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Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2010

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Breaking news

In the Arkansas gubernatorial election of 2010, held on November 2, 2010, Democrat Mike Beebe defeated Republican Jim Keet. Beebe was first elected Governor in 2006. Arkansas was a well-founded bright spot for Democratic hopes in 2010, with incumbent Democrat Mike Beebe leading the GOP challenger, Jim Keet, through the election season and making good on those numbers at the ballot boxes.

November 2, 2010 general election results

As of November 29, 2010 at the close of business, all results are final and certified.[1]

Under §7-5-701 (a)(2)(A), the report of the County Board of Commissioners to the State Board of Elections is due November 23, 2010. November 25, 2010 is earliest day for the official canvass of votes to be certified, under §7-5-701 (a)(1).[2]

2010 Arkansas gubernatorial general election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Democratic Party Approveda Mike Beebe 64.42%
     Republican Party Jim Keet 33.63%
     Green Party Jim Lendall 1.86%
     Other write-in 0.09%
Total Votes 781,333

Inauguration and transition

Inaugural date

Gov. Beebe took the oath of office and began his second term on January 10, 2011, the same date the Arkansas State Legislature convened.

Transition team

As Mike Beebe was already the sitting Governor of Arkansas, the need for a full transition team was limited.

Race ratings

See also: Gubernatorial elections 2010, Race tracking

2010 Race Rankings Arkansas
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[3] Solid Democratic
Congressional Quarterly Politics[4] Safe Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Likely Democrat
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[6] Leans Democratic
The Rothenberg Political Report[7] Currently Safe Democratic
Overall Call Democratic

Changes

2. Rasmussen moved race from "Solid Democratic" to "Leans Democratic" following September 29th polling.

1. Rasmussen moved race from "Leans Democratic" to "Solid Democratic" following August 21st polling.

Polling

Arkansas was one of the few states Democrats were always expected to hold onto easily, and Democratic candidate Mike Beebe maintained his lead for the entire campaign. The gap between him and Republican challenger Jim Keet narrowed slightly, both as Keet gained support and Beebe's numbers dropped.

2010 Race for Arkansas Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported Beebe Keet Other Don't Know
October 28, 2010[8] 60% 48% 1% 1%
September 30, 2010[9] 51% 41% 2% 5%
August 18, 2010[10] 53% 33% 2% 12%
July 20, 2010[11] 50% 40% 3% 7%
June 18, 2010[12] 57% 33% 1% 9%
May 25, 2010[13] 53% 38% 1% 7%
(Sample)[14] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05

Candidates

The November Ballot – Who Made It? Arkansas Governor
Nominee Affiliation
Mike Beebe[15] Democrat
Jim Keet[16] Republican
Jim Lendall[17] Green
Billy Roper[18] (write-in)
David E. Dinwiddie[19] (write-in)
Elvis D. Presley[20] (write-in)
This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who were officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.

Democratic

  • Incumbent Mike Beebe announced on January 19, 2010 that he would seek re-election in 2010.[21] He was the only announced candidate in the election until March 2010.[22] Beebe was "strongly favored" in this campaign, even in a state that John McCain took by 20 points in 2008.[23] He assumed office on January 9, 2007, succeeding Mike Huckabee.

Republican

  • Jim Keet, a former member of both the Arkansas state House and Senate, became the only Republican candidate in early March, 2010. The Republican Party of Arkansas had faced speculation they would not field a candidate to face Beebe. Arkansas GOP chairman Doyle Webb countered, "There are many issues facing Arkansans today and we anticipate a vigorous campaign to address such concerns as job creation, taxes and spending priorities. We are confident the Republican Party of Arkansas will produce a conservative candidate dedicated to addressing these issues along with numerous others.[22]

Write-in

  • Billy Joe Roper, Jr. Roper founded a group called 'White Revolution' and has long been active in white supremacist circles.[24][25] On June 24, 2010, Roper used his Twitter page to announce he had received the endorsement of the 'Racial Nationalist Party of America'.
  • David E. Dinwiddie filed to run on July 14, 2010.
  • Elvis D. Presley filed papers on August 4, 2010.

2006 overview


A 2006 campaign ad from unsuccessful Republican candidate Asa Hutchinson

In the 2006 contest, Beebe outspent his Republican opponent by a margin of nearly 2-1. Beebe spent $6,304,515, while his GOP challenger Asa Hutchinson, spent $3,247,567.[26]

2006 election for Governor of Arkansas[27]
Candidates Votes Percentage
Green check mark.jpg Mike Beebe (D) 430,765 55.61%
Asa Hutchinson (R) 315,040 40.67%
Rod Bryan (I) 15,767 2.04%
Jim Lendall (Green) 12,744 1.65%
Write Ins 334 0.05%
Total votes 774,680




Gubernatorial electoral history

1998 Gubernatorial Results[28]
Candidates Percentage
Mike Huckabee (R) 59.77%
Bill Bristow (D) 38.66%
Keith Carle (NEB) 1.57%
Total votes 706,011
2002 Gubernatorial Results[29]
Candidates Percentage
Mike Huckabee (R) 53.01%
Jimmie Lou Fischer (D) 46.95%
(write-in) 0.04%
Total votes 805,696
2006 Gubernatorial Results[30]
Candidates Percentage
Mike D. Beebe (D) 55.61%
Asa Hutchinson (R) 40.67%
Rod Bryan (I) 2.04%
Jim Lendall (G) 1.65%
(write-in) 0.5%
Total votes 774,680

Presidential electoral history

2000 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 51.3%
Al Gore (D) 45.9%
2004 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 54.3%
John Kerry (D) 44.5%
2008 Presidential Results[31]
Candidates Percentage
John McCain (R) 58.7%
Barack Obama (D) 38.9%


1992 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George H.W. Bush (R) 35.5%
Bill Clinton (D) 53.2%
1996 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
Bob Dole (R) 36.8%
Bill Clinton (D) 53.7%

See also

External links

Candidate pages

References

  1. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election: Statewide Results by Contest," updated November 29, 2010 at 16:03, accessed November 29, 2010
  2. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 Election Calendar," accessed November 8, 2010
  3. The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
  4. CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
  5. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
  6. Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
  7. Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
  8. Rasmussen Reports, "Arkansas Governor: Beebe (D) Runs Up Lead on Keet (R)," October 31, 2010
  9. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Beebe (D) Still Tops 50% In Re-election Bid," October 3, 2010
  10. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Arkansas Governor: Beebe (D) 53%, Keet (R) 33%," August 21, 2010
  11. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Arkansas Governor: Beebe 57%, Keet 33%," July 22, 2010
  12. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Arkansas Governor: Beebe 57%, Keet 33%," June 18, 2010
  13. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Arkansas Governor: Beebe 53%, Keet 38%," May 25, 2010
  14. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  15. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election Candidate Information," accessed September 6, 2010
  16. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election Candidate Information," accessed September 6, 2010
  17. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election Candidate Information," accessed September 6, 2010
  18. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election Candidate Information," accessed September 6, 2010
  19. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election Candidate Information," accessed September 6, 2010
  20. Arkansas Secretary of State, "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election Candidate Information," accessed September 6, 2010
  21. The City Wire, "Beebe to seek second term as Governor," January 19, 2010
  22. 22.0 22.1 Arkansas News, "GOP chief says ‘conservative’ challenge to Beebe likely," January 19, 2010
  23. Congressional Quarterly's 2010 Arkansas gubernatorial overview
  24. Southern Poverty Law Center, "40 to watch: Revolting in Arkansas," Fall 2003
  25. Arkansas Times, " White Power: An Arkansas supremacist's quest for the top," October 28, 2004
  26. [$3,247,567 Follow The Money, Arkansas Governor, 2006]
  27. 2006 General Election Results
  28. Arkansas Secretary of State, “1998 General Election Results“
  29. Arkansas Secretary of State, “2002 General Election Results“
  30. Arkansas Secretary of State, “2006 General Election Results“
  31. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010