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Utah's 2nd Congressional District election (2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9 (mail), or Oct. 30 (online or in-person)
- Early voting: Oct. 23 - Nov. 2
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
| Utah's 2nd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 15, 2018 |
| Primary: June 26, 2018 (canceled) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Chris Stewart (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Utah |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Utah elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary convention took place on April 21, 2018, in Utah's 2nd District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election. Incumbent Chris Stewart received 68 percent of the convention vote and advanced to the general election. The Republican primary, scheduled for June 26, 2018, was canceled.[1]
This page focuses on the Republican convention. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
The Republican nominee, incumbent Chris Stewart, was selected via convention.
Republican convention candidates
Note: The Utah Republican Party held a nominating convention on April 21, 2018.
- Chris Stewart (Incumbent)
- Mary Burkett[2]
- Ken Clark
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Utah's 2nd Congressional District the 75th most Republican nationally.[3]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.16. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.16 points toward that party.[4]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[5]
Republicans
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Utah heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Utah.
- Republicans held all four U.S. House seats in Utah.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Republicans held five of eight state executive positions, while three positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Utah was Republican Gary Herbert.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Utah State Legislature. They had a 61-13 majority in the state House and a 24-5 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Utah was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Gary Herbert (R) served as governor and Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Utah elections, 2018
Utah held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- All four U.S. House seats
- 14 out of 29 state Senate seats
- All 75 state House seats
Demographics
| Demographic data for Utah | ||
|---|---|---|
| Utah | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 2,990,632 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 82,170 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 87.6% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 1.1% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 2.2% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.6% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 13.4% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 91.2% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 31.1% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $60,727 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Utah. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2017, Utah had a population of approximately 3,100,000 people, with its three largest cities being Salt Lake City (pop. est. 190,000), West Valley City (pop. est. 140,000), and Provo (pop. est. 120,000).[6][7]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Utah from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Lieutenant Governor of Utah.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Utah every four years from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Donald Trump |
45.5% |  Hillary Clinton |
27.5% | 18.0% |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney |
72.6% | Barack Obama |
24.7% | 47.9% |
| 2008 | John McCain |
62.2% | Barack Obama |
34.2% | 28.0% |
| 2004 | George W. Bush |
71.5% | John Kerry |
26.0% | 45.5% |
| 2000 | George W. Bush |
66.8% | Al Gore |
26.3% | 40.5% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Utah from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Mike Lee |
68.2% | Misty Snow |
27.1% | 41.1% |
| 2012 | Orrin Hatch |
65.2% | Scott Howell |
30.2% | 35.0% |
| 2010 | Mike Lee |
61.6% | Sam Granato |
32.8% | 28.8% |
| 2006 | Orrin Hatch |
62.5% | Pete Ashdown |
31.1% | 31.4% |
| 2004 | Bob Bennett |
68.7% | Paul Van Dam |
28.4% | 40.3% |
| 2000 | Orrin Hatch |
65.6% | Scott Howell |
31.5% | 34.1% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the six gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Utah. Included in the table are the results of the 2010 special election called to fill the seat of former Gov. Jon Huntsman (R), who had resigned to serve as U.S. Ambassador to China.
| Election results (Governor), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Gary Herbert |
66.7% | Mike Weinholtz |
28.7% | 38.0% |
| 2012 | Gary Herbert |
68.4% | Peter Cooke |
27.7% | 40.7% |
| 2010 | Gary Herbert |
64.1% | Peter Corroon |
31.9% | 32.2% |
| 2008 | Jon Huntsman |
77.6% | Bob Springmeyer |
19.7% | 57.9% |
| 2004 | Jon Huntsman |
57.7% | Scott Matheson |
41.4% | 16.3% |
| 2000 | Mike Leavitt |
55.8% | Bill Orton |
42.7% | 13.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Utah in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 4 |
100% | 0 |
0% | R+4 |
| 2014 | 4 |
100% | 0 |
0% | R+4 |
| 2012 | 3 |
75% | 1 |
25% | R+2 |
| 2010 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2008 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2006 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2004 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2002 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2000 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Utah Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Thirty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2018
- United States House elections in Utah (June 26, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Utah's 2nd Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Deseret News, "Utah GOP delegates force primary elections for Mitt Romney, John Curtis," April 21, 2018
- ↑ Mary Burkett for Congress, "Home," accessed October 3, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Utah," accessed January 15, 2018
- ↑ Utah Demographics, "Utah Cities by Population," accessed January 15, 2018
