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West Virginia's 1st Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary)

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2020
2016
West Virginia's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 27, 2018
Primary: May 8, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
David McKinley (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in West Virginia
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
West Virginia's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd
West Virginia elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Republican Party primary election took place on May 8, 2018, in West Virginia's 1st District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.

This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

See also: United States House elections in West Virginia (May 8, 2018 Republican primaries) and United States House Republican Party primaries, 2018
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
January 27, 2018
May 8, 2018
November 6, 2018

Candidates and election results

Incumbent David McKinley advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House West Virginia District 1 on May 8, 2018.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House West Virginia District 1

Candidate
Image of David McKinley
David McKinley

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District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made West Virginia's 1st Congressional District the 40th most Republican nationally.[1]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[2]

Campaign finance

The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3] Republican Party Republicans



State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in West Virginia heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

  • As of September 2018, Republicans held six of nine state executive positions, and Democrats held one. Two state executive positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
  • The governor of West Virginia was Republican Jim Justice. Justice won office in 2016 as a member of the Democratic Party.

State legislature

Trifecta status

  • West Virginia was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party held the governorship and both chambers of the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also: West Virginia elections, 2018

West Virginia held elections for the following positions in 2018:


Demographics

Demographic data for West Virginia
 West VirginiaU.S.
Total population:1,841,053316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):24,0383,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:93.6%73.6%
Black/African American:3.3%12.6%
Asian:0.7%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2%3%
Hispanic/Latino:1.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:85%86.7%
College graduation rate:19.2%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$41,751$53,889
Persons below poverty level:22.2%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in West Virginia.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, West Virginia's three largest cities were Charleston (pop. est. 49,138), Huntington (pop. est. 48,113), and Morgantown (pop. est. 30,855).[4]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in West Virginia from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the West Virginia Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in West Virginia every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), West Virginia 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 68.6% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 26.5% 42.1%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 62.3% Democratic Party Barack Obama 35.5% 26.8%
2008 Republican Party John McCain 55.7% Democratic Party Barack Obama 42.6% 13.1%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 56.1% Democratic Party John Kerry 43.2% 12.9%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 51.9% Democratic Party Al Gore 45.6% 6.3%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2014

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in West Virginia from 2000 to 2014. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), West Virginia 2000-2014
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Shelley Moore Capito 62.1% Democratic Party Natalie Tennant 34.5% 27.6%
2012 Democratic Party Joe Manchin III 60.6% Republican Party John Raese 36.5% 24.1%
2010 Democratic Party Joe Manchin III 53.5% Republican Party John Raese 43.4% 10.1%
2008 Democratic Party Jay Rockefeller 63.7% Republican Party Matthew Wolfe 36.3% 27.4%
2006 Democratic Party Robert Byrd 64.4% Republican Party John Raese 33.7% 30.7%
2002 Democratic Party Jay Rockefeller 63.1% Republican Party Jay Wolfe 36.9% 26.2%
2000 Democratic Party Robert Byrd 77.8% Republican Party David Gallaher 20.2% 57.6%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in West Virginia.

Election results (Governor), West Virginia 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Jim Justice[5] 49.1% Republican Party Bill Cole 42.3% 6.8%
2012 Democratic Party Earl Ray Tomblin 50.5% Republican Party Bill Maloney 45.7% 4.8%
2011 (special election) Democratic Party Earl Ray Tomblin 49.6% Republican Party Bill Maloney 47.1% 2.5%
2008 Democratic Party Joe Manchin III 69.8% Republican Party Russell Weeks 25.7% 44.1%
2004 Democratic Party Joe Manchin III 63.5% Republican Party Monty Warner 34.0% 29.5%
2000 Democratic Party Bob Wise 50.1% Republican Party Cecil Underwood 47.2% 2.9%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent West Virginia in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, West Virginia 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 3 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+3
2014 Republican Party 3 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+3
2012 Republican Party 2 66.7% Democratic Party 1 33.3% R+1
2010 Republican Party 2 66.7% Democratic Party 1 33.3% R+1
2008 Republican Party 1 33.3% Democratic Party 2 66.7% D+1
2006 Republican Party 1 33.3% Democratic Party 2 66.7% D+1
2004 Republican Party 1 33.3% Democratic Party 2 66.7% D+1
2002 Republican Party 1 33.3% Democratic Party 2 66.7% D+1
2000 Republican Party 1 33.3% Democratic Party 2 66.7% D+1

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

West Virginia Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Seven years of Republican trifectas

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D[6] R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Republican Party (4)