Become part of the movement for unbiased, accessible election information. Donate today.

Washington's 9th Congressional District election, 2020

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search



2022
2018
Washington's 9th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Top-two primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 15, 2020
Primary: August 4, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Adam Smith (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: Poll opening hours vary; close at 8 p.m. (most voting done by mail)
Voting in Washington
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Washington's 9th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th
Washington elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 9th Congressional District of Washington, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent D. Adam Smith won election in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 9.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
May 15, 2020
August 4, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Adam Smith, who was first elected in 1996.

Washington's 9th Congressional District is located in the western portion of the state and includes areas of King County and a tiny portion of Pierce County.[2]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Washington's 9th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 73.3 74.1
Republican candidate Republican Party 24.6 25.7
Difference 48.7 48.4

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Washington did not modify any procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Washington District 9

Incumbent D. Adam Smith defeated Douglas Michael Basler in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 9 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of D. Adam Smith
D. Adam Smith (D)
 
74.1
 
258,771
Image of Douglas Michael Basler
Douglas Michael Basler (R)
 
25.7
 
89,697
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
582

Total votes: 349,050
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 9

Incumbent D. Adam Smith and Douglas Michael Basler defeated Joshua Campbell and Jorge Besada in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 9 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of D. Adam Smith
D. Adam Smith (D)
 
73.6
 
145,601
Image of Douglas Michael Basler
Douglas Michael Basler (R)
 
15.6
 
30,923
Joshua Campbell (R)
 
8.1
 
15,983
Jorge Besada (L)
 
2.4
 
4,792
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
560

Total votes: 197,859
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 39 Washington counties—12.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Clallam County, Washington 2.76% 0.38% 3.30%
Cowlitz County, Washington 13.32% 4.44% 11.15%
Grays Harbor County, Washington 6.99% 14.11% 14.56%
Mason County, Washington 5.81% 7.09% 8.66%
Pacific County, Washington 6.74% 11.52% 14.07%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Washington with 52.5 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 36.8 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Washington cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Washington supported Democratic candidates for president more often than Republican candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. The state favored Democrats in every election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Washington. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 34 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 25.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 30 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 32.1 points.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 15 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 13.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 19 out of 49 state House districts in Washington with an average margin of victory of 14.9 points.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+21, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 21 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Washington's 9th Congressional District the 62nd most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.87. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.87 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
D. Adam Smith Democratic Party $1,327,196 $933,145 $585,828 As of December 31, 2020
Douglas Michael Basler Republican Party $22,730 $18,522 $4,790 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]

Race ratings: Washington's 9th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 9th Congressional District candidates in Washington in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Washington, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Washington 9th Congressional District All candidates N/A N/A $1,740.00 1% of annual salary 5/15/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Washington's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Washington District 9

Incumbent D. Adam Smith defeated Sarah Smith in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of D. Adam Smith
D. Adam Smith (D)
 
67.9
 
163,345
Image of Sarah Smith
Sarah Smith (D)
 
32.1
 
77,222

Total votes: 240,567
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 9

Incumbent D. Adam Smith and Sarah Smith defeated Douglas Michael Basler in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 9 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of D. Adam Smith
D. Adam Smith (D)
 
48.4
 
71,035
Image of Sarah Smith
Sarah Smith (D)
 
26.9
 
39,409
Image of Douglas Michael Basler
Douglas Michael Basler (R)
 
24.7
 
36,254

Total votes: 146,698
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Washington's 9th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Adam Smith (D) defeated Doug Basler (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Smith and Basler defeated Jesse Wineberry (D), Daniel Smith (D), and Jeary Flener (I) in the top-two primary on August 2, 2016.[11][12]

U.S. House, Washington District 9 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAdam Smith Incumbent 72.9% 205,165
     Republican Doug Basler 27.1% 76,317
Total Votes 281,482
Source: Washington Secretary of State


U.S. House, Washington District 9 Primary, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAdam Smith Incumbent 56.3% 67,100
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Basler 23.4% 27,848
     Democratic Jesse Wineberry 14.8% 17,613
     Democratic Daniel Smith 3.3% 3,935
     Independent Jeary Flener 2.3% 2,733
Total Votes 119,229
Source: Washington Secretary of State

2014

See also: Washington's 9th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 9th Congressional District of Washington held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Adam Smith (D) defeated Doug Basler (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Washington District 9 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAdam Smith Incumbent 70.8% 118,132
     Republican Doug Basler 29.2% 48,662
Total Votes 166,794
Source: Washington Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
Democratic Party (10)
Republican Party (2)