Welcome to the Tuesday, September 4 Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:
- Nearly one-third of state legislative seats lack major party competition
- Ballotpedia is hosting a webinar on the investigation and impeachment of supreme court justices in West Virginia
- Join Ballotpedia tonight for the results of the Massachusetts primaries
Nearly one-third of state legislative seats lack major party competition
This year, elections will be held for 6,073 state legislative seats in 46 states. Two thousand and seventeen of those seats (33.2 percent) lack major party competition, meaning that no candidates from one of the major parties filed for those seats, guaranteeing them to the other party.
This year, Democrats are contesting 87.7 percent of all state legislative seats—the most contested by either party since 2010. Republicans are contesting 79.1 percent of all seats—the fewest contested by either party since 2010. The reduction in the number of guaranteed Republican seats relative to 2016 is the largest cycle-over-cycle change in guaranteed seats for either party since 2010.
Relative to the previous midterm election in 2014, Democrats are guaranteed more seats in 23 states, the same number of seats in four states, and fewer seats in the remaining 18 states. Republicans are guaranteed more seats in six states, the same number of seats in three, and fewer in 36.
The only state holding legislative elections this year without any uncontested seats is Michigan, while the state with the most uncontested seats is Massachusetts, where only 28 percent of general election contests feature a Democrat and a Republican.
The Michigan State Senate and House, alongside the North Carolina State Senate, are the only three chambers fully contested by both parties. There are three chambers which are fully contested by Republicans but not Democrats and 14 which are fully contested by Democrats but not Republicans.
|