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Vermont election preview, 2024
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Last updated: Sept. 26, 2024
Thousands of general elections are taking place across the United States on Nov. 5, 2024. Those elections include offices at the federal, state, and local levels. This is one of 50 pages in which Ballotpedia previews the elections happening in each state as part of the Daily Brew’s 50 states in 25 days series.
This page provides an overview of all elections happening in Vermont within our coverage scope on Nov. 5, 2024. Those elections include offices for one U.S. Representative, one U.S. Senator, six state executives, and 180 state legislators. On this page, you will also find information regarding:
- How to vote in Vermont
- The elected offices that Vermont voters can expect to see on their ballots
- The races in Vermont that Ballotpedia is covering as battlegrounds
- The ballot measures that voters in Vermont will decide on
- Ballotpedia's Sample Ballot Lookup Tool
- The partisan balance of Vermont's congressional delegation and state government
- Past presidential election results in Vermont
- The competitiveness of legislative elections in Vermont
- The candidates who are on the ballot in Vermont
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Vermont
What's on the ballot?
2024 elections
- See also: Vermont elections, 2024
At the federal level, Vermont voters will elect one U.S. Senator and one U.S. Representative from the state's one at-large U.S. House district. Incumbent Sen. Bernie Sanders (I) and incumbent Rep. Becca Balint (D) are both running for re-election.
Six state executive offices are up for election: Governor, Lieuntant Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, Auditor, and Treasurer. An incumbent is running in each of the state executive elections.
All 180 seats are in the Legislature are up for election, including all 150 seats in the House and all 30 seats in the Senate. There are 36 open seats in the House and four open seats in the Senate.
Nonpartisan municipal elections for mayor and city council of Montpelier were held on March 5, 2024.
Below is a list of Vermont elections covered by Ballotpedia in 2024. Click the links to learn more about each type:
Vermont elections, 2024 | ||
---|---|---|
Office | Elections? | More information |
U.S. Senate | ✓ | Click here |
U.S. House | ✓ | Click here |
Congress special election | — | — |
Governor | ✓ | Click here |
Other state executive | ✓ | Click here |
State Senate | ✓ | Click here |
State House | ✓ | Click here |
Special state legislative | — | — |
State Supreme Court | — | — |
Intermediate appellate courts | — | — |
School boards | — | — |
Municipal government | ✓ | Click here |
Recalls | — | — |
Ballot measures | — | — |
Local ballot measures | ✓ | Click here |
Legend: ✓ election(s) / — no elections
Subject to Ballotpedia's scope
Your ballot
- See also: Sample Ballot Lookup
Noteworthy elections
As of September 26, Ballotpedia has identified two elections as battleground races. Those are the races that we expect to have a meaningful effect on the balance of power in governments or to be particularly competitive or compelling.
CNalysis rated both chamber elections as Solid Democratic.[1] Vermont is one of nine states included in Ballotpedia's list of potential new trifectas in 2024 and one of two states considered a toss-up where there is a possibility for either party to gain a trifecta. There is a low possibility of a Republican trifecta and a low possibility of a Democratic trifecta.
Ballot measures
There are no statewide ballot measures on the ballot in Vermont.
State analysis
Partisan balance
Vermont has one independent senator and one Democratic Senator. Democrats have a majority in the U.S. Senate. Incumbent Bernie Sanders (I) is running for re-election. There are 47 Democrats, 49 Republicans, and four independents. Three independents, including Sanders, caucus with the Democratic Party, and one other counts towards the Democratic majority for committee purposes.
Incumbent Becca Balint (D) represents Vermont's at-large U.S. House District and is running for re-election against Mark Coester (R / L), Jessica Diamondstone (Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party of Vermont), and Adam Ortiz (Independent). In the U.S. House, Republicans have a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.
Vermont has had a divided government where neither party holds trifecta or triplex control since 2017 when Gov. Phil Scott (R) was elected. Scott is running for re-election against Esther Charlestin (D/Vermont Progressive Party) and three other candidates. Click here to learn more about Vermont's gubernatorial election. With the exception of the governor, Democrats hold each state executive office up for election in 2024. All state executive incumbents whose seats are up are running for re-election.
As of September 2024, Democrats have a 21-7 majority with one vacancy in the state Senate and a 107-37 majority in the state House. The last time Republicans had a majority in the state Senate was 1996, and the last time they had a majority in the state House was 2004.
Past presidential election results in Vermont
- See also: Presidential election in Vermont, 2024
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 99.1% of Vermonters lived in one of the state's 13 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 0.9% lived Essex County, the state's one Trending Republican county. Overall, Vermont was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Vermont following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Vermont county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solid Democratic | 13 | 99.1% | |||||
Trending Republican | 1 | 0.9% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 13 | 99.1% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 1 | 0.9% |
State legislative competitiveness
According to Ballotpedia's annual state legislative competitiveness report, Vermont had a Competitiveness Index of 24.0, ranking it 37th of the 44 states that held elections.
- 40 of the 180 seats up for election were open (22%).
- 20 of the 140 incumbents who ran for re-election faced contested primaries (14%).
- 64 of the 180 seats up for election were contested by both major parties (36%)
2010-2024
Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents.
State Legislative Competitiveness Index in Vermont, 2010-2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Open seats | Incs. in contested primaries | Major party competition | Competitiveness Index | Rank | |||||||||||||||||||
2010 | 11.7% | 8.2% | 55.6% | 25.2 | 38 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
2012 | 14.4% | 7.7% | 33.3% | 18.5 | 43 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
2014 | 15.0% | 5.2% | 37.8% | 19.3 | 41 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 15.6% | 17.8% | 47.2% | 26.9 | 32 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
2018 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 38.3% | 23.0 | 42 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
2020 | 12.2% | 16.5% | 56.7% | 28.5 | 33 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
2022 | 31.7% | 14.4% | 51.1% | 32.4 | 28 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 22.2% | 14.3% | 35.6% | 24.0 | 37 / 44 |
In 2024
Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents. Click on headings for more state-specific information.
State Legislative Competitiveness Index in Vermont, 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chamber | Open seats | Incs. in contested primaries | Major party competition | Competitiveness Index | ||||||||||||||||||||
House | 24.0% | 7.9% | 31.3% | 21.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Senate | 13.3% | 42.3% | 56.7% | 37.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 22.2% | 14.3% | 35.6% | 24.0 |
List of candidates
See also
Footnotes