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California's 15th Congressional District

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The boundaries of this district may change as a result of California Proposition 50, which voters will decide on November 5, 2025. Click here to read more about the mid-decade redistricting effort in California and other states.

California's 15th Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2023

California's 15th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Kevin Mullin (D).

As of the 2020 Census, California representatives represented an average of 761,091 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 704,566 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: California's 15th Congressional District election, 2024

California's 15th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 15

Incumbent Kevin Mullin defeated Anna Cheng Kramer in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kevin Mullin
Kevin Mullin (D)
 
73.1
 
211,648
Image of Anna Cheng Kramer
Anna Cheng Kramer (R)
 
26.9
 
77,896

Total votes: 289,544
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15

Incumbent Kevin Mullin and Anna Cheng Kramer advanced from the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kevin Mullin
Kevin Mullin (D)
 
75.3
 
109,172
Image of Anna Cheng Kramer
Anna Cheng Kramer (R)
 
24.7
 
35,868

Total votes: 145,040
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: California's 15th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 15

Kevin Mullin defeated David Canepa in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kevin Mullin
Kevin Mullin (D)
 
55.5
 
108,077
Image of David Canepa
David Canepa (D)
 
44.5
 
86,797

Total votes: 194,874
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kevin Mullin
Kevin Mullin (D)
 
41.1
 
58,806
Image of David Canepa
David Canepa (D)
 
24.1
 
34,488
Image of Gus Mattammal
Gus Mattammal (R) Candidate Connection
 
16.5
 
23,625
Image of Emily Beach
Emily Beach (D)
 
14.6
 
20,816
Image of Jim Garrity
Jim Garrity (Independent)
 
2.2
 
3,081
Image of Andrew Watters
Andrew Watters (D)
 
1.1
 
1,551
Image of Ferenc Pataki
Ferenc Pataki (Independent) Candidate Connection
 
0.5
 
671

Total votes: 143,038
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: California's 15th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 15

Incumbent Eric Swalwell defeated Alison Hayden in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell (D)
 
70.9
 
242,991
Image of Alison Hayden
Alison Hayden (R) Candidate Connection
 
29.1
 
99,710

Total votes: 342,701
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell (D)
 
59.0
 
103,826
Image of Alison Hayden
Alison Hayden (R) Candidate Connection
 
17.0
 
29,864
Sam Campbell (D)
 
9.8
 
17,286
Image of Peter Liu
Peter Liu (R) Candidate Connection
 
7.8
 
13,634
Tuan Phan (D) Candidate Connection
 
3.7
 
6,509
Austin Intal (D)
 
1.4
 
2,548
Image of Don Grundmann
Don Grundmann (Independent)
 
1.2
 
2,194

Total votes: 175,861
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: California's 15th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 15

Incumbent Eric Swalwell defeated Rudy Peters in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell (D)
 
73.0
 
177,989
Image of Rudy Peters
Rudy Peters (R)
 
27.0
 
65,940

Total votes: 243,929
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15

Incumbent Eric Swalwell and Rudy Peters defeated Brendan St. John in the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell (D)
 
70.5
 
90,971
Image of Rudy Peters
Rudy Peters (R)
 
26.2
 
33,771
Image of Brendan St. John
Brendan St. John (Nonpartisan)
 
3.3
 
4,322

Total votes: 129,064
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: California's 15th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Danny Turner (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Both candidates advanced past the top-two primary on June 7, 2016, by default.[1][2]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEric Swalwell Incumbent 73.8% 198,578
     Republican Danny Turner 26.2% 70,619
Total Votes 269,197
Source: California Secretary of State


U.S. House, California District 15 Primary, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEric Swalwell Incumbent 76.5% 110,803
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDanny Turner 23.5% 34,032
Total Votes 144,835
Source: California Secretary of State

2014

See also: California's 15th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 15th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Hugh Bussell (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEric Swalwell Incumbent 69.8% 99,756
     Republican Hugh Bussell 30.2% 43,150
Total Votes 142,906
Source: California Secretary of State

2012

See also: California's 15th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 15th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Democrat Eric Swalwell won election in the district.[3]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEric Swalwell 52.1% 120,388
     Democratic Pete Stark Incumbent 47.9% 110,646
Total Votes 231,034
Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"


2010
On November 2, 2010, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Scott Kirkland (R) in the general election.[4]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Honda incumbent 67.6% 126,147
     Republican Scott Kirkland 32.4% 60,468
Total Votes 186,615


2008
On November 4, 2008, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joyce Stoer Cordi (R) and Peter Myers (G) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Honda incumbent 71.7% 170,977
     Republican Joyce Stoer Cordi 23.3% 55,489
     Green Peter Myers 5.1% 12,123
Total Votes 238,589


2006
On November 7, 2006, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Raymond Chukwu (R) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Honda incumbent 72.3% 115,532
     Republican Raymond Chukwu 27.7% 44,186
Total Votes 159,718


2004
On November 2, 2004, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Raymond Chukwu (R) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Honda incumbent 72% 154,385
     Republican Raymond Chukwu 28% 59,953
Total Votes 214,338


2002
On November 5, 2002, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Linda Rae Hermann (R) and Jeff Landauer (L) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Honda incumbent 65.8% 87,482
     Republican Linda Rae Hermann 31% 41,251
     Libertarian Jeff Landauer 3.2% 4,289
Total Votes 133,022


2000
On November 7, 2000, Mike Honda won election to the United States House. He defeated Jim Cunneen (R), Ed Leo Wimmers (L) and Douglas Gorney (Natural Law) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Honda 54.3% 128,545
     Republican Jim Cunneen 42.2% 99,866
     Libertarian Ed Leo Wimmers 2% 4,820
     Natural Law Douglas Gorney 1.5% 3,591
Total Votes 236,822


1998
On November 3, 1998, Tom Campbell won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dick Lane (D) and Frank Strutner (Natural Law) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 1998
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Campbell incumbent 60.5% 111,876
     Democratic Dick Lane 37.9% 70,059
     Libertarian Frank Strutner 1.5% 2,843
Total Votes 184,778


1996
On November 5, 1996, Tom Campbell won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dick Lane (D), Valli Sharpe-Geisler (Reform), Ed Wimmers (L) and Bruce Currivan (Natural Law) in the general election.[11]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 1996
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Campbell incumbent 58.5% 132,737
     Democratic Dick Lane 34.8% 79,048
     Reform Valli Sharpe-Geisler 2.7% 6,230
     Libertarian Ed Wimmers 2.4% 5,481
     Natural Law Bruce Currivan 1.5% 3,372
Total Votes 226,868


1994
On November 8, 1994, Norman Mineta won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Robert Wick (R) in the general election.[12]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 1994
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngNorman Mineta incumbent 59.9% 119,921
     Republican Robert Wick 40.1% 80,266
     N/A Write-in 0% 17
Total Votes 200,204


1992
On November 3, 1992, Norman Mineta won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Robert Wick (R) and Duggan Dieterly (L) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 1992
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngNorman Mineta incumbent 63.5% 168,617
     Republican Robert Wick 31.2% 82,875
     Libertarian Duggan Dieterly 5% 13,293
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 585
Total Votes 265,370


1990
On November 6, 1990, Gary Condit won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Cliff Burris (R) in the general election.[14]

U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 1990
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngGary Condit incumbent 66.2% 97,147
     Republican Cliff Burris 33.8% 49,634
Total Votes 146,781


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in California after the 2020 census

The California Citizens Redistricting Commission voted 14-0 in favor of a new congressional district map on December 20, 2021, and delivered those maps to the secretary of state on December 27, 2021.[15][16] California was apportioned 52 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2020 census, a net loss of one seat compared to apportionment after the 2010 census. This map took effect for California's 2022 congressional elections.

How does redistricting in California work? In California, a non-politician commission draws both congressional and state legislative district lines. Established in 2008 by ballot initiative, the commission comprises 14 members: five Democrats, five Republicans, and four belonging to neither party. A panel of state auditors selects the pool of nominees from which the commissioners are appointed. This pool comprises 20 Democrats, 20 Republicans, and 20 belonging to neither party. The majority and minority leaders of both chambers of the state legislature may each remove two members from each of the aforementioned groups. The first eight commission members are selected at random from the remaining nominees. These first eight comprise three Democrats, three Republicans, and two belonging to neither party. The first eight commissioners appoint the remaining six, which must include two Democrats, two Republicans, and two belonging to neither party.[17]

Commissioners must meet the following requirements in order to serve:[17]

  1. Members must have voted in at least two of the last three statewide elections.
  2. Members cannot have switched party affiliation for at least five years.
  3. "Neither commissioners nor immediate family may have been, within 10 years of appointment, a candidate for federal or state office or member of a party central committee; an officer, employee, or paid consultant to a federal or state candidate or party; a registered lobbyist or paid legislative staff; or a donor of more than $2,000 to an elected candidate."
  4. Members cannot be "staff, consultants or contractors for state or federal government" while serving as commissioners. The same prohibition applies to the family of commission members.

In order to approve a redistricting plan, nine of the commission's 14 members must vote for it. These nine must include three Democrats, three Republicans, and three belonging to neither party. Maps drawn by the commission may be overturned by public referendum. In the event that a map is overturned by the public, the California Supreme Court must appoint a group to draw a new map.[17]

The California Constitution requires that districts be contiguous. Further, the state constitution mandates that "to the extent possible, [districts] must ... preserve the geographic integrity of cities, counties, neighborhoods and communities of interest." Districts must also "encourage compactness." State Senate and Assembly districts should be nested within each other where possible.[17]

California District 15
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

California District 15
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


2010-2011

This is the 15th Congressional District of California after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in California after the 2010 census

In 2011, the California State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+26. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 26 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th the 26th most Democratic district nationally.[18]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+28. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 28 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th the 23rd most Democratic district nationally.[19]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 77.7%-20.4%.[20]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+28. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 28 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th the 25th most Democratic district nationally.[21]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.7% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 20.4%.[22]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+20. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 20 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th Congressional District the 64th most Democratic nationally.[23]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.82. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.82 points toward that party.[24]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
  2. The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
  3. Politico, "2012 Election Map, California," accessed August 15, 2012
  4. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
  15. Politico, "California’s new congressional map boosts Democrats," Dec. 21, 2021
  16. Lake County News, "California Citizens Redistricting Commission delivers maps to California Secretary of State," Dec. 28, 2021
  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 17.3 All About Redistricting, "California," accessed April 21, 2015
  18. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  19. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  20. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  21. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  22. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  23. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  24. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Ami Bera (D)
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Adam Gray (D)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
Ro Khanna (D)
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
Jim Costa (D)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
Raul Ruiz (D)
District 26
District 27
District 28
Judy Chu (D)
District 29
Luz Rivas (D)
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
Ted Lieu (D)
District 37
District 38
District 39
District 40
Young Kim (R)
District 41
District 42
District 43
District 44
District 45
District 46
District 47
Dave Min (D)
District 48
District 49
District 50
District 51
District 52
Democratic Party (45)
Republican Party (9)