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Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report was founded in 1984. It bills itself as "an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends."
The Cook Political Report provides a subscription-only service for "lobbyists, trade associations, corporations, labor unions, Members of Congress, political action committees and interest groups across the political spectrum" as well as a considerable amount of free information on its website for non-subscribers.
| Cook Calls It - 2010 Governors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Seats Held | Seats in Play | Predicted Balance of Power | |
| Democratic | 27 | 19 | 23 | |
| GOP | 23 | 18 | 27 | |
Contents |
Overall trends
Cook ranks half a dozen more races as 'toss-ups' than does CQ Politics. 8 Democratically held seats and 10 Republican held seats are viewed as 'toss-ups' - competitive races that could go either way. Notable when looking at Cook's ratings is the block of southwestern states - California, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, and Texas - viewed as elections that could go either way. Of these, only Colorado and Nevada are toss-ups in the CQ Politics assessment.
Whereas CQ Politics ranks Hawaii, Connecticut, and California as likely pick-ups for the Democrats, the Cook Report demurs on California, a hotly contested and closely scrutinized race.
Both services see three solid Republican bets in the upcoming elections, though only one state, Nebraska, makes both services' charts. Cook also has Idaho and Alaska marked as solid Republican seats, while CQ Politics calls both as only 'likely' GOP wins and instead lists Wyoming and Utah as the Republican's safest races.
Of the 37 governorships up for election in November, 19 are currently held by Democrats and 18 by Republicans. As of late June, 2010, Cook is predicting Republican pick-ups in Michigan, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Kansas, and Wyoming. They are predicting a Democratic pick-up in Hawaii.
Rankings by month
| Month | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 10, 2010 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| July 17, 2010[1] | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| June 17, 2010[2] | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| June 10, 2010[3] | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| May 27, 2010[4] | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| April 15, 2010[5] | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| March 31, 2010[6] | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| March 25, 2010[7] | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| March 4, 2010[8] | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| February 4, 2010[9] | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| January 14, 2010[10] | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Month | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R |
| December 7, 2009[11] | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| November 12, 2009[12] | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| November 4, 2009[13] | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| October 29, 2009[14] | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| October 8, 2009[15] | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| September 3, 2009[16] | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| August 20, 2009[17] | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| August 6, 2009[18] | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| July 30, 2009[19] | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| July 15, 2009[20] | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| June 4, 2009[21] | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| June 2, 2009[22] | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| May 20, 2009[23] | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| May 12, 2009[24] | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| April 30, 2009[25] | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| March 26, 2009[26] | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| March 26, 2009[27] | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| January 30, 2009[28] | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| January 22, 2009[29] | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Month | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R |
| November 13, 2008[30] | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
- The number of races on the 2010 ballot rose by one to 37 in late May, 2010 when Utah Governor John Huntsman resigned to accept a diplomatic post under the Obama administration, causing a special election to be called in his state.
See also
External links
References
- ↑ , "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", July 17, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", June 17, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", June 10, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", May 27, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", April 15, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", March 31, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", March 25, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", March 4, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", February 4, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", January 14, 2010
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", December 7, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", November 12, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", November 4, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", October 29, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", October 8, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", September 3, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", August 20, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", August 6, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", July 30, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", July 15, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", June 4, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", June 2, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", May 20, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", May 12, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", April 30, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", March 26, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", March 26, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", January 30, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", January 22, 2009
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings", November 13, 2008