Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Democratic primary)
- Primary date: June 23[2]
- Primary type: Closed
- Registration deadline(s): May 26
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Early voting starts: Pending
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): June 23 (return)
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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Kentucky's 4th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: January 10, 2020 |
Primary: June 23, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Thomas Massie (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. Voting in Kentucky |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th Kentucky elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
A Democratic Party primary took place on June 23, 2020, in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 3, 2020.
Alexandra Owensby advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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Heading into the election, the incumbent was Thomas Massie (Republican), who was first elected in 2012.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Kentucky utilizes a closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[3][4][5]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Kentucky's 4th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Republican primary)
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Kentucky modified its primary election process as follows:
- Election postponements: The primary election was postponed from May 19, 2020, to June 23.
- Voting procedures: Absentee voting eligibility was extended to all voters in the primary election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 4
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Alexandra Owensby ![]() | 58.4 | 41,531 |
![]() | Shannon Fabert ![]() | 41.6 | 29,557 |
Total votes: 71,088 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[6] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Shannon Fabert is a business process consultant who has been successful collaborating with companies of all sizes in a variety of industries and sectors. She has worked tirelessly to meet goals that improve the stakeholder environment, not just shareholders. Compassion and creative problem solving have been the cornerstones that built her winning track record of working with CEOs and front line workers to reach a common goal. It was her current representative's lack of action that pushed her into running for Congress. She believes elected officials are obligated to representing all of their constituents and working across the aisle for progress. Shannon is the oldest of 4 children born into a multicultural family; her father is of African American descent and her mother is a Filipino immigrant. She is the proud product of a public school education graduating from the University of Tennessee in Knoxville in 2001. Shannon lives in Boone County with her husband Greg and dog Hines."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 in 2020.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Dr. Alexandra Owensby is not a politician. She is a single mother of two children who struggled to put herself through school to support her family. After leaving an abusive marriage, she put herself through three degrees to ultimately obtain her Doctorate of Nursing Practice to support herself and her children. Through that process she had to rely on public assistance, specifically, her children qualified for Medicaid. She became a nurse practitioner at the University of Cincinnati. The costs of obtaining this job were high. She was forced to take out student loans and was afraid it would be impossible for her to ever become financially secure. She has worked two to three jobs since getting her degree in order to make ends meet. Her journey through the depths of poverty and rising to the struggling middle class inspired her to get involved in politics. She believes that Kentucky needs a representative who understands the struggles of the working and middle class. She currently lives in Ft. Thomas with her two children. "
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Kentucky District 4 in 2020.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 4th Congressional District the 51st most Republican nationally.[7]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.88. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.88 points toward that party.[8]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[9] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[10] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shannon Fabert | Democratic Party | $35,216 | $32,479 | $2,737 | As of June 3, 2020 |
Alexandra Owensby | Democratic Party | $166,563 | $155,997 | $9,933 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[11]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[12][13][14]
Race ratings: Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
See also
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Republican primary)
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
- United States House elections in Kentucky, 2020 (June 23 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Kentucky, 2020 (June 23 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2020
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Note: Kentucky's primary election was postponed to June 23, 2020, in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
- ↑ Note: Kentucky's primary election was postponed to June 23, 2020, in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
- ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," February 06, 2024
- ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
- ↑ Kentucky State Board of Elections,"Key Information," accessed July 26, 2024
- ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018