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Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
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Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 3, 2024 |
Primary: August 13, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Wisconsin |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Wisconsin elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Wisconsin, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was August 13, 2024. The filing deadline was June 3, 2024.
This race was one of 75 races in 2024 that was a rematch of the 2022 election. In 2024, Democrats won 39 of these matches, while Republicans won 36 of them. Democrats won 38 of those districts in 2022, and Republicans won 37.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 75.3%-22.6%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 75.9%-22.8%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Democratic primary)
- Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers, Robert Raymond, and Micah Leavitt in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore (D) | 74.8 | 249,938 |
![]() | Tim Rogers (R) | 22.4 | 74,921 | |
Robert Raymond (Independent) | 2.6 | 8,792 | ||
Micah Leavitt (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 13 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 618 |
Total votes: 334,282 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 13, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore | 99.5 | 85,017 |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.5 | 411 |
Total votes: 85,428 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Tim Rogers defeated Purnima Nath in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 13, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tim Rogers | 71.2 | 13,382 |
![]() | Purnima Nath | 28.4 | 5,348 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 69 |
Total votes: 18,799 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Candidate profiles
There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Wisconsin
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gwen Moore | Democratic Party | $1,356,550 | $1,356,652 | $22,247 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Purnima Nath | Republican Party | $15,663 | $9,053 | $6,610 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Tim Rogers | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Micah Leavitt | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Robert Raymond | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Wisconsin in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wisconsin, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Wisconsin | U.S. House | All candidates | 1,000 | N/A | 6/3/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Wisconsin.
Wisconsin U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 31.3% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2022 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 37.5% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
2020 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 14.3% | ||||
2018 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 28.6% | ||||
2016 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 50.0% | 4 | 57.1% | ||||
2014 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 | 42.9% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Wisconsin in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 16, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twenty-three candidates ran for Wisconsin’s eight U.S. House districts, including 11 Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s an average of 2.88 candidates per district. There were 2.75 candidates per district in 2022, 2.88 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.13 candidates per district in 2018.
The 8th Congressional District was the only open district in Wisconsin in 2024. Since 2014, there has been one open district in Wisconsin in every election year.
The 8th Congressional District became vacant after former Rep. Mike Gallagher (R) resigned from Congress on April 19.
Two congressional districts—the 3rd and the 8th—were tied for the most candidates who ran for a district in Wisconsin in 2024. Four candidates ran in each district.
Five primaries—two Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024, the fewest in Wisconsin in the last 10 years. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 6.8 primaries were contested each election year.
No incumbents were in contested primaries in 2024, the fewest in Wisconsin in the last 10 years. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 2.6 incumbents ran in contested primaries.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all eight districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+25. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 25 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Wisconsin's 4th the 37th most Democratic district nationally.[8]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Wisconsin's 4th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
75.9% | 22.8% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
73.9 | 24.2 | R+49.7 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020
Wisconsin presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | P[10] | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Wisconsin's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Wisconsin | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Republican | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Wisconsin's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Wisconsin, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Wisconsin State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 10 | |
Republican Party | 22 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 33 |
Wisconsin State Assembly
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 35 | |
Republican Party | 64 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 99 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Wisconsin Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers and Robert Raymond in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore (D) | 75.3 | 191,955 |
![]() | Tim Rogers (R) | 22.6 | 57,660 | |
Robert Raymond (Independent) | 2.0 | 5,164 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 233 |
Total votes: 255,012 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 9, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore | 99.6 | 72,845 |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 325 |
Total votes: 73,170 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Tim Rogers defeated Travis Clark in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 9, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tim Rogers | 74.3 | 16,528 |
Travis Clark | 25.1 | 5,583 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.6 | 135 |
Total votes: 22,246 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers and Robert Raymond in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore (D) | 74.6 | 232,668 |
![]() | Tim Rogers (R) | 22.7 | 70,769 | |
Robert Raymond (Independent) | 2.5 | 7,911 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 349 |
Total votes: 311,697 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Aneb Jah Rasta Sensas-Utcha Nefer I (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 11, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore | 99.4 | 68,898 |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.6 | 392 |
Total votes: 69,290 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David Turner (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Tim Rogers defeated Cindy Werner in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 11, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tim Rogers | 50.2 | 6,685 |
![]() | Cindy Werner | 49.5 | 6,598 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.3 | 41 |
Total votes: 13,324 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Travis Clark (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Tim Rogers and Robert Raymond in the general election for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore (D) | 75.7 | 206,487 |
![]() | Tim Rogers (R) | 21.7 | 59,091 | |
Robert Raymond (Independent) | 2.6 | 7,170 |
Total votes: 272,748 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Incumbent Gwen Moore defeated Gary George in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Gwen Moore | 89.0 | 76,991 |
![]() | Gary George | 11.0 | 9,468 |
Total votes: 86,459 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4
Tim Rogers defeated Cindy Werner in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wisconsin District 4 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tim Rogers | 55.6 | 8,912 |
![]() | Cindy Werner | 44.4 | 7,122 |
Total votes: 16,034 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party