New York's 3rd Congressional District
| New York's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Incumbent Tom Suozzi  Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+1 |
| U.S. Census Bureau (2010 data)[1] |
| Population: 724,164 |
| Gender: 48.7% Male, 51.3% Female |
| Race[2]: 78.2% White, 3.1% Black, 13% Asian |
| Ethnicity: 9.2% Hispanic |
| Unemployment: 7.3% |
| Median household income $95,699 |
| High school graduation rate 92.8% |
| College graduation rate 50.8% |
As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, New York's 3rd Congressional District was located in the eastern portion of the state and included parts of Nassau, Queens, and Suffolk counties.[3]
The current representative of the 3rd Congressional District is Tom Suozzi (D).
2016 Pivot Counties
Following the 2016 election, this district was one of 105 congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. The partisan makeup of the 109 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House following the 2016 election. Of the 109 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 64 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[4]
Elections
2018
General election
Political party key:
Democratic
Republican
Conservative Party
Green Party
Independence Party
Reform Party
Tax Revolt Party
Women's Equality Party
Working Families Party
General election candidates
- Tom Suozzi (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Dan DeBono (Republican Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Costa Michailidis (Independent)
- Josh Sauberman (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
- Fusion voting candidates
Primary election
Democratic primary candidates
- Tom Suozzi (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
Independents
Withdrew
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as a race to watch. Incumbent Steve Israel (D) chose not to seek re-election in 2016, leaving the seat open. Tom Suozzi (D) defeated Jack Martins (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Suozzi defeated Anna Kaplan, Jon Kaiman, Steven Stern, and Jonathan Clarke in the Democratic primary. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.[8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Tom Suozzi |
53% | 171,775 | |
| Republican | Jack Martins | 47% | 152,304 | |
| Total Votes | 324,079 | |||
| Source: New York Board of Elections | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Tom Suozzi |
35.1% | 7,142 | ||
| Steve Stern | 22% | 4,475 | ||
| Jon Kaiman | 21.6% | 4,394 | ||
| Anna Kaplan | 16.3% | 3,311 | ||
| Jonathan Clarke | 5% | 1,021 | ||
| Total Votes | 20,343 | |||
| Source: New York State Board of Elections |
||||
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Steve Israel (D) defeated Grant Lally (R) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Israel Incumbent |
54.8% | 90,032 | |
| Republican | Grant Lally | 45.2% | 74,269 | |
| N/A | Write-in votes | 0% | 74 | |
| Total Votes | 164,375 | |||
| Source: New York State Board of Elections, "NYS Board of Elections Rep. in Congress Election Returns November 4, 2014," accessed August 30, 2021 | ||||
2012
The 3rd Congressional District of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent from the 2nd District, Steve Israel won the election in the district.[16]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Israel Incumbent |
57.8% | 157,880 | |
| Republican | Stephen Labate | 41.4% | 113,203 | |
| Libertarian | Michael McDermott | 0.6% | 1,644 | |
| Independent | Anthony Tolda | 0.1% | 367 | |
| N/A | Write-in votes | 0% | 77 | |
| Total Votes | 273,171 | |||
| Source: New York State Board of Elections, "NYS Board of Elections Rep. in Congress Election Returns Nov. 6, 2012," accessed September 1, 2021 | ||||
2010
On November 2, 2010, Peter King won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Howard Kudler (D) in the general election.[17]
| U.S. House, New York District 3 General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Peter King incumbent |
71.9% | 131,674 | |
| Democratic | Howard Kudler | 28% | 51,346 | |
| N/A | Write-in votes | 0% | 67 | |
| Total Votes | 183,087 | |||
2008
On November 4, 2008, Peter King won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Graham Long (D) in the general election.[18]
| U.S. House, New York District 3 General Election, 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Peter King incumbent |
63.9% | 172,774 | |
| Democratic | Graham Long | 36.1% | 97,525 | |
| N/A | Write-in votes | 0% | 4 | |
| Total Votes | 270,303 | |||
2006
On November 7, 2006, Peter King won re-election to the United States House. He defeated David Meijas in the general election.[19]
| U.S. House, New York District 3 General Election, 2006 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Peter King incumbent |
52.8% | 101,787 | |
| Democratic | David Meijas | 41.4% | 79,843 | |
| N/A | Blank/Void/Scattering | 5.9% | 11,289 | |
| Total Votes | 192,919 | |||
2004
On November 2, 2004, Peter King won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Blair Mathies (D) in the general election.[20]
| U.S. House, New York District 3 General Election, 2004 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Peter King incumbent |
54.2% | 171,259 | |
| Democratic | Blair Mathies | 31.9% | 100,737 | |
| N/A | Blank/Void/Scattering | 14% | 44,129 | |
| Total Votes | 316,125 | |||
2002
On November 5, 2002, Peter King won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Stuart Finz (D) and Janeen DePrima (Liberal) in the general election.[21]
| U.S. House, New York District 3 General Election, 2002 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Peter King incumbent |
65.1% | 121,537 | |
| Democratic | Stuart Finz | 24.7% | 46,022 | |
| Liberal | Janeen DePrima | 0.8% | 1,513 | |
| N/A | Blank/Void/Scattering | 9.4% | 17,550 | |
| Total Votes | 186,622 | |||
2000
On November 7, 2000, Peter King won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dal Lamagana (D) and Selma Olchin (L) in the general election.[22]
| U.S. House, New York District 3 General Election, 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Peter King incumbent |
51% | 143,126 | |
| Democratic | Dal Lamagana | 34.2% | 95,787 | |
| Libertarian | Selma Olchin | 0.5% | 1,515 | |
| N/A | Blank/Void/Scattering | 14.3% | 40,049 | |
| Total Votes | 280,477 | |||
Redistricting
2010-2011
- See also: Redistricting in New York
In 2011, the New York State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+1, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage point more Democratic than the national average. This made New York's 3rd Congressional District the 191st most Democratic nationally.[23]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[24]
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Demographic data were added to this page in 2013. Ballotpedia will update this page in 2021 after data from the 2020 Census become available.
- ↑ Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.
- ↑ New York Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 31, 2012
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "SAUBERMAN A, JOSHUA," accessed June 8, 2017
- ↑ Costa Michailidis for Congress, "Home," accessed September 28, 2017
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Costa Michailidis," accessed May 9, 2018
- ↑ News Day, "Anna Kaplan, a North Hempstead Democrat, announces candidacy for Congress," January 11, 2016
- ↑ Newsday, "Jon Kaiman to run for Rep. Steve Israel’s seat," January 24, 2016
- ↑ Queens Chronicle, "Long Islanders vie for Rep. Israel’s seat," January 14, 2016
- ↑ Gurfein for America, "Home," accessed November 23, 2015
- ↑ Politico, "Rep. Steve Israel, member of Democratic leadership, retiring," January 5, 2016
- ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "Filings received for the 2016 Primary Election," accessed May 15, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "New York House Races Results," June 28, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Judge orders special GOP primary in 3rd Congressional District," August 17, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, New York," accessed November 7, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
