Your monthly support provides voters the knowledge they need to make confident decisions at the polls. Donate today.

Daily Brew: October 16, 2018

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

October 16, 2018

%%subject%%

Plus, 36.9 percent of state executive incumbents are not seeking re-election (110 incumbents out of 298 positions)  
The Daily Brew

Welcome to the Tuesday, October 16 Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. Massachusetts state spotlight
  2. Texas state spotlight
  3. 36.9 percent of state executive incumbents are not seeking re-election (110 incumbents out of 298 positions)

Massachusetts: The Spirit of America

Massachusetts is holding elections for one U.S. Senate seat, nine U.S. House seats, governor and six other state executive offices, all 40 state Senate seats, and all 160 state House seats. Three statewide measures are on the ballot. Ballotpedia is also covering local elections in Suffolk County.

What is the partisan balance in the state?

Congress: Democrats hold both U.S. Senate seats and all nine U.S. House seats.

Governor: Republican.

Lt. Governor: Republican.

Attorney General: Democrat.

State Senate: 31-7 Democratic majority with two vacancies.

State House: 117-34 Democratic majority with two independent members and seven vacancies.

Ballot measure to watch

  • Massachusetts Question 1, Nurse-Patient Assignment Limits Initiative: Question 1 was designed to establish patient assignment limits for registered nurses working in hospitals. Limits would be determined by the type of medical unit or patient with whom a nurse is working, and the maximum numbers of patients assigned determined by the limits would apply at all times except during a public health emergency as declared by the state or federal government. The measure would require these patient limits to be met without reducing staff levels, such as service staff, maintenance staff, or clerical staff. The article has been routinely appearing in the top-5 trending articles on Ballotpedia.org in recent months.

What you need to know if you’re a Massachusetts voter

Early voting dates: October 22 to November 2.

Polls open/close: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.

Voter ID: Most voters in Massachusetts are not required to present identification at the polls. Only first-time voters who registered by mail are required to do so. Valid forms of identification include both photo and non-photo identification.

Bookmark your sample ballot.

Learn more

Forward This blank    Tweet This blank blank    Send to Facebook
blank

Texas: Don’t Mess With Texas

Texas is holding elections for one U.S. Senate seat, 36 U.S. House seats, governor and seven other state executive offices, 15 out of 31 state Senate seats, and all 150 state House seats. Three state Supreme Court seats, three court of criminal appeals seats, and 45 appellate court seats are on the ballot. Ballotpedia is also covering local races in 13 counties and school board elections in 26 public school districts.

What is the partisan balance in the state?

Congress: Republicans hold both U.S. Senate seats and 25 U.S. House seats. Democrats hold the remaining 11 U.S. House seats.

Governor: Republican.

Lt. Governor: Republican.

Attorney General: Republican.

State Senate: 20-10 Republican majority with one vacancy.

State House: 93-55 Republican majority with two vacancies.

Races to watch

  • United States Senate election in Texas: Freshman Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) faces Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) and entrepreneur Neal Dikeman (L) in the election for U.S. Senate in Texas. Although Texas has voted to send a Republican to the White House, U.S. Senate, and governor’s office in every statewide election since 1994, two election forecasters call this race a “Toss-up” or “Leans Republican.” Cruz was first elected in 2012 by a margin of 16 percentage points.

  • Texas’ 7th Congressional District: Incumbent John Culberson (R) and attorney Lizzie Pannill Fletcher (D) are running in the election for Texas’ 7th District. Culberson was first elected in 2000. He won re-election in 2016 by 12 points. That year, Hillary Clinton (D) carried the 7th District, defeating Donald Trump (R) by a margin of 1 percentage point. No Democratic candidate has won election to represent the district since 1964.

  • Texas’ 23rd Congressional District: Incumbent Rep. Will Hurd (R) faces Gina Ortiz Jones (D) and Ruben Corvalan (L) in the general election for Texas' 23rd Congressional District. District 23 is a swing district, give Democrats hope that they might flip the seat back to their control. The 2016 election saw Hurd narrowly defeat his Democratic challenger Pete Gallego by just over one percentage point. Hurd originally unseated Gallego in the 2014 general election; prior to that Gallego had held the office for two years.

  • Texas’ 32nd Congressional District: U.S. Rep. Pete Sessions (R), civil rights attorney Colin Allred (D), and Melina Baker (L) are running in the general election for Texas' 32nd District. Most election forecasters call the seat a “Toss-up.” It was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) carried in the 2016 presidential election. Sessions, who was first elected in 2002, ran unopposed in 2016 and won re-election by 26.4 percentage points in 2014.

What you need to know if you’re a Texas voter

Early voting dates: October 22 to November 3.

Polls open/close: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

Voter ID: Texas requires voters to present a form of photo identification at the polls. If voters do not possess the required form of identification, poll workers must ask voters whether they "cannot obtain an acceptable form of photo ID." If voters answer "yes" to this question, they can present a non-photo form of identification and complete a "Reasonable Impediment Declaration." Upon doing so, voters may cast a regular ballot.

Bookmark your sample ballot.


36.9 percent of state executive incumbents are not seeking re-election (110 incumbents out of 298 positions)

Yesterday, we discussed retiring congressional incumbents. Today, let’s look at the 298 state executive positions up for election in 2018. Included in this figure are governor, attorney general, superintendent of schools, insurance commissioner, agriculture commissioner, labor commissioner, public service commissioner, as well as various other positions like mine inspector and state board of equalization.

110 of 298 state executive incumbents are not seeking re-election. The percentage of open seats —63.1 percent— is roughly consistent with the average since 2011, and the 67.6 percent rate for the 2014 election, when many of the same offices were last on the ballot.

Of the 110 incumbents not seeking re-election, 47 of them (42.7 percent) are legally precluded from doing so because of term limits.

Of the 17 open races for governor in 2018, 13 are due to term limits forcing the incumbent to leave office.

Of the 62 open seats where an incumbent from a major party could have run again, 25 of them (40.3 percent) are in a state that contains a pivot county (a county that voted twice to elect President Obama in 2008 and 2012, but then switched to supporting President Trump in 2016).