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Illinois' 18th Congressional District

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Illinois' 18th Congressional District
IL 18th congressional district image.png
Incumbent
Darin LaHood Republican Party
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+15
U.S. Census Bureau (2010 data)[1]
Population: 707,238
Gender: 49.4% Male, 50.6% Female
Race[2]: 91.4% White, 3.9% Black, 2.4% Asian, 0.2% Native American
Ethnicity: 2.3% Hispanic
Unemployment: 7%
Median household income
$54,571
High school graduation rate
92.9%
College graduation rate
29.9%

Illinois' 18th Congressional District covers central and western Illinois, including Adams, Brown, Cass, Hancock, Logan, Marshall, Mason, McDonough, Menard, Morgan Pike, Schuyler, Scott, and Woodford counties as well as portions of McLean, Peoria, Sangamon, Stark, and Tazewell counties.[3]

The current representative of the 18th Congressional District is Darin LaHood (R). He won election on September 10, 2015, in the special election to replace Aaron Schock.[4][5]

Elections

2018

See also: Illinois' 18th Congressional District election, 2018

General election candidates


See also: Illinois' 18th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary)
See also: Illinois' 18th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Republican primary)

Primary candidates

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates


Republican Party Republican primary candidates



2016

See also: Illinois' 18th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Darin LaHood (R) defeated Junius Rodriguez (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Rodriguez was added to the ballot in May, after the primaries had already taken place.[6] LaHood was unopposed in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016.[7][8]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDarin LaHood Incumbent 72.1% 250,506
     Democratic Junius Rodriguez 27.9% 96,770
     N/A Write-in 0% 7
Total Votes 347,283
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections

2015

See also: Illinois' 18th Congressional District special election, 2015

Darin LaHood (R) defeated Robert Mellon (D) on September 10, 2015, to win the special election for the U.S. House to represent Illinois' 18th Congressional District. In the primary election on July 7, 2015, Mellon defeated Adam Lopez, while LaHood defeated Mike Flynn and Donald Rients.[9][10]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2015
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDarin LaHood 68.8% 33,319
     Democratic Robert Mellon 31.2% 15,127
Total Votes 48,446
Source: KHQA News with 96% reporting Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available.

2014

See also: Illinois' 18th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 18th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Aaron Schock (R) defeated challenger Darrel Miller (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAaron Schock Incumbent 74.7% 184,636
     Democratic Darrel Miller 25.3% 62,377
Total Votes 247,013
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results

2012

See also: Illinois' 18th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 18th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Aaron Schock won re-election in the district.[11]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAaron Schock Incumbent 74.2% 244,467
     Democratic Steve Waterworth 25.8% 85,164
Total Votes 329,631
Source: Illinois Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Aaron Schock won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Deirdre "D.K." Hirner (D) and Sheldon Schafer (Green) in the general election.[12]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAaron Schock incumbent 69.1% 152,868
     Democratic Deirdre "D.K." Hirner 25.8% 57,046
     Green Sheldon Schafer 5.1% 11,256
Total Votes 221,170


2008
On November 4, 2008, Aaron Schock won election to the United States House. He defeated Colleen Callahan (D) and Sheldon Schafer (Green) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAaron Schock 58.9% 182,589
     Democratic Colleen Callahan 37.9% 117,642
     Green Sheldon Schafer 3.2% 9,857
Total Votes 310,088


2006
On November 7, 2006, Ray LaHood won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Steve Waterworth (D) in the general election.[14]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRay LaHood incumbent 67.3% 150,194
     Democratic Steve Waterworth 32.7% 73,052
Total Votes 223,246


2004
On November 2, 2004, Ray LaHood won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Steve Waterworth (D) in the general election.[15]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRay LaHood incumbent 70.2% 216,047
     Democratic Steve Waterworth 29.8% 91,548
Total Votes 307,595


2002
Ray LaHood (R) ran unopposed for re-election in 2002.

2000
On November 7, 2000, Ray LaHood won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joyce Harant (D) in the general election.[16]

U.S. House, Illinois District 18 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRay LaHood incumbent 67.1% 173,706
     Democratic Joyce Harant 32.9% 85,317
Total Votes 259,023


Redistricting

2010-2011

This is the 18th Congressional District of Illinois after the 2001 redistricting process. The current district is displayed in the infobox at the top of the page.
See also: Redistricting in Illinois

In 2011, the Illinois State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Illinois' 18th Congressional District the 84th most Republican nationally.[17]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[18]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Demographic data were added to this page in 2013. Ballotpedia will update this page in 2021 after data from the 2020 Census become available.
  2. Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.
  3. Illinois Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed July 24, 2012
  4. Politico, "Rep. Aaron Schock resigns," March 17, 2015
  5. The Huffington Post, "Aaron Schock Resigning From Congress Amid Spending Controversy," March 17, 2015
  6. Journal Star, "Eureka College professor Junius Rodriguez to challenge Rep. Darin LaHood for seat in Congress," May 5, 2016
  7. Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
  8. The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
  9. KHQA 7, "Election Results," July 7, 2015
  10. Chicago Tribune, "Darin LaHood wins special election to replace ex-U.S. Rep. Aaron Schock," September 10, 2015
  11. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Illinois"
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  15. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  16. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  17. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  18. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


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Mike Bost (R)
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