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Daily Brew: April 5, 2019

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April 5, 2019

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Today's Brew highlights New Jersey’s state legislative elections + a ballot measure which failed despite being favored three-to-one  
The Daily Brew

Welcome to the Friday, April 5 Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. 95 percent of New Jersey General Assembly incumbents file for re-election
  2. Turnout of 9 percent causes ballot measure to fail
  3. Quiz: Which noteworthy third-party candidate received the highest vote margin in a statewide race in 2018?

95 percent of New Jersey General Assembly incumbents file for re-election

A total of 181 candidates - 98 Democrats and 83 Republicans - filed Monday to run for seats in the New Jersey General Assembly. All 80 seats in that chamber are up for election in 2019. The New Jersey General Assembly is one of seven state legislative chambers holding regular elections this year.

Seventy-six of the chamber's 80 incumbents (95 percent) filed for re-election, leaving four open-seat races. That is the highest number of incumbents running for re-election in the New Jersey General Assembly since Ballotpedia began tracking such information in 2011.

In the 2017 state Assembly elections, 71 incumbents (88.8 percent) filed for re-election and nine seats were open. In 2017. All incumbents won re-election.

The New Jersey General Assembly has 40 multi-member districts, with two representatives from each district. In Democratic and Republican primaries, the top two candidates from each party advance to the general election in November. In the general election, the top two vote recipients in each district are the winners.

Currently, the representatives in all 40 Assembly districts are both from the same party. The current partisan composition of the New Jersey General Assembly is 54 Democrats and 26 Republicans. New Jersey is one of 14 Democratic trifectas.

In 2019, there will be 18 contested primaries -14 Democratic and 4 Republican – which have more than two candidates running. That is the highest number since 2009 when there were 23 contested primaries. 

Twenty-seven incumbents are facing contested primaries. In the four New Jersey General Assembly elections between 2011 and 2017, no incumbent has lost in a primary election.

Primary elections will take place on June 4.


Turnout of 9 percent causes ballot measure to fail

Initiative and referendum is available in some United States territories - and this year we’ve been paying attention to one in the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI). Last Saturday, a ballot initiative there failed despite winning 75 percent of the vote because turnout did not reach the required 50 percent threshold. The initiative would have changed the apportionment of the territory's legislature.

The USVI territorial legislature is unlike state legislatures, which divide districts between areas based on population. The USVI territorial legislature divides districts based on island area with no reference to population.

Currently, the 15-member legislature consists of two seven-member districts and one at-large member. Voters select their preferred candidate from a list, and the top seven vote-getters in the multi-member districts are elected. One of the seven-member districts represents the island of St. Croix, and the other seven-member district represents the islands of St. Thomas and St. John. One additional legislator is elected at large, meaning residents from across USVI vote on candidates for the seat, but the legislator must be a resident of St. John.

The measure that was voted on last weekend would have replaced the current system with four two-member districts representing each half of St. Croix and St. Thomas, one single-member district representing St. John, and six at-large members.

For a ballot initiative to pass in the USVI, a majority of registered voters must turn out to vote on it and a majority of those who turn out must approve it. With 86 percent of precincts reporting, the measure was approved by 75 percent of voters, but voter turnout was 9 percent, meaning that the measure failed.

The U.S. Virgin Islands is located in the Caribbean, east of Puerto Rico and is one of the United States' five inhabited unincorporated territories. The United States purchased the islands from Denmark in 1917, and Congress granted citizenship to U.S. Virgin Islanders in 1927. Like neighboring Puerto Rico, residents of USVI cannot vote for president and do not have a floor-voting representative in Congress. However, USVI does elect a congressional delegate, who can introduce legislation and vote in committees.

#BallotTrivia

Quiz: Which noteworthy third-party candidate received the highest vote margin in a statewide race in 2018?

In Tuesday’s Brew, I noted that 143 third party or independent candidates received more votes than the margin between the top two major-party candidates in 2018. This figure included 16 candidates who ran for statewide office.

In which state did a noteworthy third-party candidate receive the largest vote margin (by percentage) in a statewide race last year? Was it:



See also