Democratic presidential primary turnout in Pivot Counties, 2020
From Ballotpedia
Date: November 3, 2020 |
 Donald Trump Joe Biden Howie Hawkins Jo Jorgensen
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Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) twice in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in the 2016 presidential election.
Ballotpedia is tracking the percentage change in the number of Democratic ballots cast in Pivot Counties from the 2016 presidential primary to the 2020 presidential primary. The percentage change in Pivot County turnout is also compared to statewide turnout for each state.
In 11 of the 14 states with full returns available, Pivot County voter turnout in Democratic primaries was down compared to statewide turnout. Only New Hampshire and Florida saw an increase in voter turnout in Pivot Counties that exceeded turnout in non-Pivot Counties.
In Illinois, based on 99% of precincts reporting, Democratic voter turnout decreased 23.0% across 10 of the state’s Pivot Counties. Results were not available for one Pivot County. Statewide Democratic turnout decreased more at 24.9%, marking the largest drop in Democratic turnout from 2016 to 2020 in a state, as of March 17, 2020.
This page contains the following information:
- An overview of the percentage change in Democratic turnout between 2016 and 2020 in states with Pivot counties;
- Highlights from Super Tuesday primaries on March 3, 2020; and
- Democratic voter turnout by Pivot County in the 2016 and 2020 Democratic primaries.
Overview
This chart provides an overview of the percentage change in Democratic turnout between the 2016 and 2020 Democratic presidential primaries in Pivot Counties and statewide.[1]
| Overview of percentage change in Democratic turnout in states with Pivot Counties, 2016-2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Date | Number of Pivot Counties | % change in Democratic turnout from 2016 to 2020 (Pivot Counties) | % change in Democratic turnout from 2016 to 2020 (Statewide) |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | 31 | -8.46% | 3.19% |
| New Hampshire | 2/11/2020 | 3 | 18.58% | 17.97% |
| South Carolina | 2/29/2020 | 5 | 15.43% | 41.93% |
| Arkansas | 3/3/2020 | 1 | -48.55% | 3.32% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | 19 | 243.84% | 263.04% |
| North Carolina | 3/3/2020 | 6 | -12.02% | 15.71% |
| Tennessee | 3/3/2020 | 1 | -9.78% | 37.94% |
| Texas | 3/3/2020 | 1 | -6.47% | 54.31% |
| Vermont | 3/3/2020 | 1 | -11.70% | 16.54% |
| Virginia | 3/3/2020 | 5 | 52.24% | 68.68% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | 12 | 28.69% | 31.49% |
| Mississippi | 3/10/2020 | 2 | 3.51% | 15.76% |
| Florida | 3/17/2020 | 4 | 3.67% | 1.60% |
| Illinois[2] | 3/17/2020 | 11 | -23.00% | -24.94% |
Percentage change in Democratic voter turnout by election date
The following charts compare the percentage change in Democratic voter turnout by election date.
Super Tuesday highlights
- See also: Super Tuesday primaries, 2020
Voters in 46 Pivot Counties in nine states cast ballots in presidential primaries on Super Tuesday. Complete returns are available in seven of those states, including 34 Pivot Counties, with the following Democratic turnout figures:
- Arkansas: Woodruff County, Arkansas’ only Pivot County, had a 48.5% decrease in Democratic turnout. Statewide Democratic turnout was up 3%.
- Minnesota: Nineteen counties—or about one in five counties—in Minnesota are Pivot Counties. Democratic turnout was up 243% in Pivot Counties and 263% statewide. In 2020, more than 745,000 people voted in the Democratic primary, compared to 205,000 in 2016.
- North Carolina: Democratic turnout was down 12.0% in North Carolina’s six Pivot Counties. Statewide turnout increased by 15.7%.
- Tennessee: Democratic turnout was down 9.8% in Tennessee’s one Pivot County, Hardeman County. Statewide turnout, however, was up 37.9%, increasing from 372,000 voters in 2016 to 513,000 in 2020.
- Texas: Democratic turnout was down 6.5% in Texas’ only Pivot County, Jefferson County. Statewide voter turnout rose 54.3% from 1.4 million to 2.2 million.
- Vermont: Essex County, the one Pivot County in Vermont, had voter turnout decrease 11.7%. Statewide voter turnout increased by 16.5%.
- Virginia: Democratic turnout was up 52.2% across Virginia’s five Pivot Counties. Statewide voter turnout increased by 68.7% from 785,000 in 2016 to 1.3 million in 2020.
Democratic voter turnout by Pivot County
The following chart shows the Democratic raw voter turnout in 2016 and 2020 in Pivot Counties where Democratic presidential primaries and caucuses have taken place. Figures for Colorado and Maine are not yet available.
| Democratic voter turnout in Pivot Counties, 2016-2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Date | Pivot County | Democratic winner, 2016 | Democratic turnout, 2016 | Democratic winner, 2020 | Democratic turnout, 2020 | Percentage change |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Allamakee County, Iowa | Clinton | 600 | Buttigieg | 496 | -17.3% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Boone County, Iowa | Sanders | 1300 | Buttigieg | 1351 | 3.9% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Bremer County, Iowa | Clinton | 1200 | Buttigieg | 1289 | 7.4% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Buchanan County, Iowa | Clinton | 1000 | Biden | 746 | -25.4% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Cedar County, Iowa | Sanders | 799 | Sanders | 823 | 3.0% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Cerro Gordo County, Iowa | Sanders | 2199 | Buttigieg | 1806 | -17.9% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Chickasaw County, Iowa | Clinton | 599 | Buttigieg | 387 | -35.4% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Clarke County, Iowa | Clinton | 400 | Buttigieg | 254 | -36.5% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Clayton County, Iowa | Sanders | 800 | Buttigieg | 632 | -21.0% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Clinton County, Iowa | Sanders | 2399 | Buttigieg | 1682 | -29.9% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Des Moines County, Iowa | Sanders | 1999 | Buttigieg | 1797 | -10.1% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Dubuque County, Iowa | Clinton | 4798 | Buttigieg | 5078 | 5.8% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Fayette County, Iowa | Clinton | 998 | Buttigieg | 760 | -23.8% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Floyd County, Iowa | Clinton | 799 | Klobuchar | 590 | -26.2% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Howard County, Iowa | Sanders | 399 | Buttigieg | 260 | -34.8% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Jackson County, Iowa | Clinton | 900 | Buttigieg | 768 | -14.7% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Jasper County, Iowa | Clinton | 1800 | Buttigieg | 1556 | -13.6% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Jefferson County, Iowa | Sanders | 899 | Sanders | 1649 | 83.4% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Jones County, Iowa | Sanders | 899 | Buttigieg | 609 | -32.3% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Lee County, Iowa | Clinton | 1699 | Buttigieg | 1214 | -28.5% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Louisa County, Iowa | Clinton | 400 | Sanders | 306 | -23.5% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Marshall County, Iowa | Sanders | 1799 | Sanders | 1436 | -20.2% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Mitchell County, Iowa | Clinton | 400 | Klobuchar | 341 | -14.8% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Muscatine County, Iowa | Sanders | 1800 | Sanders | 1688 | -6.2% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Poweshiek County, Iowa | Sanders | 899 | Sanders | 1755 | 95.2% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Tama County, Iowa | Clinton | 899 | Sanders | 567 | -36.9% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Union County, Iowa | Sanders | 499 | Sanders | 339 | -32.1% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Wapello County, Iowa | Clinton | 1491 | Buttigieg | 1075 | -27.9% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Webster County, Iowa | Clinton | 1599 | Buttigieg | 1199 | -25.0% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Winneshiek County, Iowa | Sanders | 1100 | Buttigieg | 1847 | 67.9% |
| Iowa | 2/3/2020 | Worth County, Iowa | Sanders | 399 | Klobuchar | 276 | -30.8% |
| New Hampshire | 2/11/2020 | Coos County, New Hampshire | Sanders | 5,839 | Sanders | 5,405 | -7.4% |
| New Hampshire | 2/11/2020 | Hillsborough County, New Hampshire | Sanders | 69,197 | Sanders | 84,903 | 22.7% |
| New Hampshire | 2/11/2020 | Sullivan County, New Hampshire | Sanders | 8,647 | Sanders | 8,926 | 3.2% |
| South Carolina | 2/29/2020 | Barnwell County, South Carolina | Clinton | 1,785 | Biden | 1,793 | 0.4% |
| South Carolina | 2/29/2020 | Calhoun County, South Carolina | Clinton | 1,785 | Biden | 1,872 | 4.9% |
| South Carolina | 2/29/2020 | Chester County, South Carolina | Clinton | 2,464 | Biden | 3,194 | 29.6% |
| South Carolina | 2/29/2020 | Colleton County, South Carolina | Clinton | 3,560 | Biden | 4,018 | 12.9% |
| South Carolina | 2/29/2020 | McCormick County, South Carolina | Clinton | 1,144 | Biden | 1,518 | 32.7% |
| Arkansas | 3/3/2020 | Woodruff County, Arkansas | Clinton | 1,347 | Biden | 693 | -48.6% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Beltrami County, Minnesota | Sanders | 1,448 | Sanders | 4,423 | 205.5% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Blue Earth County, Minnesota | Sanders | 2,459 | Sanders | 7,413 | 201.5% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Chippewa County, Minnesota | Sanders | 156 | Biden | 870 | 457.7% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Clay County, Minnesota | Sanders | 1,776 | Biden | 5,817 | 227.5% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Fillmore County, Minnesota | Sanders | 404 | Biden | 2,704 | 569.3% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Freeborn County, Minnesota | Sanders | 476 | Biden | 2,641 | 454.8% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Houston County, Minnesota | Sanders | 413 | Biden | 1,961 | 374.8% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Itasca County, Minnesota | Sanders | 1,244 | Biden | 5,187 | 317.0% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Kittson County, Minnesota | Clinton | 58 | Klobuchar | 508 | 775.9% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Koochiching County, Minnesota | Sanders | 236 | Biden | 1,250 | 429.7% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Lac qui Parle County, Minnesota | Clinton | 90 | Biden | 631 | 601.1% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Mahnomen County, Minnesota | Sanders | 80 | Klobuchar | 444 | 455.0% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Mower County, Minnesota | Sanders | 610 | Biden | 3,331 | 446.1% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Nicollet County, Minnesota | Sanders | 1,477 | Biden | 4,333 | 193.4% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Norman County, Minnesota | Sanders | 94 | Biden | 606 | 544.7% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Rice County, Minnesota | Sanders | 3,460 | Biden | 8,680 | 150.9% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Swift County, Minnesota | Sanders | 163 | Biden | 814 | 399.4% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Traverse County, Minnesota | Clinton | 44 | Biden | 278 | 531.8% |
| Minnesota | 3/3/2020 | Winona County, Minnesota | Sanders | 2,070 | Biden | 5,729 | 176.8% |
| North Carolina | 3/3/2020 | Bladen County, North Carolina | Clinton | 5,788 | Biden | 4,206 | -27.3% |
| North Carolina | 3/3/2020 | Gates County, North Carolina | Clinton | 1,192 | Biden | 1404 | 17.8% |
| North Carolina | 3/3/2020 | Granville County, North Carolina | Clinton | 8,025 | Biden | 7,508 | -6.4% |
| North Carolina | 3/3/2020 | Martin County, North Carolina | Clinton | 4,011 | Biden | 3,511 | -12.5% |
| North Carolina | 3/3/2020 | Richmond County, North Carolina | Clinton | 5,193 | Biden | 4,904 | -5.6% |
| North Carolina | 3/3/2020 | Robeson County, North Carolina | Clinton | 16,862 | Biden | 14,603 | -13.4% |
| Tennessee | 3/3/2020 | Hardeman County, Tennessee | Clinton | 1,963 | Biden | 1,771 | -9.8% |
| Texas | 3/3/2020 | Jefferson County, Texas | Clinton | 21,562 | Biden | 20,167 | -6.5% |
| Vermont | 3/3/2020 | Essex County, Vermont | Sanders | 1,034 | Sanders | 913 | -11.7% |
| Virginia | 3/3/2020 | Buckingham County, Virginia | Clinton | 1,178 | Biden | 1,495 | 26.9% |
| Virginia | 3/3/2020 | Caroline County, Virginia | Clinton | 2,562 | Biden | 3,952 | 54.3% |
| Virginia | 3/3/2020 | Essex County, Virginia | Clinton | 783 | Biden | 1,202 | 53.5% |
| Virginia | 3/3/2020 | Nelson County, Virginia | Clinton | 1,764 | Biden | 2,528 | 43.3% |
| Virginia | 3/3/2020 | Westmoreland County, Virginia | Clinton | 1,180 | Biden | 2,191 | 85.7% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Bay County, Michigan | Sanders | 12,912 | Biden | 15,320 | 18.6% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Calhoun County, Michigan | Sanders | 11,283 | Biden | 14,020 | 24.3% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Eaton County, Michigan | Sanders | 13,334 | Biden | 17,883 | 34.1% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Gogebic County, Michigan | Sanders | 1,510 | Biden | 2,056 | 36.2% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Isabella County, Michigan | Sanders | 6,123 | Biden | 7,692 | 25.6% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Lake County, Michigan | Clinton | 1,093 | Biden | 1,192 | 9.1% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Macomb County, Michigan | Clinton | 97,536 | Biden | 129,842 | 33.1% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Manistee County, Michigan | Sanders | 2,826 | Biden | 3,637 | 28.7% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Monroe County, Michigan | Sanders | 14,215 | Biden | 16,859 | 18.6% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Saginaw County, Michigan | Clinton | 22,578 | Biden | 27,696 | 22.7% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Shiawassee County, Michigan | Sanders | 7,697 | Biden | 8,826 | 14.7% |
| Michigan | 3/10/2020 | Van Buren County, Michigan | Sanders | 6,252 | Biden | 8,951 | 43.2% |
| Mississippi | 3/10/2020 | Chickasaw County, Mississippi | Clinton | 1,788 | Biden | 1,801 | 0.7% |
| Mississippi | 3/10/2020 | Panola County, Mississippi | Clinton | 3,569 | Biden | 3,744 | 4.9% |
| Florida | 3/17/2020 | Jefferson County, Florida | Clinton | 2,585 | Biden | 2,040 | -21.1% |
| Florida | 3/17/2020 | Monroe County, Florida | Clinton | 8,809 | Biden | 8,563 | -2.8% |
| Florida | 3/17/2020 | Pinellas County, Florida | Clinton | 105,658 | Biden | 110,125 | 4.2% |
| Florida | 3/17/2020 | St. Lucie County, Florida | Clinton | 26,257 | Biden | 27,834 | 6.0% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Alexander County, Illinois | Clinton | 1,284 | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Carroll County, Illinois | Sanders | 1,282 | Biden | 1,054 | -17.8% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Fulton County, Illinois | Sanders | 4,769 | Biden | 3,379 | -29.1% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Henderson County, Illinois | Clinton | 651 | Biden | 586 | -10.0% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Henry County, Illinois | Clinton | 4,263 | Biden | 3,453 | -19.0% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Jo Daviess County, Illinois | Clinton | 2,566 | Biden | 2,512 | -2.1% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Knox County, Illinois | Sanders | 6,256 | Biden | 4,454 | -28.8% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Mercer County, Illinois | Clinton | 1,845 | Biden | 1,351 | -26.8% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Putnam County, Illinois | Sanders | 974 | Biden | 612 | -37.2% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Warren County, Illinois | Sanders | 1,481 | Biden | 1,192 | -19.5% |
| Illinois | 3/17/2020 | Whiteside County, Illinois | Sanders | 6,048 | Biden | 4,620 | -23.6% |
See also
- Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016
- Presidential candidates, 2020
- Democratic presidential nomination, 2020
- Presidential election by state, 2020
Footnotes
