Virginia's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
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Virginia's 10th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 4, 2024 |
Primary: June 18, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Virginia |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th Virginia elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 10th Congressional District of Virginia, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was June 18, 2024. The filing deadline was April 4, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 53.2%-46.7%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 58.3%-40.2%.[3]
This is one of 45 open races for the U.S. House in 2024 where an incumbent did not run for re-election. Across the country, 24 Democrats and 21 Republicans did not run for re-election. In 2022, 49 representatives did not seek re-election, including 31 Democrats and 18 Republicans.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Virginia's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Republican primary)
- Virginia's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Democratic primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 10
Suhas Subramanyam defeated Mike Clancy in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Suhas Subramanyam (D) | 52.1 | 215,131 |
![]() | Mike Clancy (R) | 47.5 | 196,343 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 1,538 |
Total votes: 413,012 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Dennis Aryan (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on June 18, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Suhas Subramanyam | 30.4 | 13,504 |
![]() | Dan Helmer | 26.6 | 11,784 | |
![]() | Atif Qarni | 10.7 | 4,768 | |
![]() | Eileen Filler-Corn | 9.3 | 4,131 | |
![]() | Jennifer Boysko | 9.0 | 4,016 | |
![]() | David Reid ![]() | 3.2 | 1,419 | |
![]() | Michelle Maldonado ![]() | 3.2 | 1,412 | |
![]() | Adrian Pokharel ![]() | 2.3 | 1,028 | |
![]() | Krystle Kaul ![]() | 2.2 | 982 | |
![]() | Travis Nembhard ![]() | 1.6 | 722 | |
![]() | Marion Devoe ![]() | 0.9 | 386 | |
![]() | Mark Leighton ![]() | 0.5 | 224 |
Total votes: 44,376 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brandon Garay (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10
Mike Clancy defeated Aliscia Andrews, Alexander Isaac, and Manga Anantatmula in the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on June 18, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mike Clancy | 64.2 | 17,434 |
![]() | Aliscia Andrews | 21.5 | 5,832 | |
![]() | Alexander Isaac | 9.4 | 2,544 | |
![]() | Manga Anantatmula | 4.9 | 1,327 |
Total votes: 27,137 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brooke Taylor (R)
- Clair McDade (R)
- Rodney Ferguson (R)
- John Beatty (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Virginia State Senate District 32 (Assumed office: 2024)
- Virginia House of Delegates District 87 (2020–2024)
Biography: Subramanyam obtained a bachelor's degree from Tulane University and a law degree from Northwestern University. As of the 2024 election, Subramanyam's professional experience included working as a White House policy advisor under Barack Obama (D) and volunteering as an EMT and firefighter.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Virginia District 10 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Virginia
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jennifer Boysko | Democratic Party | $619,262 | $618,421 | $841 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Marion Devoe | Democratic Party | $10,395 | $0 | $10,395 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Eileen Filler-Corn | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Dan Helmer | Democratic Party | $1,113,778 | $298,459 | $815,319 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Krystle Kaul | Democratic Party | $1,119,275 | $1,119,275 | $0 | As of July 17, 2024 |
Mark Leighton | Democratic Party | $8,473 | $8,473 | $0 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Michelle Maldonado | Democratic Party | $118,124 | $119,483 | $372 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Travis Nembhard | Democratic Party | $124,051 | $124,051 | $0 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Adrian Pokharel | Democratic Party | $278,562 | $222,880 | $4,173 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Atif Qarni | Democratic Party | $363,301 | $363,301 | $0 | As of June 18, 2024 |
David Reid | Democratic Party | $354,663 | $354,663 | $0 | As of July 31, 2024 |
Suhas Subramanyam | Democratic Party | $2,929,391 | $2,838,558 | $90,833 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Manga Anantatmula | Republican Party | $4,492 | $1,573 | $2,919 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Aliscia Andrews | Republican Party | $251,703 | $356,794 | $435 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Mike Clancy | Republican Party | $347,161 | $106,486 | $240,675 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Alexander Isaac | Republican Party | $198,153 | $198,153 | $0 | As of September 30, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Virginia's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Virginia in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Virginia, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Virginia | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 1,000 | $3,480.00 | 4/4/2024 | Source |
Virginia | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1,000 | N/A | 6/18/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Virginia.
Virginia U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 53 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 40.9% | 2 | 22.2% | ||||
2022 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 33 | 16[8] | 1 | 4 | 31.3% | 2 | 18.2% | ||||
2020 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 31 | 15[9] | 4 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 | 18.2% | ||||
2018 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 37 | 17[10] | 6 | 3 | 52.9% | 2 | 22.2% | ||||
2016 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 20[11] | 1 | 4 | 25.0% | 2 | 22.2% | ||||
2014 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 32 | 20[12] | 1 | 3 | 20.0% | 2 | 22.2% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Virginia in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 16, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Fifty-three candidates ran for Virginia’s 11 U.S. House districts, including 33 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s an average of 4.81 candidates per district.
This was also the most candidates who ran in primary elections in Virginia in the last 10 years.
The 7th and 10th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. The last time a seat was open in Virginia was in 2018 when two seats were open.
Incumbent Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-07) did not run for re-election because she will run for Governor of Virginia in 2025. Incumbent Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D-10) retired from public office.
Sixteen candidates—12 Democrats and four Republicans—ran for the open 10th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in Virginia in 2024.
Nine primaries—six Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 5.8 primaries were contested each election year.
Two incumbents—Gerald Edward Connolly (D-11) and Bob Good (R-05)—were in contested primaries in 2024. Since 2014, there have been two incumbents in contested primaries in Virginia in every election year.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 11 districts, meaning no seats are guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Virginia's 10th the 160th most Democratic district nationally.[13]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Virginia's 10th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
58.3% | 40.2% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[14] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
54.0 | 44.8 | R+9.2 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Virginia, 2020
Virginia presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 17 Democratic wins
- 14 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Virginia's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Virginia | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Republican | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Total | 2 | 11 | 13 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Virginia's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Virginia, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Virginia State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 21 | |
Republican Party | 19 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 40 |
Virginia House of Delegates
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 51 | |
Republican Party | 49 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Virginia Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 10
Incumbent Jennifer Wexton defeated Hung Cao in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Wexton (D) | 53.2 | 157,405 |
![]() | Hung Cao (R) ![]() | 46.7 | 138,163 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 572 |
Total votes: 296,140 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jennifer Wexton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Shadi Ayyas (D)
Republican primary election
Republican Primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10
The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Hung Cao in round 9 . The results of Round are displayed below. To see the results of other rounds, use the dropdown menu above to select a round and the table will update.
Total votes: 15,168 |
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![]() |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Clay Percle (R)
- Paul Lott (R)
- Adam Gizinski (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 10
Incumbent Jennifer Wexton defeated Aliscia Andrews in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Wexton (D) | 56.5 | 268,734 |
![]() | Aliscia Andrews (R) | 43.4 | 206,253 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 559 |
Total votes: 475,546 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jennifer Wexton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10.
Republican convention
Republican convention for U.S. House Virginia District 10
Aliscia Andrews defeated Jeffery Anthony Dove Jr., Rob Jones, and Matthew Truong in the Republican convention for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on June 20, 2020.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Aliscia Andrews (R) |
![]() | Jeffery Anthony Dove Jr. (R) | |
![]() | Rob Jones (R) ![]() | |
Matthew Truong (R) |
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Elizabeth Stone (R)
- Pete Godston (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 10
Jennifer Wexton defeated incumbent Barbara Comstock in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Wexton (D) | 56.1 | 206,356 |
![]() | Barbara Comstock (R) | 43.7 | 160,841 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 598 |
Total votes: 367,795 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Nathan Larson (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Wexton | 41.9 | 22,405 |
![]() | Alison Kiehl Friedman | 23.0 | 12,283 | |
![]() | Lindsey Davis Stover | 16.0 | 8,567 | |
![]() | Dan Helmer | 12.5 | 6,712 | |
![]() | Paul Pelletier | 3.8 | 2,010 | |
![]() | Julia Biggins | 2.8 | 1,513 |
Total votes: 53,490 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michael Pomerleano (D)
- Shadi Ayyas (D)
- Julien Modica (D)
- Kimberly Adams (D)
- Deep Sran (D)
- David Hanson (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10
Incumbent Barbara Comstock defeated Shak Hill in the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 10 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Barbara Comstock | 60.7 | 28,287 |
![]() | Shak Hill | 39.3 | 18,311 |
Total votes: 46,598 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Six district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total for number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Seven district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total for number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Five district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total for number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Two district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Two district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023