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Daily Brew: November 2, 2018

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November 2, 2018

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All four states with divided legislatures could become trifectas in 2018 + Rhode Island, South Carolina, & Virginia state spotlights  
The Daily Brew

Welcome to the Friday, November 2 Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. Rhode Island state spotlight
  2. South Carolina state spotlight
  3. Virginia state spotlight
  4. All four states with divided legislatures could become trifectas in 2018

The end of 50 states in 25 days….what’s next?

We spent the past 5 weeks bringing you updates about the election landscape in all 50 states. Today, we have our final three states - Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Virginia. Thanks for joining us on the ride!
Now that the election is just a few days away, let us help you digest the results.

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  • Check out the three webinars we are offering next week:

One last dive into trifectas - the four states with divided legislatures

There are four state legislatures where Democrats control the state House and Republicans control the state Senate: Alaska, Colorado, Maine, and New York. In the other 45 states with bicameral legislatures, one party controls both chambers.

All four states could become trifectas in 2018 because of competitive state legislative chambers and gubernatorial races. Alaska could become a Republican trifecta, New York could become a Democratic trifecta, and Colorado and Maine could swing to either party.

In all four divided legislatures, we've identified at least one chamber as a battleground: the Alaska House (D), the Colorado House (D), the Colorado Senate (R), the Maine House (D), the Maine Senate (R), and the New York Senate (R). Alaska, Colorado, and Maine all have competitive, open gubernatorial races as well. Currently, Alaska has an independent governor, Colorado and New York have Democratic governors, and Maine has a Republican governor.

The Alaska House and the New York Senate are both controlled by coalition majorities, meaning partisan control of the chambers might be determined by negotiations after election day.

For reference, here is the existing map of trifectas:

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Rhode Island: Ocean State

Rhode Island is holding elections for one U.S. Senate seat, two U.S. House seats, governor and four other state executive offices, all 38 state Senate seats, and all 75 state House seats. Three statewide measures are on the ballot.

What is the partisan balance in the state?

Congress: Democrats hold both U.S. Senate seats and both U.S. House seats.

Governor: Democrat.

Lt. Governor: Democrat.

Attorney General: Democrat.

State Senate: 33-4 Democratic majority with one vacancy.

State Assembly: 64-11 Democratic majority.

Race to watch

  • Rhode Island Governor: Incumbent Gina Raimondo (D) faces a rematch against Cranston Mayor Allan Fung (R) in the 2018 gubernatorial race on November 6; she defeated Fung by 4.5 points in 2014. Four independent and third-party candidates are running in the race. It has attracted satellite spending from both the Democratic Governors Association, which is playing defense, and the Republican Governors Association, which sees the state as a potential GOP pick-up.

What you need to know if you’re a Rhode Island voter

Early voting dates: Rhode Island does not permit early voting.

Polls open/close: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.

Voter ID: Photo ID is required. A provisional ballot may be cast that will be counted if the signature given matches the one on the voter registration record.

Bookmark your sample ballot.


South Carolina: "While I Breathe, I Hope."

South Carolina is holding elections for seven U.S. House seats, governor and seven other state executive offices, and all 124 state House seats. One statewide measure is on the ballot. Ballotpedia is also covering school board elections in four public school districts.

What is the partisan balance in the state?

Congress: Republicans hold both U.S. Senate seats and six U.S. House seats. Democrats hold one U.S. House seat.

Governor: Republican.

Lt. Governor: Republican.

Attorney General: Republican.

State Senate: 27-18 Republican majority with one vacancy.

State Assembly: 80-44 Republican majority.

Race to watch

  • South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District: Attorney and engineer Joe Cunningham (D) faces state Rep. Katie Arrington (R) in the election. Arrington defeated incumbent Rep. Mark Sanford (R) in the Republican primary, marking the second congressional incumbent loss of 2018. Although no Democrat has held this seat since 1981, some election forecasters consider the race competitive. Both national parties have shown interest in the race; the National Republican Congressional Committee added Arrington to its Young Guns Vanguard program, while the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the race to its Majority Makers list of Republican seats it is targeting in 2018. Trump won the district by 13 points in 2016 and Mitt Romney won it by 18 points in 2012.  

What you need to know if you’re a South Carolina voter

Early voting dates: South Carolina does not permit early voting.

Polls open/close: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

Voter ID: All voters are required to present photo identification at the polls in South Carolina. This includes a state driver's license, an identification card, a voter registration card that includes a photo, a federal military ID, or a U.S. passport. A voter can receive a free photo ID from his or her county voter registration office by providing his or her name, date of birth, and the last four digits of his or her Social Security number.

Bookmark your sample ballot.


Virginia: Virginia is for Lovers

Virginia is holding elections for one U.S. Senate seat and 11 U.S. House seats. A special election is being held for District 8 of the state House. Two statewide ballot measures are on the ballot. Virginia does not hold regular statewide elections in even-numbered years. Ballotpedia is also covering municipal elections in Virginia Beach as well as school board elections in Richmond and Virginia Beach.

What is the partisan balance in the state?

Congress: Democrats hold both U.S. Senate seats and four U.S. House seats. Republicans hold seven U.S. House seats.

Governor: Democrat.

Lt. Governor: Democrat.

Attorney General: Democrat.

State Senate: 21-19 Republican majority.

State House: 50-49 Republican majority with one vacancy.

Races to watch

  • Virginia's 2nd Congressional District: Incumbent Scott Taylor (R) faces businesswoman Elaine Luria (D) in this Republican-leaning district. Taylor was first elected in 2016 by a margin of 23 percentage points, while Donald Trump (R) carried the district by a much closer margin of 3 percentage points in the 2016 presidential election.

  • Virginia’s 5th Congressional District: Incumbent Thomas Garrett (R) did not seek re-election in this district. Journalist Leslie Cockburn (D), businessman Denver Riggleman (R), and write-in candidate John Hargis are running for the seat. The district last elected a Democrat in 2008.

  • Virginia's 7th Congressional District: Incumbent David Brat (R) faces Abigail Spanberger (D) and Joe Walton (L) for this toss-up seat. Although the 7th District has been held by a Republican since 1971, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is targeting the seat.

  • Virginia's 10th Congressional District: This is one of 25 Republican-held districts won by Hillary Clinton (D) in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton won by a margin of 10 points, while incumbent Barbara Comstock (R) was re-elected by a margin of 6 points. Comstock faces state Sen. Jennifer Wexton (D).

What you need to know if you’re a Virginia voter

Early voting dates: Virginia does not permit early voting.

Polls open/close: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.

Voter ID: Voters in Virginia must present identification at the polls or else cast a provisional ballot. Valid identification includes the following: Virginia driver's license; Virginia DMV-issued photo ID; U.S. passport; employer-issued photo ID; student photo ID issued by a school, college, or university located in Virginia; other U.S. or Virginia government-issued photo ID; tribal enrollment or other tribal photo ID; and Virginia voter photo ID card.

Bookmark your sample ballot.


It's clear, Americans are preparing to vote! We are honored that you have chosen Ballotpedia to be one of your trusted resources. You're in great company!

  • Yesterday (Thursday, November 1), our sample ballot lookup tool was used 117,879 times! It has been used 2,275,472 times altogether this year.
     
  • 865,657 people visited Ballotpedia yesterday. That's approximately the population of the entire state of South Dakota!
     
  • Since early voting began, 13,363,929 people have visited Ballotpedia. That's 16% of the number of people expected to vote by next Tuesday (if the number of voters in 2018 is similar to the number of voters in 2014).
     
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