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Projected outcomes of state legislative elections, 2010
State senate election projections
| Democrats Before election: 28 Predicted after election: 21 |
Toss-up 6 |
Republicans Before election: 20 Predicted after election: 22 |
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| 15 Safe or Not Up | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 Safe or Not Up |
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Since one state senate is nonpartisan, a political party is defined as having the majority of state senates if it has at least 25. The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 3 of the toss-up states, to get to 25. The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 5 of the toss-up states, to get to 25. |
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| Safe D | Likely Dem. | Leans Dem. | Toss Up | Leans GOP | Likely GOP | Safe R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas (D) California (D) Connecticut (D) Delaware (D) Hawaii (D) Maryland (D) Massachusetts (D) Rhode Island (D) Vermont (D) West Virginia (D) Not up: Louisiana Mississippi New Jersey New Mexico Virginia |
Illinois (D) Minnesota (D) Nevada (D) |
Colorado (D) Oregon (D) Washington (D) |
Alabama (D) Maine (D) New Hampshire (D) New York (D) North Carolina (D) Wisconsin (D) |
Possible R Pick-ups: Alaska (Split)[1] Iowa (D) |
Kentucky (R) Michigan: (R) Montana (R) Tennessee: (R) |
Arizona (R) Florida (R) Georgia (R) Idaho (R) Indiana (R) Missouri (R) North Dakota (R) Ohio (R) Oklahoma (R) Pennsylvania (R) South Dakota: (R) Texas (R) Utah (R) Wyoming (R) Not up: Kansas South Carolina |
Map of current state senates
heading into the 2010 state legislative elections 
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State house election projections
| Democrats Before election: 32 Projected after election: 23 |
Toss-up 5 |
Republicans Before election: 16 Projected after election: 21 |
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| 13 Safe or Not Up | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 Safe or Not Up |
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Since there are 49 state houses (Nebraska only has a senate), a political party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25. The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 2 of the toss-up states, to get to 25. The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 4 of the toss-up states, to get to 25. |
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| Safe D | Likely Dem. | Leans Dem. | Toss Up | Leans GOP | Likely GOP | Safe R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas (D) California (D) Connecticut (D) Hawaii (D) Maryland (D) Massachusetts (D) New York (D) Rhode Island (D) Vermont (D) West Virginia (D) Not up: Louisiana (D) Mississippi (D) New Jersey (D) |
Kentucky (D) Illinois (D) Maine (D) Nevada (D) New Mexico (D) Oregon (D) |
Delaware (D) Michigan (D) Minnesota (D) Washington (D) |
Alabama (D) Colorado (D) Iowa (D) New Hampshire (D) North Carolina (D) |
Possible R Pick-ups: Indiana (D) Montana (Split)[2] Ohio (D) Pennsylvania (D) Wisconsin (D) |
Alaska: (R) Tennessee: (R) Texas (R) |
Arizona (R) Florida (R) Georgia (R) Idaho (R) Kansas (R) Missouri (R) North Dakota (R) Oklahoma (R) South Carolina: (R) South Dakota: (R) Utah (R) Wyoming (R) Not up: Virginia (R) |
Map of current state houses
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Footnotes
