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Welcome to the Wednesday, October 31 Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:
- Missouri state spotlight
- New Hampshire state spotlight
- Ballotpedia's Top 15 races to watch
Missouri: Where the Rivers Run Free
Missouri is holding elections for one U.S. Senate seat, eight U.S. House seats, state auditor, 17 out of 34 state Senate seats, and all 163 state House seats. Two state Supreme Court justices and four appellate court judges must stand for retention. Seven statewide measures are on the ballot. Ballotpedia is also covering local elections in Clay County, Jackson County, Platte County, St. Louis, and a recall election in Mapaville.
What is the partisan balance in the state?
Congress: Republicans hold one U.S. Senate seat and six U.S. House seats. Democrats hold one U.S. Senate seat and two U.S. House seats.
Governor: Republican.
Lt. Governor: Republican.
Attorney General: Republican.
State Senate: 23-10 Republican majority with one vacancy.
State House: 110-45 Republican majority with eight vacancies.
Race to watch
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U.S. Senate: Incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill (D), Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley (R), and three other candidates are running in Missouri’s U.S. Senate election. McCaskill is one of 10 Senate Democrats defending a seat in a state Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. The race between her and Hawley is one of the closest in the country. Most independent polls have found them about even. Trump won Missouri by 18.5 percentage points in 2016. McCaskill last won re-election in 2012, defeating U.S. Rep. Todd Akin (R) by 15.7 percentage points.
What you need to know if you’re a Missouri voter
Early voting dates: Missouri does not permit early voting.
Polls open/close: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voter ID: Voters in Missouri must present identification at the polls. Valid forms of identification include the following: a driver's license or state-issued ID card, a U.S. passport, or a copy of a utility bill, bank statement, or paycheck. If voters present non-photo ID at the polls, they will be required to sign affidavits attesting to their identity. If a voter lacks both photo and non-photo identification, he or she will be permitted to cast a provisional ballot.
Bookmark your sample ballot.
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New Hampshire: Live Free or Die
New Hampshire is holding elections for two U.S. House seats, governor, five seats on the state executive council, all 24 state Senate seats, and all 400 state House seats. Two statewide measures are on the ballot.
What is the partisan balance in the state?
Congress: Democrats hold both U.S. Senate seats and both U.S. House seats.
Governor: Republican.
Lt. Governor: New Hampshire does not have a lieutenant governor.
Attorney General: Republican.
State Senate: 14-10 Republican majority.
State House: 212-167 Republican majority with two Libertarian members and 19 vacancies.
Race to watch
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New Hampshire Governor: Gov. Chris Sununu (R), Molly Kelly (D), and Jilletta Jarvis (L) are running in the general election for governor of New Hampshire. A recently-gained Republican trifecta (meaning Republicans control the governorship, state house, and state senate) is at stake in 2018. Sununu was first elected in 2016, winning by a 2-point margin. That same year, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Hampshire in the presidential election by a 0.4-point margin. Before Sununu, New Hampshire's last Republican governor was elected in 2002.
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New Hampshire State Senate: All 24 state senate seats are up for election. Republicans hold a 14-10 majority in the chamber going into the November 6 election. Eight races are battlegrounds. Two battleground seats are held by Democrats, and the other six are held by Republicans. All but one incumbent (a Republican) are seeking re-election. If Democrats gain three seats, they take control of the chamber. If Republicans gain two, they acquire a veto-proof majority.
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New Hampshire House of Representatives: All 400 state house seats are up for election. Republicans are entering the election with a 212-167 majority. There are both single-member and multi-member state legislative districts in the state; 103 of the districts, representing 227 seats, are battlegrounds. Thirty-five of the battleground races are in single-member districts; 18 are held by Democrats and 17 are held by Republicans. Sixty-eight of the battleground races are in multi-member districts; 18 are held solely by Democrats, 20 are held solely by Republicans, and 30 are split between the parties.
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New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District: This swing district changed party hands five times between 2006 and 2016, alternating between incumbent U.S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and Republican Frank Guinta. Eddie Edwards (R), Chris Pappas (D), and two others are running to replace Shea-Porter, who is retiring. Shea-Porter won the seat by 1.3 percentage points in 2016, and Donald Trump won the presidential race in the district by 1.6 points.
What you need to know if you’re a New Hampshire voter
Early voting dates: New Hampshire does not permit early voting.
Polls open/close: In general, polling places open between 6 a.m. and 11 a.m. and close at 7 p.m.
Voter ID: Photo ID required. If a voter is unable to present a valid form of identification, a poll worker will take a photo of the voter and attach it to an affidavit, which must be signed by the voter. Exceptions are provided for those who object to being photographed for religious reasons.
Bookmark your sample ballot.
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Join us for a Twitter chat today at 2:00 p.m. Central Time. The topic: ballot measures in the 2018 elections. We'll go over the types of ballot measures, notable trends this election cycle, and campaign finance. Use the hashtag #BallotBite to follow the conversation and get your questions answered
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The ones you know and some you don’t...15 races we’re watching
We've compiled a list of 15 elections we are watching on November 6, including races for the U.S. House, U.S. Senate, governorships, state legislatures, and statewide ballot measures.
Of the 15:
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Four are U.S. House races
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Three are U.S. Senate races
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Three are gubernatorial races
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Four are in state legislatures
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And… our fifteenth is a bit of cheat: Voters in 37 states will decide 155 statewide ballot measures in 2018, and we couldn't pick just one to watch. Stay tuned for our list of the top 15 ballot measures to watch in 2018.
As a teaser, here are our four U.S. House races to watch:
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Maine's 2nd Congressional District: Incumbent Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R), state Rep. Jared Golden (D), Tiffany Bond (I) and Will Hoar (I) are running to represent the 2nd District, which encompasses nearly all of Maine except the southwest corner and Portland. Poliquin is the only Republican representing a U.S. House seat in New England. Before Poliquin was first elected in 2014, Democrats had held the seat for 20 years. Poliquin won re-election in 2016 by nearly 10 points.
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Minnesota's 1st Congressional District: Former Obama administration official Dan Feehan (D) and former U.S. Treasury official Jim Hagedorn (R) are running for the 1st District, which covers all of southern Minnesota's border with Iowa. In 2016, incumbent Tim Walz (D) defeated Hagedorn by 1 percentage point, and Donald Trump (R) carried the district by 15 percentage points, making it one of 13 Democratic-held seats up in 2018 that Trump won. Walz chose to run for governor rather than seek re-election.
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Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District: U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R) and Wallace Global Fund director Scott Wallace (D) are running for the newly-drawn 1st District, north of Philadelphia, after the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ordered the state's congressional map redrawn in February 2018. The new 1st District is composed of a majority of the old 8th District, which Fitzpatrick was first elected to represent in 2016. The old 8th District voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 by 0.2 percentage points. The new 1st District voted for Hillary Clinton (D) by 2.0 percentage points. The redrawing of the congressional map changed the presidential results in Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts from 12 Trump districts and six Clinton districts to 10 Trump districts and eight Clinton districts.
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Texas' 32nd Congressional District: Incumbent Rep. Pete Sessions (R), civil rights attorney Colin Allred (D), and Melina Baker (L) are running to represent the 32nd District, which is located in the Dallas metro area. Sessions, the chairman of the House Rules Committee, was first elected in 2002. Although Sessions did not face a Democratic opponent in 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won the district by 1.9 percentage points, making it one of 26 Republican-held seats up in 2018 that Clinton won.
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