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Virginia's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Virginia's 4th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 26, 2020
Primary: June 23, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Donald McEachin (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Virginia
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Virginia's 4th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
Virginia elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Virginia, held elections in 2020.


In Virginia, political parties decide for themselves whether to nominate their candidates via primary or convention. In Virginia's 4th Congressional District, a Democratic primary was scheduled for June 23, 2020, and a Republican convention was scheduled to take place on June 27, 2020. The Republican convention was originally scheduled for April 25, 2020, but Virginia's 4th District Republican Committee changed the date of the convention due to concerns amid the coronavirus pandemic.[1]

Incumbent Aston Donald McEachin won election in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 4.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 26, 2020
June 23, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Donald McEachin, who was first elected in 2016.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Virginia's 4th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 61.8 61.6
Republican candidate Republican Party 36.8 38.2
Difference 25 23.4

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Virginia modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Drop-boxes to return absentee and mail-in ballots were used for the general election. The witness requirement for absentee voting was suspended, and all absentee and mail-in ballots had prepaid return postage.
  • Voter registration: The state's voter registration deadline was extended from October 13, 2020, to October 15, 2020.[2]
  • Candidate filing procedures: Petition signature requirements for unaffiliated and minor-party candidates for federal office in Virginia were reduced as follows: 2,500 signatures for presidential candidates; 3,500 signatures for U.S. Senate candidates; and 350 signatures for U.S. House candidates. The filing deadline for unaffiliated and minor-party congressional candidates was extended to August 1.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Virginia District 4

Incumbent Aston Donald McEachin defeated Leon Benjamin Sr. in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 4 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Aston Donald McEachin
Aston Donald McEachin (D)
 
61.6
 
241,142
Image of Leon Benjamin Sr.
Leon Benjamin Sr. (R) Candidate Connection
 
38.2
 
149,625
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
578

Total votes: 391,345
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 4

Incumbent Aston Donald McEachin defeated R. Cazel Levine in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 4 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Aston Donald McEachin
Aston Donald McEachin
 
80.0
 
45,083
Image of R. Cazel Levine
R. Cazel Levine Candidate Connection
 
20.0
 
11,287

Total votes: 56,370
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican convention

Republican convention for U.S. House Virginia District 4

Leon Benjamin Sr. advanced from the Republican convention for U.S. House Virginia District 4 on June 27, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Leon Benjamin Sr.
Leon Benjamin Sr. (R) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 133 Virginia counties—3.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Buckingham County, Virginia 11.28% 2.43% 0.87%
Caroline County, Virginia 5.02% 8.24% 11.97%
Essex County, Virginia 2.14% 7.30% 10.35%
Nelson County, Virginia 5.59% 2.72% 9.15%
Westmoreland County, Virginia 7.14% 6.95% 10.24%

Note: Although it is highlighted in the map above, the city of Chesapeake is not considered a county and not included in our calculations as such.

In the 2016 presidential election, Virginia was a battleground state. Hillary Clinton (D) won Virginia with 49.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic three times (2008, 2012, and 2016) and Republican two times (2000 and 2004).

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+10, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Virginia's 4th Congressional District the 121st most Democratic nationally.[3]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.03. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.03 points toward that party.[4]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Aston Donald McEachin Democratic Party $986,394 $988,771 $209,132 As of December 31, 2020
Leon Benjamin Sr. Republican Party $546,614 $524,689 $21,925 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]

Race ratings: Virginia's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 4th Congressional District candidates in Virginia in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Virginia, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Virginia 4th Congressional District Qualified party 1,000 Fixed number $3,480.00 2% of annual salary 3/26/2020 Source
Virginia 4th Congressional District Unaffiliated 350 Fixed number (reduced by court order) N/A N/A 8/1/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Virginia's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Virginia District 4

Incumbent Aston Donald McEachin defeated Ryan McAdams and Pete Wells in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Aston Donald McEachin
Aston Donald McEachin (D)
 
62.6
 
187,642
Image of Ryan McAdams
Ryan McAdams (R)
 
35.9
 
107,706
Image of Pete Wells
Pete Wells (L)
 
1.4
 
4,233
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
273

Total votes: 299,854
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 4

Incumbent Aston Donald McEachin advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 4 on June 12, 2018.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 4

Ryan McAdams defeated Shion Fenty in the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 4 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ryan McAdams
Ryan McAdams
 
72.6
 
17,513
Image of Shion Fenty
Shion Fenty
 
27.4
 
6,621

Total votes: 24,134
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Virginia's 4th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Donald McEachin (D) defeated Mike Wade (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. McEachin defeated Ella P. Ward in the Democratic primary, while Wade defeated Jackee Gonzalez to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on June 14, 2016. Incumbent Randy Forbes (R) chose to seek re-election in the 2nd District instead of the 4th after redistricting flipped his safely Republican seat to a safely Democratic one.[9][10]

U.S. House, Virginia District 4 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDonald McEachin 57.7% 200,136
     Republican Mike Wade 42% 145,731
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 789
Total Votes 346,656
Source: Virginia Department of Elections


U.S. House, Virginia District 4 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMike Wade 64% 4,987
Jackee Gonzalez 36% 2,801
Total Votes 7,788
Source: Virginia Department of Elections
U.S. House, Virginia District 4 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDonald McEachin 75.4% 11,851
Ella Ward 24.6% 3,867
Total Votes 15,718
Source: Virginia Department of Elections

2014

See also: Virginia's 4th Congressional District elections, 2014

Incumbent Randy Forbes won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Elliott Fausz (D) and Libertarian Bo Brown in the general election.

U.S. House, Virginia District 4 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRandy Forbes Incumbent 60.2% 120,684
     Democratic Elliott Fausz 37.5% 75,270
     Libertarian Bo Brown 2.2% 4,427
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 257
Total Votes 200,638
Source: Virginia Department of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Marielle Bricker, "Email communication with Carey Allen, 4th Congressional District Republican Chairman," April 24, 2020
  2. This change was not due to COVID-19. This deadline was extended after the state's voter registration website crashed.
  3. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  4. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  5. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  9. The New York Times, "Virginia Primary Results," June 14, 2016
  10. Virginia Department of Elections, "List of Candidates," accessed September 8, 2016


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