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Virginia's 8th Congressional District election, 2020 (May 30 Republican convention)

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2022
2018
Virginia's 8th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 26, 2020
Primary: June 23, 2020 (canceled)
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Don Beyer (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Virginia
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Virginia's 8th Congressional District
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Virginia elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

A Republican Party convention took place on May 30, 2020, in Virginia's 8th Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 3, 2020.

Jeff Jordan advanced from the Republican convention for U.S. House Virginia District 8.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 26, 2020
June 23, 2020 (canceled')
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election, the incumbent was Don Beyer (Democrat), who was first elected in 2014.

A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Virginia utilizes an open primary process in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Virginia's 8th Congressional District Republican convention. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Virginia modified its primary election process as follows:

  • Election postponements: The primary election was postponed from June 9 to June 23.
  • Voting procedures: The witness requirement for absentee voting in the primary election was suspended.
  • Political party events: The Democratic Party of Virginia opted to conduct its state convention remotely. The Republican Party of Virginia postponed its 5th Congressional District and 7th Congressional District conventions to June 13 July 18, respectively.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.


Candidates and election results

Republican convention

Republican convention for U.S. House Virginia District 8

Candidate
Image of Mark Ellmore
Mark Ellmore (R) Candidate Connection
Image of Jeff Jordan
Jeff Jordan (R) Candidate Connection

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+21, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 21 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Virginia's 8th Congressional District the 58th most Democratic nationally.[3]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.82. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.82 points toward that party.[4]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

There are currently no declared candidates in this race. Know of one we missed? Click here to let us know.


General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]

Race ratings: Virginia's 8th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed October 7, 2024
  2. Virginia Department of Elections,"Casting a Ballot," accessed October 7, 2024
  3. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  4. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  5. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018


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Democratic Party (8)
Republican Party (5)