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Utah's 4th Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9 (mail), or Oct. 30 (online or in-person)
- Early voting: Oct. 23 - Nov. 2
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Utah's 4th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 15, 2018 |
Primary: June 26, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Mia Love (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Utah |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Utah elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams (D) defeated incumbent Mia Love (R) in the general election on November 6, 2018, to represent Utah's 4th Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Love was first elected to the district in 2014, succeeding Jim Matheson (D), who was the first representative elected from the district after its creation following the 2010 census. In the 2016 election, Love was re-elected by a margin of 13 percentage points while Donald Trump (R) carried the district by a margin of 7 percentage points.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Election updates
- October 30, 2018: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee launched a $250,000 television ad campaign supporting McAdams.
- October 29, 2018: FreedomWorks announced a $2,500 get-out-the-vote effort in support of Love.
- October 26, 2018: A New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll found Love and McAdams about even with 45 percent support each. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.7 percentage points.
For older updates, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
Ben McAdams defeated incumbent Mia Love in the general election for U.S. House Utah District 4 on November 6, 2018.
General election
General election for U.S. House Utah District 4
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Ben McAdams (D) | 50.1 | 134,964 |
![]() | Mia Love (R) | 49.9 | 134,270 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 37 |
Total votes: 269,271 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Utah Democratic Party held a nominating convention on April 28, 2018. Ben McAdams was selected as the Democratic nominee for U.S. House Utah District 4.[1]
Republican primary election
The Utah Republican Party held a nominating convention on April 21, 2018. Incumbent Mia Love was selected as the Republican nominee for U.S. House Utah District 4.[2]
Candidate profiles
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: U.S. House of Representatives (Assumed office: 2015), Mayor of Saratoga Springs (2010-2014), Saratoga Springs City Council (2003-2009)
Biography: Love attended the University of Hartford, graduating with a degree in fine arts in 1997 and moving to Utah shortly after. Before entering politics, Love worked as a flight attendant and call center operator.
- Love said that her values were inspired by her parents, who immigrated from Haiti. She quotes her father as saying, "Mia, your mother and I never took a handout. You will not be a burden to society. You will give back."[3] Love said that she was running to preserve those values, saying that Congress "has run up trillion dollar deficits, made promises it cannot keep, and failed to balance the budget."[4]
- Love said that she has an extensive record of accomplishments in public service, pointing to the town of Saratoga Springs' growth while she was mayor. Love also pointed to bills she introduced in previous sessions of Congress to encourage small banks to issue loans, allow the state of Utah to acquire certain parcels of federal land for educational purposes, and prevent taxpayer funds from being used to pay settlements to those accusing members of Congress of sexual misconduct.[4][5]
- Love said that McAdams supported higher taxes and was an ally of the Clintons and Nancy Pelosi.[6][7]
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: Mayor of Salt Lake County (Assumed office: 2012), Utah State Senate (2009-2013)
Biography: McAdams graduated from the University of Utah with a degree in political science in 2000 and obtained his law degree from Columbia Law School in 2003. He joined the law firm of Davis Polk & Wardwell in 2003 and was hired by Dorsey & Whitney LLP in 2006. In addition to practicing law, McAdams served as an adjunct professor at the University of Utah School of Law and as senior advisor to the mayor of Salt Lake City. He stepped down from both roles upon taking office as Salt Lake County Mayor in 2013.
- McAdams said that he would govern in a bipartisan manner, saying that he worked with both parties as county mayor.[8][9]
- McAdams said that he would support laws to limit the influence of lobbyists, require Congress to pass a budget in order to receive pay, and that he would not support Nancy Pelosi (D) for Speaker of the House.[10]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Utah's 4th Congressional District, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Ben McAdams | Mia Love | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
The New York Times Upshot/Siena College (October 24-26, 2018) | N/A | 45% | 45% | 9% | +/-4.7 | 526 | |||||||||||||
Dixie Strategies (October 25, 2018) | KUTV | 50% | 43% | 7% | +/-3.2 | 936 | |||||||||||||
University of Utah Hinckley Institute of Politics (October 3-11, 2018) | The Salt Lake Tribune | 46% | 46% | 8% | +/-4.9 | 403 | |||||||||||||
The Mellman Group (October 7-10, 2018) | The McAdams campaign | 47% | 46% | 7% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||
Y2 Analytics (September 6-8, 2018) | The Love campaign | 42% | 51% | 7% | +/-4.9 | 405 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 46% | 46.2% | 7.6% | +/-4.52 | 534 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Click [show] to view older polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mia Love | Republican Party | $5,867,355 | $5,951,840 | $102,871 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Ben McAdams | Democratic Party | $3,384,890 | $3,306,518 | $78,372 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[11][12][13]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The Congressional Leadership Fund reported spending $1.14 million as of October 18, 2018, to air ads in support of Love.[14][15][16]
- FreedomWorks announced a $2,500 get-out-the-vote campaign over text message in support of Love on October 29, 2018. The buy was part of a $270,000 effort across 21 U.S. House races.[17]
- Patriot Majority USA reserved $500,000 in airtime on ads opposing Love.[16]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[18]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[19][20][21]
Race ratings: Utah's 4th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Utah's 4th Congressional District the 97th most Republican nationally.[22]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[23]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click here to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites:
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | McAdams (D) | Love (R) | ||||
Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
The Salt Lake Tribune[24] | ✔ | |||||
Organizations | ||||||
End Citizens United[25] | ✔ |
Timeline
- October 25, 2018: A Dixie Strategies poll sponsored by KUTV found McAdams leading Love 50-43. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.
- October 23, 2018: The Salt Lake Tribune endorsed Love.
- October 15, 2018: A University of Utah poll sponsored by The Salt Lake Tribune found Love and McAdams tied 46-46 with 8 percent of voters undecided. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.
- October 15, 2018: Love and McAdams met for a debate at Salt Lake Community College.
- October 12, 2018: A Mellman Group poll commissioned by the McAdams campaign found McAdams about even with Love, with 47 percent support to Love's 46 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.
- October 9, 2018: The Congressional Leadership Fund reported spending $956,000 in support of Love.
- September 11, 2018: A Y2 Analytics poll commissioned by the Love campaign found Love apparently leading McAdams, with 51 percent support to McAdams' 42 percent.
- September 7, 2018: A Dan Jones & Associates poll found Love about even with McAdams, with 49 percent support to McAdams' 46 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.
Campaign advertisements
Mia Love
Support
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Ben McAdams
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Noteworthy events
Paul Ryan fundraiser
Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R) held a fundraiser on behalf of Rep. Mia Love (R) on June 12, 2018. In a statement, Ryan said that he was "proud to support [Love] and know that she'll continue to be a champion for her district in Congress."[26]
Request for redesignation of funds
On August 6, 2018, the Federal Election Commission (FEC) sent a letter to the Mia Love (R) campaign calling for the refund or redesignation of funds the campaign had collected for its 2018 primary. Under federal law, campaign contributions must be designated as either for a primary or a general election. Contributions from a donor to a candidate's primary election campaign do not count towards the general election contribution limit and vice versa. However, a candidate may not legally collect primary election contributions if they are unopposed in their party's primary.
In the August letter, the FEC said that the Love campaign was not authorized to collect primary donations since she had not appeared in a contested primary. It called on the campaign to redesignate or refund all such contributions within 60 days. A contribution may only be redesignated with the original donor's approval and only if the newly-designated contribution does not cause the campaign to have exceeded its per-donor contribution limit for the general election.
In a September 6 response, the Love campaign stated that it would seek to return or redesignate all contributions collected for the primary election between the April 21 Republican Party of Utah convention and the June 26 primary. The campaign stated that it would not be seeking to return or redesignate contributions collected before April 21, citing an April 2016 decision in which the FEC ruled that Sen. Mike Lee (R) was permitted to retain all contributions designated for his unopposed primary election that were collected before the Republican Party of Utah's convention. The decision was made on the basis that the state's dual-track nomination process, in which a candidate may appear on the ballot either via collecting signatures or by receiving the votes of delegates at a state party convention, meant that Lee did not know with certainty that he would not face a primary challenger until the convention. The Love campaign said that a primary election candidate would have had until April 7 to file signatures with the Lieutenant Governor of Utah and that those signatures could have been approved as late as April 20, meaning that Love did not know until the day of the convention whether she would face a primary challenge. Love spokeswoman Sasha Clark said that nearly $370,000 in funds were marked for redesignation and that the total amount refunded could be less than $10,000.
The McAdams campaign called on the FEC to require the return or redesignation of all the contributions mentioned in its August letter, stating that since no challengers filed ahead of the March 15 deadline for consideration at the state party convention, Love would have known after that date that she would not face a contested primary.[27][28][29]
Debates and forums
- Love and McAdams met for a debate at Salt Lake Community College on October 15, 2018.[30] Click here for footage of the debate.
Campaign themes
Mia Love
Love's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Education Utah families want better quality education, lower costs, and more local control over decisions related to education. In recent years, the U.S. Department of Education has expanded the federal role in education to unprecedented levels, to the detriment of our children and college students. Utah—not the federal government—knows what is best for Utah’s students. Mia trusts Utah teachers and Utah parents over Washington bureaucrats. While in Congress, Mia has kept her promises to Utah’s 4th District by taking the following actions:
Mia has pledged to continue to work hard for your children’s future. Healthcare That is why she has repeatedly voted to repeal Obamacare and its most damaging provisions. Mia believes in a shift towards patient-centered reforms that expand coverage while reducing costs. And she pledges to continue to fight for better options. While in Congress, Mia has already:
National Security Because our men and women in uniform are asked to protect us from increasingly sophisticated threats, it’s important to provide them with the equipment and resources they need to keep their America safe. It’s also important that they know that their country will provide for their families and personal needs. Mia has worked hard to ensure that the country counters extremists across the world, works to promote freedom, and modernizes its military to deter all threats in the 21st Century. While in Congress, she has:
D.C. Dysfunction
Mia is proud of the work that she has done so far to get Washington back on track. Getting the federal government to work for the people will require both behavioral changes from politicians and systematic changes to the way things are done, but Mia is committed to push for those changes and to continue bringing Utah values to Washington. Taxes That’s why Mia will continue to work hard to simplify our nation’s tax code and reduce tax rates on families and businesses. She has a proven record of opposing tax increases and working to right-size the regulatory state. She will fight for real reforms until Utahns receive the relief they deserve. Jobs & the Economy
Because of her consistent record, Mia has earned the support of Utah’s business community and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce’s Spirit of Enterprise Award. She pledges to continue working to make sure the economy produces more jobs that pay higher wages. Veterans President Coolidge famously said, “The nation which forgets its defenders will itself be forgotten.” Mia believes in keeping the promises made to the men and women who have sacrificed so much for our country. That is why she will always fight on behalf of our veterans. During the 114th Congress alone, Mia has sponsored or cosponsored more than 18 bills to benefit veterans and their generous families. She introduced one of these bills, the Fair Treatment for Families of Veterans Act, after learning about a constituent’s challenges with the VA. And Mia pledges to continue working to ensure veterans receive the benefits they’ve been promised and the timely, quality medical treatment that they deserve. Second Amendment The following represent some of the actions Mia has already taken to protect the Second Amendment rights of American citizens:
Energy Independence Mia has worked hard in Congress to advance legislation that fosters innovation, creates jobs, and allows for leadership in energy development of every kind. So far, she has:
Mia is so proud of the work that she has done so far, and pledges to continue to support and promote solutions that will secure a bright and sustainable energy future in coming years. Public Lands Mia favors a balanced, multi-use approach to land management. Some land should be available for recreation, fishing, hunting, and grazing. Other land should be protected differently. Ultimately, she believes land management policy is best crafted when all stakeholders express their positions. That is why Mia has supported locally driven approaches, such as efforts to preserve land in Millcreek Canyon and lands along the Wasatch Mountain Range. Utahns are more than capable of coming together to find smart solutions to land and resource issues. And, in the majority of cases, they are best equipped to manage the land. Most elected officials and bureaucrats in Washington, D.C. have never visited Utah. Mia pledges to continue bringing Utah’s plans and ideas to them. Immigration The following represent a few of the actions Mia has taken as well as her proposals to fix the broken system:
Fiscal Responsibility Mia believes in a sustainable path for federal spending. Our children deserve a bright future. And hardworking taxpayers shouldn’t be forced to spend hours, weeks, or months working to simply pay interest on debt accrued by previous generations. While in Congress, Mia has kept her promises to the 4th District. She has worked hard to promote a financially sustainable future by:
Senior Citizens |
” |
—Friends of Mia Love[32] |
Ben McAdams
McAdams' campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Fixing a Broken Congress What Ben has done: Ben worked with both sides of the aisle in the Utah Legislature and as Salt Lake County mayor to balance the budget and act on important initiatives. He will continue to work with colleagues in both parties to overcome Washington’s broken politics and put Utah families first. He has proven bringing people together helps to solve tough problems like homelessness and criminal justice reform. Ben believes Congress shouldn’t get paid if it can’t do its job to pass a budget. Utah families and small businesses balance their checkbooks and manage their budgets every month. They expect Congress to do the same. Health Care Ben supports allowing parents to keep their kids on their policies until they are 26. He will oppose allowing insurance companies to kick people off for pre-existing conditions or charge women higher premiums. Ben will work to ensure people aren’t punished for working harder and getting a raise, throwing them off their health care coverage. He will also work to lower out-of-pocket expenses and keep premiums down. Ben supports efforts to ensure Medicare can negotiate with the drug companies. This would lower prescription prices for seniors and costs to taxpayers. Ben plans to work with both parties to eliminate the Cadillac tax for working families. What Ben has done: All Utah families deserve access to quality, affordable health care. Ben supported the Healthy Utah plan, which would have responsibly expanded Medicaid coverage under the Affordable Care Act to thousands of Utahns without health insurance. After efforts stalled, Ben worked across the aisle to pass a permanent extension of Medicaid to include single adults who are homeless or in the criminal justice system and low-income families with children. Since its implementation in December 2017, hundreds of individuals who struggle with opioid addiction have been enrolled in drug addiction treatment. This treatment will help them regain stable, productive lives. In addition, the Medicaid extension added hundreds of new treatment beds to Utah’s nonprofit facilities. The treatment beds helped free up jail space for serious offenders while providing a more cost-effective, positive alternative to jail for nonviolent drug offenders. Ben called on Congress to restore funding to the Children’s Health Insurance Program, or CHIP, after its funding lapsed in September 2017. This proven, bipartisan program, championed by Utah Senator Orrin Hatch, provides health insurance to the children of working parents. The program covers visits to the doctor, health screenings, vaccinations and vision and dental care. More than 19,000 Utah kids faced health care uncertainty until Congress finally acted to fund CHIP in January. Budget & Taxes Ben supports tax reform that makes the tax system simpler, fairer and more predictable. This way, families and businesses can plan for the future. He criticized the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act because it favored the wealthy over the middle class. In addition, it will add $1.5 trillion of federal debt over the next 10 years. Ben supports a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution. It would require Congress stop running record deficits that burden future generations with debt they did not incur. What Ben has done: As mayor, Ben balanced the budget annually – with bipartisan support – while keeping taxes low. He funded important public safety services; managed critical public health response; expanded parks, trails and open space; and offered countywide access to arts and cultural activities. Ben spearheaded innovative approaches to homelessness and criminal justice reform. He partnered with the private and nonprofit sectors to pay for programs and measure the results. Education Ben received federal student loans and Pell grants for college. He understands how important these programs are for families who are helping their children through college. He supports access to financial aid through the U.S. Department of Education and wants more transparency and lower overhead costs. What Ben has done: Ben led Salt Lake County in a first-in-the-nation partnership to enroll thousands of economically disadvantaged children in voluntary, high-quality preschool. By investing in early childhood development, county taxpayers got a substantial return on investment by avoiding future costs from student delinquency, pediatric health, drugs, gangs and incarceration. High-quality preschool closes the achievement gap between economically disadvantaged students and their financially stable peers. This leads to higher high school and college graduation rates. The county’s successful pilot program prompted the Utah Legislature to expand the initiative statewide. Energy & Environment What Ben has done: As Mayor, Ben supported constructing energy-efficient county buildings; building infrastructure to support natural gas and electric vehicles; initiating trip reduction plans for county employees to reduce vehicle emissions; planning and building a county-wide network of safe, convenient bicycle routes; and pushing transit “free fare” days along with other initiatives. He partnered with the private sector and the state on projects like solar installations on county-managed facilities and public transit-oriented developments. Ben worked with numerous stakeholders for two years to protect Utahns’ drinking water while balancing recreation, transportation and the environment. He met with businesses, government, private landowners, and environmental groups to produce the Mountain Accord – a consensus plan for the Central Wasatch mountains. Immigration Nearly 10,000 young adults in Utah have enrolled in the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, or DACA. These are youths who came here through no fault of their own and are studying, working, serving in the military and contributing to our community. Ben thinks it’s past time for Congress to resolve the uncertainty they face. The approach needs to strengthen and unite families and allow DACA recipients to continue building their futures.[31] |
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—Friends of Ben McAdams[33] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Mia Love Tweets by Ben McAdams
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Utah. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Utah with 45.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 27.5 percent. Independent candidate and Utah native Evan McMullin received 21.5 percent of the vote, his strongest showing in a state. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Utah cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same timeframe, Utah supported Republican candidates more often than Democrats, 73.3 to 23.3 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Utah. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[34][35]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won seven out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 20.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 19 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 21.9 points. Clinton won six districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 68 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 54.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 56 out of 75 state House districts in Utah with an average margin of victory of 30.7 points. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 9.42% | 89.03% | R+79.6 | 10.81% | 62.88% | R+52.1 | R |
2 | 9.49% | 88.76% | R+79.3 | 11.45% | 51.57% | R+40.1 | R |
3 | 12.34% | 85.57% | R+73.2 | 15.18% | 48.43% | R+33.2 | R |
4 | 22.96% | 73.62% | R+50.7 | 30.29% | 33.77% | R+3.5 | R |
5 | 10.92% | 87.18% | R+76.3 | 13.60% | 51.67% | R+38.1 | R |
6 | 10.18% | 87.91% | R+77.7 | 13.94% | 48.70% | R+34.8 | R |
7 | 22.58% | 75.17% | R+52.6 | 24.95% | 47.41% | R+22.5 | R |
8 | 32.39% | 64.89% | R+32.5 | 33.89% | 42.27% | R+8.4 | R |
9 | 30.35% | 67.18% | R+36.8 | 29.16% | 46.44% | R+17.3 | R |
10 | 34.81% | 62.01% | R+27.2 | 37.00% | 38.57% | R+1.6 | R |
11 | 24.47% | 73.17% | R+48.7 | 25.28% | 48.10% | R+22.8 | R |
12 | 20.44% | 77.27% | R+56.8 | 20.63% | 52.90% | R+32.3 | R |
13 | 19.95% | 77.67% | R+57.7 | 20.41% | 47.72% | R+27.3 | R |
14 | 21.75% | 75.91% | R+54.2 | 21.48% | 44.83% | R+23.4 | R |
15 | 13.20% | 85.22% | R+72 | 15.05% | 49.86% | R+34.8 | R |
16 | 22.55% | 75.36% | R+52.8 | 24.02% | 47.62% | R+23.6 | R |
17 | 15.44% | 82.73% | R+67.3 | 18.65% | 44.09% | R+25.4 | R |
18 | 14.51% | 83.99% | R+69.5 | 18.83% | 43.66% | R+24.8 | R |
19 | 19.24% | 78.78% | R+59.5 | 23.75% | 40.60% | R+16.8 | R |
20 | 21.05% | 77.07% | R+56 | 25.91% | 40.61% | R+14.7 | R |
21 | 27.07% | 70.44% | R+43.4 | 24.26% | 47.55% | R+23.3 | R |
22 | 37.41% | 59.20% | R+21.8 | 35.79% | 35.31% | D+0.5 | D |
23 | 56.84% | 39.68% | D+17.2 | 59.42% | 21.08% | D+38.3 | D |
24 | 61.48% | 33.07% | D+28.4 | 68.79% | 16.04% | D+52.8 | D |
25 | 69.65% | 23.70% | D+45.9 | 74.08% | 11.49% | D+62.6 | D |
26 | 60.94% | 32.81% | D+28.1 | 64.98% | 19.07% | D+45.9 | D |
27 | 6.44% | 92.24% | R+85.8 | 11.91% | 56.88% | R+45 | R |
28 | 54.60% | 41.73% | D+12.9 | 64.09% | 18.31% | D+45.8 | D |
29 | 13.06% | 85.33% | R+72.3 | 14.40% | 58.81% | R+44.4 | R |
30 | 36.99% | 60.36% | R+23.4 | 38.48% | 33.65% | D+4.8 | R |
31 | 43.06% | 54.05% | R+11 | 43.41% | 31.30% | D+12.1 | D |
32 | 27.09% | 70.42% | R+43.3 | 31.20% | 42.83% | R+11.6 | R |
33 | 44.21% | 52.69% | R+8.5 | 44.63% | 31.45% | D+13.2 | R |
34 | 39.64% | 57.37% | R+17.7 | 41.60% | 31.42% | D+10.2 | D |
35 | 51.49% | 44.22% | D+7.3 | 55.00% | 24.81% | D+30.2 | D |
36 | 42.19% | 54.94% | R+12.7 | 49.52% | 26.90% | D+22.6 | D |
37 | 40.42% | 56.67% | R+16.3 | 45.86% | 31.84% | D+14 | D |
38 | 37.19% | 59.58% | R+22.4 | 37.41% | 33.31% | D+4.1 | R |
39 | 35.46% | 61.95% | R+26.5 | 36.62% | 35.54% | D+1.1 | R |
40 | 50.87% | 45.38% | D+5.5 | 56.43% | 22.35% | D+34.1 | D |
41 | 16.24% | 81.72% | R+65.5 | 18.41% | 49.31% | R+30.9 | R |
42 | 23.97% | 73.84% | R+49.9 | 27.04% | 39.88% | R+12.8 | R |
43 | 30.88% | 66.58% | R+35.7 | 32.50% | 37.41% | R+4.9 | R |
44 | 37.44% | 59.36% | R+21.9 | 40.71% | 33.05% | D+7.7 | R |
45 | 34.33% | 62.63% | R+28.3 | 37.99% | 35.99% | D+2 | R |
46 | 41.80% | 55.26% | R+13.5 | 47.04% | 32.01% | D+15 | D |
47 | 29.03% | 68.70% | R+39.7 | 30.89% | 39.06% | R+8.2 | R |
48 | 8.85% | 89.34% | R+80.5 | 15.28% | 49.21% | R+33.9 | R |
49 | 33.11% | 64.55% | R+31.4 | 37.68% | 38.47% | R+0.8 | R |
50 | 18.79% | 79.57% | R+60.8 | 23.63% | 43.95% | R+20.3 | R |
51 | 22.76% | 75.35% | R+52.6 | 27.60% | 46.79% | R+19.2 | R |
52 | 18.13% | 79.66% | R+61.5 | 20.72% | 46.22% | R+25.5 | R |
53 | 24.78% | 72.98% | R+48.2 | 28.04% | 53.13% | R+25.1 | R |
54 | 36.66% | 60.93% | R+24.3 | 39.86% | 41.21% | R+1.3 | R |
55 | 8.36% | 90.17% | R+81.8 | 7.51% | 77.30% | R+69.8 | R |
56 | 8.26% | 89.97% | R+81.7 | 12.12% | 51.01% | R+38.9 | R |
57 | 8.06% | 90.22% | R+82.2 | 12.76% | 53.20% | R+40.4 | R |
58 | 9.98% | 88.32% | R+78.3 | 10.13% | 66.35% | R+56.2 | R |
59 | 10.79% | 87.00% | R+76.2 | 15.98% | 48.16% | R+32.2 | R |
60 | 10.30% | 87.22% | R+76.9 | 16.52% | 47.59% | R+31.1 | R |
61 | 13.38% | 84.32% | R+70.9 | 18.52% | 43.41% | R+24.9 | R |
62 | 13.30% | 85.02% | R+71.7 | 13.61% | 71.08% | R+57.5 | R |
63 | 11.11% | 86.48% | R+75.4 | 18.77% | 31.71% | R+12.9 | R |
64 | 14.96% | 81.98% | R+67 | 21.07% | 38.70% | R+17.6 | R |
65 | 9.38% | 88.79% | R+79.4 | 13.36% | 54.10% | R+40.7 | R |
66 | 8.98% | 89.30% | R+80.3 | 11.64% | 58.71% | R+47.1 | R |
67 | 9.57% | 88.60% | R+79 | 10.46% | 62.32% | R+51.9 | R |
68 | 15.24% | 82.39% | R+67.2 | 14.03% | 62.30% | R+48.3 | R |
69 | 26.06% | 71.16% | R+45.1 | 20.44% | 66.97% | R+46.5 | R |
70 | 15.90% | 81.72% | R+65.8 | 14.64% | 71.90% | R+57.3 | R |
71 | 14.57% | 83.10% | R+68.5 | 14.76% | 69.24% | R+54.5 | R |
72 | 13.87% | 83.89% | R+70 | 15.11% | 63.65% | R+48.5 | R |
73 | 24.42% | 73.56% | R+49.1 | 23.16% | 62.62% | R+39.5 | R |
74 | 17.87% | 80.76% | R+62.9 | 20.14% | 66.98% | R+46.8 | R |
75 | 13.77% | 84.32% | R+70.6 | 15.58% | 68.95% | R+53.4 | R |
Total | 24.75% | 72.79% | R+48 | 27.46% | 45.54% | R+18.1 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as a race to watch. Incumbent Mia Love (R) defeated Doug Owens (D) and Collin Simonsen (Constitution Party) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Love and Owens competed in a rematch of the 2014 race, in which Love defeated Owens by five percent.[36]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
53.8% | 147,597 | |
Democratic | Doug Owens | 41.3% | 113,413 | |
Constitution | Collin Simonsen | 4.9% | 13,559 | |
Total Votes | 274,569 | |||
Source: Utah Secretary of State |
2014
Mia Love (R) won election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. She defeated Doug Owens (D), Jim Vein (L), Tim Aalders (Independent American) and Collin Robert Simonsen (Constitution) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
50.9% | 74,936 | |
Democratic | Doug Owens | 45.8% | 67,425 | |
Libertarian | Jim Vein | 0.9% | 1,351 | |
Independent | Tim Aalders | 1.4% | 2,032 | |
Constitution | Collin Robert Simonsen | 1% | 1,424 | |
Total Votes | 147,168 | |||
Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor, "Elections," |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Utah heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Utah.
- Republicans held all four U.S. House seats in Utah.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Republicans held five of eight state executive positions, while three positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Utah was Republican Gary Herbert.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Utah State Legislature. They had a 61-13 majority in the state House and a 24-5 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Utah was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Gary Herbert (R) served as governor and Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Utah elections, 2018
Utah held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- All four U.S. House seats
- 14 out of 29 state Senate seats
- All 75 state House seats
Demographics
Demographic data for Utah | ||
---|---|---|
Utah | U.S. | |
Total population: | 2,990,632 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 82,170 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 87.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 1.1% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.2% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1.1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.6% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 13.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 91.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31.1% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $60,727 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Utah. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Utah had a population of approximately 3,100,000 people, with its three largest cities being Salt Lake City (pop. est. 190,000), West Valley City (pop. est. 140,000), and Provo (pop. est. 120,000).[37][38]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Utah from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Lieutenant Governor of Utah.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Utah every four years from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
45.5% | ![]() |
27.5% | 18.0% |
2012 | ![]() |
72.6% | ![]() |
24.7% | 47.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
62.2% | ![]() |
34.2% | 28.0% |
2004 | ![]() |
71.5% | ![]() |
26.0% | 45.5% |
2000 | ![]() |
66.8% | ![]() |
26.3% | 40.5% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Utah from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
68.2% | ![]() |
27.1% | 41.1% |
2012 | ![]() |
65.2% | ![]() |
30.2% | 35.0% |
2010 | ![]() |
61.6% | ![]() |
32.8% | 28.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
62.5% | ![]() |
31.1% | 31.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
68.7% | ![]() |
28.4% | 40.3% |
2000 | ![]() |
65.6% | ![]() |
31.5% | 34.1% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the six gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Utah. Included in the table are the results of the 2010 special election called to fill the seat of former Gov. Jon Huntsman (R), who had resigned to serve as U.S. Ambassador to China.
Election results (Governor), Utah 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
66.7% | ![]() |
28.7% | 38.0% |
2012 | ![]() |
68.4% | ![]() |
27.7% | 40.7% |
2010 | ![]() |
64.1% | ![]() |
31.9% | 32.2% |
2008 | ![]() |
77.6% | ![]() |
19.7% | 57.9% |
2004 | ![]() |
57.7% | ![]() |
41.4% | 16.3% |
2000 | ![]() |
55.8% | ![]() |
42.7% | 13.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Utah in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Utah Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Thirty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- Utah's 4th Congressional District election (2018 Democratic primary)
- Utah's 4th Congressional District election (2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ The Salt Lake Tribune, "Utah Democratic front-runners Ben McAdams and Jenny Wilson defeat challengers to avoid primary elections," April 28, 2018
- ↑ The Salt Lake Tribune, "Utah Republican delegates force Mitt Romney into a primary election with state lawmaker Mike Kennedy in the race for the U.S. Senate," April 24, 2018
- ↑ Love for Congress, "About," accessed October 1, 2018
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Love for Utah, "Home," accessed October 1, 2018
- ↑ Love for Congress, "Accomplishments," accessed October 1, 2018
- ↑ Youtube, "McAdams & the Clintons - Best Friends," September 24, 2018
- ↑ Youtube, "Big Spending' McAdams - Bus Commercial," September 12, 2018
- ↑ Ben McAdams for Congress, "About," accessed October 1, 2018
- ↑ Youtube, "Putting Utah First," September 17, 2018
- ↑ Youtube, "Shower," accessed September 3, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Utah Policy.com, "House GOP leadership PAC dumps $1 million into 4th Congressional District race to help Love," October 9, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "AdvertisingAnalytics," October 9, 2018
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 16.2 The Salt Lake Tribune, "Outside groups spending north of $1.5 million in the Love-McAdams race," October 18, 2018
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Deseret News, "Last-minute spending by FreedomWorks, Democrats in Love-McAdams race," October 29, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Salt Lake Tribune, "Tribune editorial: Don’t throw away Love’s experience," October 23, 2018
- ↑ End Citizens United, "Endorsed Candidates," accessed October 23, 2018
- ↑ Deseret News, "U.S. House Speaker Paul Ryan holding Utah fundraiser for Rep. Mia Love," June 11, 2018
- ↑ KSL.com, "Rep. Mia Love to return, redesignate $380K in campaign funds raised for primary election," September 10, 2018
- ↑ The Salt Lake Tribune, "FEC says Mia Love’s campaign may have raised more than $1 million illegally for primary election she never faced," September 10, 2018
- ↑ San Francisco Chronicle, "Love refunding, re-designating campaign cash after warning," September 10, 2018
- ↑ FOX 13 Salt Lake City, "Mia Love and Ben McAdams spar in their only debate as new poll shows the race is tied," October 15, 2018
- ↑ 31.0 31.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Love for Utah, "Issues," accessed September 27, 2018
- ↑ Ben McAdams for Congress, "Ben's Priorities," accessed September 27, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Utah Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Filings," accessed March 19, 2016
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Utah," accessed January 15, 2018
- ↑ Utah Demographics, "Utah Cities by Population," accessed January 15, 2018