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Oregon gubernatorial election, 2010

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Breaking news

In the Oregon gubernatorial election of 2010, held on November 2, 2010, Democrat John Kitzhaber, a former Governor of the state, defeated Republican Chris Dudley . The incumbent, Democratic Governor Ted Kulongoski was term-limited.

In the May 18, 2010 primary elections, Kitzhaber took two-thirds of the vote over Bill Bradbury, a former Secretary of State. For the GOP, Dudley had a relatively close victory over Allen Alley, one-time Chief of Staff to Governor Kulongoski.

A Republican victory in 2010 would have been considered a fairly significant upset. Although the 2006 election of Kulongoski was not a landslide, it was a comfortable margin, and no Republican has won the seat since 1982.

November 2, 2010 general election results

Results are, as of December 2, 2010, official.[1]

Governor of Oregon, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kitzhaber 49.3% 716,525
     Republican Chris Dudley 47.8% 694,287
     Constitution Greg Kord 1.4% 20,475
     Libertarian Wes Wagner 1.3% 19,048
     Miscellaneous - 0.2% 3,213
Total Votes 1,453,548
Election Results Via: Oregon Secretary of State

Inauguration and transition

Inaugural date

Governor-elect John Kitzhaber was inaugurated on January 10, 2011.

Transition team

Governor-elect Kitzhaber's transition site was live at Governor-elect John Kitzhaber. Kitzhaber annouced his top priorities as economic development, balancing Oregon's budget, and education. Tom Imeson, a top aide to former Governor Neil Goldschmidt, ran the transition team.[2] Immeson also oversaw outgoing Governor Ted Kulongoski's transition in 2002.

The incoming Governor had, as of November 10, 2010, announced several policy teams and their leaderships:

  • Economic Development Team:
    • Ted Wheeler, Treasurer, State of Oregon
    • Wally Van Valkenburg, managing partner, Stoel Rives; chair, Oregon Business Development Commission
  • Manufacturing Team:
    • John Carter, CEO, Schnitzer Steel
    • John Mohlis, executive secretary, Oregon Building Trades Council
  • Energy Efficiency Team:
    • Margaret Kirkpatrick, vice president and general counsel, NW Natural
    • Barbara Byrd, secretary-treasurer, AFL-CIO
    • Maurice Rahming, president, O’Neill Electric
  • Biomass Team:
    • John Shelk, managing director, Ochoco Lumber Company
    • Matt Donegan, co-founder and co-president, Forest Capital Partners
  • Workforce Development Team:
    • Dave Williams, vice president, NW Natural; chair, Oregon Workforce Investment Board
    • Lori Luchak, president, Miles Fiberglass

May 18, 2010 primary

2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary[3]
Candidates Percentage
Bill Bradbury (D) 29.46%
Green check mark.jpg John Kitzhaber (D) 64.78%
Roger Obrist (D) 4.29%
(write-in) 1.47%
Total votes 374,404
2010 Race for Governor - Republican Primary[4]
Candidates Percentage
Alvin Alley (R) 31.76%
Clark S. Colvin (R) 0.38%
William Ames Curtwright (R) 3.98%
Green check mark.jpg Chris Dudley (R) 39.11%
Bob Forthan (R) 0.23%
Darren Kerr (R) 0.36%
John Lim (R) 15.07%
William L. Sizemore (R) 7.49%
Rex O. Watkins (R) 0.97%
(write-in) 0.64%
Total votes 314,087

Race ratings

See also: Gubernatorial elections 2010, Race tracking

2010 Race Rankings Oregon
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[5] Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly Politics[6] Leans Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Leans Republican
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[8] Toss-up
The Rothenberg Political Report[9] Pure Toss-up
Overall Call Toss-up

Changes

3. Rothenberg moved races back to "Pure Toss-up" from "Toss-up Tilting Republican" as of October 24th.

2. Rothenberg moved races from "Pure Toss-up" to "Toss-up Tilting Republican" in its October 1st ratings.

1. Cook Political Report moved race from "Lean Democratic" to "Toss-up" in its September 30th ratings.

Polling

2010 Race for Oregon Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported Dudley Kitzhaber Other Don't Know
October 10, 2010[10] 48% 46% 3% 4%
September 8, 2010[11] 49% 44% 2% 5%
August 22, 2010[12] 45% 44% 3% 8%
July 26, 2010[13] 47% 44% 5% 4%
June 17, 2010[14] 47% 45% 4% 4%
May 24, 2010[15] 45% 44% 4% 6%
April 29, 2010[16] 41% 41% 6% 13%
February 17, 2010[17] 36% 42% - -
(Sample)[18] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05

Candidates

The November Ballot – Who Made It? Oregon Governor[19]
Nominee Affiliation
John Kitzhaber Democrat
Chris Dudley Republican
Wes W. Wagner Libertarian
Gregory E. Kord Constitution
John Kitzhaber Independent
This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who were officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.

Constitution

  • Gregory E. Kord is an industrial designer, who ran on a platform of turning Oregon's government "Back to Basics." He received the Constitution Party's nomination at their June 26, 2010 convention.[20]

Democratic

Libertarian

  • Wes W. Wagner who campaigned under the banner "Cure Oregon." An IT worker and vice-char of the state's Libertarian party, his candidacy coincided with a schism with the Libertarians over Oregon's 'fusion voting law'.[24]

Independent

  • John DiLorenzo withdrew June 15th, citing the crowded field of centrists running on Independent tickets.

Independent Party of Oregon

  • Photographer and small-business owner Richard Esterman centered his campaign of the theme of a 'Commoner' running for governor in a field of career politicians.

Independent Progressive Party of Oregon

  • Jerry Wilson refused to accept donations and ran his campaign through word of mouth in order to make his point about removing money from politics and law-making. As the inventor of the home gym system 'Soloflex', Wilson chose to self-fund his campaign.

Republican

  • Allen Alley[25] was a 2008 candidate for State Treasurer and a Chief of Staff to Governor Kulongoski.
  • Clark S. Colvin, a business owner who dealt with a flap over whether he had actually been formally awarded a PhD he had studied for.
  • William Ames Curtwright, a 2002 GOP hopeful for the governorship, is the owner of Ames Research Laboratories.
  • Chris Dudley[26] is a former NBA player who now runs a financial services firm and a children's charity he founded. After the primaries, he moved on as the GOP's candidate.
  • Bob Forthan
  • Darren Karr made a point in the platform outlined on his website of stating, "I’m a life-long Independent, running in the Republican party (not something I’m really happy about. I’m not a fan of either party) because you’re either an insider, or you’re a loser." Predictably, he fared poorly in the crowded field on primary day.
  • Former Oregon State Senator John Lim[27], a South Korea native and business owner, ultimately lost the primary.
  • Bill Sizemore[28] has previously run for State Senate and for Governor against Kitzhaber, in addition to sponsoring numerous petitions.
  • Rex O. Watkins's unsuccessful campaign aligned itself with the Tea Party and many of its affiliated groups.

2006 Results

Candidate Votes Percent of total
Theodore Kulongoski (D) 699,786 50.7%
Ron Saxton (R) 589,748 42.8%



Gubernatorial electoral history

1998 Gubernatorial Results[29]
Candidates Percentage
John Kitzhaber (D) 64.42%
Bill Sizemore (R) 30.01%
Richard P. Burke (L) 1.81%
Blair Bobier (P) 1.42%
Roger G. Weidner (RF) 0.91%
Patti Steurer (NL) 0.70%
Trey Smith (S) 0.52%
(write-in) 0.20%
Total votes 1,113,098
2002 Gubernatorial Results[30]
Candidates Percentage
Ted Kulongoski (D) 49.03%
Kevin L. Mannix (R) 46.16%
Tom Cox (L) 4.59%
Total votes 1,260,497
2006 Gubernatorial Results[31]
Candidates Percentage
Ted Kulongoski (D) 50.73%
Ron Saxton (R) 42.75%
Mary Starrette (C) 3.64%
Joe Keating (G) 1.45%
Richard Morley (L) 1.22%
(write-in) 0.21%
Total votes 1,379,475



Presidential electoral history

2000 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 46.52%
Al Gore (D) 46.96%
2004 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 47.19%
John Kerry (D) 51.35%
2008 Presidential Results[32]
Candidates Percentage
John McCain (R) 40.40%
Barack Obama (D) 56.75%
1992 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George H.W. Bush (R) 32.53%
Bill Clinton (D) 42.48%
1996 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
Bob Dole (R) 39.06%
Bill Clinton (D) 47.15%

See also

External links

Candidate pages

References

  1. Oregon Secretary of State, "November 2, 2010, General Election Abstracts of Votes - Governor," accessed December 22, 2010
  2. MSNBC, "Former Goldschmidt aide Imeson to run Kitzhaber transition ," accessed November 22, 2010
  3. Oregon Secretary of State, "May 18, 2010 Primary Election Abstract of Votes," accessed July 19, 2010
  4. Oregon Secretary of State, "May 18, 2010 Primary Election Abstract of Votes," accessed July 19, 2010
  5. The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
  6. CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
  7. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
  8. Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
  9. Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
  10. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Oregon Governor: Kitzhaber (D), Dudley (R) Remain Close," October 11, 2010
  11. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Oregon Governor: Dudley (R) 49%, Kitzhaber (D) 44"%, September 10, 2010
  12. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Oregon Governor: Dudley (R) 45%, Kitzhaber 44%"%, August 24, 2010
  13. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Oregon Governor: Dudley (R) 47%, Kitzhaber (D) 44%," July 27, 2010
  14. Rasmussen Reports, "Oregon Governor: Dudley (R) 47%, Kitzhaber (D) 45%," June 21, 2010
  15. Rasmussen Reports, "Oregon Governor: Dudley 45%, Kitzhaber 44%," May 25, 2010
  16. Rasmussen Reports, "Oregon Governor: Dudley (R) Moves Into Ties with Kitzhaber, Bradbury," April 29, 2010
  17. Rasmussen Reports, "Oregon Governor: Democrats Have It For Now," February 19, 2010
  18. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  19. Oregon State Election Division, “Candidate Filing Search Results: Search Criteria: Election Year: 2010, Election: 2010 General Election, Office: Governor”, searched September 19, 2010
  20. Greg Kord for Governor, "CONSTITUTION PARTY OF OREGON NOMINATES GREGORY KORD AS CANDIDATE FOR OREGON GOVERNOR," June 26, 2010
  21. Kitzhaber files committee to run for governor
  22. Oregon Live
  23. Oregon Secretary of State
  24. OregonLive.com, "Feuding Oregon Libertarians nominate candidate for governor," June 14, 2010
  25. Allen Alley First to Enter Race for Oregon Governor
  26. Dudley jumps into Oregon governor's race
  27. John Lim says he's also running for governor
  28. Bill Sizemore wants second chance for Oregon governor
  29. Oregon Secretary of State, “1998 General Election Results“
  30. Oregon Secretary of State, “2002 General Election Results“
  31. Oregon Secretary of State, “2006 General Election Results“
  32. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010