Everything you need to know about ranked-choice voting in one spot. Click to learn more!

Arkansas' 1st Congressional District election, 2020

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search



2022
2018
Arkansas' 1st Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: November 11, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
Primary runoff: March 31, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Rick Crawford (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Arkansas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Arkansas' 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th
Arkansas elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Arkansas, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Rick Crawford won election in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 1.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
November 11, 2019
March 3, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Rick Crawford, who was first elected in 2010.


The 1st Congressional District is located in northeastern Arkansas. Arkansas, Baxter, Chicot, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Fulton, Greene, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lawrence, Lee, Lincoln, Lonoke, Mississippi, Monroe, Phillips, Poinsett, Prairie, Randolph, Sharp, St. Francis, Stone, and Woodruff counties as well as portions of Jefferson and Searcy counties are included.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Arkansas' 1st Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 27.9 0
Republican candidate Republican Party 69.1 100
Difference 41.2 100

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Arkansas modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Voters in the general election could cite concerns over COVID-19 as a valid excuse for voting absentee.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Explore Election Results site ad border blue.png

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 1

Incumbent Rick Crawford won election in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rick Crawford
Rick Crawford (R)
 
100.0
 
237,596

Total votes: 237,596
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Rick Crawford advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 1.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+17, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 17 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 1st Congressional District the 65th most Republican nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Rick Crawford Republican Party $966,801 $1,095,518 $182,708 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Arkansas' 1st Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 1st Congressional District candidates in Arkansas in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Arkansas 1st Congressional District Democratic N/A N/A $10,000.00 Fixed number 11/12/2019 Source
Arkansas 1st Congressional District Republican N/A N/A $15,000.00 Fixed number 11/12/2019 Source
Arkansas 1st Congressional District Unaffiliated 2,000 3% of votes cast for governor in the last election in the district, not to exceed 2,000 N/A N/A 5/1/2020 Source

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 75 Arkansas counties—1.33 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Woodruff County, Arkansas 8.91% 4.21% 7.46%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Arkansas with 60.6 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 33.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Arkansas voted Democratic 66.67 percent of the time and Republican 30 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Arkansas voted Republican all five times.


District election history

2018

See also: Arkansas' 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 1

Incumbent Rick Crawford defeated Chintan Desai and Elvis Presley in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rick Crawford
Rick Crawford (R)
 
68.9
 
138,757
Image of Chintan Desai
Chintan Desai (D) Candidate Connection
 
28.8
 
57,907
Image of Elvis Presley
Elvis Presley (L)
 
2.3
 
4,581

Total votes: 201,245
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 1

Chintan Desai advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 1 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Chintan Desai
Chintan Desai Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 1

Incumbent Rick Crawford advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 1 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Rick Crawford
Rick Crawford

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Arkansas' 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Rick Crawford (R) and Mark West (L) ran unopposed in their respective primaries. Crawford defeated West in the general election on November 8, 2016. No Democratic candidates filed to run for the seat.[10][11]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 1 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRick Crawford Incumbent 76.3% 183,866
     Libertarian Mark West 23.7% 57,181
Total Votes 241,047
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Arkansas' 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 1st Congressional District of Arkansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rick Crawford (R) defeated Jackie McPherson (D) and Brian Scott Willhite (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Arkansas District 1 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRick Crawford Incumbent 63.3% 124,139
     Democratic Jackie McPherson 32.4% 63,555
     Libertarian Brian Scott Willhite 4.4% 8,562
Total Votes 196,256
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  3. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  4. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  10. Arkansas Secretary of State, "Candidate Information," accessed November 10, 2015
  11. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (6)