cost of child care, housing, and prescription drugs," and that he was "the only member of the Texas Legislature who has never taken corporate PAC money."


Referencing his Christian faith, Talarico said, "2,000 years ago, when the powerful few rigged the system, that barefoot rabbi walked into the seat of power and flipped over the tables of injustice. To those who love our country, to those who love our neighbors: It’s time to start flipping tables"


Show sources

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:

Campaign ads

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.


Democratic Party Jasmine Crockett


View more ads here:


Democratic Party James Talarico


View more ads here:


Debates and forums

If you are aware of any debates, candidate forums, or other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated, please email us.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[15] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[16] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls from a wide variety of sources, including media outlets, social media, campaigns, and aggregation websites, when available. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval. Know of something we're missing? Click here to let us know.


U.S. Senate Democratic primary in Texas, 2026 polls
PollDatesAllredCrockettMorgulSwansonTalaricoVirtsOtherUndecidedSample sizeMargin of errorSponsor
Texas Southern University
Note

Hypothetical matchup between Crockett and Talarico.

--51----43----61,600 likely voters
± 2.5%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs
Note

Hypothetical four-way matchup between Allred, Talarico, Jasmine Crockett (D), and Beto O'Rourke (D). "Other" includes results for Crockett (31%) and O'Rourke (25%).

13------25--566
478 RV
± 4.5%
N/A
58--43--1--34
370 RV
± 5.1%
N/A
Texas Southern University (includes Castro)
Note

Hypothetical matchup between Allred and Joaquin Castro (D). "Other" includes results for Castro.

52----------417
1,500 LV
± 2.5%
N/A
Texas Southern University (includes O'Rourke)
Note

Hypothetical matchup between Allred and Beto O'Rourke (D). "Other" includes results for O'Rourke.

38----------584
1,500 LV
± 2.5%
N/A
Texas Southern University (includes Talarico)
Note

Hypothetical two-way matchup between Allred and Talarico.

50------43----7
1,500 LV
± 2.5%
N/A
Note: LV is likely voters, RV is registered voters, and EV is eligible voters.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[17]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[18][19][20]

Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Texas, 2026
Race trackerRace ratings
12/23/202512/16/202512/9/202512/2/2025
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillPendingPendingPendingPending
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Campaign finance

Candidate spending

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jasmine Crockett Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Ahmad Hassan Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Emily Morgul Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Michael Swanson Democratic Party $6,991 $6,991 $0 As of September 30, 2025
James Talarico Democratic Party $6,268,610 $1,309,971 $4,958,638 As of September 30, 2025
Paula Williams Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," . This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[21][22][23]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

Texas U.S. Senate election history

2024

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Colin Allred, Ted Brown, Analisa Roche, and Tracy Andrus in the general election for U.S. Senate Texas on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz (R)
 
53.1
 
5,990,741
Image of Colin Allred
Colin Allred (D) Candidate Connection
 
44.6
 
5,031,249
Image of Ted Brown
Ted Brown (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.4
 
267,039
Image of Analisa Roche
Analisa Roche (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
1,906
Image of Tracy Andrus
Tracy Andrus (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
919

Total votes: 11,291,854
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Colin Allred
Colin Allred Candidate Connection
 
58.9
 
569,585
Image of Roland Gutierrez
Roland Gutierrez
 
16.6
 
160,978
Image of Mark A. Gonzalez
Mark A. Gonzalez
 
8.8
 
85,228
Image of Meri Gomez
Meri Gomez Candidate Connection
 
4.6
 
44,166
Image of Carl Sherman Sr.
Carl Sherman Sr. Candidate Connection
 
3.3
 
31,694
Image of Ahmad Hassan
Ahmad Hassan Candidate Connection
 
2.3
 
21,855
Image of Steve Keough
Steve Keough Candidate Connection
 
2.3
 
21,801
Heli Rodriguez Prilliman
 
1.9
 
18,801
Image of Thierry Tchenko
Thierry Tchenko Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
13,395

Total votes: 967,503
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Holland Gibson and Rufus Lopez in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
 
88.3
 
1,977,961
Holland Gibson
 
6.0
 
134,011
Rufus Lopez
 
5.7
 
127,986

Total votes: 2,239,958
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas

Ted Brown advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas on April 14, 2024.

Candidate
Image of Ted Brown
Ted Brown (L) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent John Cornyn defeated Mary Jennings Hegar, Kerry McKennon, David B. Collins, and Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla in the general election for U.S. Senate Texas on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Cornyn
John Cornyn (R)
 
53.5
 
5,962,983
Image of Mary Jennings Hegar
Mary Jennings Hegar (D)
 
43.9
 
4,888,764
Image of Kerry McKennon
Kerry McKennon (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.9
 
209,722
Image of David B. Collins
David B. Collins (G) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
81,893
Image of Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla
Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
678

Total votes: 11,144,040
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. Senate Texas

Mary Jennings Hegar defeated Royce West in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. Senate Texas on July 14, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mary Jennings Hegar
Mary Jennings Hegar
 
52.2
 
502,516
Image of Royce West
Royce West
 
47.8
 
459,457

Total votes: 961,973
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mary Jennings Hegar
Mary Jennings Hegar
 
22.3
 
417,160
Image of Royce West
Royce West
 
14.7
 
274,074
Image of Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez
Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez
 
13.2
 
246,659
Image of Annie Garcia
Annie Garcia Candidate Connection
 
10.3
 
191,900
Image of Amanda Edwards
Amanda Edwards
 
10.1
 
189,624
Image of Chris Bell
Chris Bell
 
8.5
 
159,751
Image of Sema Hernandez
Sema Hernandez Candidate Connection
 
7.4
 
137,892
Image of Michael Cooper
Michael Cooper
 
4.9
 
92,463
Image of Victor Harris
Victor Harris Candidate Connection
 
3.2
 
59,710
Image of Adrian Ocegueda
Adrian Ocegueda
 
2.2
 
41,566
Image of Jack Daniel Foster Jr.
Jack Daniel Foster Jr. Candidate Connection
 
1.7
 
31,718
Image of D.R. Hunter
D.R. Hunter
 
1.4
 
26,902

Total votes: 1,869,419
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent John Cornyn defeated Dwayne Stovall, Mark Yancey, John Castro, and Virgil Bierschwale in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Cornyn
John Cornyn
 
76.0
 
1,470,669
Image of Dwayne Stovall
Dwayne Stovall
 
11.9
 
231,104
Image of Mark Yancey
Mark Yancey Candidate Connection
 
6.5
 
124,864
Image of John Castro
John Castro Candidate Connection
 
4.5
 
86,916
Image of Virgil Bierschwale
Virgil Bierschwale Candidate Connection
 
1.1
 
20,494

Total votes: 1,934,047
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Green convention

Green convention for U.S. Senate Texas

David B. Collins advanced from the Green convention for U.S. Senate Texas on April 18, 2020.

Candidate
Image of David B. Collins
David B. Collins (G) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas

Kerry McKennon advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas on August 3, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Kerry McKennon
Kerry McKennon (L) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Beto O'Rourke and Neal Dikeman in the general election for U.S. Senate Texas on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz (R)
 
50.9
 
4,260,553
Image of Beto O'Rourke
Beto O'Rourke (D)
 
48.3
 
4,045,632
Image of Neal Dikeman
Neal Dikeman (L)
 
0.8
 
65,470

Total votes: 8,371,655
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas

Beto O'Rourke defeated Sema Hernandez and Edward Kimbrough in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Beto O'Rourke
Beto O'Rourke
 
61.8
 
640,769
Image of Sema Hernandez
Sema Hernandez
 
23.7
 
245,847
Edward Kimbrough
 
14.5
 
149,851

Total votes: 1,036,467
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Mary Miller, Bruce Jacobson Jr., Stefano de Stefano, and Geraldine Sam in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
 
85.3
 
1,315,146
Image of Mary Miller
Mary Miller
 
6.1
 
94,274
Image of Bruce Jacobson Jr.
Bruce Jacobson Jr.
 
4.2
 
64,452
Image of Stefano de Stefano
Stefano de Stefano
 
2.9
 
44,251
Geraldine Sam
 
1.5
 
22,767

Total votes: 1,540,890
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Texas in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2026
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. Senate Democratic or Republican 5,000 $5,000.00 12/8/2025 Source
Texas U.S. Senate Unaffiliated 1% of all votes cast for governor in the last election N/A 2/13/2026 Source

2026 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This is a battleground election. Other 2026 battleground elections include:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. KXAN, "New poll: US Senate primary races in Texas are neck and neck," October 10, 2025
  2. The Texas Tribune, "Talarico outraises Allred with massive fundraising haul to kick off Senate Democratic primary," October 1, 2025
  3. WFAA, "How does a Democrat strategist see the Texas Senate race unfolding after Talarico's entry?" September 16, 2025
  4. The New York Times, "Jasmine Crockett Enters U.S. Senate Race in Texas, Reshaping Democratic Primary," December 8, 2025
  5. Jasmine Crockett campaign website, "About," accessed December 9, 2025
  6. NBC News, "Rep. Jasmine Crockett launches Senate run in Texas, shaking up Democratic primary," December 8, 2025
  7. Texas House of Representatives, "Rep. Talarico, James - Biography," accessed October 30, 2025
  8. Politico, "‘Bet it on the underdog’: Talarico officially enters the Texas Senate primary," September 9, 2025
  9. DocumentCloud, "The 2026 Texas Democratic U.S. Senate Primary," December 11, 2025
  10. University of Houston, "University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Texas Trends 2025: Election 2026," accessed October 15, 2025
  11. University of Houston, "UH – TSU Survey Finds Paxton, Cornyn in Virtual Tie for Republican Senate Nomination," October 9, 2025
  12. Google Drive, "Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center: The 2026 Texas U.S. Senate Republican & Democratic Primaries," accessed October 15, 2025
  13. Houston Public Media, "John Cornyn narrowing Ken Paxton’s lead in GOP Senate primary, Texas Southern University poll shows," August 19, 2025
  14. Emerson College, "Texas 2026 Poll: Cornyn and Paxton in Dead Heat for GOP Senate Nomination," August 15, 2025
  15. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  16. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  17. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  18. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  19. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  20. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  21. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  22. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  23. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
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District 38
Republican Party (27)
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Vacancies (1)