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Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 17 (online or mail), or Nov. 2 (in-person)
- Early voting: Varies by locality
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
| Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: June 1, 2018 |
| Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Ron Kind (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Wisconsin |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Wisconsin elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Democratic Party primary election took place on August 14, 2018, in Wisconsin's 3rd District to determine which Democrat would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Ronald James Kind advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3 on August 14, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 3
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Ronald James Kind | 100.0 | 59,643 |
| Total votes: 59,643 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was EVEN, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were within 1 percentage point of the national average. This made Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District the 199th most Democratic nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Democrats
Democratic district won by Donald Trump
This district was one of 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election.[4] Some were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
| 2018 election results in Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | 2018 winner | 2018 margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin |
| Arizona's 1st | Tom O'Halleran |
Tom O'Halleran |
D+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 |
| Iowa's 2nd | Dave Loebsack |
Dave Loebsack |
D+12.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 |
| Illinois' 17th | Cheri Bustos |
Cheri Bustos |
D+23.6 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17.0 |
| Minnesota's 1st | Tim Walz |
 Jim Hagedorn |
R+0.4 | Trump+14.9 | Obama+1.4 |
| Minnesota's 7th | Collin Peterson |
Collin Peterson |
D+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 |
| Minnesota's 8th | Rick Nolan |
Pete Stauber |
R+5.5 | Trump+15.6 | Obama+5.5 |
| New Hampshire's 1st | Carol Shea-Porter |
Chris Pappas |
D+11.7 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 |
| New Jersey's 5th | Josh Gottheimer |
Josh Gottheimer |
D+11.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.1 |
| Nevada's 3rd | Jacky Rosen |
Susie Lee |
D+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 |
| New York's 18th | Sean Patrick Maloney |
Sean Patrick Maloney |
D+10.2 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 |
| Pennsylvania's 8th | Matt Cartwright[5] |
Matt Cartwright |
D+9.2 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 |
| Pennsylvania's 14th | Conor Lamb[6] |
Guy Reschenthaler |
R+15.9 | Trump+29.0 | Romney+17.7 |
| Wisconsin's 3rd | Ron Kind |
Ron Kind |
D+19.4 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11.0 |
Click here to see the 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won.
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Wisconsin heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats and Republicans each held one U.S. Senate seat in Wisconsin.
- Republicans held five of eight U.S. House seats in Wisconsin.
State executives
- Republicans held six of 11 state executive positions, while one position was held by a Democrat and four were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Wisconsin was Republican Scott Walker.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Wisconsin State Legislature. They had a 64-35 majority in the state Assembly and an 18-15 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Wisconsin was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Scott Walker (R) served as governor and Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Wisconsin elections, 2018
Wisconsin held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One seat in the U.S. Senate
- Eight U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Three lower state executive positions
- 17 out of 33 state Senate seats
- 99 state Assembly seats
- Municipal elections in Dane and Milwaukee Counties
Demographics
| Demographic data for Wisconsin | ||
|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 5,767,891 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 54,158 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 86.5% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 6.3% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 2.5% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 6.3% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 91% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 27.8% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $53,357 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 15% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Wisconsin. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2017, Wisconsin had a population of approximately 5,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Milwaukee (pop. est. 600,000), Madison (pop. est. 250,000), and Green Bay (pop. est. 110,000).[7][8]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Wisconsin from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Wisconsin Elections Commission.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Wisconsin every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Donald Trump |
47.8% | Hillary Clinton |
46.3% | 1.5% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
52.8% | Mitt Romney |
45.9% | 6.9% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
56.2% | John McCain |
42.3% | 13.9% |
| 2004 | John Kerry |
49.7% | George W. Bush |
49.3% | 0.4% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
47.8% | George W. Bush |
47.6% | 0.2% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Wisconsin from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Ron Johnson |
50.2% | Russ Feingold |
46.8% | 3.4% |
| 2012 | Tammy Baldwin |
51.4% | Tommy Thompson |
45.9% | 5.5% |
| 2010 | Ron Johnson |
51.9% | Russ Feingold |
47.0% | 4.9% |
| 2006 | Herb Kohl |
67.3% | Robert Lorge |
29.5% | 37.8% |
| 2004 | Russ Feingold |
55.3% | Tim Michels |
44.1% | 11.2% |
| 2000 | Herb Kohl |
61.5% | John Gillespie |
37.0% | 24.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Wisconsin.
| Election results (Governor), Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Scott Walker |
52.3% | Mary Burke |
46.6% | 5.7% |
| 2010 | Scott Walker |
52.3% | Tom Barrett |
46.5% | 5.8% |
| 2006 | Jim Doyle |
52.7% | Mark Green |
45.3% | 7.4% |
| 2002 | Jim Doyle |
45.1% | Scott McCallum |
41.4% | 3.7% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Wisconsin in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Wisconsin 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 5 |
62.5% | 3 |
37.5% | R+2 |
| 2014 | 5 |
62.5% | 3 |
37.5% | R+2 |
| 2012 | 5 |
62.5% | 3 |
37.5% | R+2 |
| 2010 | 5 |
62.5% | 3 |
37.5% | R+2 |
| 2008 | 3 |
37.5% | 5 |
62.5% | D+2 |
| 2006 | 3 |
37.5% | 5 |
62.5% | D+2 |
| 2004 | 4 |
50% | 4 |
50% | - |
| 2002 | 4 |
50% | 4 |
50% | - |
| 2000 | 4 |
44.4% | 5 |
55.6% | D+1 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2025
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin, 2018
- United States House elections in Wisconsin (August 14, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 8th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 17th District held by Cartwright. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 14th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 18th District Lamb won in a March 2018 special election. Tim Murphy (R) won the old 18th District in the 2016 election. Click here to read more.
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Wisconsin," accessed January 15, 2018
- ↑ Wisconsin Demographics, "Wisconsin Cities by Population," accessed January 15, 2018
