Battleground Friday: California's 10th Congressional District
By the Congress team
In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, Ballotpedia is taking an in-depth look at California's 10th Congressional District's 2014 election.
Current incumbent: Jeff Denham (R) was first elected to the House in 2010. In 2012, he defeated Jose Hernandez (D) in a race that was made much closer due to redistricting following the 2010 census.[3]
Denham is a member of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program. The program is designed to assist vulnerable Republican incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[4] He filed a "Statement of Intention" to run for Lieutenant Governor of California in the 2014 elections, but decided to instead seek re-election to the 10th District.[5]
2012 MOV: Denham won the seat in 2012 with a margin of victory of 5.4% over Jose Hernandez (D). The two candidates were separated by 11,331 votes.
2014 candidates: There are two Democratic candidates challenging Denham for the seat, Michael Eggman and Mike Barkley. Eggman manages his family's almond orchard and apiary in Turlock.[6] He is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Jumpstart program, which is designed to provide early support to top-tier Democratic challengers.[7] Barkley unsuccessfully challenged Jeff Denham in the 2012 election for the district.[8] He was defeated in the blanket primary on June 5, 2012, and received only 5.4% of votes.
What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: Our analysis points to the district being a battleground with a slight Republican lean. Cook's PVI shows the district as R+1, while Fairvote rates the district as 56.6% Republican. The MOV in 2012 was just over 5% and the district was won by President Barack Obama by only 3.6% in 2012 and 3% in 2008. Additionally, incumbent Jeff Denham is a sophomore representative with only one prior term under his belt.
FEC: Year-End reports from the Federal Election Commission show incumbent Jeff Denham with a significant fundraising advantage over his Democratic challengers. He raised a total of $1,380,477 in 2013 and is sitting on $1,297,875 cash on hand.[9] Eggman ended the year with contributions totaling $385,859 and $287,043 cash on hand.[10] Barkley raised under $1,000 in 2013.
- The information above was compiled following the California candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 10th District's election page.
| California's 10th Congressional District | |
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Population: 713,912 | |
See also
- U.S. House battleground districts, 2014
- California's 10th Congressional District
- California's 10th Congressional District elections, 2014
- Jeff Denham
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
- ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed July 28, 2014
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Unofficial election results," November 6, 2012 (dead link)
- ↑ The Washington Post, "11 House Republicans named to incumbent-protection program," April 22, 2013
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Campaign Finance:Statement of Intention," accessed November 27, 2012
- ↑ Michael Eggman for Congress, "About," accessed April 3, 2014
- ↑ Roll Call, "Democrats Launch New Program for House Recruits," May 9, 2013
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Unofficial election results," November 6, 2012 (dead link)
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Jeff Denham Year-End," accessed February 4, 2014
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Michael Eggman Year-End," accessed February 10, 2014
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