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California's 15th Congressional District
California's 15th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Kevin Mullin (D).
As of the 2020 Census, California representatives represented an average of 761,091 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 704,566 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: California's 15th Congressional District election, 2024
California's 15th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 15
Incumbent Kevin Mullin defeated Anna Cheng Kramer in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kevin Mullin (D) | 73.1 | 211,648 | |
![]() | Anna Cheng Kramer (R) | 26.9 | 77,896 |
Total votes: 289,544 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15
Incumbent Kevin Mullin and Anna Cheng Kramer advanced from the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kevin Mullin (D) | 75.3 | 109,172 | |
✔ | ![]() | Anna Cheng Kramer (R) | 24.7 | 35,868 |
Total votes: 145,040 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Timothy Wong (D)
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 15
Kevin Mullin defeated David Canepa in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kevin Mullin (D) | 55.5 | 108,077 | |
David Canepa (D) | 44.5 | 86,797 |
Total votes: 194,874 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kevin Mullin (D) | 41.1 | 58,806 | |
✔ | David Canepa (D) | 24.1 | 34,488 | |
![]() | Gus Mattammal (R) ![]() | 16.5 | 23,625 | |
Emily Beach (D) | 14.6 | 20,816 | ||
Jim Garrity (Independent) | 2.2 | 3,081 | ||
![]() | Andrew Watters (D) | 1.1 | 1,551 | |
![]() | Ferenc Pataki (Independent) ![]() | 0.5 | 671 |
Total votes: 143,038 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jackie Cota (R)
- David Brandt (Independent)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 15
Incumbent Eric Swalwell defeated Alison Hayden in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Eric Swalwell (D) | 70.9 | 242,991 |
![]() | Alison Hayden (R) ![]() | 29.1 | 99,710 |
Total votes: 342,701 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Eric Swalwell (D) | 59.0 | 103,826 |
✔ | ![]() | Alison Hayden (R) ![]() | 17.0 | 29,864 |
Sam Campbell (D) | 9.8 | 17,286 | ||
![]() | Peter Liu (R) ![]() | 7.8 | 13,634 | |
Tuan Phan (D) ![]() | 3.7 | 6,509 | ||
Austin Intal (D) | 1.4 | 2,548 | ||
![]() | Don Grundmann (Independent) | 1.2 | 2,194 |
Total votes: 175,861 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Aisha Wahab (D)
- Jacob Vital (Independent)
- Bob Wieckowski (D)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 15
Incumbent Eric Swalwell defeated Rudy Peters in the general election for U.S. House California District 15 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Eric Swalwell (D) | 73.0 | 177,989 |
Rudy Peters (R) | 27.0 | 65,940 |
Total votes: 243,929 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 15
Incumbent Eric Swalwell and Rudy Peters defeated Brendan St. John in the primary for U.S. House California District 15 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Eric Swalwell (D) | 70.5 | 90,971 |
✔ | Rudy Peters (R) | 26.2 | 33,771 | |
Brendan St. John (Nonpartisan) | 3.3 | 4,322 |
Total votes: 129,064 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Danny Turner (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Both candidates advanced past the top-two primary on June 7, 2016, by default.[1][2]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
73.8% | 198,578 | |
Republican | Danny Turner | 26.2% | 70,619 | |
Total Votes | 269,197 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
![]() |
76.5% | 110,803 | |
Republican | ![]() |
23.5% | 34,032 | |
Total Votes | 144,835 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
2014
The 15th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Hugh Bussell (R) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
69.8% | 99,756 | |
Republican | Hugh Bussell | 30.2% | 43,150 | |
Total Votes | 142,906 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
2012
The 15th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Democrat Eric Swalwell won election in the district.[3]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
52.1% | 120,388 | |
Democratic | Pete Stark Incumbent | 47.9% | 110,646 | |
Total Votes | 231,034 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Scott Kirkland (R) in the general election.[4]
U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
67.6% | 126,147 | |
Republican | Scott Kirkland | 32.4% | 60,468 | |
Total Votes | 186,615 |
2008
On November 4, 2008, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joyce Stoer Cordi (R) and Peter Myers (G) in the general election.[5]
2006
On November 7, 2006, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Raymond Chukwu (R) in the general election.[6]
U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2006 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
72.3% | 115,532 | |
Republican | Raymond Chukwu | 27.7% | 44,186 | |
Total Votes | 159,718 |
2004
On November 2, 2004, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Raymond Chukwu (R) in the general election.[7]
U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 2004 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
72% | 154,385 | |
Republican | Raymond Chukwu | 28% | 59,953 | |
Total Votes | 214,338 |
2002
On November 5, 2002, Mike Honda won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Linda Rae Hermann (R) and Jeff Landauer (L) in the general election.[8]
2000
On November 7, 2000, Mike Honda won election to the United States House. He defeated Jim Cunneen (R), Ed Leo Wimmers (L) and Douglas Gorney (Natural Law) in the general election.[9]
1998
On November 3, 1998, Tom Campbell won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dick Lane (D) and Frank Strutner (Natural Law) in the general election.[10]
1996
On November 5, 1996, Tom Campbell won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dick Lane (D), Valli Sharpe-Geisler (Reform), Ed Wimmers (L) and Bruce Currivan (Natural Law) in the general election.[11]
1994
On November 8, 1994, Norman Mineta won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Robert Wick (R) in the general election.[12]
1992
On November 3, 1992, Norman Mineta won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Robert Wick (R) and Duggan Dieterly (L) in the general election.[13]
1990
On November 6, 1990, Gary Condit won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Cliff Burris (R) in the general election.[14]
U.S. House, California District 15 General Election, 1990 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
66.2% | 97,147 | |
Republican | Cliff Burris | 33.8% | 49,634 | |
Total Votes | 146,781 |
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
The California Citizens Redistricting Commission voted 14-0 in favor of a new congressional district map on December 20, 2021, and delivered those maps to the secretary of state on December 27, 2021.[15][16] California was apportioned 52 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2020 census, a net loss of one seat compared to apportionment after the 2010 census. This map took effect for California's 2022 congressional elections.
How does redistricting in California work? In California, a non-politician commission draws both congressional and state legislative district lines. Established in 2008 by ballot initiative, the commission comprises 14 members: five Democrats, five Republicans, and four belonging to neither party. A panel of state auditors selects the pool of nominees from which the commissioners are appointed. This pool comprises 20 Democrats, 20 Republicans, and 20 belonging to neither party. The majority and minority leaders of both chambers of the state legislature may each remove two members from each of the aforementioned groups. The first eight commission members are selected at random from the remaining nominees. These first eight comprise three Democrats, three Republicans, and two belonging to neither party. The first eight commissioners appoint the remaining six, which must include two Democrats, two Republicans, and two belonging to neither party.[17]
Commissioners must meet the following requirements in order to serve:[17]
- Members must have voted in at least two of the last three statewide elections.
- Members cannot have switched party affiliation for at least five years.
- "Neither commissioners nor immediate family may have been, within 10 years of appointment, a candidate for federal or state office or member of a party central committee; an officer, employee, or paid consultant to a federal or state candidate or party; a registered lobbyist or paid legislative staff; or a donor of more than $2,000 to an elected candidate."
- Members cannot be "staff, consultants or contractors for state or federal government" while serving as commissioners. The same prohibition applies to the family of commission members.
In order to approve a redistricting plan, nine of the commission's 14 members must vote for it. These nine must include three Democrats, three Republicans, and three belonging to neither party. Maps drawn by the commission may be overturned by public referendum. In the event that a map is overturned by the public, the California Supreme Court must appoint a group to draw a new map.[17]
The California Constitution requires that districts be contiguous. Further, the state constitution mandates that "to the extent possible, [districts] must ... preserve the geographic integrity of cities, counties, neighborhoods and communities of interest." Districts must also "encourage compactness." State Senate and Assembly districts should be nested within each other where possible.[17]
California District 15
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
California District 15
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
In 2011, the California State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2026
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is D+26. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 26 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th the 26th most Democratic district nationally.[18]
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+28. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 28 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th the 23rd most Democratic district nationally.[19]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 77.7%-20.4%.[20]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+28. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 28 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th the 25th most Democratic district nationally.[21]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.7% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 20.4%.[22]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+20. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 20 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 15th Congressional District the 64th most Democratic nationally.[23]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.82. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.82 points toward that party.[24]
See also
- Redistricting in California
- California's 15th Congressional District election, 2024
- California's 15th Congressional District election, 2022
- California's 15th Congressional District election, 2020
- California's 15th Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, California," accessed August 15, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Politico, "California’s new congressional map boosts Democrats," Dec. 21, 2021
- ↑ Lake County News, "California Citizens Redistricting Commission delivers maps to California Secretary of State," Dec. 28, 2021
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 17.3 All About Redistricting, "California," accessed April 21, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018