United States Senate election in Wisconsin (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 17 (online or mail), or Nov. 2 (in-person)
- Early voting: Varies by locality
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2022 →
← 2016
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U.S. Senate, Wisconsin |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 1, 2018 |
Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Tammy Baldwin (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Wisconsin |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Wisconsin elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Democratic Party primary election took place on August 14, 2018, in Wisconsin to determine which Democrat would run in the state's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) ran unopposed in the 2012 Democratic primary and won the general election by 6 points. She reported nearly $1.7 million in cash on hand at the end of the third quarter of 2017.[1] With more than $7.2 million raised in 2017, Baldwin was not expected to face a competitive primary challenger.
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Tammy Baldwin advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin on August 14, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Wisconsin
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tammy Baldwin |
![]() | ||||
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Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[2]
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Twenty-three of 72 Wisconsin counties—32 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Adams County, Wisconsin | 21.92% | 8.73% | 18.35% | ||||
Buffalo County, Wisconsin | 21.82% | 2.93% | 14.66% | ||||
Columbia County, Wisconsin | 2.14% | 13.58% | 15.26% | ||||
Crawford County, Wisconsin | 5.40% | 19.98% | 27.03% | ||||
Door County, Wisconsin | 3.22% | 6.99% | 17.33% | ||||
Dunn County, Wisconsin | 11.09% | 4.97% | 14.95% | ||||
Forest County, Wisconsin | 26.58% | 5.44% | 15.16% | ||||
Grant County, Wisconsin | 9.43% | 13.77% | 23.88% | ||||
Jackson County, Wisconsin | 11.74% | 15.01% | 21.84% | ||||
Juneau County, Wisconsin | 26.05% | 7.03% | 9.00% | ||||
Kenosha County, Wisconsin | 0.31% | 12.23% | 18.06% | ||||
Lafayette County, Wisconsin | 8.99% | 15.37% | 22.32% | ||||
Lincoln County, Wisconsin | 20.60% | 0.71% | 12.48% | ||||
Marquette County, Wisconsin | 24.09% | 0.27% | 5.28% | ||||
Pepin County, Wisconsin | 23.08% | 2.22% | 12.89% | ||||
Price County, Wisconsin | 25.00% | 0.04% | 13.40% | ||||
Racine County, Wisconsin | 4.28% | 3.54% | 7.41% | ||||
Richland County, Wisconsin | 5.50% | 16.13% | 20.63% | ||||
Sauk County, Wisconsin | 0.35% | 18.47% | 23.04% | ||||
Sawyer County, Wisconsin | 18.41% | 0.49% | 6.23% | ||||
Trempealeau County, Wisconsin | 12.64% | 14.08% | 26.39% | ||||
Vernon County, Wisconsin | 4.43% | 14.73% | 22.00% | ||||
Winnebago County, Wisconsin | 7.34% | 3.73% | 11.66% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Wisconsin with 47.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 46.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Wisconsin cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Wisconsin supported Republicans slightly more than Democratic candidates, 50.0 to 46.7 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every presidential election from 2000 to 2012 before voting for Trump in 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in Wisconsin. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 43 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 34.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 36 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 34.6 points. Clinton won three districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 56 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 12.1 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 63 out of 99 state Assembly districts in Wisconsin with an average margin of victory of 19.4 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 Presidential Results by State Assembly District ' | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 49.45% | 49.55% | R+0.1 | 40.19% | 55.31% | R+15.1 | R |
2 | 45.06% | 53.88% | R+8.8 | 35.98% | 58.55% | R+22.6 | R |
3 | 46.37% | 52.37% | R+6 | 39.25% | 54.77% | R+15.5 | R |
4 | 47.96% | 51.02% | R+3.1 | 42.82% | 51.96% | R+9.1 | R |
5 | 45.84% | 53.01% | R+7.2 | 35.60% | 58.94% | R+23.3 | R |
6 | 44.15% | 54.75% | R+10.6 | 30.90% | 64.34% | R+33.4 | R |
7 | 57.11% | 41.73% | D+15.4 | 55.20% | 39.20% | D+16 | D |
8 | 86.53% | 12.79% | D+73.7 | 82.43% | 14.14% | D+68.3 | D |
9 | 74.69% | 24.42% | D+50.3 | 71.60% | 23.86% | D+47.7 | D |
10 | 89.76% | 9.63% | D+80.1 | 89.09% | 8.09% | D+81 | D |
11 | 86.92% | 12.62% | D+74.3 | 85.40% | 12.20% | D+73.2 | D |
12 | 80.00% | 19.52% | D+60.5 | 79.28% | 17.84% | D+61.4 | D |
13 | 41.61% | 57.43% | R+15.8 | 46.60% | 48.01% | R+1.4 | R |
14 | 42.53% | 56.71% | R+14.2 | 49.36% | 45.05% | D+4.3 | R |
15 | 44.86% | 54.03% | R+9.2 | 43.63% | 50.53% | R+6.9 | R |
16 | 90.18% | 8.97% | D+81.2 | 88.16% | 8.20% | D+80 | D |
17 | 86.03% | 13.52% | D+72.5 | 85.53% | 11.96% | D+73.6 | D |
18 | 89.18% | 10.15% | D+79 | 87.03% | 9.71% | D+77.3 | D |
19 | 69.95% | 28.13% | D+41.8 | 72.67% | 20.16% | D+52.5 | D |
20 | 58.37% | 40.39% | D+18 | 55.33% | 39.27% | D+16.1 | D |
21 | 47.93% | 51.07% | R+3.1 | 44.81% | 50.06% | R+5.3 | R |
22 | 42.44% | 56.73% | R+14.3 | 35.41% | 60.15% | R+24.7 | R |
23 | 34.62% | 64.61% | R+30 | 50.43% | 44.81% | D+5.6 | R |
24 | 43.05% | 56.18% | R+13.1 | 45.71% | 49.32% | R+3.6 | R |
25 | 46.93% | 51.76% | R+4.8 | 35.85% | 58.74% | R+22.9 | R |
26 | 45.64% | 53.35% | R+7.7 | 38.91% | 55.22% | R+16.3 | R |
27 | 45.07% | 53.89% | R+8.8 | 40.39% | 54.00% | R+13.6 | R |
28 | 43.68% | 54.77% | R+11.1 | 32.63% | 61.90% | R+29.3 | R |
29 | 48.16% | 50.05% | R+1.9 | 38.58% | 54.01% | R+15.4 | R |
30 | 46.24% | 52.24% | R+6 | 42.51% | 50.44% | R+7.9 | R |
31 | 46.56% | 52.48% | R+5.9 | 40.68% | 53.70% | R+13 | R |
32 | 41.42% | 57.37% | R+15.9 | 34.97% | 59.41% | R+24.4 | R |
33 | 39.95% | 58.97% | R+19 | 35.54% | 59.27% | R+23.7 | R |
34 | 44.59% | 54.39% | R+9.8 | 35.28% | 60.34% | R+25.1 | R |
35 | 46.89% | 52.10% | R+5.2 | 34.68% | 60.52% | R+25.8 | R |
36 | 46.49% | 52.48% | R+6 | 32.07% | 64.35% | R+32.3 | R |
37 | 45.97% | 52.93% | R+7 | 39.87% | 54.26% | R+14.4 | R |
38 | 41.66% | 57.48% | R+15.8 | 38.23% | 56.78% | R+18.5 | R |
39 | 42.12% | 56.85% | R+14.7 | 32.76% | 62.11% | R+29.4 | R |
40 | 45.04% | 53.94% | R+8.9 | 32.61% | 62.85% | R+30.2 | R |
41 | 48.58% | 50.35% | R+1.8 | 36.02% | 59.60% | R+23.6 | R |
42 | 51.09% | 48.03% | D+3.1 | 40.26% | 54.51% | R+14.3 | R |
43 | 58.46% | 40.22% | D+18.2 | 50.24% | 43.54% | D+6.7 | D |
44 | 63.57% | 35.53% | D+28 | 55.44% | 38.62% | D+16.8 | D |
45 | 63.99% | 34.88% | D+29.1 | 52.83% | 41.86% | D+11 | D |
46 | 63.63% | 35.46% | D+28.2 | 61.74% | 32.95% | D+28.8 | D |
47 | 71.05% | 27.83% | D+43.2 | 71.89% | 23.13% | D+48.8 | D |
48 | 77.21% | 21.61% | D+55.6 | 76.06% | 19.26% | D+56.8 | D |
49 | 56.34% | 42.26% | D+14.1 | 42.01% | 51.26% | R+9.3 | R |
50 | 54.10% | 44.84% | D+9.3 | 38.35% | 57.05% | R+18.7 | R |
51 | 59.12% | 39.77% | D+19.4 | 48.42% | 46.59% | D+1.8 | R |
52 | 45.04% | 53.91% | R+8.9 | 38.03% | 56.66% | R+18.6 | R |
53 | 43.36% | 55.55% | R+12.2 | 34.18% | 60.93% | R+26.7 | R |
54 | 57.39% | 41.08% | D+16.3 | 49.16% | 44.12% | D+5 | D |
55 | 47.32% | 51.08% | R+3.8 | 41.80% | 51.70% | R+9.9 | R |
56 | 43.05% | 55.69% | R+12.6 | 37.98% | 56.68% | R+18.7 | R |
57 | 58.41% | 39.31% | D+19.1 | 51.73% | 41.22% | D+10.5 | D |
58 | 31.25% | 67.77% | R+36.5 | 28.43% | 66.52% | R+38.1 | R |
59 | 31.24% | 67.73% | R+36.5 | 25.52% | 69.73% | R+44.2 | R |
60 | 31.82% | 67.23% | R+35.4 | 32.35% | 62.53% | R+30.2 | R |
61 | 44.42% | 54.59% | R+10.2 | 36.49% | 58.50% | R+22 | R |
62 | 45.73% | 53.46% | R+7.7 | 41.17% | 54.02% | R+12.9 | R |
63 | 42.73% | 56.47% | R+13.7 | 37.80% | 57.26% | R+19.5 | R |
64 | 58.84% | 40.05% | D+18.8 | 52.63% | 42.23% | D+10.4 | D |
65 | 67.06% | 31.78% | D+35.3 | 57.76% | 36.48% | D+21.3 | D |
66 | 75.23% | 23.77% | D+51.5 | 68.34% | 26.50% | D+41.8 | D |
67 | 48.07% | 50.75% | R+2.7 | 36.41% | 58.15% | R+21.7 | R |
68 | 51.24% | 47.56% | D+3.7 | 40.11% | 54.44% | R+14.3 | R |
69 | 43.65% | 55.15% | R+11.5 | 34.08% | 60.83% | R+26.8 | R |
70 | 48.55% | 50.09% | R+1.5 | 36.82% | 57.83% | R+21 | R |
71 | 57.55% | 41.03% | D+16.5 | 50.34% | 43.28% | D+7.1 | D |
72 | 48.68% | 50.09% | R+1.4 | 36.95% | 58.55% | R+21.6 | R |
73 | 60.93% | 37.66% | D+23.3 | 47.53% | 47.49% | D+0 | D |
74 | 57.74% | 40.88% | D+16.9 | 46.22% | 49.38% | R+3.2 | D |
75 | 47.55% | 51.22% | R+3.7 | 34.53% | 60.84% | R+26.3 | R |
76 | 81.64% | 15.70% | D+65.9 | 82.30% | 11.34% | D+71 | D |
77 | 82.23% | 16.20% | D+66 | 83.80% | 11.48% | D+72.3 | D |
78 | 71.91% | 26.85% | D+45.1 | 75.62% | 19.47% | D+56.2 | D |
79 | 60.89% | 38.29% | D+22.6 | 62.65% | 32.43% | D+30.2 | D |
80 | 63.93% | 35.08% | D+28.9 | 62.12% | 32.50% | D+29.6 | D |
81 | 61.46% | 37.67% | D+23.8 | 51.23% | 43.11% | D+8.1 | D |
82 | 43.03% | 56.32% | R+13.3 | 43.69% | 51.79% | R+8.1 | R |
83 | 31.12% | 68.10% | R+37 | 29.71% | 65.91% | R+36.2 | R |
84 | 42.31% | 56.84% | R+14.5 | 41.43% | 53.68% | R+12.3 | R |
85 | 52.04% | 46.78% | D+5.3 | 44.67% | 49.90% | R+5.2 | R |
86 | 43.96% | 55.02% | R+11.1 | 36.19% | 59.18% | R+23 | R |
87 | 44.81% | 53.95% | R+9.1 | 30.93% | 64.82% | R+33.9 | R |
88 | 48.79% | 50.35% | R+1.6 | 43.75% | 50.75% | R+7 | R |
89 | 46.02% | 52.97% | R+6.9 | 32.41% | 63.26% | R+30.9 | R |
90 | 63.31% | 35.13% | D+28.2 | 53.29% | 39.82% | D+13.5 | D |
91 | 60.63% | 37.68% | D+22.9 | 55.95% | 36.72% | D+19.2 | D |
92 | 55.89% | 42.98% | D+12.9 | 40.90% | 54.33% | R+13.4 | R |
93 | 47.10% | 51.80% | R+4.7 | 38.30% | 56.18% | R+17.9 | R |
94 | 51.53% | 47.32% | D+4.2 | 45.50% | 49.03% | R+3.5 | D |
95 | 64.46% | 33.93% | D+30.5 | 58.03% | 34.66% | D+23.4 | D |
96 | 55.57% | 42.95% | D+12.6 | 42.90% | 51.64% | R+8.7 | R |
97 | 39.90% | 59.02% | R+19.1 | 39.37% | 54.43% | R+15.1 | R |
98 | 33.69% | 65.46% | R+31.8 | 35.20% | 59.58% | R+24.4 | R |
99 | 26.70% | 72.64% | R+45.9 | 28.97% | 66.40% | R+37.4 | R |
Total | 52.92% | 45.97% | D+7 | 47.01% | 47.78% | R+0.8 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Wisconsin heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats and Republicans each held one U.S. Senate seat in Wisconsin.
- Republicans held five of eight U.S. House seats in Wisconsin.
State executives
- Republicans held six of 11 state executive positions, while one position was held by a Democrat and four were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Wisconsin was Republican Scott Walker.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Wisconsin State Legislature. They had a 64-35 majority in the state Assembly and an 18-15 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Wisconsin was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Scott Walker (R) served as governor and Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Wisconsin elections, 2018
Wisconsin held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One seat in the U.S. Senate
- Eight U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Three lower state executive positions
- 17 out of 33 state Senate seats
- 99 state Assembly seats
- Municipal elections in Dane and Milwaukee Counties
Demographics
Demographic data for Wisconsin | ||
---|---|---|
Wisconsin | U.S. | |
Total population: | 5,767,891 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 54,158 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 86.5% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 6.3% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.5% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 6.3% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 91% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 27.8% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $53,357 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 15% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Wisconsin. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Wisconsin had a population of approximately 5,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Milwaukee (pop. est. 600,000), Madison (pop. est. 250,000), and Green Bay (pop. est. 110,000).[5][6]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Wisconsin from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Wisconsin Elections Commission.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Wisconsin every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
47.8% | ![]() |
46.3% | 1.5% |
2012 | ![]() |
52.8% | ![]() |
45.9% | 6.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
56.2% | ![]() |
42.3% | 13.9% |
2004 | ![]() |
49.7% | ![]() |
49.3% | 0.4% |
2000 | ![]() |
47.8% | ![]() |
47.6% | 0.2% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Wisconsin from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
50.2% | ![]() |
46.8% | 3.4% |
2012 | ![]() |
51.4% | ![]() |
45.9% | 5.5% |
2010 | ![]() |
51.9% | ![]() |
47.0% | 4.9% |
2006 | ![]() |
67.3% | ![]() |
29.5% | 37.8% |
2004 | ![]() |
55.3% | ![]() |
44.1% | 11.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
61.5% | ![]() |
37.0% | 24.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Wisconsin.
Election results (Governor), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
52.3% | ![]() |
46.6% | 5.7% |
2010 | ![]() |
52.3% | ![]() |
46.5% | 5.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
52.7% | ![]() |
45.3% | 7.4% |
2002 | ![]() |
45.1% | ![]() |
41.4% | 3.7% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Wisconsin in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2025
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2018
- United States Senate election in Wisconsin (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States Senate elections, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "Sen. Tammy Baldwin raises $2.4 million in 3 months for Wisconsin Senate race," October 12, 2017
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Wisconsin," accessed January 15, 2018
- ↑ Wisconsin Demographics, "Wisconsin Cities by Population," accessed January 15, 2018