Battleground Friday: Florida's 18th Congressional District
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November 4, 2014 |
August 26, 2014 |
Patrick Murphy  |
Patrick Murphy |
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Cook Political Report: Lean D[1] Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D[2]
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By Jennifer Springer and the Congress team
In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, Ballotpedia is taking an in-depth look at Florida's 18th Congressional District's 2014 election.
Current incumbent: Patrick Murphy (D) was first elected in 2012.[4]
Murphy defeated incumbent Allen West (R) in a race that was too close to call for more than one week after the general election on November 6, 2012.[5][6]
Murphy is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[7] [8]
Unlike the incumbent he defeated, Murphy started off the 2012 race by "running to the center, playing up his bipartisan credentials."[9]
According to outside analysis, Murphy is one of the 10 most vulnerable incumbents in 2014.[10]
2012 MOV: Murphy ousted then-incumbent Allen West (R) in a race that was too close to call for more than one week after the general election on November 6, 2012.[5][11] Murphy won by just 1,904 votes, or a margin of victory of 0.6%, over West.
2014 candidates: Murphy is running unopposed in the Democratic primary. On the Republican ticket, six candidates are in the running for the nomination to challenge Murphy in the general election: Former Tequesta councilman Calvin Turnquest, former state Representative Carl Domino, 2006 Republican U.S. Senate candidate Alan Schlesinger, Beverly Joy Hires, Nick Robert Wukoson and Brian Lara.[12]
What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: Our analysis points to the district being a battleground with a vulnerable Democratic incumbent in a Republican leaning district. Cook's PVI shows the district as R+3 and Fairvote rates the district as 47.7% Democratic. Additionally, the MOV in 2012 was just 0.6%, the district went to Mitt Romney by 4.1% in 2012 and to Barack Obama by 3.1% in 2008.
FEC: Murphy raised more than $1.07 million in 2013, making him one of the top House fundraisers in 2013.[13] Based on the latest campaign finance report, Murphy had a significant lead, with more than two million cash on hand. Carl Domino came in second with slightly more than $387,000 and Brian Lara was third with approximately $103,234 cash on hand.[14][15][16]
- The information above was compiled following the Florida candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 18th District's election page.
| Florida's 18th Congressional District | |
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Population: 687,695 | |
See also
- U.S. House battleground districts, 2014
- Florida elections, 2014
- Florida's 18th Congressional District
- Florida's 18th Congressional District elections, 2014
- Patrick Murphy
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed August 5, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 5, 2014
- ↑ Fairvote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed August 5, 2014
- ↑ AP Results, "U.S. House Results," accessed August 14, 2012
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
- ↑ Politico, "Allen West falls further behind," accessed November 18, 2012
- ↑ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "DCCC Chairman Steve Israel Announces 2013-2014 Frontline Members," accessed March 5, 2013
- ↑ Boston Globe, "For freshman in Congress, focus is on raising money," accessed May 13, 2013
- ↑ Sunshine State News "Florida Congressional Races 2014 Early Look Where Fur will Fly" accessed March 8, 2013
- ↑ Washington Post, "House Democrats Face Long Odds in 2014," accessed December 7, 2012
- ↑ Yahoo News, "After a Recount, Allen West Loses Even Harder," accessed November 19, 2012
- ↑ Florida Election Division, "Candidate Listing for 2014 General Election," accessed May 15, 2014
- ↑ The Hill, "Murphy raises $520k in second quarter" accessed July 9, 2013
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 21, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
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