Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for October 31, 2018
The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
October 31, 2018: With the final votes to be cast in less than a week, six races for the U.S. Senate remain highly competitive. At ScottRasmussen.com, five Senate races are rated as pure toss-ups, and one other is barely tilting toward the Democrats.[1]
The toss-ups are in Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, and Nevada. Arizona and Nevada are currently represented by Republican senators, while the other three are held by Democrats. All but Nevada were won by President Trump in 2016.
Montana is barely tilting toward the Democrats. Incumbent Jon Tester (D) is trying to hang on in a state that the president won by a 56% to 21% margin.
All six races are close enough to be determined by turnout.
If the Democrats were to win all six states, it is likely that both parties would hold 50 seats in the Senate. Republicans would retain control because the Constitution gives Vice President Mike Pence the authority to cast the tie-breaking vote.
If the Republicans were to win all six states, they would end up with an expanded 56 to 44 majority in the Senate. That would make it difficult for the Democrats to win control in 2020 as well.
Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.
- October 30, 2018 – 31 highly competitive races for U.S. House of Representatives
- October 29, 2018 – 9 billion dollars to be spent on Halloween this year
- October 26, 2018 – 41,275 political commercials on TV in Phoenix
- October 25, 2018 – 7 state government trifectas highly vulnerable on Election Day
- October 24, 2018 – 79 percent of Amazon Prime users say free shipping is top reason to sign up
- To see other recent numbers, check out the archive.
Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia weekdays at 8:00 a.m. Eastern. Click here to check out the latest update.
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Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
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