Your feedback ensures we stay focused on the facts that matter to you most—take our survey

Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2024

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge-smaller use.png

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Congressional special elections • State Senate • State Assembly • Special state legislative • Appellate courts • State ballot measures • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • All other local • How to run for office
Flag of Wisconsin.png


2026
2022
Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 3, 2024
Primary: August 13, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Wisconsin
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Wisconsin elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Wisconsin, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was August 13, 2024. The filing deadline was June 3, 2024.

This race was one of 75 races in 2024 that was a rematch of the 2022 election. In 2024, Democrats won 39 of these matches, while Republicans won 36 of them. Democrats won 38 of those districts in 2022, and Republicans won 37.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 75.3%-22.6%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 75.9%-22.8%.[3]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers, Robert Raymond, and Micah Leavitt in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore (D)
 
74.8
 
249,938
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers (R)
 
22.4
 
74,921
Image of Robert Raymond
Robert Raymond (Independent)
 
2.6
 
8,792
Micah Leavitt (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
13
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
618

Total votes: 334,282
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 13, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore
 
99.5
 
85,017
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.5
 
411

Total votes: 85,428
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Tim Rogers defeated Purnima Nath in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 13, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers
 
71.2
 
13,382
Image of Purnima Nath
Purnima Nath
 
28.4
 
5,348
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.4
 
69

Total votes: 18,799
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Wisconsin

Election information in Wisconsin: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 16, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 16, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 3, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 31, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 31, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 22, 2024 to Nov. 3, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (CST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Gwen Moore Democratic Party $1,356,550 $1,356,652 $22,247 As of December 31, 2024
Purnima Nath Republican Party $15,663 $9,053 $6,610 As of December 31, 2024
Tim Rogers Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Micah Leavitt Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Robert Raymond Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Wisconsin in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wisconsin, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Wisconsin U.S. House All candidates 1,000 N/A 6/3/2024 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_wi_congressional_district_04.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 8 8 1 23 16 2 3 31.3% 0 0.0%
2022 8 8 1 22 16 1 5 37.5% 3 42.9%
2020 8 8 1 23 16 3 3 37.5% 1 14.3%
2018 8 8 1 25 16 3 3 37.5% 2 28.6%
2016 8 8 1 23 16 5 3 50.0% 4 57.1%
2014 8 8 1 27 16 3 5 50.0% 3 42.9%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Wisconsin in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 16, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Twenty-three candidates ran for Wisconsin’s eight U.S. House districts, including 11 Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s an average of 2.88 candidates per district. There were 2.75 candidates per district in 2022, 2.88 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.13 candidates per district in 2018.

The 8th Congressional District was the only open district in Wisconsin in 2024. Since 2014, there has been one open district in Wisconsin in every election year.

The 8th Congressional District became vacant after former Rep. Mike Gallagher (R) resigned from Congress on April 19.

Two congressional districts—the 3rd and the 8th—were tied for the most candidates who ran for a district in Wisconsin in 2024. Four candidates ran in each district.

Five primaries—two Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024, the fewest in Wisconsin in the last 10 years. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 6.8 primaries were contested each election year.

No incumbents were in contested primaries in 2024, the fewest in Wisconsin in the last 10 years. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 2.6 incumbents ran in contested primaries.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all eight districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+25. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 25 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Wisconsin's 4th the 37th most Democratic district nationally.[8]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Wisconsin's 4th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
75.9% 22.8%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
73.9 24.2 R+49.7

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020

Wisconsin presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 15 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R P[10] R D D D R D R R R D R R D R R D D D D D D D R D
See also: Party control of Wisconsin state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Wisconsin's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Wisconsin
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 2 3
Republican 1 6 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 8 10

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Wisconsin's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Wisconsin, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Tony Evers
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Sara Rodriguez
Secretary of State Democratic Party Sarah Godlewski
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Kaul

State legislature

Wisconsin State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 10
     Republican Party 22
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 33

Wisconsin State Assembly

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 35
     Republican Party 64
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 99

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D
Senate D R R R D D R D D D D R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers and Robert Raymond in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore (D)
 
75.3
 
191,955
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers (R)
 
22.6
 
57,660
Image of Robert Raymond
Robert Raymond (Independent)
 
2.0
 
5,164
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
233

Total votes: 255,012
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 9, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore
 
99.6
 
72,845
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.4
 
325

Total votes: 73,170
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Tim Rogers defeated Travis Clark in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 9, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers
 
74.3
 
16,528
Travis Clark
 
25.1
 
5,583
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.6
 
135

Total votes: 22,246
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers and Robert Raymond in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore (D)
 
74.6
 
232,668
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers (R)
 
22.7
 
70,769
Image of Robert Raymond
Robert Raymond (Independent)
 
2.5
 
7,911
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
349

Total votes: 311,697
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore
 
99.4
 
68,898
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.6
 
392

Total votes: 69,290
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Tim Rogers defeated Cindy Werner in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers
 
50.2
 
6,685
Image of Cindy Werner
Cindy Werner
 
49.5
 
6,598
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
41

Total votes: 13,324
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers and Robert Raymond in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore (D)
 
75.7
 
206,487
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers (R)
 
21.7
 
59,091
Image of Robert Raymond
Robert Raymond (Independent)
 
2.6
 
7,170

Total votes: 272,748
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Gary George in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gwen Moore
Gwen Moore
 
89.0
 
76,991
Image of Gary George
Gary George
 
11.0
 
9,468

Total votes: 86,459
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4

Tim Rogers defeated Cindy Werner in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tim Rogers
Tim Rogers
 
55.6
 
8,912
Image of Cindy Werner
Cindy Werner
 
44.4
 
7,122

Total votes: 16,034
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.



See also

Wisconsin 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
Seal of Wisconsin.png
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
CongressLogosmall.png
Wisconsin congressional delegation
Voting in Wisconsin
Wisconsin elections:
2024202320222021202020192018
Democratic primary battlegrounds
Republican primary battlegrounds
U.S. Senate Democratic primaries
U.S. Senate Republican primaries
U.S. House Democratic primaries
U.S. House Republican primaries
U.S. Congress elections
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
Special elections
Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  9. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  10. Progressive Party


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Tony Wied (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (3)